Yuan

Tyler Durden's picture

2016 Theme #4: The End-Game Of Debt-Fueled "Growth"





It's requiring more borrowed yen/yuan/dollars/euros just to keep the global economy from collapsing in a heap of impaired debt. The costs of waste, fraud and mal-investment are finally coming home to roost, and while near-zero interest rates serve to mask the future costs, near-zero rates cannot stem the rising tide of mal-investment. Rather, near-zero rates have fueled mal-investment, waste and unproductive spending. The diminishing returns on that strategy of "growth" are inescapable.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China Suspends Circuit-Breaker Rule - "This Is Insane; We Were Forced To Liquidate All Our Holdings This Morning"





Update: *CHINA SUSPENDS  STOCK CIRCUIT BREAKER RULE - In Q&A, CSRC insists circuit breakers didn't cause the China meltdown but admits they may have aggravated sell-off.

"It couldn't be worse," exclaims one manager who started his fund mid-year in 2015, blaming China's equity market carnage on its newly-created circuit-breakers (as opposed to the fact that the Chinese market trades at 64x P/E and there are sellers everywhere). "Panic will eventually turn into a buying opportunity," hopes one strategist while another proclaims "poorly-designed" circuit breakers need to be adjusted to 10% (seriously). Blame is everywhere,  but it is Chen Gang who summed up the panic best, "this is insane... we were forced to liquidate all our holdings this morning."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Gold, Bitcoin Soar After China Liquidates Most Reserves On Record To Defend Currency





As the PBOC revealed overnight, China’s foreign-exchange reserves plunged much more than forecast in December, capping the first-ever annual decline (of $513 billion) as authorities sought to prop up a weakening yuan. More importantly, the $108 billion decline from $3.438 trillion to $3.330 trillion - far greater than the $20 billion estimated - was the largest on record, and shows that while on the surface the Yuan was stable, behind the scenes the PBOC was furiously dumping securities to prevent an all out currency rout as outflows hit a record.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: January 7





  • China turmoil sends oil, stocks sliding (Reuters)
  • China's Stock Traders Go Home After 29 Minutes (BBG)
  • Yuan hits weakest since Feb 2011 on fresh low midpoint (Reuters)
  • Stocks Extend Rout, Oil Slides on China as Soros Warns of Crisis (BBG)
  • China's 29 Minutes of Chaos: Stunned Brokers and a Race to Sell (BBG)
  • North Korea Uses Bomb Test to Boost Dictatorship (WSJ)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Global Stocks Crash After Spiraling Chinese Devaluation Unleashes Worldwide Chaos And Selling





Once China set the Yuan fixing some 0.5% lower, the biggest drop since the August devaluation, all hell broke loose and unleashed a global selling panic after China's stock market was promptly shut down less than 30 minutes into trading, then European shares dropped the most in more than 4 months as Asian equities plunges, as did US stock futures, the dollar weakened against the euro and the yen; crude plunged to fresh 12 year lows. Gold rose.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Here We Go Again: China Halts Trading For The Entire Day After Another 7% Crash





CHINA STOCKS HALTED FOR REST OF DAY AFTER CSI 300 TUMBLES 7% - Following the collapse of offshore Yuan to 5 year lows and decompression to record spreads to onshore Yuan, The PBOC has stepped in and dramatically devalued the Yuan fix by 0.5% to 6.5646. This is the biggest devaluation since the August collapse. Offshore Yuan trading has been violent with a 1000 pips swing on Yuantervention. Dow futures are plunging... WTI trades at a $32 handle... Gold hits $1100.
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Options Traders See Yuan Collapse Continuing In "Dangerous Situation For Policy-Makers"





Surely, The PBOC will step in at some point and save the collapsing currency? Nope - not if options traders (and Kyle Bass) are to be believed. The odds of the yuan breaking beyond 7 to the greenback by the end of March more than doubled to 12% (from 5.8% at the start of December). Ironically, Bloomberg reports only 1 of 39 analyst predicts Yuan to trade beyond 7 by the end of 2016. The market's extremely strong conviction, and apparent PBOC loss of control is "a dangerous situation for policy-makers" according to one Asian economist.

 
GoldCore's picture

Gold Price Up On Mid East, Asia Risk – January Best Monthly Performance





Gold has has been one of the best months for gold in terms of monthly performance in the last 10 years. Bloomberg confirms that today.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

A Shocked Wall Street Reacts To China's "Surprising" Devaluation





  • Today’s fixing was a big surprise, and impression is that upside risks to USD/CNY have grown
  • PBOC’s actions are conflicting: there was suspected intervention yesterday and sentiment stabilized, but it set such a low fixing today
  • Will help loosen monetary conditions; still, risk of capital outflows could increase concurrently
  • Expect 5%-10% depreciation by end of the year, though this depends on the pace of PBOC’s intervention and health of macroeconomy
 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Carnage Returns: Stocks Tumble After Sharp Chinese Devaluation; Brent At 2004 Lows; Gold Surges





Before we go into details of the overnight carnage, this is where we stand currently: S&P futures now down 33 points or 1.63% while 2Y Treasury rallies pushing its yield back below 1% as EU stocks extend their drop after China weakened its currency, North Korea says it tested a hydrogen bomb; Brent crude falls to lowest level since 2004.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Dow Futures Plunge 170 Points After Yuan Crashes To 5-Year Lows As PBOC Loses Control





Dow futures are down over 170 points from the cash close, testing the lows of the day following carnage in the Chinese currency markets. Despite the biggest drop in onshore Yuan since August devaluation, Offshore Yuan has collapsed to its lowest since September 2010. What is more worrisome (or positive for Kyle Bass) is that the spread between onshore and offshore Yuan has blown out to 1250 pips - a record - indicating dramatic outflows and/or expectations of further devaluation to come.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Nomi Prins' Financial Road Map For 2016: "The Potential For Chaotic Fluctuations Is Greater Than Ever"





We are currently in a transitional phase of geo-political-monetary power struggles, capital flow decisions, and fundamental economic choices. This remains a period of artisanal (central bank fabricated) money, high volatility, low growth, excessive wealth inequality, extreme speculation, and policies that preserve the appearance of big bank liquidity and concentration at the expense of long-term stability. The potential for chaotic fluctuations in any element of the capital markets is greater than ever. The butterfly effect - the flutter of a wing in one part of the planet altering the course of seemingly unrelated events in another part - is on center stage.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: January 5





  • Global share market settles after stormy start to year (Reuters)
  • Stocks Extend Losses as Yen, Gold Rise on Lingering China Unease (BBG)
  • China battles to shore up stocks, yuan after globe-shaking slide (Reuters)
  • Volkswagen faces billions in penalties as U.S. sues for environment violations (Reuters)
  • Obama tightens gun rules, requires more background checks (Reuters)
 
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