• Steve H. Hanke
    05/04/2016 - 08:00
    Authored by Steve H. Hanke of The Johns Hopkins University. Follow him on Twitter @Steve_Hanke. A few weeks ago, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) sprang a surprise. It announced that a...

Yuan

Tyler Durden's picture

China Trade Balance Plunges To 11-Month Lows As Exports Crash Over 25%





Worse than expected is an understatement. Things are not getting better in China as Exports crashed 25.4% YoY (the 3rd largest drop in history), almost double the 14.5% expectation and Imports tumbled 13.8%, the 16th month of YoY decline - the longest ever. Altogether this sent the trade surplus down to $32.6bn (missing expectations of $51bn) to 11-month lows. Stocks are mounting a modest rebound on this terrible data (moar stimulus hopes) but after $1 trillion of new credit in 2 months, is there seriously anyone left who thinks moar will help?

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China: A 5-Year Plan And 50 Million Jobs Lost





China never had an actual economic model or growth model. It simply printed an obscene amount of money, especially after 2008, and used it to build factories, 30-storey see-through apartment blocks and highways into nowhere cities, without giving much if any thought to where this would lead when their formerly rich western customers had less to spend on its ever increasing amount of ever more useless products. It was "to infinity and beyond" from the start, but that’s a line from a kids’ fantasy story, not a 5-year plan or an economic model.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Chinese Reserves Drop To Fresh Four Year Low After February's $29BN Decline





After three consecutive declines in China's Foreign Reserves in the November-January period, which averaged nearly $100 billion per month (with particular attention paid to last month's number), consensus expectations were for a moderation in reserve outflows in February to approximately $40 billion in February; moments ago the PBOC reported, that as expected, reserve outflow "slowed down" to just $28.6 billion, bringing China's total foreign reserves to $3.2 trillion, the lowest level since late 2011.

 
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Shorts Pulverized: Iron Ore Soars Most On Record After Goldman Says "Bearish Case Intact"





Just hours after Goldman Sachs issued a report in which it said the iron ore rally is likely to be short lived "in the absence of a material increase in Chinese steel demand, and steel raw materials will once again drive steel prices rather than the other way around", overnight Iron Ore futures traded on the Singapore SGX exploded as much as 19% higher to $58.95 in one session, its biggest jump on record.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

While China Disappointed Stimulus Expectations, Here Is a Summary Of The Main NPC Announcements





As we wrote early yesterday when we summarized the outcome of the first day of China's People's Congress, China failed to deliver any of the major stimulus programs the market was expecting. So what exactly did China announce on its first day of the National People's Congress. Read on to find out...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China Fails To Deliver Major Fiscal Stimulus At People's Congress, Makes Many Promises Instead





There were hopes that China would announce a raft of fscal stimulus measures at the much ballyhooed NPC aimed boosting growth and taking some of the pressure off of montary policy. No such luck. The budget deficit came in at just 3%, an expansion from last year's 2.3%, but well below the 4% some analyasts were hoping for.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Yuan Soars Most In A Month Ahead Of National People's Congress





With all western eyes firmly focused on US payrolls tomorrow, China is preparing for the biggest leadership gathering of the year this weekend. Offshore Yuan (USDCNH) is soaring (up over 5 handles in the last 24 hours) ahead of The National People's Congress as PBOC Deputy Governor hinted at support for the currency saying that it isn't "strictly" pegged to the new basket.

 
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Things Have Actually WORSENED Since the Feb Bounce Began





China sporting negative electricity consumption. EU inflation turns negative. US services follow manufacturing into recession.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Hacking Democracy - Welcome To The Jungle Of Non-Cooperative Nations





It happened in the 1870s. It happened in the 1930s. It's happening today. As George Soros would say, I'm not expecting it. I'm observing it.
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Great Depression Redux: First Currency War, Now US Unleashes Trade War With China





Given the vicious downward spiral of competitive devaluation that is washing around the world's economic bathtub, it appears - just as we saw during The Great Depression - that currency wars have given way to mal-investment-fueled protectionism as US launches the first missile in the trade wars with a massive 266% tariff on imports of cold-rolled steel. “There’ll be a short-term benefit,“ said John Packard of Steel Market Update. ”However, in the long run, the U.S. mills are always going to want more tariffs, and it’s questionable how much more [protection] they can get."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Furious Rally Fizzles Overnight As Futures Follow Oil Lower





Following yesterday's torrid 2.4% March opening rally, which resulted in the biggest S&P gain since January and the best first day of March in history on what was initially seen as very bad news, and then reinterpreted as great news, overnight futures have taken a breather, and erased a modest overnight continuation rally to track the price of oil lower.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

PBOC Weakens Yuan To One-Month Lows





Having yesterday expressed clearly that there was no desire to see the Yuan depreciate, The PBOC weakened the Yuan fix by 0.16% to one-month lows. This sent offshore Yuan notably lower back to post-RRR-Cut lows. For the 2nd day in a row, PBOC also decided to 'skip' open market operations (due to ample liquidity according to their statement).

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China's Mass Unemployment Wave Begins: Six Million Workers To Get Pink Slips





Today, Reuters finally peels away the first layer of just how bad China's mass layoff wave will be when it reports that China aims to lay off 5-6 million state workers over the next two to three years as part of efforts to curb industrial overcapacity and pollution. As Reuters adds, "China's leadership, obsessed with maintaining stability and making sure redundancies do not lead to unrest, will spend nearly 150 billion yuan ($23 billion) to cover layoffs in just the coal and steel sectors in the next 2-3 years."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Stocks Squeeze Higher On "Super Tuesday" As Poor Macro Is Offset By Jack Lew's Soothing Words





With markets happy to put February in the history books because it marked the fourth consecutive monthly decline in global stocks, we move on to March 1st, which doubles down as 'Super Tuesday' in the US when Trump's presidential candidacy will almost certainly be sealed and a day in which stocks decided to join the super fun by super surging overnight on nothing but bad global macro and economic which however was promptly ignored and instead the focus was on ongoing central bank intervention and even more jawboning.

 
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"This Is Pretty Freaking Nuts": Vancouver Home Sells For $735,000 Above Asking Price





“As a proposition for someone who’s going to live in that house and what you’re getting for four million plus – that is a ridiculous joke and that is not something that’s going to work for people who just make a living in Vancouver."

 
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