Saxo Bank

RBOB Sinks After Surprise Build, WTI Bounces On Biggest Production Drop In 2 Years

WTI/RBOB have extended their post-API (crude build) losses overnight (not helped by IEA forecasts indicating the oil-inventory decline will halt in 2018). However, DOE data perfectly contradicted the API data with a big crude draw and big gasoline build. WTI bounced a little (helped by the biggest production cut since September 2015) and RBOB slumped.

WTI/RBOB Jump After Big Crude Inventory Draw, Exports Hit Record High

WTI/RBOB prices recovered from their drop after API reported a big surprise gasoline build overnight ahead of the DOE data which showed a major crude draw (and smaller than API-reported build in gasoline). Along with no change in production, this sparked buying in both WTI/RBOB as the kneejerk reaction.

Spanish Stocks, Bonds, Euro Sink After Catalan Referendum Fiasco; S&P Futures Rise

While S&P futures were modestly higher, rising 0.1% in a quiet session in which China, South Korea, India and Hong Kong were closed for holidays, the Euro, Spanish stocks and bonds were broadly lower as Spain faces its worst constitutional crisis in years following a dramatic, violent crackdown on Sunday's Catalan independence referendum in which 89% of the voters wanted to secede from Spain.

Traders Yawn After Fed's "Great Unwind"

One day after the Fed unveiled the "Great Unwinding" the reaction has been largely muted, with S&P futures unchanged, near all-time highs as European and Asian shares rose modestly while the dollar edged marginally lower through the European session after yesterday’s post-Fed surge.

WTI/RBOB Sink After Big Crude Build, Production Jump Offsets Greatest Gasoline Inventory Draw In History

WTI and RBOB prices are higher this morning following API's reported the biggest gasoline draw in history (compared to EIA data). Of course, disruptions (Florida demand and Texas supply) remain dominant but DOE reports a massive 8.4mm draw in Gasoline inventories - the biggest draw ever. The reaction in prices is anti-climactic as production rebounded and crude built dramatically to offset the exuberance.

Next Up For Venezuela: PDVSA's Inevitable Default

"By cutting access to an essential source of funding, the Trump administration is precipitating the default of PDVSA and, given the key economic role of the company, of Venezuela."

Gasoline Prices Tumble As Refiners Resume Operations

RBOB Gasoline futures tumbled to their lowest level in almost a week overnnight as several US Gulf Coast refineries reported their plans to restart operations after the devastation of Hurricane Harvey forced them to shutdown.

US Crude Production At Cycle Highs As Rig Count Stabilizes; Desperate Saudis Jawbone Deeper Cuts To Come

A tough week for crude oil, which tumbled after algos tagged $50 stops yesterday following the biggest gasoline inventory build in 7 months. While the US oil rig count has stopped rising in the last few weeks, production continues to hit cycle highs stalling prices, but the Saudis are not giving up on their incessant jawboning - hinting that "deeper cuts" are still on the table.

Oil & Gas Earnings Expectations Are Collapsing

Much of the recent ebulient narrative about equity markets has been based on the promise of an earnings rebound - due to beneficial comps in the oil & gas sector. That narrative just hit a wall...

Banks Are Saving Stocks As FANG Flops Again, DAX Hits 2-Month Lows

Yesterday's 'dead cat bounce' in FANG stocks has been erased as broad-based weakness stemming from increasing recognition of hawkish central bank chatter is hitting stocks and bonds. Bank stocks bounce after stress test 'success' are saving some indices from bigger losses.