Smart Money

rcwhalen's picture

Quantitative Deflation

As the inexorable logic of base-ten arithmetic asserts itself once again, the rats will clamber onto the pieces of floating wreckage with the best view.

"Alexa... Should I Buy Stocks?"

Are retail investors buttressing US stocks at current (and elevated) levels? A variety of indicators say "Yes". Our primary concern: fund flows can be quite seasonal, with Q1-to-early Q2 a peak period due to retirement account flows. After mid-April, this diminishes considerably. Then, we will need a reliable stream of positive headlines to keep retail investors in the game.

The Second Dumbest Kind Of Money Is Pouring Into Stocks - "With A Vengeance"

One of the traditional signs of market tops is individual investors finally succumbing to the lure of apparently easy money and pouring their savings into the stock market. In the past this dumb money flowed into equity mutual funds in general. But today it’s favoring exchange traded funds (ETFs)...

Retail Buying Panic: S&P ETF Saw Biggest Inflow In 27 Months Yesterday

If yesterday's exuberant spike in stocks (surging Dow above 21,000), on a day when economic growth expectations were crushed, was not enough to scare you about the ebulient animal spirits in the markets, then perhaps this will. The largest S&P 500 ETF (SPY) was inflows of $8.2bn - the biggest daily inflow since Dec 2014 (and second largest in 6 years).

Not So Smart Money: Hedge Funds Are Again Underperforming The S&P 500 In 2017

As Goldman reports in is quarterly hedge fund Trend Monitor report, six weeks into the year, the strong equity market has lifted the average hedge fund to just a 2% return YTD, once again underperforming the broader market YTD by more than 50%, while macro funds have generated a 0% return YTD

Bank of America Clients Sell Stocks For The First Time Since The US Election

According to the latest weekly BofA client data, "smart money" investors have finally tempered their euphoric optimism, and last week during which the S&P 500 climbed to another new high, BofAML clients took advantage of the surge in "greater fools" and turned net sellers of US equities for the first time since the week prior to the US election in early November.

What Catalyst Will Start The Next Bear Market: Here Is Wall Street's Response

When BofA conducted its monthly Fund Managers' Survey, and asked what is the most likely bear market catalysts, the responses were as follows: "protectionism" = 34%, "higher rates" = 28%, "financial event" = 18%, "weaker EPS" = 15%. The "smart money" also said that the best protectionist investment is one: gold.