After an initial spurt higher on "strategic ally" comments, the dollar faded and yen rallied on comments from President Trump regarding FX moves with President Xi and Abe's comments on protecting the Senkakus - both related to China...
Ahead of a weekend playing golf together at Mar-a-Lago, President Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Abe face the press to explain how a strong (and weak) currency is good (and bad) for the economy, how much Abe will be investing in American infrastructure, and how they will face their real common enemy - China (not deflation) together...
A visa decision affecting seven very small economies does not seem like a markets story but there are clear trading implications in this case. The first is that, no matter how much investors might wish otherwise, markets are still inextricably linked to the new U.S. president.
S&P futures rose further into record territory, European shares rose to within striking distance of their highest levels in more than a year while bonds fell and the dollar rose as investors cheered a surge in Chinese trade data amid hopes of "phenomenal" tax cuts by Donald Trump, all of which have rekindled the Trumpflation trade.
Asian stocks hit their highest level in 18 months, with positive momentum lifting European shares which were helped by Societe Generale earnings. Yields fell on some of the euro zone's battered low-rated bonds as investors put aside the political risks that have dominated markets this week. After trading flat, S&P futures bounced as US traders walked boosted by a spike in the USDJPY.
"I find myself in the strange situation of cheering Donald Trump’s nascent program of economic renewal for the US, while worrying deeply about the domino effect that may topple a dollar-based global financial system whose health has relied greatly on benign neglect by the United States."
In a mostly quiet Wednesday session, Asian stocks rose overnight along with European bourses, which were led higher by miners after Rio Tinto posted higher profits for the first time in three years and a bigger-than-expected dividend, while India’s Sensex extended declines after the central bank unexpectedly left rates unchanged. US futures were little changed as oil continued to fall after API reported a huge inventory build
"The party this weekend was an example of the third stage. Wives were walking around with freshly injected lips and botoxed faces. Men were brandishing new Rolex watches while bragging about their latest acquisitions. I now know more about their personal stock portfolios than I do about their children’s latest successes."