Unemployment

Fed "Stress Test" Results Are Out: Everyone Passes Even As VIX Hits 70

Moments ago the Fed released the first phase of its annual stress test which, once again, found that all thirty-four of the US largest banks "passed", exceeding minimum projected capital and leverage ratios under severely adverse scenarios, based on their projected ability to withstand economic shocks

Data Says Fed Is Making A Mistake

"While raising rates will accelerate a potential recession and a significant market correction, from the Fed’s perspective it might be the ‘lesser of two evils. Being caught near the “zero bound” at the onset of a recession leaves few options for the Federal Reserve to stabilize an economic decline. In other words, they already likely realize they are screwed."

Millennials' Savings Rate Climbs For First Time In A Decade

Despite the aggregate student debt burden eclipsing the $1 trillion mark, and wages pressures across the US economy remaining relatively subdued, a new survey from Bankrate.com claims that Americans’ savings habits are improving for the first time in a decade, with the strongest gains recorded among the 18-26 demographic.

The Reverse Tepper Moment Looms

Seven years ago when Tepper made his bold call, the Fed was trying their best to get stocks higher. At that point, no one believed, and it took guts to ride along in the Fed’s wagon. Today, the Fed is trying to keep financial conditions from becoming too easy, and once again no one believes.

Is Trump Setting Himself Up To Take All The Blame When The Stock Market Tanks?

"You can blame whoever you want for the coming calamity; Obama, The Fed, Wall Street, a massive public debt, excessive entitlement spending, or any of the number of other “bubbles” currently plaguing our country’s capital markets... But, when it all explodes, Trump and all the 'MAGA' voters who got him elected are going to be the ones eating all the blame that gets served up."

Mark Hanson: Housing Bubble 2.0 - The End Is Nigh?

"If, the past 8-years of a Fed in Armageddon-mode created the 'everything bubble', what will shifting monetary policy into reverse do to said asset price levels? ..Remember, a 'house-price recovery' and 'housing market recovery' are two vastly different things."

Eric Peters: "Last Week Saw The End Of The QE Era"

"Last week was the end of the QE era. Central banks will turn into net sellers of assets in the coming 2-3 years. Before yesterday’s Fed meeting, everyone assumed that the moment the VIX hits 20, they’ll come to the rescue. And now, no one can be sure."

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

In trying to answer "When will the Fed tighten enough to cause the next recession", Deutsche Bank says that while current market expectations suggest the next recession (or at least the next Fed tightening that would be forceful enough to cause a recession) could still be many years away, the bank "thinks this is too optimistic." Here's why

The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles?

"...even more egregious than the misinformation is the complete inappropriateness for the media to praise economic 'strength' while ignoring the role of debt in bringing about the growth being celebrated. If the 'prosperity' is simply due to a drunken debt-binge, it should be criticized, not lauded."