"Dimon argues that the current capital standards are restraining lending and impairing economic growth, yet he also points out that JPMorgan bought back $26 billion in stock over the past five years. If JPMorgan really had demand for additional loans from creditworthy borrowers, why did it turn those customers away and instead choose to buy back its stock?"
The key economic releases this week are the consumer confidence report on Tuesday, the third estimate of Q4 GDP on Thursday, and the PCE report as well as Personal Income & Spending data on Friday. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week.
Global stocks are lower across the board to start the week, as concerns about Trump's administration to pull off a material tax reform plan finally emerge, pressuring S&P futures some 20 points lower this morning, following European and Asian shares lower, while crude oil prices fall unable to find support in this weekend's OPEC meeting in Kuwait where a committee recommended to extend oil production cuts by another 6 months.
Nearly half of all French voters have yet to decide who they want to be president with only a month to go until the election, an opinion poll showed on Friday, as scandal-hit conservative candidate Francois Fillon launched an extraordinary attack on Socialist President Francois Hollande, accusing him of orchestrating a plot against him. The big question therefore remains - Is a “European Spring” in the making?
In the latest macro update from JPM's Adam Crisafuli, the strategist writes that the Trumpflation rally which more than doubled the market's YTD gains since the Trump election, has gotten ahead of itself and that "it seems like a lot of headwinds that have been accumulating below the surface for weeks are quietly moving to the fore."
"It would have been useful, if not kind, to have a bit more information from the ECB about the criteria that led to this assessment," Italy's economy minister Pier Carlo Padoan told Il Sole 24 Ore, as he slammed the ECB. "I was a bit surprised to receive the news, out of the blue and on Christmas day."
The ECB told Italy's failed Monte dei Paschi it needs to plug a capital shortfall of €8.8 billion, 76% greater than the previously estimated €5 billion gap. The ECB said the lender was solvent but signaled the bank's liquidity position had rapidly deteriorated between the end of November and December 21.
"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."