Stagflation

Tyler Durden's picture

Meanwhile, Brazil's Currency Just Plunged To An All-Time Low...





The negative feedback look between Brazil's political and economic crises is serving to make each day worse than the last. Tuesday was no exception...

 
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Going Back To What Works: Gold Is Money Again (Thanks To Utah)





As of today you really can pay your taxes, your credit cards, your mortgage, shop at Costco, and buy your groceries without so much as a bank account while using sound money.

 
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It Begins: Australia's Largest Investment Bank Just Said "Helicopter Money" Is 12-18 Months Away





"Instead of acting via bond markets and banking sector, why shouldn’t public sector bypass markets altogether and inject stimulus directly into the ‘blood stream’?... CBs directly monetizing Government spending and funding projects would do the same. Whilst ultimately it would lead to stagflation (UK, 70s) or deflation (China, today), it could provide strong initial boost to generate impression of recovery and sustainable business cycle... What is probability of the above policy shift? Low over next six months; very high over the longer term."

 
GoldCore's picture

Risk Of “Economic Totalitarianism” From “Cashless Society”





- Bail-ins, withdrawal limits and negative interest rates may be imposed - FT proposes a ban on “barbarous relic” cash - Central banks and banks would have citizen's wealth and people themselves “completely under their control” ...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Brazil Cut To Junk By S&P, ETF Falls 5% Post-Mkt





Brazil, whose economy officially slid into recession in Q2 - a quarter during which Brazilians suffered through the worst inflation-growth outcome (i.e. stagflation) in over a decade - and whose efforts to plug a yawning budget gap are complicated by political infighting and a growing public outcry against embattled President Dilma Rousseff, has been cut to junk by S&P.

 
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FX Traders Fear "Worst Case Scenario" For Brazil As FinMin Cancels Travel Plans, Rousseff Meets With Lula





The situation in Brazil is deteriorating rapidly after finance minister Joaquim Levy canceled a G20 appearance in Turkey (irony) and convened a meeting with embattled President Dilma Rousseff. FX traders fear a worst case scenario involving Levy's exit. Meanwhile, former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is en route to Brasilia tonight to meet with Rousseff one-on-one. 

 
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Brazil Throws In Towel On Budget; Citi Compares Fiscal Outlook To "Bloody Terror Film"





"In the meantime, in our (un)beloved country, there is something scarier than Freddy Krueger: our growth / fiscal outlook."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why The Recurring Economic Crises?





...as soon as credit expansion stops, the piper must be paid, and the inevitable readjustments must liquidate the unsound overinvestments of the boom and redirect the economy. And, of course, the longer the boom is kept going, the greater the malinvestments that must be liquidated, and the more harrowing the readjustments that must be made.

 
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"No Recovery For You!" Brazil Officially Enters Recession, Goldman Calls Numbers "Disquieting"





You know what they say: when it rains it pours, especially when you’re the poster child for an epic emerging market unwind and you’re suffering through the worst inflation-growth outcome in over a decade while trying to combat dual deficits and ward off political and social upheaval.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Brazil's Economy Is Now A Job Destruction Machine





Brazil's flagging economy, which is mired in stagflation and remains a slave both to China and to what looks like intractable political turmoil, has destroyed nearly 550,000 jobs YTD. As Barclays notes, " [the July] print is compatible with 140,939 job eliminations, pretty close to the historical low of -154,355 in June."

 
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Return To Junk Status "Only A Matter Of Time" For Latin America's Most Important Economy: Barclays





"We conclude that, under current circumstances, it is only a matter of time until Brazil loses its investment grade status."

 
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Mal-Asia: Politcal, Currency Crises Converge As Stocks Head For Bear Market





As the great EM unwind continues unabated, we’ve noted that in some hard-hit countries, the terrible trio of falling commodity prices, decelerating Chinese demand, and looming Fed hike has been exacerbated by political turmoil. Now, we turn to Malaysia where an already tenuous situation just got worse as PM Najib Razak is now facing calls for a no-confidence vote amid allegations he embezzled some $700 million from the country's development fund.

 
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Paul Craig Roberts: "Insouciance Rules The West"





In the Western world insouciance rules governments as well as peoples, and most likely also everywhere else in the world. It remains to be seen whether Russia and China have any clearer grasp of the reality that confronts them.

 
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