United Kingdom

Why The German Elections Matter, And Not Just For Germany

Germany's Sept. 24 election will likely result in one of the most fragmented parliaments the country has seen in decades. The country's two largest parties will try to avoid renewing their current coalition partnership, meaning smaller parties will play a big role in the formation of the next government.

European Commission Responds To Theresa May Speech

"The EU will continue to insist on sufficient progress in the key areas of the orderly withdrawal of the United Kingdom before opening discussions on the future relationship. Agreeing on the essential principles in these areas will create the trust that is needed for us to build a future relationship together."

Complete Preview Of Theresa May's "Florence" Brexit Speech

Media speculation is mounting over the content of UK PM May’s Brexit Speech in Florence tomorrow. This is the first big Brexit-specific speech by the PM following the General Election. It is designed to outline the basis for negotiations at the fourth round of EU-UK negotiations in Brussels next week.

Let Catalonia Decide

"Some Catalans consider themselves Spanish and some don’t. Many Spaniards consider Catalonia part of Spain, while some don’t. But it’s clear that a significant number of Catalans feel politically conquered, and resent it. Why should they live under a Spanish government, when their history, culture, and language are not Spanish?... It’s a fair question, and one for which western democracies have no easy answer..."

Could Kurdish Independence Spark An Oil War?

The Kurds are expected to vote on their political status in late September. A vote in the affirmative would mean that Iraq would lose a chunk of its northern areas, which includes the crucial Kirkuk oilfield and its surrounding reserves.

Back To Rehab Or Continue Chasing The Dragon

"Like a drug addict chasing the proverbial dragon, the world’s central bankers are faced with the painful choice of rehab to break the grip of easy money or an on-going downward spiral toward economic demise."

The Geopolitical Earthquake Of The Looming Kurdistan Referendum

In a move that is entirely expected, Iraq's Supreme Court has ruled that the Iraqi Kurdistan independence referendum scheduled for Sept. 25 cannot take place. The ruling comes as Turkey has begun military exercises along its border with Iraq's Kurdish region in a show of force meant to signal it will not tolerate an independent Kurdistan.

Frontrunning: September 12

  • Trump Plans Aggressive Road Show to Sell Tax Overhaul (BBG)
  • Trump to weigh more aggressive U.S. strategy on Iran (Reuters)
  • Florida Turns to Recovery as Irma Moves North (WSJ)
  • What to Expect at Apple’s Biggest Event in Years (BBG)
  • A $150 Billion Misfire: How Forecasters Got Irma Damage So Wrong (BBG)