Are some Chinese banks ramping up their exposure to shadow conduits on the way to obscuring massive amounts of credit risk? Moody's says yes...
- Global Markets Rebound on Yellen Speech (WSJ)
- Obama and Putin to meet; Syria and Ukraine vie for attention (Reuters)
- Obama to host China's President Xi amid simmering tensions (Reuters)
- Don't Fall for It, Xi! Chinese Take to Web to Scorn U.S.—and China, Too (BBG)
- Yellen Confirms Fed Still on Track to Raise Rates This Year (BBG)... but is still China dependent?
- Abe's New Economic Plan Confounds Analysts (BBG)
- It's All `Perverted' Now as U.S. Swap Spreads Tumble Below Zero (BBG)
The evening started on a high note when Janet Yellen's survival giving a speech warranted a 100 point rip in Dow futures (and USD strength). Then Japan stepped up with its first deflationary CPI print since April 2013 (which of course was met with stock-buying because moar QQE is overdue but that soon faded). EM FX is tumbling further (with Malaysia leading the charge). Chinese credit risk jumps tro a new 2 year high (as SHIBOR remains entirely manipulated flat) as China halts its 4-day devaluation with a tiny nudge stronger in the Yuan fix.
Contrary to popular opinion, there are problems that are too big for the Central Banks to control.
Somehow everything in the following statement from David Petraeus is wrong: "There is no shortage of customers for the purchase of U.S. Treasuries," said Petraeus.... "Given the relative strength of the U.S. economy and the prospect of the Fed raising interest rates at some point in the months ahead, I suspect there will continue to be very keen interest in U.S. Treasuries."
When passing rising labor costs on to consumers isn’t an option, it’s the supply chain that suffers and now, in a frantic attempt to extract every last penny of savings in order to offset the cost of paying hundreds of thousands of workers $9/hour versus $8, Wal-Mart is effectively demanding price cuts from anyone with a connection to China in the wake of Beijing’s move to devalue the yuan.
Another rip sold. Dow futures are down over 140 points in the pre-open (as it appears Cramer's pajama-wearers are derisking again). Following the 4th day of Yuan weakness, EUR-based carry trades continue their unwind and that pressure is driving USD Index notably lower, bond yields gapping lower, and commodities tumbling... except gold
The global race to the bottom continued on Thursday as Norway and Taiwan moved to cut rates sending NOK plunging to its weakest level against the dollar in 13 years and pressing Tawain dollar forwards to six year lows.
- Stocks slip for fifth straight day, euro holds steady (Reuters)
- VW recall letters in April warned of an emissions glitch (Reuters)
- VW Cheating Scandal Threatens to Ensnare BMW as Probe Widens (BBG)
- Pope Francis set to address fractious U.S. Congress (Reuters)
- Norway Cuts Rates to Record Low to Save Economy From Oil Slump (BBG)
- Taiwan Cuts Rate for First Time Since 2009 as Exports Falter (BBG)
- Janet Yellen to speak at UMass on Thursday (Daily Collegian)
- A Big Bet That China’s Currency Will Devalue Further (NYT)
- Debt Relief for Students Snarls Market for Their Loans (WSJ)
Japanese Stocks Tumble After Holiday, China Default Risk Hits 2 Year Highs As Yuan Weakens For 4th DaySubmitted by Tyler Durden on 09/23/2015 21:20 -0400
AsiaPac stocks are broadly lower at the open, folowing US' lead as after being closed for 3 days, Japanese stocks open and catch down to global weakness with Nikkei 225 at 2-week lows. It appears it is time to "get back to work Mr.Kuroda," as stocks are below Black Monday's lows. Following last night's dismal data, China credit risk rose once again to new 2 year highs. Once again, industrial metals are under pressure with iron ore, copper, and aluminum all lower (following "peak steel" comments). After 3 days of weakening (and Xi's comments that China won't weaken), PBOC weakend the Yuan fix again, pushing the offshore-onshore spread to 2-week wides (over 500 pips apart).
There is blood on the streets wherever you look in Brazil today, but probably of most interest to the hundreds of US asset managers (the ones managing your mutual funds) is what happens to Petrobras as it remains so widely held. As we noted below, bond prices are collapsing and default risk is soaring, and with the nation's currency collapsing amid the lower-for-longer oil prices, $90 billion of dollar-denominated debt could soon potentially be too burdensome for the company to repay.
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News That Matters
US Futures Surge Nearly 30 Points To Overnight Highs After Tumbling On Worst Chinese Data In 6 YearsSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 09/23/2015 06:55 -0400
In many ways, the overnight market has so far been a reversal of yesterday, when a stable Asia session (with China stocks rising) gave way to a European tumble which in turn dragged the US lower.