Trade Deficit

Global Stocks Rise Amid Unexpected ECB "Trial Balloon"; Dollar Flat Ahead Of Fed Minutes

European markets continued their risk-on trend in early trading, rising to the highest in over a week and rallying from the open led by mining stocks as industrial metals spike higher after zinc forwards hit highest level since 2007. The EUR sold off sharply, boosting local bond and risk prices after the previously discussed Reuters "trial balloon" report that Draghi's speech at Jackson Hole would not announce the start of the ECB's taper.

Mapping The Foreign Trade Debate - Where Do 'You' Belong?

"Concerned that we might be headed for a repeat of the Great Depression era’s race-to-the-bottom tariff wars? Or, maybe you’re relieved that diplomats are no longer being diplomatic? We suggest stepping back to review your armchair-policymaker options - answer these two questions..."

Trump Warns Xi: Trade War With China Begins Monday

As if there weren't enough geopolitical stress points in the world to fill a lifetime of "sleepy, vacationy" Augusts, late on Friday night President Trump spoke to Chinese President Xi Jinping and told him that he's preparing to order an investigation into Chinese trade practices next week, effectively launching trade war with China.

Global Market Rout Spreads: VIX Marches Higher As China Stocks, Currency Plunge

The global rout resulting from tensions over the North Korean nuclear standoff continued on Friday following a third day of escalating verbal exchanges between Trump and Kim, with European and Asian shares tumbling as volatility across the globe spiked, with the selloff in US futures continuing albeit at a more modest pace.

Risk Off: Global Stocks Slide As "Fire And Fury" Results In "Selling And Fear"

US futures are set for a sharply lower open (at least in recent market terms) following a steep decline in European stocks and a selloff in Asian shares, following yesterday's sharp escalation in the war of words between the U.S. and North Korea. In a broad risk-off move U.S. Treasuries rose, the VIX surged above 12 overnight, while German bund futures climbed to the highest level in six weeks.

World Stocks Hit Another All-Time High As Crude, Treasurys Drop

World stocks hit a new record high on Monday, as U.S. index futures followed Asian stocks on better-than-expected company earnings and strong US jobs data deflected attention from the rising geopolitical tension over North Korea's nuclear program. European stocks traded near session lows while Crude oil prices fall. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.

FX Week Ahead Preview: Negative USD Sentiment Tamed For Now

We got some encouraging signs from the latest US payrolls report on Friday, with the earnings component edging up to 0.3% on the month, to lift the year on year rate to 2.5%.  Even so, this is one month's set of data, and is unlikely to convince USD bears that the rate path espoused by the Fed is still firmly 'on track', and in the wake of the numbers, the odds of another 25bp hike by end of year remain close to 50/50.

David Stockman Warns Trump "The Swamp Is Undrainable"

"America is so addicted to war, debt and central bank driven false prosperity that even the most resourceful and focused challenger would be taken down by its sheer inertia...The bottom line is that the Swamp is so undrainable that it will end up making mincemeat of Donald Trump."