Unemployment

What Do We Know?

"These linear thinkers can’t understand why their playbook of lies, misinformation, pointless social justice issues and a myriad of other inane distractions aren’t working this time. They fail to acknowledge that history is cyclical and we’ve entered the phase when generational cohorts are aligned for dramatic sweeping change. The data is there for all to see, but those benefiting from the current perverted paradigm will not be swept aside without a bloody fight."

Key Events In The Coming Extremely Busy Week

The week ahead is striking in the sheer number of central bank speakers, but with the Fed on hold until December and the BoJ’s new framework now revealed, focus turns squarely from central banks to US politics. The first US presidential debate at the start of the week will be a key focus.

Global Stocks Tumble, US Futures Slide On Deutsche Bank Fears, Central Bank And Commodity Concerns

While today's biggest event for both markets and politics will be tonight's highly anticipated first presidential debate between Trump and Hillary, markets are waking up to some early turmoil in both Asia and Europe, with declines in banks and energy producers dragging down stock-markets around the world, pushing investors to once again seek the safety of government bonds and the yen.

Like Everything Else, History Repeats (Almost Exactly) Because Power Truly Corrupts

The FOMC has no idea what it is doing, just like Bank of Japan officials about a decade before them. Rather than learn from all the experimentation, the power and prestige still, somehow, afforded to all of them is just too much to give up. They would clearly rather keep themselves on top of the political power structure as it relates to the economy than to admit what is increasingly obvious (a second time).

What If We're In A Depression But Don't Know It?

Is the economy in a Depression? Not if you're a corporate bigwig skimming vast gains from corporate buybacks funded by the Fed's free money for financiers. But if you're a wage earner who's seen your pay, hours and benefits cut while your healthcare costs have skyrocketed - well, if it isn't a Depression, it's a very close relative of a Depression.

Italy Is The EU's Weakest Link

Italy’s economy is weak. There is no growth. The banking system is in bad shape. Unemployment is high. There is substantial public unrest, and Renzi’s standing is weakening. Italy has been somewhere between recession and stagnation since 2008. After eight years, the situation shows no signs of improving... The faster they get out of the EU the better.

The Fed's Missed Window & Failed Realizations

Unwittingly, the Fed has now become co-dependent on the markets. If they move to tighten monetary policy, the market sells-off impacting consumer confidence and pushes economic growth rates lower. With economic growth already running below 2%, there is very little leeway for the Fed to make a policy error at this juncture. Therefore, the Fed remains trapped between keeping the financial markets happy and trying to resolve their monetary dilemma. The problem is that eventually something has to give and it will likely not be the outcome the Fed continues to hope for.

Italy's Earthquake: Will It Revive Their Economy?

As long as the Italian public will believe in “the blessings of destruction,” and in government-led recovery, which diverts capital from productive to nonproductive uses, earthquakes will continue to be, quoting Giovanni Birindelli “the health of democracries.” Meanwhile, politicians will have the intellectual power of using the broken-window scheme as an expedient to extend their tentacles over the private sector, in the form of more public debt, increased deficits, and higher taxes.

New Report Proves What We Already Knew – The U.S. Economy Sucks

We're surprised it took this long, but it’s finally become mainstream thinking to acknowledge that the official unemployment rate is little more than nonsensical propaganda. As the emergence of massive populist movements on both the “right” and the “left” have demonstrated, something ain’t right in the U.S. economy, and everyday people get it.

Fed Chickens Out: 3 Presidents Dissent As Fed "Decides To Wait For Further Evidence" Of Strengthening Before Hiking

With rate hike odds tumbling post-J-Hole thanks to Brainard (but up to 24% today), macro data deteriorating, European banks tumbling, and China money markets turmoiling, expectations were low for a 'surprise' rate hike today. And sure enough, they didn't...

  • *FED: DECIDED TO WAIT ‘FOR THE TIME BEING’ FOR MORE EVIDENCE
  • *FED SAYS GEORGE, MESTER, ROSENGREN DISSENTED IN FAVOR OF HIKE (most dissents sine Sept 2014)

No addition of "Risks are balanced" language and cuts the long-run growth rate for the US economy below 2% for the first time ever.