Saudi Arabia

Frontrunning: July 25

  • Dollar slumps to 13-month lows before Fed; euro up (Reuters)
  • Overwhelming approval likely for Russia bill (Reuters)
  • Trump to study tougher Russia sanctions bill: White House (Reuters)
  • Unrest bubbles among Trump's key foreign policy aides (Reuters)
  • Abe Overtaken by Rival as Top Choice for Japan Premier in Poll (BBG)

S&P Futures Bounce As VIX Hammered, Europe "Euphoric"

After sliding to 3 month lows on "car cartel" concerns yesterday, European stocks have rebounded after three days of declines, while oil extended gains after Saudi export cuts, with Brent rising above $49 and WTI just shy of $47. Asian stocks fell while S&P futures rose 0.2% to 2,473, helped by a tumbling VIX which was hammered early by 3% in early Tuesday trading, down to 9.17.

Trump's Slide Into Endless-War Syndrome

"In sum, Trump should avoid getting co-opted by the U.S. military and honor his campaign rhetoric, which implied staying out of non-strategic brushfire wars."

Frontrunning: July 24

  • Kushner, Russian Ambassador Had Undisclosed Contact (WSJ)
  • Democrats take aim at big companies in economic blueprint (Reuters)
  • Trump open to signing Russia sanctions legislation (Reuters)
  • Senate GOP Unsure of What Health-Care Measure They Will Vote On (WSJ)
  • Japan PM Abe denies favors for friend amid falling support (Reuters)

A Month Of Multiculturalism In France: June 2017

"I am in fundamental disagreement with these left-wing people who do everything to dissociate fundamentalism from Islam. Islam has been radicalized for fifty years.."- Sir Salman Rushdie

A Coup In The House Of Saud?

The secret is out: the ascension of Mohammad bin Salman, displacing CIA favorite Mohammad bin Nayef as Crown Prince, was in fact a white coup...

Junk Bonds Are Finally Starting To Care About Oil

"The recent price action in the oil market and the stronger response of the HY Energy sector has prompted many market participants to question the ability of the broader HY market to continue to resist lower oil prices. In our view, the bar remains high for oil prices to become the main directional driver of HY spreads but the risk has risen."

Washington's "Good Terrorists, Bad Terrorists" Policy In The Middle East

"...More to the point, raising funds for proxy wars from the Gulf Arab States allows the Western executives the freedom to evade congressional scrutiny; and the benefit of buying weapons from the unregulated arms’ markets of the Eastern Europe is that such weapons cannot be traced back to the Western capitals; and using jihadist proxies to achieve strategic objectives has the advantage of taking the plea of “plausible deniability” if the strategy backfires, which it often does."