United Kingdom

Herbalife: Media Materially Misstates FTC Outcome, Icahn Files Potentially Questionable Statement with SEC

In the classic "pyramid" scheme, participants attempt to make money solely by recruiting new participants into the program. The hallmark of these schemes is the promise of sky-high returns in a short period of time for doing nothing other than handing over your money and getting others to do the same. But, like most news that goes out incorrectly, nobody noticed the retraction and nobody cared. Here’s what Dow Jones’ official retraction of the morning’s news looked like when it was issued later in the morning, with Herbalife stock already trading up nearly 15%

Russell Napier Reveals The "Only Question That Matters For Global Investors"

Only one question matters for global investors - Where is the helicopter? Helicopter money will be raining from the skies in Japan, the Eurozone, the UK and even in the USA. This form of reflation will likely work and in due course work too much. Few things are binary in investment, but this huge decision to be taken in Berlin is the biggest binary event for investors this analyst has yet come across.

The Great Market Tide Has Now Shifted

Risk-on assets (stocks) rising at the same time as safe-haven assets is akin to dogs marrying cats and living happily ever after. What the heck is going on? Why is the market acting so schizophrenic? What’s changed?

Sovereign Credit Is Deteriorating At A Record Pace

Culminating with the tipping of the UK's numerous real estate fund "dominoes" and the subsequent fallout in the wake Brexit, Fitch has been on a ratings-slashing spree, having cut the credit ratings on 14 nations so far in 2016, most recently that of the United Kingdom - a record downgrade pace for the rating agency.

FOMC Minutes Reveal Fed Wanted More Info Before Hiking

Since June's FOMC statement, bonds and bullion have been well bid with stocks unchanged as rate-hike hopes collapsed. For those looking to glean insight from a confused Fed's minutes today, we wish them luck. As WSJ notes, the minutes can prove to be dated and that will be especially so given that Brexit occurred just days after, so the best we could hope for from today's minutes was "what-ifs."

  • *ALMOST ALL FED OFFICIALS SAW MAY PAYROLLS RAISING UNCERTAINTY
  • *SOME OFFICIALS SAID LOWER PAYROLLS MAY SIGNAL BROADER SLOWDOWN
  • *FOMC: PRUDENT TO WAIT FOR CONSEQUENCES OF U.K. VOTE

So nothing new whatsoever but definitely a Fed that is increasingly facing the realization that normalization is over as we draw readers' attention to the fact that the wordcount for 'uncertain' soared to 38.

US Trade Deficit Jumps In May As Stronger Dollar Puts A Lid On Exports

Confirming once again that a rising dollar is not good for US trade, moments ago the dept of commerce announced that the goods and services deficit was $41.1 billion in May, up $3.8 billion from $37.4 billion in April, and worse than the $40 billion expected. In fact, this was the first miss on expectations (a bigger than expected deficit) since October 2015.

Nigel Farage Steps Down As UKIP Leader, Adding To Post-Brexit Political Turmoil

Nigel Farage, UKIP leader and passionate advocate for the UK to leave the European Union, announced unexpectedly today that he is stepping down as party leader, just days after he led a successful, and historic, campaign to Leave the European Union. Speaking in Westminster, Farage said the Brexit referendum was about Britons taking their country back, and having succeeded at that, Farage now "wants his life back.” His resignation completes the recent chaos in UK politics which has seen both the Conservative and Labour parties scramble to find new leadership in the aftermath of the Brexit vote.

Trump Takes Aim At The Global Elite

"The people of the United Kingdom have exercised the sacred right of all free peoples... Come November, the American people will have the chance to re-declare their independence. They will have the chance to reject today’s rule by the global elite, and to embrace real change that delivers a government of, by and for the people. I hope America is watching, it will soon be time to believe in America again."

Who's Next To Exit? France... Or Maryland?

"If we had our druthers, we would exit from almost everything. The U.S. would LEAVE the Mideast, NATO, the UN... and all the “foreign entanglements” General Washington warned us about. At home, we would exit the War on Poverty and the War on Drugs. Then, Maryland would withdraw gracefully from the United States." But wait. There, standing at the prison gate, a Taser in one hand and a billy club in the other… is Hillary Rodham Clinton. “Stronger together” is her new campaign slogan. “And more easily controlled,” she might add.

Frontrunning: June 30

  • Brexiters at war as Johnson pulls bid to be PM (FT)
  • Soros Says Brexit Has ‘Unleashed’ a Financial-Markets Crisis (BBG)
  • World stocks poised for worst month since January (Reuters)
  • China to tolerate weaker yuan, wary of trade partners' reaction (Reuters)
  • China central bank criticizes media for publishing 'inaccurate information' on yuan rate (Reuters)