Technical Indicators

Regardless of where one thinks the dollar is going in the long-term, here is a discussion of where it will likely go in the short-term.  

The dollar made new multi-year highs against the dollar-bloc and is bid against most major and em currncies.  Why?  

Non-bombastic look at the price action and speculative positioning, with the hope of anticipating next week's developments.

What investors will focus on in the week ahead

Initial conditions matter when contemplating impact of Greek referendum

A look at the psycholgoy of traders as reflected in the price action ahead the new week which promises to be eventful.

Greek end hogame is at hand.  US economy is gaining momentum--consumption, capex, and housing.  Several equity markets are at cross-roads.

Trying to make sense of the global capital markets.

No follow through dollar buying against euro, yen and sterling after data showing US economyis recovering from weak Q1.  What is happening?  What is the outlook?

Combination of important events/data and large move in last two weeks, the dollar may pullback/consolidate in the days ahead.

It looks like US dollar's two-month downside correction ended.  Is the bull market resuming?

A lot of people have got very excited as the price of WTI has bounced back from the lows reached a few months ago. If oil fails to break and hold above $62 this time around, however, their enthusiasm could well be misplaced, as the fundamental factors that caused the price decline in the first instance are still in place.

Dollar downmove still seems corrective in nature.  Fed hike in September still seems most likely scenario.  Taalk of US recession is over the top when unemployment, broadly measured is falling and weekly initial jobless claims are at new cyclical lows.  

A straightforward analysis of the near-term outlook for the dollar, oil, 10-year US and German yields and the S&P 500.  

A look at the drivers for the week ahead.