Yield Curve

BIll Gross: Beware The "Unknown Consequences Lurking In The Shadows"

"the adherence of Yellen, Bernanke, Draghi, and Kuroda, among others, to standard historical models such as the Taylor Rule and the Phillips curve has distorted capitalism as we once knew it, with unknown consequences lurking in the shadows of future years."

World Stocks Hit Record High For 10th Consecutive Day In "No-Vol Nirvana"

Traders, so mostly algos, are riding a global risk "high" in stocks as Asia's and then Europe's early 0.4 percent gains ensured MSCI's 47-country All World index was up for a 10th straight session. This is the longest winning streak in global stocks since February 2015 and shows little sign of fatigue even as bond yields edged modestly higher again.

"ECB Or Not To Be": A Preview Of What Mario Draghi Will Say

Questions on possible exit scenarios will dominate the press conference. While acknowledging the strength of the economy, Draghi is likely to counter any ideas of an imminent and rapid path towards ending QE, instead urging patience with the still-subdued inflation outlook.

T-Bill Tantrum: Yields Spike As Debt-Ceiling Anxiety Begins To Show

US default risk has flatllined for weeks, market risk has leaked to record lows, and Treasury Bills have 'behaved'... until now. The last two days have seen a sudden aggressive spike in the yields of T-Bills around mid-October, inverting the yirld curve as debt-ceiling anxiety starts to build quietly away from NFLX and AMZN shares.

BofA Beats Despite 14% Slump In FICC Revenue; Interest Income Unexpectedly Declines

Echoing the trend set by JPM and Wells Fargo last Friday, moments ago Bank of America reported revenue and earnings that modestly beat expectations, with Q2 revenue of $22.8bn, above the $21.8bn expected, generating net income of $5.3 billion up 10% Y/Y, and EPS of $0.46, above the $0.43 estimate, and 12% higher than Q2 2016.

JPM Beats Boosted By Lending Despite Trading Miss As FICC, Sales & Trading Revenues Tumble

Launching Q2 earnings season, moments ago JPM reported Q2 an adjusted record Net Income of $7 billion and EPS of $1.82, which however included an 11 cent legal benefit, beating expectations $1.57 and 27 cents higher than a year ago, on "managed" revenue of $26.4BN, beating consensus expectations of $25.1BN. This however was offset by a sharp decline in trading revenues.

Fed's Brainard Delivers A "Very Significant Speech"

There is much to contemplate in Brainard’s speech, but if she plays Jiminy Cricket to Janet Yellen expect the Fed chair to support this outlook. Other political factors such as the White House tweets and buffoonery cannot be accounted for in an algo-driven world. But I believe that Brainard did more to impact markets than the e-mails of Donald Trump, Jr.

All Eyes On Yellen As Dollar Slumps On Trump Revelations, Stocks Rebound

The dollar was broadly weaker after dovish comments from Fed Governor Lael Brainard amid reverberations from reports of Donald Trump Jr.’s contact with a Russian lawyer; European equities rebounded with oil while S&P futures were 0.2% higher at 2,428 as traders eagerly await Janet Yellen’s Congressional testimony for further clues on the trajectory of monetary policy while the Bank of Canada is expected to hike rates later.