Switzerland

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Ben Bernanke: "China Is Contained"; Ray Dalio Agrees





"I don't think China's economic slowdown is that severe to threaten the global economy."

"China has managed debt restructurings superbly."

 
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China Promises To Keep Intervening To "Look After" Stock Market "Investors", Hurt "Speculators"





In the most blatant and open admission of direct manipulation, China's Vice President Li told a room full of Davosian elites that China is willing to keep intervening in the stock market to make sure that a few speculators don’t benefit at the expense of regular investors. Following last night's largest liquidty injection in over 3 years (and subsequent plunge in Chinese stocks), it appears the Chinese economic/market "bucket" has more holes than the intervention 'hose pipe' can handle.

 
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When Correlation Is Causation - The Most Important Chart In The World If You're A Realtor In London Or NYC





If ever there was any doubts about the narrative of freedom-seeking China capital outflows driving the irrationally exuberant prices of homes in some of the world's largest cities to record highs, the following two charts will extinguish them entirely. As China continues to strengthen (as quietly as possible) its capital controls to slow the leak of money from the devaluing currency nation, and US authorities clamp-down on the anonymity of cash-only transactions, realtors in NYC, Miami, and London better hope that correlation is not causation.

 
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Borderland Homicides Show Mexico's Gun Control Has Failed





While it refuses to admit the abject failure of its gun control program, the Mexican state instead attempts to shift the blame to Americans and has attempted to impose international gun control measures on the US. For Mexican politicians, it's easier to shift the blame than to recognize the fact that neighboring Americans right across the border enjoy far lower homicide rates along side relatively easy access to firearms. (Even California looks like a gun-owner's paradise compared to Mexico.) The Mexican state (and many Mexicans) are unfortunately impervious to these facts, and, many Mexicans still believe that Mexicans will be safer if the Mexican regime tightens its grip even more on firearms, in spite of the spectacular failure of gun control in that country.

 
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Canada Set To Unleash Negative Rates As Oil Patch Dies, Depression Deepens





Canada’s oil “dream” is dying thanks to the inexorable slide in crude prices and as the IEA made clear earlier today, the pain is set to persist for the foreseeable future as the world “drowns in oversupply.” Now, the Bank of Canada must make a choice: cut to support the economy and the country's dying oil patch, or hold to shore up the plunging loonie. Whatever the BOC decides on Wednesday, some say the country's depression means NIRP is right around the corner.

 
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Frontrunning: January 19





  • Spot the common thread: China's growth hits quarter-century low, raising hopes of more stimulus (Reuters)
  • And here: China stocks climb on hopes for new economic stimulus (Reuters)
  • Welcome to the Crisis Economy, Where Tumult Reigns (WSJ)
  • IEA Sees Risk of World Drowning in Oil (BBG)
  • IEA Sees Iran's Return Intensifying Battle for Europe Oil Market (BBG)
  • China 2015 power, steel output drop for first time in decades (Reuters)
 
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The Fed's Stunning Admission Of What Happens Next





"The events of 1929 taught us that the absence of any rise in prices did not prove that no crisis was pending. 1937 has taught us that an abundant supply of gold and a cheap money policy do not prevent prices from falling."

 
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Too Many "Think Tanks" Are Just Kool-Aid Fueled Group-Think





Over the last 5 years the various Fed QE (quantitative easing) interventions into the capital markets has facilitated dumb luck trading into “genius” status, and no clue analysis into “spot on brilliant” prognostications. The real issue at hand is many believed their own press, and the current state of egg on their face would make many a Denny's blush. As bad as that sounds – it gets worse.

 
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Frontrunning: January 15





  • Crude sinks 4 percent as market braces for more Iranian oil (Reuters)
  • Plunge in crude oil prices send stock futures sliding (Reuters)
  • Oil Slides, Deepening Gloom in Stocks as Bond Buyers Celebrate (BBG)
  • China Stocks Enter Bear Market, Erasing Gains From State Rescue (BBG)
  • Friendly no more: Trump, Cruz erupt in bitter fight at Republican debate (Reuters)
  • Dollar in Best Run Since July on Haven Bid Even as Fed Odds Fall (BBG)
 
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Norway's Black Gold Fields Are A Sea Of Red - A Real-Time Map Of Crude Carnage





Norway is in trouble. As we have detailed previously (here, here, here, and here), the world's largest sovereign wealth fund has begun liquidating assets (after its largest quarterly loss) as the nation faces recessionary fears (key data deterioration as oil stays lower for longer) with expectations building (despite denials by the central bank) that ZIRP (or even NIRP) is coming. Why? Simple - as the following real-time map shows - every one of Norway's oil fields are currently underwater!

 
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The End Of The Luxury Housing Boom: US Treasury Launches Crack Down On Secret Buyers Of Luxury Real Estate





“We are seeking to understand the risk that corrupt foreign officials, or transnational criminals, may be using premium U.S. real estate to secretly invest millions in dirty money,” said FinCEN Director Jennifer Shasky Calvery. “Cash purchases present a more complex gap that we seek to address. These GTOs will produce valuable data that will assist law enforcement and inform our broader efforts to combat money laundering in the real estate sector.”

 
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Guest Post: 2016 - Year Of The 'Epocalypse'





As the towering forces that are prevailing against failing global economic architecture and the pit of debt beneath that structure, as laid out below, it is clear that the 'Epocalypse' - encompassing the roots "economic, epoch, collapse" and "apocalypse" - is here, and it is everywhere. The Great Collapse has already begun. What follows are the megatrends that will increasingly gang up in the first part of 2016 to stomp the deeply flawed global economy down into its own hole of debt.

 
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