Volatility

BofA: "Central Banks Are Now In A Desperate Dilemma"..."Start Buying Volatility"

"Central banks, the reason behind high asset prices and low vol, are now in desperate dilemma: politically unacceptable for bubble on Wall St, but central banks will be tightening into deflation; inflection point for volatility is upon us and we recommend investors buy volatility....Fed tightening in 2017 could easily be followed by easing in 2018, in our view."

Prepare For A Surge In Volume: Russell Rebalance Day Is Here

Welcome to the one year anniversary of the Brexit vote. Welcome also to the annual Russell rebalance, traditionally one of the busiest trading days of the year: last year's rebalance helped propel a near record turnover of over 15 billion shares. In fact, in four of the last five years, reconstitution day ranked in the 10 busiest trading sessions.

Fed "Stress Test" Results Are Out: Everyone Passes Even As VIX Hits 70

Moments ago the Fed released the first phase of its annual stress test which, once again, found that all thirty-four of the US largest banks "passed", exceeding minimum projected capital and leverage ratios under severely adverse scenarios, based on their projected ability to withstand economic shocks

If BlackRock And Pimco Are Right, "Another Fed Shock Looms"

"Once bitten, twice eager sounds like a contradiction but it can often seem like standard operating procedure in global markets - just look at the money piling into bets that the Federal Reserve is going nowhere soon with monetary tightening. It’s as if the February shock - when a deluge of Fedspeak made traders realize their bets against a March hike were wrong - never happened." 

Goldman's New Favorite Trade: Make 25x Your Money If Stocks Drop 7%

As we have pointed out numerous times, Goldman notes that elevated US policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk indicate heightened risk of more frequent political and geopolitical tail events. And given the extreme complacency in markets, Goldman suggests the following trade as a clean way to play that concept of reality emerging into market pricing once again...

Coming Apart: The Imperial City At The Brink

"...here in the imperial city in Washington DC, is that it is absolutely hollowed out... it is incapable of offering anything to its own people, the American people ... I think we have reached a point where there is no possibility of revival within the current system that exists. The current system is set upon ... is determined to eat itself out in a kind of civil war that is coming, and at the end of that, it will be done, will be finished..."

WTI Plunges To 7-Month Lows - Enters Bear Market As HY Bonds Crater

WTI Crude has entered a bear market (down over 20% from its highs) amid concerns OPEC-led output cuts won’t succeed in rebalancing the market (and not helped by the fact that Libya is pumping the most crude in 4 years). Furthermore, HY Bonds are getting hit led by a spike in HY Energy risk...

In Warning To Wall Street, Jefferies Fixed Income Revenue Tumbles 33%

Jefferies second quarter earnings were a warning for the rest of Wall Street: with fixed income revenues tumbling 33% in Q2 due to "lower volumes and lower volatility", suggesting that alongside the collapse of the yield curve, the coming quarter could be rather brutal for US banks.