Steel Imports

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Gold is currently up over 15% for the year, silver by nearly 12%. Both offer financial safe havens during times of war. All parties involved in the current geopolitical fracas are big holders of gold. Two of them, Russia and China are enabling the trade of the precious metal for key commodities.

Frontrunning: May 25

  • World stocks hit record after Fed minutes (Reuters)
  • OPEC extends oil output cut by nine months to fight glut (Reuters)
  • Father and Brother of Manchester Bomber Arrested in Libya (BBG)
  • In testing Montana vote for Trump, Republican caught up in brawl (Reuters)
  • NATO to Take New Counterterrorism Measures (WSJ)

Trump Adminstration Begins Probe Into Aluminum Imports' "National Security Threat"

Having slapped Canadian softwood with tariffs, and begun investigating steel imports last week, it appears - as Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross promised - the Trump adminstration has shifte its focus to aluminum imports. Specifically, as AP reports, Washington has begun an investigation into whether aluminum imports are jeaoparding national security.

Wall Street Throws Up On US Steel's "Nightmare On Elm Street" Results

"If things are so bad during good times, 2Q-4Q is set to resemble a "Nightmare on Elm Street."Next move in U.S. steel industry fundamentals is lower, given scrap prices now in full-on correction mode, negative seasonality around the corner for U.S. steel mills, iron ore price declines, rising steel imports and correction in coking coal prices."

China Threatens Retaliation To Trump's Steel "Protectionism"

"If the U.S. does take protectionist measures, then other countries are likely to take justifiable retaliatory actions against U.S. companies that have an advantage ... in fields such as finance and high-tech, leading to a tit-for-tat trade war that benefits no one," the official China Daily said in an editorial on Monday warning it would retaliate to any protectionism unleashed by the Trump administration.

IMF Drops Pledge To "Resist All Forms Of Protectionism"

A communique from the IMF’s steering committee released on Saturday in Washington echoed the G-20 reversal, and said that officials “are working to strengthen the contribution of trade to our economies" while omitting a call from its last statement in October to “resist all forms of protectionism."

Frontrunning: April 21

  • Attack overshadows last campaign day in France (Reuters)
  • Paris Gunman Was Questioned by Police in February (WSJ)
  • French PM knocks Le Pen, Fillon stance on security after Paris shooting (Reuters)
  • Battle zone scenes at Paris Champs Elysees (Reuters)
  • In ‘Buy American’ Push, Trump Is Starting in a Hole (WSJ)

European, US Stocks In Eerie Calm As French Vote Looms

Global markets were oddly calm on Friday, the last day of trading before the first round of France's closely fought presidential election, with European stocks posting modest declines ahead of Sunday's main event, Asian shares rising, and set for first weekly gain in the past month, while U.S. futures were unchanged.

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."