Turkey

After Brexit, A Trump Path To Victory

The English wish to remain who they are, and they do not want their country to become, in Theodore Roosevelt’s phrase, “a polyglot boarding house” for the world. From patriots of all nations, congratulations are in order. It will all begin to unravel now, over there, and soon over here.

Frontrunning: June 28

  • Brexit vote, UK political confusion keep world markets on edge (Reuters)
  • Cameron Heads to Last Supper in Brussels Amid Impasse in London (BBG)
  • Banks Get Reprieve From Brexit Hammering (WSJ)
  • U.S. Stock Futures Rise as Stimulus Hopes Outweigh Brexit Fears (BBG)
  • Brexit adds to existing troubles faced by banks (FT)

Global Stocks Rebound, US Futures Jump On Expectation Of "Coordinated Intervention By Central Banks"

After a historic two-day selloff, which as shown yesterday slammed European banks by the most on record the wildly oversold conditions, coupled with hopes for yet another global, coordinated central bank intervention, coupled with modest hope that David Cameron's trip to Brussels today may resolve some of the Article 50 gridlock, have been sufficient to prompt a modest buying scramble among European stocks in early trading, with the pound and commodities all gaining for the first time since the shock Brexit vote.

Erdogan Apologizes To Putin Over Death Of Russian Pilot, Calls Russia "Friend", Restores Ties With Israel

In two stunning geopolitical developments over the past 24 hours, Turkey - which is finding itself increasingly snubbed by not only Europe but also the US - has pivoted dramatically and shortly after restoring full deplomatic ties with another country that has recently seen the cold shoulder from the Obama administration, namely Israel, moments ago apologized to Russia for last year's downing of a Russian jet which allegedly crossed above its territory as part of the Russian campaign against ISIS.

Frontrunning: June 27

  • After ‘Brexit’ Vote, Europe’s Leaders Debate Timing of U.K.’s Departure (WSJ)
  • Pound Slumps, Banks Tumble on Brexit Fallout; Bonds Extend Gains (BBG)
  • To Brexit or Regrexit? A dis-United Kingdom ponders turmoil of EU divorce (Reuters)
  • ‘Brexit’ Sparks Political Turmoil Across U.K. (WSJ)
  • 10 ways to leave EU lover; scenarios for Brexit (Reuters)
  • The $100 Trillion Bond Market’s Got Bigger Concerns Than Brexit (BBG)

The Rebellion Is Real; Brexit Was Merely A Warning

"...the actual disaster isn’t the vote, it’s the eight years of policy that made it thinkable... Brexit is not the disaster. The disaster is what they’re rowing from..." As soon as the focus returns to why the UK bailed in the first place the proper sympathy will shift from the poor Britons in a flimsy rowboat to Europeans still trapped on the Titanic.

Turkey Gloats: "The Crusader Union Falls Apart"

Earlier today, we showed the front pages of British newspapers on the first day after the historic Brexit referendum. Just as amusing front pages, howeve,  abound in Turkey and especially among the pro-government (and thus government-controlled) press, such as the Akit newspaper, which looks at the chaos in the UK and says "the Crusader Union falls apart."

The End Of Cheap China - 16 Emerging Low Wage Economies

International capitalism requires a low-wage, high-growth region for high rewards on risk capital. In the 1880s it was the United States, for example. China was the most recent region, replacing Japan. No one country can replace China, but we have noted 16 countries with a total population of about 1.15 billion people where entry-level manufacturing has gone after leaving China.

Is The Syrian War About To Experience A Major Escalation?

"We’re going to war - either hybrid in nature to break the Russian state back to its 1990s subordination, or a hot war (which will destroy our country). Our citizens should know this, but they don’t because our media is dumbed down in its “Pravda”-like support for our “respectable,” highly aggressive government. We are being led, as C. Wright Mills said in the 1950s, by a government full of “crackpot realists: in the name of realism they’ve constructed a paranoid reality all their own.” Our media has credited Hillary Clinton with wonderful foreign policy experience, unlike Trump, without really noting the results of her power-mongering."

In Surprise Twist, EU Will Resume Turkey EU Membership Talks Just Days After Brexit Referendum

It appears that David Cameron may have fibbed a bit when he said that one of the most contentious issues behind the Brexit campaign, namely the treatment of Turkish EU membership, won't be a topic for "decades" and that Turkey won't join the EU until the year 3000. As AFP reports, “The EU will open new membership talks with Turkey as planned in a few days." Citing a source, AFP said that EU member states will meet June 30 to agree to open a new negotiating chapter with Turkey.