Yuan

Trump Is Set To Label China A "Currency Manipulator": What Happens Then?

The main point of naming China as a currency manipulator would be to bring China back to the negotiation table at the lowest cost. Trump has publicly stated that he supports bilateral vs. multilateral trade agreements. It is possible that the Trump administration will seek to engage China in trade agreement negotiations as soon as possible, even before a manipulation conclusion is drawn.

Frontrunning: January 9

  • European shares dip, sterling falls on Brexit comments (Reuters)
  • Pound Falls to 10-Week Low as May Hints at Single-Market Exit (BBG)
  • Offshore Yuan Falls for Second Day as Bears Reload After Squeeze (BBG)
  • Trump's choices for top Cabinet posts face big tests this week (Reuters)
  • Nine Trump Nominees Who’ll Face Extreme Vetting by Democrats (BBG)
  • Meet the Mercers: New Power Brokers in Trump’s Washington (WSJ)

Party Like The Dow Is 19,999: US Futures Dip As Global Currencies Stumble; Oil Down, Gold Up

European, Asian stocks fall and U.S. equity-index futures traded mixed on Monday with fresh memories of the Dow Jones rising to under 1 point of 20,000 on Friday. The dollar has rebounded on fresh geopolitical concerns, while the pound extends its decline from Friday and has slide to 10 week lows on a Sunday interview from Theresa May which suggested a "Hard Brexit" may be in the cards.

Yuan Is Crashing (Again)

The volatility in the Chinese currency has gone from the sublime to the ridiculous. After exploding 21 handles stronger in the biggest PBOC-engineered short-squeeze in history - erasing the entire post-election sell-off - offshore Yuan is now collapsing once again, down 350 pips tonight (and over 10 big figures from Thursday's highs). While interbank rates have calmed down, the rush to exit the currency has not...

Bitcoin Tumbles After China Urges Investors To Be "Rational"

After warning about cracking down on 'virtual' capital outflows earlier in the week, Chinese officials have come out more directly against Bitcoin this morning with the country's central bank urging China's institutional and individual investors should take a rational approach to investing in virtual currencies. Bitcoin in China has legged lower on the news.

Frontrunning: January 6

  • December Jobs Data to Wrap Up Obama’s Economic Legacy (WSJ)
  • FBI Says Democrats Refused Access to Hacked E-Mail Servers (BBG)
  • As Trump attacks, Nissan at bigger risk than Toyota (Reuters)
  • Democratic leader Schumer emerges as Trump's newest punching bag (Reuters)
  • PBoC raises renminbi’s daily fix by most since 2005 (FT)
  • China central bank urges rational investment in bitcoin (Reuters)

US Futures Flat Ahead Of December Payrolls; Dollar Rebounds

European shares fell modestly, Asian equities declined for the first day in three, and US equity futures were unchanged before the December U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. China’s offshore yuan fell the most in a year to pare a record weekly rally, while Mexico’s peso climbed after the central bank sold dollars. Oil was trading lower in early trading.