Swiss National Bank

Is 2017 The Year Silicon Valley Experiences The Dark Side Of "It's Different This Time"?

The prevailing premise, once again, throughout “The Valley” is that “next year” should be the return of those unicorn dreams. After all, how could 2016 be any worse than 2015 was the premise at the beginning of year. The issue? Here in reality, it was "a whole lot worse!" For 2016 now makes not only 2008 look good. It makes 2009 look terrific in comparison.

A Biased 2017 Forecast, Part 1

"We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events..."

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Euro In Historic Slide As Dollar Surge, Bond Rout Continues

More of the same this morning as the dollar extended its advance on the still undeteremined Trump reflationary policy measures after Yellen signaled an interest-rate hike could be imminent, while bond yields around the globe rose again, metals declined,  European stocks advanced and futures were modestly in the red just shy of all time highs.

We're All Hedge Funds Now - Central Banks Become World's Biggest Stock Speculators

There seems to be a growing assumption that the elites have finally figured out how to turn a capitalist system into a perpetual motion machine by having central banks buy up all financial assets. This is classic “peak of the cycle” thinking, and the more widespread it becomes the closer the system is to breaking down.

For Deutsche Bank, This Is The "Brexit Panic" Signal In Today's Election

Deutsche Bank has advised its sales and trading team to immediately report to their trading desks should Trump wins Pennsylvania and Michigan. So if Trump be is reported to be leading and/or winning the two key battleground states at 8pm, expect all volatility hell to break loose.

US Futures, European Stocks Rebound, Bonds Fall Ahead Of US Data Deluge

The overnight session started with more weakness out of Asia, where chatter that the BOJ may end up doing nothing despite all the trial balloons (as we hinted yesterday), sent the USDJPY sliding, pushing the Nikkei lower, leading to a 7th consecutive decline in the Topix, the longest such stretch since 2014 even though the BOJ is now actively buying a record amount of ETFs. However, the modest dip in S&P futures and European stocks proved too much for BTFD algos, and risk promptly rebounded.

A Homerun For The Donald - Attack The Fed's War On Savers, Workers And The Unborn (Taxpayers)

"Indeed, the Fed is waging an insensible and outrageous war on savers, workers and future taxpayers - even as it pleasures the 1% with fantastic financial windfalls from the Wall Street casino. Now that is a rigged system. And that is a beltway evil that merits the Donald’s unrelenting attack on behalf of the citizens of Flyover America who have been left behind in their tens of millions."