World Bank

Why Australia's Economy Is A House Of Cards

"For over a quarter of a century our economy mostly grew because of dumb luck... As a whole, the Australian economy has grown through a property bubble inflating on top of a mining bubble, built on top of a commodities bubble, driven by a China bubble....Unfortunately for Australia, that “lucky” free ride is just about to end..."

World Stocks Soar To New Record Highs As Oil, Metals Surge Ahead Of The Fed

US equity futures have hit a new all time high, helped by surging Asian and European stocks which have all started November on a euphoric note. Surging commodity prices, optimism about tax reform and hope for a new dovish Fed chair all combined to drive global stock markets to record highs on Wednesday.

Frontrunning: October 27

  • U.S. Economy Expected to Show Momentum, Despite Storms (WSJ)
  • As Trump tax comes to floor, failure could spell stocks selloff (Reuters)
  • Washington’s Biggest Mystery: What’s in the Republican Tax Plan? (BBG)
  • Spain set to impose direct rule in Catalonia as crisis spirals (Reuters)
  • Catalans Send Emissary to Madrid to Plead for a Deal (BBG)

"It's A Huge Story": China Launching "Petroyuan" In Two Months

"...the yuan-based oil contract will be a 'wake up call' for investors ...besides serving as a hedging tool for Chinese companies, the contract will aid a broader Chinese government agenda of increasing the use of the yuan in trade settlement...it's a 'huge story'..."

Global Stocks Rise Oblivious Of Growing Geopol Risks; Oil, Commodities Jump On Kurdish Clashes

World stocks and commodities rose on Monday, boosted by upbeat Chinese data, while U.S. oil futures jumped to a near six-month high as escalating tensions between the Iraqi government and Kurdish forces threatened supply.  Global markets digested the large amount of weekend newsflow, and clearly liked what they saw as S&P futures were modestly in the green, as both European and Asian stocks are higher.

European Stocks On Edge Ahead Of Catalan Independence Call, S&P Futures Rise

S&P futures are again modestly in the green as European shares hold steady ahead of a meeting of the Catalan regional parliament and a possible declaration of independence by Catalan leader Puigdemont, while Asian shares rise a the second day. The dollar declined for the 3rd day, its losses accelerating across the board amid growing concerns that Trump's tax reform is once again dead.

Key Events In The Coming Week: CPI, Retail Sales And FOMC Minutes

The key economic releases this week are the CPI and retail sales reports on Friday. Additionally, the minutes from the September FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday. There are several speaking engagements by Fed officials this week, including a speech by Chair Yellen on Sunday.