World Bank

One Belt, One Road, And One Debt Hangover

"In the end, China is attempting to create a geopolitical sphere of influence of even greater scope than the Japanese Empire prior to World War II. As with its other policies, China will turn liquid assets into illiquid assets in order to pursue its ambitions. This could make sense if nothing goes wrong. But, things will go wrong."

Frontrunning: June 5

  • Saudis, U.A.E., Bahrain and Egypt Cut Ties With Qatar (WSJ)
  • Saudi-Led Alliance Cuts Ties With Qatar (BBG)
  • Saudi, Egypt lead Arab states cutting Qatar ties, Iran blames Trump (Reuters); Qatar asks citizens to leave UAE within 14 days: embassy (Reuters)
  • London Fortifies Bridges to Protect Pedestrians From Attack (BBG)
  • Bank at Center of U.S. Inquiry Projects Russian ‘Soft Power’ (NYT)

Qatar Crashes In Escalating Gulf Crisis; Oil Fails To Rebound As Global Stocks Dip

S&P futures point to a slightly lower open ahead of today's US non-mfg ISM and Service PMI data. European shares fall, while Asian shares are little changed. Several European countries are closed for Whit Monday leading to subdued trading. Following the latest unexpected Gulf Crisis overnight, in which Gulf nations cut all diplomatic relations with Qatar amid stunning allegations of funding terrorism, oil spiked but has since pared almost all gains.

Why India's Attempt To Digital Will Fail

"India is looking for totalitarian solutions to deal with problems created by totalitarianism and tribalism...There is a lot of pain and no gain facing India. If they had any sense they should be begging the British to return and rule the country. That is the only option apart from chaos, disintegration, and eventual never-ending tribal infighting among the fragments."

Globalization & The Rural-Urban Divide

The playing field was never level: the Neoliberal Corporate-State Order had all the power, and rigged the game to its own advantage. No wonder the rural regions are rebelling--not against the cities, but against the Neoliberal Global Order that has stripped the economic diversity from rural economies.