Swiss Franc

Everything Is Soaring As Trump Makes Buying Stuff Great Again

The global repricing of inflation expectations continues at a feverish pace in the aftermath of the Trump victory, leading to another surge in US equity futures, up 15 points or 0.7% to 2175 at last check, with Asian and European stock market all surging after the initial shock of Trump’s election victory gave way to optimism for fiscal stimulus will provide a boost to the global economy.  Commodity metals soared with copper surging the most since May 2013.

Stunned Global Markets Wake Up To President Trump

As it dawned on markets that they had been caught dead wrong for the second time in half a year, first with Brexit and then with the historic election of Donald Trump, their reaction was identical: a slow selloff at first, followed by a furious dump, which led to a limit down halt in NASDAQ and Emini future trading. However, turbulence calmed as investors reassessed the effects of Donald Trump’s surprise victory in the U.S. presidential election.

For Deutsche Bank, This Is The "Brexit Panic" Signal In Today's Election

Deutsche Bank has advised its sales and trading team to immediately report to their trading desks should Trump wins Pennsylvania and Michigan. So if Trump be is reported to be leading and/or winning the two key battleground states at 8pm, expect all volatility hell to break loose.

The Day Arrives: Global Stocks Higher, US Futures Lower As America Begins Voting

The day has finally arrived and as of minutes ago voters in eastern states have begun voting for the next US president. Polls are open in eight states, including battlegrounds Virginia and New Hampshire, as well as in New York, where Clinton votes at a public school in Chappaqua, Trump at a public school in Manhattan.

Global Stocks Drop; Futures Hints At Longest Losing Streak Since December 1980

With yesterday's, 8th consecutive decline for the S&P 500, the US equity market has now posted the longest losing streak since October 2008; and should we close payrolls Friday day with another negative print, it would be the longest negative streak since December 1980. Putting the recent slide in context, stocks are now down compared to a year ago, and are unchanged since December 2014.

RBC: "Be Prepared For Another 'Vol-Control' Deleveraging Wave"

"At this frantic vol buying pace, with VIX +17% on the day, it won’t take much longer until further mechanical deleveraging is triggered from these extremely popular retail and ALM vehicles  Long story short, be prepared for another deleveraging wave (which could be happening ‘real time’ as I send) the longer vols stay at these levels, bc they’ve just been ‘stuck’ so low in recent weeks."

Cashless Society - Is The War On Cash Set To Benefit Gold?

If governments allow banks to shut down bank accounts of individuals or companies without a fair trial and due legal process, it will create a very dangerous situation indeed. In this environment, buying gold is rational behaviour to even the biggest paper-bugs out there. The current monetary experiment of massive QE is no longer the main concern of prudent investors and institutions, it is now combined with negative interest rates and bail-ins.

Kuroda Defends BOJ Credibility, Mocks Fed And IMF Economists

This past Saturday October 8th, Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko “Peter Pan” Kuroda delivered some prepared remarks on its new QQE with yield control (see here and here) at the Brookings Institute in Washington DC. The conference was attended by "luminaries" like Jeffries’ David Zervos, Princeton economist and Hillary supporter Alan Blinder, as well as many members of the press.

After Warning Of "Selling Cascade" On Friday, Gartman Turns Bullish

"If the great Marty Zweig taught us all decades ago never to fight the Fed, then we are to learn today never to fight the collective force of the central banks in aggregate either, but should instead see this as a wind at the stock market’s collective back."

FX Trading By Hedge Funds And Prop Traders Tumbles 30% Over Past Three Years

What was most striking in the latest Triennial BIS survey, was the shrinkage in FX trading by hedge funds and proprietary trading firms which fell by more than 30% over the past three years. The shrinkage in the share of FX trading by these investors is likely the result of regulatory pressures and FX rigging investigations which caused significant retrenchment by FX prop desks.