The Central Bank Power Shift From West To East, Game Of Thrones Style

The Fed clings to status quo. Other central banks are vying to knock it down, or at least loosen its grip on them. But the Fed behaves as if it has no idea there are other powerful central banks that want to grab and harness its power. It carries on refusing to acknowledge that there may come a time, sooner rather than later, where its power is attacked. The ramifications of such an attack will impact the standing of the U.S. in the world.  The Fed can carry on being oblivious, but Game of Thrones illustrates the struggles playing out right now.

Frontrunning: September 28

  • Stocks Rally as Deutsche Bank Slump Ends, Oil Gains Before Talks (BBG)
  • German government prepare Deutsche Bank rescue plan (Reuters)
  • German financial watchdog not working on emergency plan for Deutsche Bank (Reuters)
  • Saudi Arabia Signals Openness to Future Oil Compromise With Iran (BBG)
  • Will Congressional Face-off Over Flint Lead to a Government Shutdown? (NBC)
  • Shimon Peres, Israel's last founding father, dies at 93 (Reuters)

Chinese Contagion Risks Surge: Banks' Reliance On Each Other For Funding Hits All Time High

China’s smaller banks have never been more reliant on each other for funding, prompting rating companies to warn of contagion risks in any crisis.  "Contagion risks are definitely rising," according to S&P: "The pace of the development is concerning. If this isn’t stopped in time, the central bank will lose some control and flexibility of its monetary policy."

US Futures, Bonds Rise, Dollar Dips As Fed, BOJ Meetings Begin

If yesterday one could "explain" the overnight stock levitation due to the move higher in crude oil, today there is no such catalyst with WTI down modestly, and yet the broader push higher across European stocks and US equities has reappeared following yesterday's muted close on Wall Street ahead of key central bank data on deck.

Frontrunning: September 19

  • Global Stocks Rise, Buoyed by Commodities (WSJ)
  • For Yellen, a September Fed surprise could close confidence gap (Reuters)
  • Robot detonates New Jersey device in latest bomb discovery (Reuters)
  • Syria Truce Hangs in Balance Amid Attacks, Lack of Aid (WSJ)
  • Merkel’s Party Suffers Worst Berlin Loss of Postwar Era (BBG)
  • China’s Home Prices Rise Most in Six Years as Sales Gain (BBG)

Global Stocks, US Futures Rebound As Oil Rises, Dollar Drops

Stocks across the board, and US equity futures are broadly in the green this morning as markets shrug off the terror-related events in the NYC area over the weekend.  There wasn’t a single positive “reason” for the green price action but fears about the bond “tantrum” appear to be fading while a stronger dollar helped push oil and the commodity complex higher.