United Kingdom

More Confusion: EU Tells Cameron To Hurry Up With Article 50 As Merkel Says No Need To Rush

Angela Merkel sought to temper pressure from Paris, Brussels and her own government to force Britain into negotiating a quick divorce from the EU, despite warnings that hesitation will let populism take hold. Eurosceptics in other member states applauded Britons' decision to leave the European Union in a referendum that sent shockwaves around the world, with far-right demands for a similar vote in Slovakia underlining the risk of a domino effect. Meanwhile, the EU is urging Cameron to promptly trigger Article 50, even as nobody really knows what the UK will do next...

What Happened With LTCM Is Now Happening Across The Political And Economic World

What happened with LTCM is happening right now across the political and economic spheres in virtually all nations. You have a collection of self-assured, arrogant “experts” running the world into the ground with their policies. As I said earlier, I have no problem with experts. I have a problem when experts are permitted to operate with zero accountability. The EU represents such technocratic immunity better than any other institution in the Western world.

Goldman Sees A UK Recession, Shocked By A Fed "Tightening Cycle Unlike Any In Modern History"

Looking at the UK, Goldman says "we expect a recession – albeit mild by historical standards – in the first half of next year. The weaker outlook will also weigh on the inflation outlook. Meanwhile, back in the US, "our forecasted path for the funds rate now looks quite unlike any tightening cycle in modern Fed history—one increase, followed by an extended pause, followed by gradual but steady increases over the subsequent three years."

First The UK, Then Scotland... Then Texas?

That didn't take long. Only hours after the final results came in for a British exit from the EU, political leaders in Scotland are talking about renewing their drive to secede from the United Kingdom. While secession of American states is often dismissed as absurd, there are few reasons to believe that a state like Texas - to name just one example - could not immediately transition from state to nation-state. With a large economy, port cities, oil, and easy access to European, Latin American, and even Asian economies by sea, economics arguments against such a separation fall flat.

After Brexit: The System Cannot Hold

The overwhelming underlying principle that we see at work here is that centralization is dead, because the economy has perished. But that is something we can be sure no politician or bureaucrat or economist is willing to acknowledge. They’re all going to continue to claim that their specific theories and plans are capable of regenerating the growth the system depends on. Only to see them fail. It’s high time for something completely different, because we’re in a dead end street.

Palisade Research's picture

Forget the politics.

Forget the impact on London's status as a global financial hub.

Forget the potential for independence referendums in Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Forget the future of the European Union.

 

Brexit is certain to have serious ramifications on all of these items, but it will take time for such sweeping changes to be agreed upon and implemented.

 

Following Brexit, Britain can take up to two years to leave the EU. Therefore changes across Europe are likely to take time to hammer out.

 

But there is one change that became readily apparent as a result of last night's vote and the chart we have prepared tells the entire story.

Which US Companies And Sectors Have The Most Exposure To Brexit

At the company level, 30 companies in the S&P 500 have revenue exposure of more than 10% to the United Kingdom, led by Newmont Mining (64%), Molson Coors Brewing (34%), and PPL Corporation (31%). At the sector level, the Energy (6.4%), Information Technology (4.0%), and Materials (3.7%) sectors have the highest revenue exposures to the United Kingdom.

G-7, Central Bank Governors, Christine Lagarde Issue More Statements To Calm Markets

Showing once again that the world's elite has not learned any lessons from the UK Brexit, instead of focusing on the core issue at hand, namely the deterioration of the living standards of the developed world's middle class, the world's political and financial elite is instead scrambling to calm down global markets, i.e., assuage the fears of the 1%.

The Referen-Doom: EU, Merkel, ECB All Scramble To Calm Panic

In the aftermath of the Brexit vote, the entire concept of a European Union suddenly finds itself existentially threatened, with demands for referenda issued overnight by the Netherlands, France, Italy and moments ago Scotland. This is why all the highest European institutions have been unleashed in an attempt to quell a panic that the EU has never felt, not even during the depths of the recurring Greek insolvency crisis.

Central Bankers Around The Globle Scramble To Defend Markets: BOE Pledges $345BN; ECB, Others Promise Liquidity

There was a reason why we warned readers two days ago that "The World's Central Bankers Are Gathering At The BIS' Basel Tower Ahead Of The Brexit Result": simply enough, it was to facilitate an immediate response when a worst-cased Brexit vote hit. And that is precisely what has happened today in the aftermath of the historic British decision to exit the EU.  It started, as one would expect, with Mark Carney who said the Bank of England is ready to pump billions of pounds into the financial system as he stands at the front line of Britain’s defense against a Brexit-provoked market crisis.