Stress Test

Monte Paschi Plunges As Much As 39% On Debt-For-Equity Fears After Surging In Past Week

After a furious rally in the past week on hopes that Italy's oldest, and most insolvent, bank, Siena's Monte Paschi has turned the corner and would return to profitability while outside investors would finally help it in its seemingly endless quest to find $5 billion in outside capital, today BMPS shares plunged after first opening limit up in what can only be characterized as a roller coast market.

ECB Allowed Deutsche Bank To Cheat In Latest Stress Test, FT Reports

As part of the July stress tests results, which "promised to restore faith in Europe’s banks by assessing all of their finances in the same way" Deutsche Bank’s result was boosted by a "special concession" agreed to by Mario Draghi: DB's results included the $4 billion in proceeds from selling its stake in Chinese lender Hua Xia even though the deal had not been done by the end of 2015, the official cut-off point for transactions to be included.

Banks With $12 Trillion In Assets Threatened By Persistent "Shocks", IMF Finds

The global economic recovery would still leave about a quarter of banks in developed countries too weak to support further growth and susceptible to future shocks. This means that banks controlling about $12 trillion of assets would remain vulnerable during a rosy economic environment marked by faster economic activity, rising interest rates and declining defaults

Frontrunning: October 3

  • Donald Trump’s Tax Numbers Sharpen Focus on Treatment of Losses (WSJ)
  • Qatari funds nurse €1bn loss on Deutsche Bank stake (Telegraph)
  • Colombian Voters Reject Peace Deal With FARC Rebels (WSJ)
  • Hungarians vote to reject migrant quotas, but turnout too low to be valid (Reuters)
  • Clinton expected to hit Wells Fargo in speech on 'bad corporate actors' (Reuters)

Deutsche Bank Exec Suggests Scrapping Top Bonuses; Vows Bank Is "Better Than It Seems"

Overnight Deutsche Bank's consumer banking chief and member of its 10-member management board, Christian Sewing, told Bild that the German bank's board should discuss scrapping bonuses for top executives for a second year after Germany’s largest bank put dividend payments on hold. And since slashing bonuses tends to leave a bitter taste in the mouths of shareholders, Sewing tried to spin the recent speculation about the bank, telling Bild its "condition is significantly better than it seems."

Insanity, Oddities, And Dark Clouds In Credit-Land

Distortions in financial markets keep growing, as central banks all over the world are desperately intensifying monetary pumping. What is currently happening in various bond markets as a result of this and other interventions is simply jaw-dropping insanity. It is not so much that it defies rational explanation – in fact, all of these moves can be explained. What makes the situation so troubling is the fact that investors seem to be oblivious to the enormous risks they are taking.  They are sitting on a powder keg.

Deutsche Bank Unexpectedly Found To Have Massive Capital Gap, Larger Than Its Entire Market Cap

After the ECB concluded its latest annual stress test, which as expected found no problems with Europe's largest banks, yesterday in an unexpected outcome, German economic research institute ZEW found that Deutsche Bank had the highest potential capital shortfall, as much as €19 billion in a study of 51 European banks using U.S. Federal Reserve stress test methods. The capital gap is greater than DB's entire market cap. 

European Bank Bloodbath Destroys Stress Test Credibility

If the goal of the EBA Stress Tests was to reassure investors and regain confidence that 'all is well' in Europe's increasingly fragile and systemically interconnected banking system, then it has utterly failed. The broadest European bank stock index is now down 7% from the post-stress-test spike highs, Italian banks are at record lows and being halted (despite Renzi's promises), Commerzbank is struggling with capital raise chatter, and Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse are tumbling after being booted from the Stoxx 50.