SWIFT

The Marginal Buyer Holds The Pin That Pops Every Asset Bubble

The person willing to pay top dollar is called the "marginal buyer". Most of us don't really think about him much, but he (or she) is very, very important. Why? Because the marginal buyer not only determines price levels, but also their stability and degree of volatility. The behavior of the marginal buyer, as well as the degree of competition for his/her "top dog" spot, sets the prices of nearly every asset class held by today's investors.

Democrats Brace For More Leaks As Pelosi Changes Cell Number After Barrage Of "Obscene, Sick Calls"

Following the Friday night dump of Democratic files released by the hacker Guccifer 2.0, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said that after receiving "scores of mostly obscene and sick calls, voicemails and text messages", she  she was forced to change her number.  Pelosi added that she was on a flight to from Florida to California when the information was released, and received the unwanted messages upon landing.

 

Is Trump Deliberately Throwing The Election To Clinton?

"I am not saying that I believe Donald Trump is trying to throw the election to Hillary Clinton, but I am saying this is a prospect that is now worth seriously considering if the endless series of Trump blunders and gaffes continues."

Frontrunning: August 12

  • Stocks Hit New Highs, and That Could Be Just the Start (WSJ)
  • China Slows as Stimulus Impact Wanes (WSJ)
  • How the China Shock, Deep and Swift, Spurred the Rise of Trump (WSJ)
  • Italian Economy Unexpectedly Stagnates in Threat to Renzi (BBG)
  • Clinton disparages Trump's economic plan, vows to help workers (Reuters)

Memo To The Donald - 10 Great 'Deals' To Save America Before It's Too Late

Unfortunately, it appears too late to reverse the tidal wave of system failure that has been brewing for three decades now. But there is a sliver of hope.If Donald Trump is elected, eschews a law and order crusade and does not capitulate to the destructive policies of the Wall Street/Washington/bicoastal establishment, there is a way forward..

Frontrunning: August 3

  • European bank rebound not enough to save world stocks from further losses (Reuters)
  • Republican rift widens as Trump declines to endorse Ryan, McCain (Reuters)
  • New Rough Patch for Trump Campaign Roils Republicans as Defections Grow (WSJ)
  • Obama says Trump unfit to be president (FT)
  • World’s Largest Oil Hedge Set to Make Billions for Mexican State (BBG)

Pound Plummets On Renewed Recession Fears As PMI Shows Fastest Contraction Since 2009

Sterling plummeted nearly 200 pips this morning, after rising in early trade to just shy of 1.33, when the latest July Markit flash PMI surveys suggested the UK is heading for a quick recession in the form of a 0.4% GDP contraction in the third quarter. As Markit reported, "July saw a dramatic deterioration in the economy, with business activity slumping at the fastest rate since the height of the global financial crisis in early-2009."

Who Really Won The Oil Price War?

It is probably a tie... Although the Saudis caused damage to U.S. shale, they also hit the global oil industry hard; and while they managed to preserve their market share, they paid a heavy price in terms of oil revenues.

Erdogan Purges 20,000 As Europe Voices Concern Coup Was Staged With "Prepared Arrest Lists"

Overnight Turkish president Erdogan's counter-coup witch hunt continued, when thousands of police officers were suspended on Monday, widening a systemic purge of Erdogan's enemies first in the armed forces and then judiciary after a failed military coup, now focusing on the interior police force, and raising concern among European allies that it was abandoning the rule of law. Turkey's state-run news agency says the nation has detained or suspended 20,000 personnel across the country, following Friday's foiled coup attempt.

John Kerry Threatens Turkey With NATO Expulsion

“NATO also has a requirement with respect to democracy and NATO will indeed measure very carefully what is happening,” Kerry tells reporters in Brussels after attending a meeting of European Union foreign ministers "My hope is that Turkey is going to move in ways that do respect what they have said to me many times is the bedrock of their country."