• GoldCore
    01/13/2016 - 12:23
    John Hathaway, respected authority on the gold market and senior portfolio manager with Tocqueville Asset Management has written an excellent research paper on the fundamentals driving...

Unemployment

Tyler Durden's picture

Unemployment As A Coincident Indicator





Reader Michael points out an interesting observation on the lagging versus coincident nature of unemployment as an indicator of economic health. His thoughts below:

I am skeptical of a lot of the "good news", and note that a recent mini-bounce in the Conference Board Leading Indicator was only due to the expansion in the money supply; all other variables were negative. I also think Rosenberg is on the right track in terms of higher than expected savings rates, and the over-extrapolation of recent housing and production data.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Unemployment As A Coincident Indicator





Reader Michael points out an interesting observation on the lagging versus coincident nature of unemployment as an indicator of economic health. His thoughts below:

I am skeptical of a lot of the "good news", and note that a recent mini-bounce in the Conference Board Leading Indicator was only due to the expansion in the money supply; all other variables were negative. I also think Rosenberg is on the right track in terms of higher than expected savings rates, and the over-extrapolation of recent housing and production data.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Unemployment at 8.1%





12.5 million people unemployed. 731k people have given up looking for work.

Nonfarm payrolls -651k.

Huge downward January payroll revisions: -655k versus prior indicated at -598k.

4.4 million jobs lost since December 2007.

Apparently a downward surprise of 0.2% in unemployment was terrific based on futures.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Some More On Today's Gruesome Unemployment Numbers





Despite the schizo market action yet again (market is up because yen is down, yen is down because market is up), we wanted to go back to today's deplorable unemployment number.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Some More On Today's Gruesome Unemployment Numbers





Despite the schizo market action yet again (market is up because yen is down, yen is down because market is up), we wanted to go back to today's deplorable unemployment number.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Official Employment Rate: 7.2%; Real Unemployment Rate 17.5%... And Rising





Click this... Very interesting info on how the gov't is manipulating data as usual.

(thanks Paul)

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Latest Housing Starts and Unemployment Claims





Presented without comment

 
Tyler Durden's picture

NYS Unemployment Highest Since 1994. And This Only For Q4





*NEW YORK STATE LABOR DEPARTMENT PRESENTS DATA IN RELEASE
*NEW YORK STATE LOST 100,000 JOBS IN LAST 3 MONTHS OF 2008
*NEW YORK STATE UNEMPLOYMENT RISES TO 7% IN DECEMBER :NYC US
*NEW YORK JOBLESS AT HIGHEST SINCE JUNE 1994, STATE REPORTS

 
Syndicate content
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!