Technical Indicators

Tyler Durden's picture

Why Oil's Rally Is Over





A lot of people have got very excited as the price of WTI has bounced back from the lows reached a few months ago. If oil fails to break and hold above $62 this time around, however, their enthusiasm could well be misplaced, as the fundamental factors that caused the price decline in the first instance are still in place.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Blues





Dollar downmove still seems corrective in nature.  Fed hike in September still seems most likely scenario.  Taalk of US recession is over the top when unemployment, broadly measured is falling and weekly initial jobless claims are at new cyclical lows.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

The Downside Momentum has Stalled, but Does its Presage a Dollar Recovery?





A straightforward analysis of the near-term outlook for the dollar, oil, 10-year US and German yields and the S&P 500.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar's Demise Exaggerated: Technicals Anticipate Turn in Fundamentals





Yogi Berra, one of the keenest observers of the human condition, is said to have once remarked "It is tough to make predictions, especially about the future."  And so it is.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Bulls Bend, but Don't Break





After trending sharply higher in recent months, the US dollar has entered a consolidative range against most of the major currencies.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Can't Keep a Good Buck Down





The US dollar has been even stronger than this bull thought let alone the perma-bears.  Here's why,  

 
Marc To Market's picture

US Dollar Correction Continues





Even before the disappointing US jobs data, we anticipated a downside correction in the dollar after a sharp advance in Q1.   

 
Marc To Market's picture

Near-Term Dollar Conviction went MIA





A non-bombastic look at the week ahead in the capital markets.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why 1.05 Is Far More Important To The EURUSD Than Parity





"Although the market seems obsessed with the euro/dollar parity, SG's Technical Analysis guru Stephanie Aymes stresses that it is the $1.05/1.04 level that is more important, being the lower limit of the EUR/USD?s massive upward channel (see chart below). Stephanie argues that the move since last summer has been relentless and is very similar to the one seen in the late 1990s. She suspects that a break below $1.05/1.04 will confirm that the ongoing move is not a correction of the upmove since 2000, but a much larger down move. In such scenario, the EUR/USD will achieve parity, but this may well be just a temporary support before the downleg extends towards $0.98/0.96 - and even perhaps towards the lows of $0.84/0.82 reached in 2000."

 
Marc To Market's picture

Did the Dollar Get its Groove Back?





The US dollar firmed at the end of last week.  Does this mean the bull market has resumed after the consolidatig its gains in February?  

 
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