Unemployment
David Stockman Warns "Dread The Fed!" - Sell The Bonds, Sell The Stocks, Sell The House
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/18/2015 11:50 -0500Yellen and her cohort have no clue, however, that all of their massive money printing never really left the canyons of Wall Street, but instead inflated the mother of all financial bubbles. So they are fixing to blow-up the joint for the third time this century. That was plain as day when our Keynesian school marm insisted that the Third Avenue credit fund failure this past week was a one-off event - a lone rotten apple in the barrel. Now that is the ultimate in cluelessness.
November Unemployment Hits Seven Year High In Brazil As Supreme Court Mulls Impeachment Bid
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/17/2015 11:10 -0500Brazil's Supreme Court green lighted House Speaker Eduardo Cunha's Rousseff impeachment bid on Wednesday, even as the high court is also considering a request for his removal. Meanwhile, the economy continues to deteriorate as we just got the highest unemployment reading for the month of November in seven years."
Caught On Tape: Spanish PM Rajoy Punched In Face By "Selfie-Seeking Teen"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/17/2015 07:57 -0500While campaigning ahead of elections, Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy was rocked with a right cross when a "selfie-seeking teen" approached and went full Balboa on the side of his face, breaking his glasses, before Rajoy's security detail wrestled the assailant to the floor. As El-Pais reports, the 17-year-old told police "I'm very happy I did it," while Rajoy later tweeted that he "was fine." It appears it is time for a European ban on teenagers (who are suffering massive unemployment) and fists.
Global Stocks, Futures Continue Surge On Lingering Rate Hike Euphoria
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/17/2015 06:59 -0500- Aussie
- Boeing
- Bond
- Brazil
- Centerbridge
- China
- Conference Board
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- Fed Fund Futures
- Fitch
- fixed
- Germany
- Gilts
- High Yield
- Housing Starts
- India
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Monetary Policy
- Nat Gas
- New Zealand
- Nikkei
- Norges Bank
- Philly Fed
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Trade Deficit
- Unemployment
- Yen
Heading into the Fed's first "dovish" rate hike in nearly a decade, the consensus was two-fold: as a result of relentless telegraphing of the Fed's intentions, the hike is priced in, and it will be a "dovish" hike, with the Fed lowering its forecast for the number of hikes over the next year. Consensus was once again wrong on both accounts: first the rate hike was far more hawkish than most had expected (see previous post), and - judging by the surge in Asian, European stocks and US equity futures - the "market" simply is enamored with such hawkish hikes which will soon soak up trillions in liquidity from the financial system.
Why the Fed Is WRONG About Interest Rates
Submitted by George Washington on 12/16/2015 19:09 -0500Sigh ...
Fed Hikes Rates, Unleashing First Tightening Cycle In Over 11 Years
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 18:00 -0500In the end, the Fed did not surprise, and raised interest rates for the first time in almost a decade in a widely telegraphed move while signaling that the pace of subsequent increases will be “gradual” and in line with previous projections. The Federal Open Market Committee unanimously voted to set the new target range for the federal funds rate at 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent, up from zero to 0.25 percent.
Presenting Saxo Bank's 10 "Outrageous Predictions" For 2016
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 17:40 -0500- Australia
- B+
- Black Swan
- Bond
- Brazil
- Bridgewater
- Capital Markets
- China
- Consumer Confidence
- Copper
- Corporate Leverage
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Donald Trump
- European Central Bank
- Federal Reserve
- Futures market
- Glencore
- High Yield
- India
- Investment Grade
- Iran
- Janet Yellen
- Lehman
- Meltdown
- Monetary Policy
- Nomination
- OPEC
- Ray Dalio
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Risk Premium
- Saxo Bank
- Ukraine
- Unemployment
- Volatility
"The irony in this year’s batch of outrageous predictions is that some of them are “outrageous” merely because they run counter to overwhelming market consensus. In fact, many would not look particularly outrageous at all in more “normal” times – if there even is such a thing!"
On The Important Role Of Recessions - Austrians Had It Right
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 16:30 -0500The continued misuse of capital and continued erroneous monetary policies have instigated not only the recent downturn but actually 30 years of an insidious slow moving infection that has destroyed the American legacy. “Recessions” should be embraced and utilized to clear the “excesses” that accrue in the economic system during the first half of the economic growth cycle. Trying to delay the inevitable, only makes the inevitable that much worse in the end.
Billionaire Sam Zell Warns The Fed Is Too Late, "Recession Likely In Next 12 Months"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 15:57 -0500“I think this interest rate hike is too late. This economy is closer to falling over than it is to going up. I think there’s a high probability that we’re looking at a recession in the next twelve months."
The Sellside Reacts To The First Rate Hike In Years: "It's Calm On The Floor"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 15:48 -0500While Yellen still speaks in her historic "first rate hike in years" press conference, the sellside has shares its kneejerk reaction to the Fed's announcement, and as Citi notes, "It’s calm on the floor considering the first rate hike in years. More attention on WTI crude, which remains 4% lower to 35.80 after DOE inventory build."
The Complete Fed Decision Preview: All You Need To Know
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 13:50 -0500At 2 p.m. EST, the only thing the financial world will care about and discuss will be the Fed's [first rate hike in 9 years|epic disappointment]. So for those who still haven't made up their mind about what the Fed's [dovish|non-dovish] rate hike means, here is all you need to know.
Brazil Stocks, Currency Tumble After Fitch Downgrade To Junk
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/16/2015 09:48 -0500The writing has been on the wall since the S&P "junking" in September, and now Fitch has jumped on the bandwagon, cutting Brazil to BB+, outlook negative.
3 Charts The Fed Should Consider
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2015 15:00 -0500With economic growth currently running at THE LOWEST average growth rate in American history, the time frame between the first rate and next recession will not be long. For investors, there is little “reward” in the current environment for taking on excess exposure to risk assets. The deteriorating junk bond market, declining profitability and weak economic underpinnings suggest that the clock has already begun ticking. The only question is how much time is left.
The Simple Explanation Why There Is No Such Thing As A "Dovish Rate Hike"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2015 10:26 -0500"For those who think Fed hikes are “good” for economic confidence, it would also be odd for the Fed to suggest, implicitly via a lowering of the dots that things were not quite so rosy. On balance the Fed therefore looks set for effectively “insisting” on their median dots – closer to a hawkish rather than dovish hike."
10 Investor Warning Signs For 2016
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2015 09:15 -0500Wall Street’s proclivity to create serial equity bubbles off the back of cheap credit has once again set up the middle class for disaster. The warning signs of this next correction have now clearly manifested, but are being skillfully obfuscated and trivialized by financial institutions. Nevertheless, here are ten salient warning signs that astute investors should heed as we roll into 2016.



