Subprime Mortgages

Don’t Sweat The Election. The Next Crisis Is Already Baked Into The Cake

From here on out politics are only relevant at the extremes - major war, corruption scandal, martial law etc. Short of that, the fiat currency/fractional reserve banking world has such institutional momentum that it really won’t matter whether Trump is picking on bankers and building his wall or Clinton is protecting Wall Street and raising taxes. Debt will keep soaring as it has under every president since Reagan and jobs will disappear as machines replace people, thus bringing the end of the current system inexorably closer.

Waking Up In Hillary Clinton's America

With less than two weeks to go before E-day -- despite the Trumptilian upheaval of the last year -- the high probability of a Clinton win means the establishment remains intact. When we awaken on November 9th, it will undoubtedly be dawn in Hillary Clinton’s America and that potentially means four years of an economic dystopia that will (as would Donald Trump’s version of the same) leave many Americans rightfully anxious about their economic futures.

Brace Yourself For The Quadrillion-Dollar Reckoning

"...debt is simply everywhere, at least to the extent we can see and measure it. Corporate and sovereign debt, of both the developed world and emerging market varieties, are at record levels. China’s debts certainly add to that record but who really knows to what extent? It’s the ultimate black box of leverage on Planet Earth... You cannot NOT worry about the Fed in this world...The simple truth is ending reinvestment would bring the bond market to its knees.

Frontrunning: September 8

  • Stock futures flat ahead of economic data, ECB meeting (Reuters)
  • Trump in TV event with Clinton, says Putin better leader than Obama (Reuters)
  • 5 takeaways from Trump and Clinton's military forum (The Hill)
  • Matt Lauer Fields Storm of Criticism Over Clinton-Trump Forum (NYT)
  • Vladimir Putin Just Wants to Be Friends (BBG)
  • Hanjin Shipping’s Troubles Leave $14 Billion in Cargo Stranded at Sea (WSJ)

This Has Never Happened Outside Of A Recession

The Fed's latest Senior Loan Officer Survey for July 2016 showed that banks continued to tighten standards on commercial loans in 2016 for both commercial and industrial (C&I) and commercial real estate (CRE). This was the fourth straight quarter of tighter standards: something that has never happened outside of a recession.

Too Orange To Jail? US Government Drops Suit Against Countrywide's Mozilo

U.S. prosecutors have abandoned their case against Angelo Mozilo, the over-tanned character at the center of the risky subprime mortgages that fueled the financial crisis, after a two-year quest to bring a civil suit against him. As Bloomberg resports, The Justice Department has decided not to sue Mozilo, according to people familiar with the matter, ending a decade-long hunt for someone, anyone to jail over what happened.

This Financial Bubble Is 8 Times Bigger Than The 2008 Subprime Crisis

This isn’t a cause for panic or to assume that the financial system is going to crash tomorrow. But it’s clearly a disturbing trend... the proverbial powder keg in search of a match. And when future pundits write the history of the financial crisis to come, whether it happens today, tomorrow, or years from now, you can bet they’ll wonder how the entire system failed once again to see something so dangerous... and so obvious.

We're In The Eye Of A Global Financial Hurricane

The global financial system is in the eye of an unprecedented hurricane. While central bankers are congratulating themselves on their god-like mastery of Nature, and secretly praying to the idols of the Keynesian Cargo Cult every night, the inevitable consequence of borrowing from the future, the obsession with "growth" at any cost and financialization /monetary stimulus, a.k.a. the rich get richer thanks to central banks is systemic collapse.