Swiss National Bank

What Will Trump Do About The Central-Bank Cartel?

Mr. Trump doesn’t seem to be an “internationalist,” seeking to build a new world order by political and military means. If that is so, he will sooner or later have to come to grips with the Fed’s policies - most notably with its liquidity swap agreements.

80% Of Central Banks Plan To Buy More Stocks

Invesco recently released a report on central-bank investment polling 18 reserve managers around the globe. It found that 80% planned to buy more stocks in the future.

Is 2017 The Year Silicon Valley Experiences The Dark Side Of "It's Different This Time"?

The prevailing premise, once again, throughout “The Valley” is that “next year” should be the return of those unicorn dreams. After all, how could 2016 be any worse than 2015 was the premise at the beginning of year. The issue? Here in reality, it was "a whole lot worse!" For 2016 now makes not only 2008 look good. It makes 2009 look terrific in comparison.

A Biased 2017 Forecast, Part 1

"We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events..."

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Euro In Historic Slide As Dollar Surge, Bond Rout Continues

More of the same this morning as the dollar extended its advance on the still undeteremined Trump reflationary policy measures after Yellen signaled an interest-rate hike could be imminent, while bond yields around the globe rose again, metals declined,  European stocks advanced and futures were modestly in the red just shy of all time highs.

We're All Hedge Funds Now - Central Banks Become World's Biggest Stock Speculators

There seems to be a growing assumption that the elites have finally figured out how to turn a capitalist system into a perpetual motion machine by having central banks buy up all financial assets. This is classic “peak of the cycle” thinking, and the more widespread it becomes the closer the system is to breaking down.