Subprime Mortgages

Frontrunning: September 8

  • Stock futures flat ahead of economic data, ECB meeting (Reuters)
  • Trump in TV event with Clinton, says Putin better leader than Obama (Reuters)
  • 5 takeaways from Trump and Clinton's military forum (The Hill)
  • Matt Lauer Fields Storm of Criticism Over Clinton-Trump Forum (NYT)
  • Vladimir Putin Just Wants to Be Friends (BBG)
  • Hanjin Shipping’s Troubles Leave $14 Billion in Cargo Stranded at Sea (WSJ)

This Has Never Happened Outside Of A Recession

The Fed's latest Senior Loan Officer Survey for July 2016 showed that banks continued to tighten standards on commercial loans in 2016 for both commercial and industrial (C&I) and commercial real estate (CRE). This was the fourth straight quarter of tighter standards: something that has never happened outside of a recession.

Too Orange To Jail? US Government Drops Suit Against Countrywide's Mozilo

U.S. prosecutors have abandoned their case against Angelo Mozilo, the over-tanned character at the center of the risky subprime mortgages that fueled the financial crisis, after a two-year quest to bring a civil suit against him. As Bloomberg resports, The Justice Department has decided not to sue Mozilo, according to people familiar with the matter, ending a decade-long hunt for someone, anyone to jail over what happened.

This Financial Bubble Is 8 Times Bigger Than The 2008 Subprime Crisis

This isn’t a cause for panic or to assume that the financial system is going to crash tomorrow. But it’s clearly a disturbing trend... the proverbial powder keg in search of a match. And when future pundits write the history of the financial crisis to come, whether it happens today, tomorrow, or years from now, you can bet they’ll wonder how the entire system failed once again to see something so dangerous... and so obvious.

We're In The Eye Of A Global Financial Hurricane

The global financial system is in the eye of an unprecedented hurricane. While central bankers are congratulating themselves on their god-like mastery of Nature, and secretly praying to the idols of the Keynesian Cargo Cult every night, the inevitable consequence of borrowing from the future, the obsession with "growth" at any cost and financialization /monetary stimulus, a.k.a. the rich get richer thanks to central banks is systemic collapse.

"This Will All Blow Up In The Fed's Face," Schiff Warns "Trump's Right, America Is Broke"

"The trigger that's going to really send us into a higher gear is going to be the admission by the Fed that the economy is weak or the markets figure it out on their own. There's not a lot of stimulus left, all they've got is potentially negative rates and a huge round of quantitative easing, and this thing is going to blow up in the Fed's face."

Bad - But Better Than What's Coming

Very simply, if you borrow too much money life gets harder and the things that used to work stop working. For a country, lower interest rates no longer induce businesses and individuals to borrow and spend, and government deficits no longer translate directly into more full-time private sector jobs. Growth slows, voters get mad, politics gets crazy, and generally bad times ensue. The only question is why this is a surprise to the people whose choices brought us to the edge of the abyss.

This Crash Will Be Bigger Than 2008 - Here's Why

"The world has never seen this and there is no one that knows the eventual consequences of this... This is desperation! The central banks have run out of ammunition and tools...all they have now is just talk."

Wall Street Drops The 'C' Word: Proclaims Junk Bond Risks Are Contained

To an economist, the economy can bear no recession. In times of heavy central bank activity, an economy can never be in recession. Those appear to be the only dynamic factors that drive economic interpretation in the mainstream. And they become circular in the trap of just these kinds of circumstances – the economy looks like it might fall into recession, therefore a central bank acts, meaning the economy will avoid recession; thus there will never be recession. The risks are all still there, and economists are still determined to downplay if not miss them entirely.