Standard Chartered

Frontrunning: January 31

  • Trump Fires Acting Attorney General, Deepening U.S. Immigration Conflict (BBG)
  • Trump set to name U.S. high court pick as Democrats plan fight (Reuters)
  • Bonds Slump as Stocks Gain Favor (BBG)
  • Euro-Area Inflation Surges to 1.8%, Intensifying ECB Debate (BBG)
  • Trump Must Choose Between Farmers and ‘Big Meat’ (BBG)

Frontrunning: January 30

  • Trump aides call travel ban success despite broad criticism (Reuters)
  • Trump’s Immigration Ban Promises Constitutional Showdown (BBG)
  • Trump Team Kept Plan for Travel Ban Quiet (WSJ)
  • Trump Era May Mean Fireworks on Fed Days (BBG)
  • Bannon Seizes a Security Role From Generals (NYT)
  • Don't let Trump embarrass our queen, say a million Britons (Reuters)

Offshore Yuan Soars Most In One Year On Fears Of Capital Controls

Following last night's trial ballon by the PBOC, when the PBOC hinted it was studying possible scenarios of capital outflows and is preparing contingency plans, the Offshore Yuan reacted accordingly, and soared by 0.9% to as high as 6.8950 per dollar as of 7:20pm in Hong Kong. That was the biggest increase on a closing basis since Jan. 11 last year.

"Less Room To Run" - What Wall Street Is Paying Attention To In Today's Fed Statement

When it comes to today's Fed decision, there is little doubt: a 25 bps rate hike, the first in 2016 and only the second since the financial crisis, is now assured: all 103 Bloomberg-surveyed economists expect a 25bp increase, and the market agrees pricing in a 100% probability of a rate hike. So what does matter? Here is a selection of sellside opinions, summarizing they key things to watch for in today's FOMC statement.

RBS Tumbles After Failing BoE's "Toughest Ever Stress Test"

While the term 'stress test' has been applied almost mockingly to European and US banks in an effort to create confidence for investors (because if the government sees risks 'contained' then why worry), this morning's Bank of England stress test results highlighted "capital inadequacies" for three major UK banks. While Barclays and Standard Chartered fell short, it is taxpayer-owned Royal Bank of Scotland that is slumping on a need to cut costs, raise capital, and sell assets.