World Trade

Row Breaks Out At G-20 Over Future Of Global Trade

A row appears to have broken out during today's G-20 meeting in Baden Baden, Germany - the first for the Trump administration - where the dominant topic is trade, and specifically how the "globalization vs protectionism" debate will look in a world where Donald Trump is president of the world's biggest economy.

Frontrunning: March 13

  • Oil touches three-month lows, as U.S. supply swells (Reuters)
  • Oil Steadies Below $49 as U.S. Drilling Threatens Longer Glut (BBG)
  • Traders Brace as Crucial Events Loom for Markets (WSJ)
  • Preet Bharara’s Probes Likely to Continue After His Exit (WSJ)
  • Dollar steadies after three-day fall (Reuters)
  • GOP Health Plan Would Hit Rural Areas Hard (WSJ)

Here Are The Top 15 'Obamagate' Wiretap Victims

While President Trump started the discussion with his tweets over the weekend, but it should be clear that it is not unfounded that former President Obama would wire tap President Trump during the election process...

It's Trump's Party, Now

Tuesday’s speech established Trump as the man in charge. But how loyal to him and his program will be the “deep state,” which dominates this city that gave Trump only 4 percent of its votes and, paranoically, believes him to be an agent of Vladimir Putin? The Trump-Beltway wars have only just begun.

President Trump's Address To Congress: Key Highlights And Full Text

"From now on, America will be empowered by our aspirations, not burdened by our fears –- inspired by the future, not bound by the failures of the past –- and guided by our vision, not blinded by our doubts. I am asking all citizens to embrace this Renewal of the American Spirit. I am asking all members of Congress to join me in dreaming big, and bold and daring things for our country."

Oops! The Economy Is Like A Self-Driving Car

The economy can grow (just like a self-driving car can move forward) (1) if workers can make an increasing quantity of goods and services each year, and (2) if non-elite workers can afford to buy the goods that are being produced. If these workers find fewer jobs available, or if they don’t pay sufficiently well, it is as if the engine of the self-driving car is no longer working.

People Are Suddenly Worried About China (Again)

While Trump seemingly remains the only topic worthy of discussion blanketing the airwaves, as the following chart from Goldman demonstrates, it has been China where policy uncertainty has stealthily exploded in the past three months.

Frontrunning: February 16

  • Futures dip as Wall Street navigates unchartered territory (Reuters)
  • Trump's Russia crisis deepens (Reuters)
  • Government Landlord Pays Millions Each Year to Trump Company (WSJ)
  • Protests call for U.S. immigrants to stay home from work, school (Reuters)
  • Trump Hates Trade Deficits, But Which Ones Really Matter? (BBG)
  • French Election Puts ‘Frexit’ on the Agenda (WSJ)

Trump To Unveil "Passive-Aggressive" Currency War With China

Call it passive-aggressive currency war: the White House is exploring a ways to discourage China from devaluing its currency, without explicitly branding China a currency manipulator - the move move is the latest indication the Trump administration is softening its stance on China.