Volatility

Everything You Need To Know About The Italian Referendum (& Should Be Afraid To Ask)

While the post-Trump euphoria in US stocks has been the perfect distraction from the ugly realities elsewhere, this weekend's Italian Referendum could well be the biggest 'revolt' yet, topping Brexit and Trump. Should Italy vote "no", as polls forecast, PM Renzi may quit, leaving the Italian bank recapitalization would then be in jeopardy and, as Bloomberg's Mark Cranfield warns "we could be looking at a Greece-like market reaction on steroids."

Intriguing Predictions On Trump's Plan For Federal Reserve

Trump’s picks so far are already garnering a lot of attention, but his choices for appointments relating to the economy could cause the biggest stir of all. As Trump and his new appointments rise to power, the Federal Reserve could be targeted for overdue changes and reforms. Let’s take a look at how the Trump administration may change the Fed.

JPMorgan Tells Investors: Ignore Mainstream Media

"Geopolitical developments should be gauged from... non-traditional data sources (such as big data sentiment indicators, independent media outlets, etc.) given the failure of many traditional data sources to anticipate geopolitical developments this year."

Visualizing The "Tectonic Shift" In The Markets' Narrative

"...we're at a phase in this UST / developed sovereign bond trade where previously acceptable conditioning (‘buy dips’; ‘get long-er duration because it just keeps working’; ‘never-ending bond inflows will always pause selloffs’ etc) are all being reset in real-time, and this behavioral shift is painful."

3 Things: Exuberance, Small Caps, & 6% Realities

"...there is a long way to go between President-elect taking office, drafting bills and getting them passed. There is even a further period of time before any actions actually passed by the Trump administration actually create perceivable effects within the broader economy. In the meantime, there are many concerns, from a technical perspective, that must be recognized within the current market environment."

"Metals Traders On Red Alert" - Chinese Commodity Bubble 2.0 Just Imploded

Industrial metals commodity prices plunged by the most since March in the last 2 days as China’s exchanges (once again) clamped down on speculation by tightening trading rules. As Bloomberg reports, for the second time this year, trading has exploded on the nation’s exchanges, pushing prices of everything from zinc to coal to multi-year highs and sending authorities scrambling to deflate the bubble before it bursts.

Multiple Simultaneous Threats: Nexit Next?

The nannycrats in Brussels face yet another attack on the anti-immigration front: Geert Wilders’ Far-Right party is topping the polls in the Netherlands.

Here Are The Details From The OPEC Production Cut Deal

The much anticipated headline is out and, as Bloomberg reports, OPEC has reached a deal agreeing to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day to 32.5mmbpd from the current level of 33.6mmbpd. This would be OPEC's first production cut since 2008.