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Frontrunning: September 28

  • Stocks Rally as Deutsche Bank Slump Ends, Oil Gains Before Talks (BBG)
  • German government prepare Deutsche Bank rescue plan (Reuters)
  • German financial watchdog not working on emergency plan for Deutsche Bank (Reuters)
  • Saudi Arabia Signals Openness to Future Oil Compromise With Iran (BBG)
  • Will Congressional Face-off Over Flint Lead to a Government Shutdown? (NBC)
  • Shimon Peres, Israel's last founding father, dies at 93 (Reuters)

"Disappointing And Underwhelming" - An Unhappy Wall Street Reacts To The BOJ's Latest Announcement

Just after midnight east coast time, the BOJ presented its new and improved monetary policy dubbed “QQE with Yield Curve Control,” in which the central bank said it would buy JGBs such that 10-year yield remain at the current level of around zero percent. The BOJ will also buy JGBs at designated yields, and generally steepen the curve even as it failed to lower rates or add more QE. Wall Street took one look at what the BOJ came up with... and hated it immediately.

Global Stocks Slide, Futs Flat; Commodities Down On Stronger Dollar As Hike Odds Reprice Higher

The dollar index rose to a two-week high on Monday, while bond yields jumped to their highest since June and global stocks sold off after senior Federal Reserve officials indicated a U.S. interest rate increase was on the cards in the near term. The Fed effect - and the stronger dollar - reverberated through markets, pressuring stocks in Europe and emerging markets, pushing oil below $47 and the commodity complex lower.

Japan Q2 GDP Misses, Unchanged From First Quarter, As Business Spending, Exports Slide

After a flurry of disappointing GDP reports from the US and Europe, not to mention last week's uniformly poor Chinese economic data, Japan was the latest country to report that nominal economic growth in the second quarter rose a disppointing 0.2% annualized, missing expectations of a 0.7% increase, and down from the revised 2.0%  GDP growth in Q1, while on a sequential basis GDP was flat with the first quarter.

Futures, Global Stocks Rise As Oil, USDJPY Drops: All Eyes On The Jobs Report

With all eyes on today's jobs report, where consensus expects a 180K payrolls gain, European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all rise amid a surge in government debt as markets digest the BOE's "kitchen sink" easing for a second day. But please don't overthink it. In deja vu fashion, Bloomberg summarizes the action simply as "stocks rose around the world on speculation central bank stimulus measures will support the global economy." We've heard that just a few times before.

S&P Futures Flat As Europe, Asia Lifted By Banks, Yen; All Eyes On The Bank Of England

In a mostly quiet session, European and Asian stocks rose, pushed higher by financial stocks and the USDJPY which initially dipped on some hawkish comments by BOJ deputy governor Iwata, only to rebound later in the session, lifting the Nikkei 1.1%, while the Stoxx 600 rose 0.4% led higher by the banking sector. S&P futures are unchnaged after yesterday's last hour ramp. The key event is the BOE decision due in half an hour.

World Stocks Drop For Third Day On Growing Concerns About Central Bank Policy, Tumbling Oil

After 7 consecutive drops in the Dow Jones, the Industrial average is set for an 8th decline with US equity futures modestly lower in the premarket as risk-averse sentiment persists overnight. Oil’s continued slide and recent plunge into a bear market, despite some stabilization this morning just south of $40, has finally rekindled global growth concerns, and is keeping a lid on bullishness. European stocks are little changed, while Asian stocks and S&P futures fall.

UK Banks Told To Model Capital Controls, Bank Runs, 20% Devaluation

"With the encouragement of regulators, some lenders, including HSBC, have even run modelling for the imposition of capital controls, according to people briefed on the exercise. Banks said regulators had demanded a stress test that modelled for a 20 per cent fall in sterling."

Nigeria Takes First Bold Step Toward Hyperinflation As Currency Plunges 30%

As we warned last week was likely, Nigeria's decision to throw in the towel on maintaining its currency peg has resulted in a collapse in the Naira. Ending a 16-month-long effort to 'fix' its currency, Nigeria's shift to a free float has resulted in a 30% crash in the currency as the central bank began auctioning dollars to try and clear backlogs of orders for hard currency. However, as the forward market suggests, the pain is far from over as the hyperinflationary endgame remains more than likely.