Sovereign Debt

BIS Admits TARGET2 Is A Stealth Bailout Of Europe's Periphery

"In the period leading up to mid-2012, T2 balances grew strongly due to intra-euro area capital flight. At the time, sovereign market strains spiked and redenomination risk came to the fore in parts of the euro area. Private capital fled from Ireland, Italy, Greece, Portugal and Spain into markets perceived to be safer, such as Germany, Luxembourg and the Netherlands."

The Most Un-Fun Bubble Ever

"...although it might be fashionable to claim equities are in a bubble, be aware this “bubble” is completely different. It is not driven by speculation, but instead might be the most gigantic short squeeze of all time."

How We Got Here In One Sentence

In every annual budget debate since the 1980s, one side figures out that the way to get what it wants – which is higher spending – is to frame the request in a particular, ingenious way: We have to borrow and spend way more now if we want to borrow and spend way less later.

German 2Y Yield Plunges To Record -0.95%: Citi Explains Why It Will Keep Dropping

With the German Schatz plunging to a record -0.85%, Citi analysts write that the German 2Y yield will likely make new historic lows, no matter what happens in French politics, because the ECB needs to buy around EU80b 1-6y Germany by year-end, and as a result traders will keep frontrunning ECB purchases, pushing the Schatz well below -1.00%