Yield Curve

A Look At This Week's "Other" Big Event

With the Italian referendum now in the rearview mirror, the market's attention focuses on this Thursday's second most important event, the ECB meeting on Thursday. Here are the key questions the market will want answered.

European Stocks Soar, US Futures, Euro Jump After Failed Italian Referendum

Another miraculous overnight recovery has eliminated all the bearish aftertaste from the failed Italian referendum. As Guillermo Sampere of MPPM EK put it: "After Brexit, it took three days for markets to shake it off, with Trump it took three hours, with Italy it took three minutes.The fast money, who expected markets to fall further with this outcome, are now covering their positions."

Goldman's Bear Case In 7 Steps: "We Are In The 98th Percentile Of Historical Valuations"

"S&P 500 valuation is stretched relative to history on nearly every fundamental metric. At the aggregate level, the S&P 500 index trades at the 85th percentile of historical valuation relative to the past 40 years. For portfolio managers, the more important fact is that the median S&P 500 company trades at the 98th percentile of historical valuation."

US Financial Stocks Are Set For Their Greatest Monthly Gain Ever

Yesterday's short-lived correction in US bank stocks did nothing to tarnish the shocking exuberance of the month of November. With just 5 down days in the month (so far), US Financials added over $275 billion in market capitalization in November - the greatest gain in the index' history.

The Market's Next Headache: China's (Not So) Stealth Tightening

In recent weeks, China’s central bank has effectively tightened monetary conditions based on the shifting composition of its repo operations. As a result, the local bond market is getting increasingly nervous as selling - first of bonds, and then of equities - is expected to accelerate in response to what appears to be China's (not to) stealth tightening of financial conditions.