Wholesale Inventories

Global Rally Fizzles After "OPEC Shock" In "Slow Risk-Off Session"

S&P futures were fractionally lower from yesterday's record high as European stocks declined and Asian stocks were mixed, pressured by yesterday's 5% plunge in crude after OPEC unexpectedly "failed to surprise" markets, and announced the bare minimum supply cut extension that was expected by oil traders, who in turn puked long positions.

Key Events In The Coming Week: FOMC Minutes, GDP, BOC, OPEC And More

The key economic releases this week are the durable goods report and Q1 GDP revision on Friday. The minutes of the May FOMC statement will be released on Wednesday at 2PM. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week

Global Markets Thrown For A Loop After Comey's Shocking Sacking

“There is no doubt that Trump is dominating proceedings this morning after the sacking of Comey. This is a political story rather than a market story, but yet again it creates uncertainty in the market, which leaves everything the president does with a cloud floating over it" said James Hughes of GKFX.

Wholesales Sales Growth Stalls In March - Weakest In 8 Months

Final data for wholesale inventories and sales data in March show a modestly better than expected rise in inventories (+0.2% vs -0.1% MoM) and worse than expected sales which showed no growth in March - the weakest print since July 2016.

Crushed Vol Boosts Dollar, Commodities; Futures Flat

Asian stocks declined, while European stocks rose to the highest since 2015, led by a rebound in commodities and basic resource stocks. U.S. stock-index futures were little changed at 2,395 - just shy of all time highs - as investors focused on corporate earnings after the French election, while the VIX hovered near its lowest level since 1993.

Key Events In The Coming Week: Inflation, Spending In The Spotlight

With the French election now finally in the rearview mirror, this week's focus is on global inflation releases, with the spotlight falling on the US and China. We also have BoE and RBNZ rates meetings. In other data we note industrial production in the Eurozone, UK and Norway along with US retail sales and Fed speakers.

Macron Victory Leads To "Risk Macr-Off" In Europe, Poor China Trade Data Doesn't Help

It was supposed to be Risk Macr-ON after Emmanuel Macron's avalanche victory in Sunday's French presidential elections; instead as some banks cautioned and as we showed early in the overnight session, the market reaction has been the opposite with the victory fully priced in and especially in the European currencies and stocks, as well as S&P futures, we have seen a modest episode of Risk Macr-Off.

Global Stocks Pause Ahead Of GDP Report; Nasdaq Hits Fresh Record High

Despite yesterday's whopping beats by Amazon and Google which sent the Nasdaq to new record highs after hours, this morning futures S&P futures are little changed ahead of the closely watched Q1 GDP report, European stocks and Asian equities are slightly lower, oil is higher after Russia said it had reached the 300kbpd oil cut per the OPEC pact, and the dollar was modestly in the red.

JPM Cuts Q1 GDP Forecast To Just 0.3%

We now believe that real GDP increased 0.3% saar in 1Q. Turning to today’s reports, the flurry of information was a negative for 1Q growth on net, mainly through the inventory components.

Q1 GDP Takes Another Hit As Wholesale Inventories Slide In March

With non-hope-based GDP forecasts for Q1 at cycle lows, today's wholesale inventories decline will not help. After dropping in January, and rebounding in Feb, March saw inventories drop 0.1% (against expectations of a 0.2% rise). This is the first quarterly decline in wholesale inventories since Q1 2016 (when the world was feared to be heading into recession).

Stocks Dazed After Trump NAFTA Flop, Tax Plan Disappointment; ECB Looms

European shares are lower, pressured by disappointing results by Deutsche Bank and ending a six-session gain, as Asian equities and S&P futures were little changed after a record-setting rally in world stocks which pushed the MSCI World index to over $50 trillion yesterday, fizzled after Trump released unconvincing tax cut plans prompting traders to "sell the news" while caution set in as the ECB met.

Euphoria Returns: European Stocks Soar, Dax Hits Record; S&P Futs Surge In "French Relief Rally"

Risk is definitely on this morning as European shares soar, led by French stocks a new record high in Germany's Dax, and S&P futures up 1.2% after a "French relief rally" in which the first round of the country’s presidential elections prompted investors to bet that establishment candidate Emmanuel Macron will win a runoff vote next month. Asian stocks also surged, expect for China, which suffered its biggest drop of the year, down 1.4%, ending the streak of losses no greater than 1% going back to December.