United Kingdom

Let Catalonia Decide

"Some Catalans consider themselves Spanish and some don’t. Many Spaniards consider Catalonia part of Spain, while some don’t. But it’s clear that a significant number of Catalans feel politically conquered, and resent it. Why should they live under a Spanish government, when their history, culture, and language are not Spanish?... It’s a fair question, and one for which western democracies have no easy answer..."

Could Kurdish Independence Spark An Oil War?

The Kurds are expected to vote on their political status in late September. A vote in the affirmative would mean that Iraq would lose a chunk of its northern areas, which includes the crucial Kirkuk oilfield and its surrounding reserves.

Back To Rehab Or Continue Chasing The Dragon

"Like a drug addict chasing the proverbial dragon, the world’s central bankers are faced with the painful choice of rehab to break the grip of easy money or an on-going downward spiral toward economic demise."

The Geopolitical Earthquake Of The Looming Kurdistan Referendum

In a move that is entirely expected, Iraq's Supreme Court has ruled that the Iraqi Kurdistan independence referendum scheduled for Sept. 25 cannot take place. The ruling comes as Turkey has begun military exercises along its border with Iraq's Kurdish region in a show of force meant to signal it will not tolerate an independent Kurdistan.

Frontrunning: September 12

  • Trump Plans Aggressive Road Show to Sell Tax Overhaul (BBG)
  • Trump to weigh more aggressive U.S. strategy on Iran (Reuters)
  • Florida Turns to Recovery as Irma Moves North (WSJ)
  • What to Expect at Apple’s Biggest Event in Years (BBG)
  • A $150 Billion Misfire: How Forecasters Got Irma Damage So Wrong (BBG)

Europe: Jihadists Posing As Migrants

"Three years ago, it was easy to identify someone who has become radicalized. Now, most fanatics disguise their convictions... it is not a secret, it has been published... I would not venture to a specific figure, but tens of thousands, more than 50,000." - Gilles de Kerchove, EU Counterterrorism Coordinator.