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Preventing Armageddon Would Cost Only $100 Million … But Congress Is Too Thick to Approve the Fix

George Washington's picture




 

The government has thrown tens of trillions of dollars at the big banks, even though bailing out the big banks hurts – rather than helps – the American economy. See this, this and this. (And it doesn’t take a PhD economist to guess that using bailout funds to buy gold toilet seats and prostitutes is probably not the best way to stimulate the economy as a whole)..

Nobel prize winning economist Joe Stiglitz says that the $3-5 trillion spent on the Iraq war alone has been very bad for the American economy. See this, this and this. Security experts – including both hawks and doves – agree that waging war against Iraq and in other Middle Eastern countries weakens national security and increases terrorism. See this, this, this, this, this, this, this and this.

The government has thrown money at all sorts of other useless projects.

And yet Congress refuses to spend a mere $100 million to prevent Armageddon.

Specifically, well-known physicist Michio Kaku and other members of the American Physical Society asked Congress to appropriate $100 million to harden the country’s electrical grid against solar flares.

Congress refused.

Kaku explains that a solar flare like the one that hit the U.S. in 1859 would – in the current era of nuclear power and electric refrigeration – cause Armageddon.

Not only could such a flare bring on multiple Fukushima type accidents, but it could well cause food riots nationwide.

Kaku explains that relief came in for people hit by disasters like Katrina or Sandy from the “outside”. But a large solar flare could knock out a lot of the power nationwide. So – as people’s food spoils due to lack of refrigeration – emergency workers from other areas would be too preoccupied with their own local crisis to help. There would, in short, be no “cavalry” to the rescue in much of the country.

Such an event would be the most likely Armageddon-type event to hit us (from a secular source, anyway … remember, the Mayans aren’t predicting the end of the world this year.)

In addition, we’ve spent tens of trillions on the “war on terror”, but have failed to take steps to protect against the largest terrorist threat of all: an attack on the power supplies to nuclear power plants. As discussed in more detail below, an electromagnetic pulse (emp) which took out the power supply to a nuclear power plant would cause a Fukushima-style meltdown, and spent fuel pools are extremely vulnerable to terrorism.

We’ve sounded the alarm for years about the failure to harden our electrical system against electromagnetic storms from our sun.

For example, we noted last year that the extreme vulnerability of nuclear power plants to solar flares is a very real threat which we must address:

Nasa scientists are predicting that a solar storm will knock out most of the electrical power grid in many countries worldwide, perhaps for months. See this, this, this, this, this, this and this.

 

Indeed, the Earth’s magnetic field protects us from the sun’s most violent radiation, and yet the magnetic field fluctuates over time. As the Telegraph reported in 2008:

Large hole in magnetic field that protects Earth from sun’s rays … Recent satellite observations have revealed the largest breach yet seen in the magnetic field that protects Earth from most of the sun’s violent blasts.

I’m not predicting some 2012 Mayan catastrophe. [Indeed, I think the whole Mayan 2012 thing is fake.] I am simply warning that a large solar storm – as Nasa is predicting – could knock out power throughout much of the world, especially if the earth’s magnetic field happens to be weak at the time.

 

What would happen to nuclear power plants world wide if their power – and most of the surrounding modern infrastructure – is knocked out?

 

Nuclear power companies are notoriously cheap in trying to cut costs. If they are failing to harden their electrical components to protect against the predicted solar storm, they are asking for trouble … perhaps on a scale that dwarfs Fukushima. Because while Fukushima is the first nuclear accident to involve multiple reactors within the same complex, a large solar storm could cause accidents at multiple complexes in numerous countries.

 

If the nuclear power companies and governments continue to cut costs and take large gambles, the next nuclear accident could make Fukushima look tame.

 

I’m not saying this will happen in 2012, or 2013 (although Nasa appears to be hinting at this). But a large solar storm which knocks out electrical grids over wide portions of the planet will happen at some point in the future.

 

Don’t pretend it is unforeseeable. The nuclear power industry is on notice that it must spend the relatively small amounts of money necessary to prevent a widespread meltdown from the loss of power due to a solar storm.

 

***

 

Most current reactors are of a similarly outdated design as the Fukushima reactors, where the cooling systems require electricity to operate, and huge amounts of spent radioactive fuel are housed on-site, requiring continuous cooling to prevent radioactive release. [Designs which would automatically shut down - and cool down - in the event of an accident are ignored for political reasons.]

The conservative G2 Bulletin reported earlier this year:

As scientists warn of an impending solar storm between now and 2014 that could collapse the national power grid, thrusting millions into darkness instantly, a debate has flared up between utilities and the federal government on the severity of such an event.

 

NASA and the National Academy of Sciences previously confirmed to G2Bulletin that an electromagnetic pulse event from an intense solar storm could occur any time between now and 2014.

 

They say it could have the effect of frying electronics and knocking out transformers in the national electric grid system.

 

Already, there are separate published reports of massive solar storms of plasma – some as large as the Earth itself – flaring off of the sun’s surface and shooting out into space, with some recently having come close enough to Earth to affect worldwide communications and alter the flights of commercial aircraft near the North Pole.

 

But in February, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, which represents the power industry, issued a stunning report asserting that a worst-case geomagnetic “super storm” like the 1859 Carrington Event likely wouldn’t damage most power grid transformers. Instead, it would cause voltage instability and possibly result in blackouts lasting only a few hours or days, but not months and years.

 

NERC’s assertion, however, is at serious variance with the 2008 congressional EMP Commission, the 2008 National Academy of Sciences report; a 2010 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission report; the 2012 report by the Defense Committee of the British Parliament, and others.

 

Even the British scientists who contributed to the parliament report came to their own independent assessment that a great geomagnetic storm would cause widespread damage to power grid transformers and result in a protracted blackout lasting months, or even years, with catastrophic consequences for society.

 

***

 

[The U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission or "FERC"], which regulates interstate electricity and other energy sales but has no authority now over local utilities to harden their grid sites, says that as many as 130 million Americans could have problems for years.

 

***

 

U.S. transformers on the average are more than 30 years old and are susceptible to internal heating, according to FERC experts.

 

***

 

There is ample evidence in the possession of the FERC revealing the damage to transformers from previous geomagnetic storms. For example, there was serious transformer damage to the Salem nuclear power plant in New Jersey in the aftermath of the same geomagnetic storm that caused the March 1989 Hydro-Quebec blackout.

There’s An Easy Fix … Are We Smart Enough to Take It?

Japan’s nuclear meltdown, the economic crisis and the Gulf oil spill all happened for the same reason: big companies cutting every corner in the book – and hiding the existence of huge risks – in order to make a little money.

There are relatively easy fixes to the threat from solar flares:

The head of the leading consulting firm on the effect of electromagnetic disruptions on our power grid – which was commissioned to study the issue by the U.S. federal government – stated that it would be relatively inexpensive to reduce the vulnerability of our power grid:

 

What we’re proposing is to add some fairly small and inexpensive resistors in the transformers’ ground connections. The addition of that little bit of resistance would significantly reduce the amount of the geomagnetically induced currents that flow into the grid.

 

***

 

We think it’s do-able for $40,000 or less per resistor. That’s less than what you pay for insurance for a transformer.

 

***

 

If you’re talking about the United States, there are about 5,000 transformers to consider this for. The Electromagnetic Pulse Commission recommended it in a report they sent to Congress last year. We’re talking about $150 million or so. It’s pretty small in the grand scheme of things.

Mechanical engineer Matthew Stein [notes]:

There are nearly 450 nuclear reactors in the world, with hundreds more being planned or under construction…. Imagine what havoc it would wreak on our civilization and the planet’s ecosystems if we were to suddenly witness not just one or two nuclear meltdowns, but 400 or more! How likely is it that our world might experience an event that could ultimately cause hundreds of reactors to fail and melt down at approximately the same time? I venture to say that, unless we take significant protective measures, this apocalyptic scenario is not only possible, but probable.

 

***

 

In the past 152 years, Earth has been struck by roughly 100 solar storms, causing significant geomagnetic disturbances (GMD), two of which were powerful enough to rank as “extreme GMDs.” If an extreme GMD of such magnitude were to occur today, in all likelihood, it would initiate a chain of events leading to catastrophic failures at the vast majority of our world’s nuclear reactors, similar to but over 100 times worse than, the disasters at both Chernobyl and Fukushima.

 

***

 

The good news is that relatively affordable equipment and processes could be installed to protect critical components in the electric power grid and its nuclear reactors, thereby averting this “end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it” scenario. The bad news is that even though panels of scientists and engineers have studied the problem, and the bipartisan Congressional electromagnetic pulse (EMP) commission has presented a list of specific recommendations to Congress, our leaders have yet to approve and implement any significant preventative measures.

 

***

 

Unfortunately, the world’s nuclear power plants, as they are currently designed, are critically dependent upon maintaining connection to a functioning electrical grid, for all but relatively short periods of electrical blackouts, in order to keep their reactor cores continuously cooled so as to avoid catastrophic reactor core meltdowns and fires in storage ponds for spent fuel rods.

 

If an extreme GMD were to cause widespread grid collapse (which it most certainly will), in as little as one or two hours after each nuclear reactor facility’s backup generators either fail to start, or run out of fuel, the reactor cores will start to melt down. After a few days without electricity to run the cooling system pumps, the water bath covering the spent fuel rods stored in “spent-fuel ponds” will boil away, allowing the stored fuel rods to melt down and burn[2]. Since the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) currently mandates that only one week’s supply of backup generator fuel needs to be stored at each reactor site, it is likely that, after we witness the spectacular nighttime celestial light show from the next extreme GMD, we will have about one week in which to prepare ourselves for Armageddon.

 

To do nothing is to behave like ostriches with our heads in the sand, blindly believing that “everything will be okay” as our world drifts towards the next natural, inevitable super solar storm and resultant extreme GMD. Such a storm would end the industrialized world as we know it, creating almost incalculable suffering, death and environmental destruction on a scale not seen since the extinction of the dinosaurs some 65 million years ago.

 

***

 

There are records from the 1850s to today of roughly 100 significant geomagnetic solar storms, two of which, in the last 25 years, were strong enough to cause millions of dollars worth of damage to key components that keep our modern grid powered.

 

***

 

“The Carrington Event,” raged from August 28 to September 4, 1859. This extreme GMD induced currents so powerful that telegraph lines, towers and stations caught on fire at a number of locations around the world. Best estimates are that the Carrington Event was approximately 50 percent stronger than the 1921 storm.[5] Since we are headed into an active solar period much like the one preceding the Carrington Event, scientists are concerned that conditions could be ripe for the next extreme GMD.[6]

 

***

 

The federal government recently sponsored a detailed scientific study to better understand how much critical components of our national electrical power grid might be affected by either a naturally occurring GMD or a man-made EMP. Under the auspices of the EMP Commission and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), and reviewed in depth by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the National Academy of Sciences, Metatech Corporation undertook extensive modeling and analysis of the potential effects of extreme geomagnetic storms on the US electrical power grid. Based upon a storm as intense as the 1921 storm, Metatech estimated that within the United States, induced voltage and current spikes, combined with harmonic anomalies, would severely damage or destroy over 350 EHV power transformers critical to the functioning of the US grid and possibly impact well over 2000 EHV transformers worldwide.[7]

 

EHV transformers are made to order and custom-designed for each installation, each weighing as much as 300 tons and costing well over $1 million. Given that there is currently a three-year waiting list for a single EHV transformer (due to recent demand from China and India, lead times grew from one to three years), and that the total global manufacturing capacity is roughly 100 EHV transformers per year when the world’s manufacturing centers are functioning properly, you can begin to grasp the implications of widespread transformer losses.

 

The loss of thousands of EHV transformers worldwide would cause a catastrophic grid collapse across much of the industrialized world. It will take years, at best, for the industrialized world to put itself back together after such an event, especially considering the fact that most of the manufacturing centers that make this equipment will also be grappling with widespread grid failure.

 

***

 

In the event of an extreme GMD-induced long-term grid collapse covering much of the globe, if just half of the world’s spent fuel ponds were to boil off their water and become radioactive, zirconium-fed infernos, the ensuing contamination could far exceed the cumulative effect of 400 Chernobyls.

 

***

 

The Congressionally mandated EMP Commission has studied the threat of both EMP [i.e. an electromagnetic pulse set of by terrorists or adversaries in war] and extreme GMD events and made recommendations to the US Congress to implement protective devices and procedures to ensure the survival of the grid and other critical infrastructures in either event. John Kappenman, author of the Metatech study, estimates that it would cost about $1 billion to build special protective devices into the US grid to protect its EHV transformers from EMP or extreme GMD damage and to build stores of critical replacement parts should some of these items be damaged or destroyed. Kappenman estimates that it would cost significantly less than $1 billion to store at least a year’s worth of diesel fuel for backup generators at each US nuclear facility and to store sets of critical spare parts, such as backup generators, inside EMP-hardened steel containers to be available for quick change-out in the event that any of these items were damaged by an EMP or GMD.[12]

 

For the cost of a single B-2 bomber or a tiny fraction of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) bank bailout, we could invest in preventative measures to avert what might well become the end of life as we know it. There is no way to protect against all possible effects from an extreme GMD or an EMP attack, but we could implement measures to protect against the worst effects. Since 2008, Congress has narrowly failed to pass legislation that would implement at least some of the EMP Commission’s recommendations.[13]

 

***

 

Citizens can do their part to push for legislation to move toward this goal and work inside our homes and communities to develop local resilience and self reliance, so that in the event of a long-term grid-down scenario, we might make the most of a bad situation. The same tools that are espoused by the Transition movement for developing local self-reliance and resilience to help cope with the twin effects of climate change and peak oil could also serve communities well in the event of an EMP attack or extreme GMD. If our country were to implement safeguards to protect our grid and nuclear power plants from EMP, it would also eliminate the primary incentive for a terrorist to launch an EMP attack. The sooner we take these actions, the less chance that an EMP attack will occur.

Will we insist that these inexpensive fixes to our electrical grid be made? Or will we focus on over-blown dangers … and ignore the thing most likely to actually get us?

 

 

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Sun, 11/25/2012 - 09:28 | 3009582 Seer
Seer's picture

I believe that that quote is from the PNAC document.

Regarding the actual substance (not the Party Pussy stuff), you're right.  But even That needs further questioning.  Why would TPTB, which already owns and controls nearly everything (which you seem to also note), wish to undertake anything that would cause instability, that instability results in unpredictable outcomes: this to me seems like a stretch. My theory is that TPTB know that things are going in the shitter because they are losing power due to declining resources (ALL wars are about resources).  The theory(?) of "they're going to take everything over" has to account for an endgame, and given that they already pretty much have control over everything such a theory doesn't make sense.

It's Team TPTB.  POTUS and coterie are no more than mouthpieces for TPTB.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 16:29 | 3007237 honestann
honestann's picture

He has it backwards.  Such an event may be the only way to get great numbers of people pissed enough to destroy the predator-class.  And the fancy alarm systems owned by the predator-class might not work so well at the exact same time.  Nice!

Sun, 11/25/2012 - 09:34 | 3009586 Seer
Seer's picture

Ah!  I was going to present this formula/angle myself, only instead of people "rising up against" I figured that the event itself would take care of TPTB (I'm all for conservation of energy; I tend to think of it like Aikido).

The "predator-class" uses the very systems that we're looking to protect to control us!

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 17:30 | 3007247 Michaelwiseguy
Michaelwiseguy's picture

We should have required "Presumption of Freedom, Presumption of Innocence of American Citizens Sensitivity Training", administered through human resource departments of all government agencies.

These classes will include the citing of law that backs up and reinforces the training topics covered in the lessons.

I'll have more on this subject as I develop my new realm of education for government employees.

I'm starting this New Entrepreneurial business today and invite you to participate and join me in this endeavor.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 16:14 | 3007212 Getting Old Sucks
Getting Old Sucks's picture

GW,

Check out ENE lately?  Does anything matter anymore?

GOS

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 16:59 | 3007191 falak pema
falak pema's picture

the 100 miliion USD horeshoe to prevent Armageddon and the world war that the US can't win; as SOLDIER RYAN  doesn't WANT to die anymore for US oligarchy!

No robot or drone, no Frankenstein monster  can win a battle when East meets West, eye to eye. Like in a Kipling poem.

It takes man to conquer man and impose right over wrong based on force and more, for it to be meaningful : its needs dawn of progress and rays of hope. Like FDR/Ike emanated in liberated Europe. 

To win a war you need the young to believe in the cause. No american young man believes in Pax Americana cause after Abu Ghraib and Afghanistan droning. Impossible lie, and sleight of hand of false civilization. 

No robot nor the media inferno has cured that disease as nothing can now be hidden to common man; not even the birth mark on a naked woman's butt in far off Azerbaidjan! If she dares to show it on the Internet! 

Its a drop in the ocean of money, its a grand canyon in the realm of Oligarchy mindset.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:58 | 3007178 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

I ain't afraid of no extreme GMD - bring it on, hommie...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOfZLb33uCg

 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:50 | 3007165 takinthehighway
takinthehighway's picture

Good article GW, but I'm sure not seeing $100 million. 40,000 resistors times 5,000 transformers is $200 million - and that's the uninstalled price. Still probably worth the cost, whatever it may end up being.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:47 | 3007157 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Michio Kaku considers himself a globalist (for a rather noble reason instead of greed) and yet they treat him and in general all physicists as serfs. The physicists are awake. Yaaahhh.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 22:28 | 3007929 RichardP
RichardP's picture

The physicists are awake.

But they have no money.  Money talks.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:48 | 3007150 seataka
seataka's picture

As an old electronics guy... I'm not sure this particular ground resistor idea would do anything...besides waste money. the quality of local grounds varies considerably anyway depending upon soil conductivity at each site... And, oil filled transformers are oil filled so they can arc internally and not become junk. Of course there is a limit to how big that arc can be....

 

 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 20:58 | 3007788 Dr. Sandi
Dr. Sandi's picture

I don't know why everybody worries so much about this 'power grid' thing falling down.

Do like I do. Just get your electricity right out of the walls of your house. The damned thing is full of the stuff.

Sun, 11/25/2012 - 10:14 | 3009617 Seer
Seer's picture

Go Amish!

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 22:01 | 3007888 willwork4food
willwork4food's picture

At first it was...wtf? Then i got it. LMAO!

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:36 | 3007137 Dawnofinsanity
Dawnofinsanity's picture

$100 million saves lives, it doesn't destroy them and creates the ongoing trillion dollar global lifestyle that seeks to support the Bible's prophecy of an armegeddon, because it is an armeggedon that proves that one's religion was right.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 17:25 | 3007356 Bollixed
Bollixed's picture

Perhaps we should wait for the Easter Bunny or Santa Claus to chime in before we make any hasty decisions if we're going to bring folklore into the discussion.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 17:18 | 3007339 imbrbing
imbrbing's picture

God does not need anyones religion to prove he is right.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:27 | 3007121 jse111
jse111's picture

Approach the save the earth topic as Richard Mourdock, the Republican and Tea Party all-time favorite, Senatorial candidate and wonderful gift to the Democrats would. Save the money and simply accept extinction as, "Gods will" and get on with the inevitable!

 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:27 | 3007119 jse111
jse111's picture

Approach the save the earth topic as Richard Mourdock, the Republican and Tea Party all-time favorite, Senatorial candidate and wonderful gift to the Democrats would. Save the money and simply accept extinction as, "Gods will" and get on with the inevitable!

 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:25 | 3007108 Kitler
Kitler's picture

Since we are headed into an active solar period much like the one preceding the Carrington Event, scientists are concerned that conditions could be ripe for the next extreme GMD.[6]

It would make incredible sense to harden the grid against the kind of catastrophic failure that would result from an earthward directed CME or giant x-class flare. The quest to maximize corporate profitability combined with governmental and regulatory incompetance is why these precautions will never be put into place.

I do however take issue with the above highlighted quote. Solar cycle 24 and 25 will be very low intensity events. Cycle 24 is probably already past solar max and most predictions from solar physicists suggest that cycle 25 will be even lower. We are in all likelihood witnessing a possible grand solar minimum at present. NASA was the first agency to trumpet the risk of a Carrington like event occuring late last year with a request for research funds attached. The threat of a flare or CME however is always with us and it would be wise that preparations should be made.

Check out for yourself the heliospheric magnetic field strength back in 1859 with that which we are currently experiencing today.

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/clip_image017.gif

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 23:04 | 3007982 seataka
seataka's picture

Russians pointed it out years ago

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 20:15 | 3007701 willwork4food
willwork4food's picture

I've studied that graph before. I agree that we are in a historic solar minimum -off the charts mode just last year. But it's always cyclical and the graph would suggest it is beginning to break the historic lows. If it doesn't and goes even lower as you suggest, then the next solar maximum should be a real hoot.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:09 | 3007086 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

Think about it.  The folks in Congress, for the most part, were the kids on Student Government in high school, and Student Senate in College.  They were the managers of the football team, or they sat pine for four years so they could put it on their resumes.  They might have been in the military, but they were in the JAG, not the infantry.  They were smart enough to get through college, but it was their "connections" through the unions or their Daddy's rotary seat that gave them their first political hack job.  Then they just moved up the food chain.

These morons, for the most part know nothing of physics.  They think a Faraday cage is something you put your Irish setter in.

99.99% of us live our lives from day to day not thinking that these idiots have the power to fuck up our lives.

And then there is that once in a lifetime moment where the power we have abdicated to these parasites means something. 

And they blow it.

They haven't changed.  When they see YOU or ME, they still half expect to get wedgies.

And that is the truth.

The man at the head was a fucking State Senator less than ten years ago.  Think about your State Senator.  I wouldn't let my State Senator change the tires on my truck.  And that is who is running our country.

We are so fucked.

 

Sun, 11/25/2012 - 10:21 | 3009625 Seer
Seer's picture

They don't even understand something as simple as exponential functions.

But... fool me twice... we ought to stop thinking that we need "leaders."  As long as we do, then by all accounts we're even dumber than they are.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 09:31 | 3008268 WTFx10
WTFx10's picture

"They haven't changed.  When they see YOU or ME, they still half expect to get wedgies."

The problem is there NOT getting them. They should get one every few years so they know who their boss is.

Well I take that back ,they are getting them except it is the Money men giving them instaed of us.

Once the $$$ is shoved up their ass they do exactly as told.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 20:25 | 3007716 Mike in GA
Mike in GA's picture

Yeah, a state senator that voted "present".

 You're right, we ARE fucked.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 16:20 | 3007225 optimator
optimator's picture

Hardening would also protect from an EMP type attack.

" I wouldn't let my State Senator change the tires on my truck."

Sorry, I thought the lug nuts would tighten by themselves! 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 19:32 | 3007602 au_bayitch
au_bayitch's picture

You didn't build that truck.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:30 | 3007125 Tango in the Blight
Tango in the Blight's picture

Most people know nothing about science and they look down upon the people who do. They tell their children to become a paper shuffler in an office and not get their hands dirty with real work. Lawyers and politicians are viewed as wise men by them, not scientists and technicians. Every people gets the government which they deserve.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 15:59 | 3008674 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

Why would anyone want to know about science?  The money's all in finance and sales.  Science just deflects attention from important stuff like money.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 09:41 | 3008274 WTFx10
WTFx10's picture

Agreed ,all governments are based on bullshit and lies. Thats why nothing ever changes the same bullshitters and liars have been in control for 2000+ years.

Actors on a stage just like Hollywood, hmmm who controls Hollywood? The same fucks that control everything else.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 20:09 | 3007682 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

Just look at the output from the "Entertainment Industry" - SF films where the "technicians" are regarded / treated as underdogs, and are generally the first to end up as cannon / monster / catastrophe fodder.

The vast majority (> 95% of the population in ALL so-called "civilised" Countries) really have no idea what constitutes a "Hard Science" Degree, and have the idea that your Physics / Maths / Chemistry Degree was "no more difficult" than their "Smart Accountant Friend"'s qualifying Bachelor's in Medievel Art History.

If you're a "Scientist" you're "strange" or "A Bit of a Geek". Get a relevant Doctorate and you're immediately "Mad Professor" material. in the West.

We see the consequences of this mindset every day now. And it ain't nice out there is it.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 13:28 | 3008501 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

Hate to tell you, your math degree is not that hard to obtain, it's dealing with the horrible teachers and Liberal Arts bullshit along the way that is a pain in the ass.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:09 | 3007085 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

If you assume that your enemy is stupid, you have placed your fate in his hands.

If you say "But he's not my enemy, he's just misguided!" -- then you have placed your fate in his hands.

 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:08 | 3007084 PGR88
PGR88's picture

A Congressman can't take a dump in Washington without spending $150 million.   The idea that the US Gov't would only need to spend $150 million to protect the national transmission grid is ludicrous.  Add 3 zeros to that amount and then you are becoming rational.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 13:46 | 3008518 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

and it wouldn't be such a big problem but all they do is take dumps 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 18:18 | 3007455 Doña K
Doña K's picture

The government usually spends that much for feasibility studies

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:08 | 3007082 Taint Boil
Taint Boil's picture

 

 

I think I have said before - 50 Towel Heads with 50 calibers (taking out key transformers) would probably bring this country to its knees and cost a trillion. Anyways...  Happy Holidays.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:44 | 3007153 AGuy
AGuy's picture

Its much much easier than that. One person without any help can bring down the grid. It doesn't require anything high-tech nor does it require computers. But for the sake of Western civilization I will not explain how to do it.

I do worry that someone with the willpower to take us out will figure out how to take out the grid one day.

 

 

 

 

 

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 21:56 | 3007881 RichardP
RichardP's picture

I will not explain how to do it.

Twelve years ago or so there was a storm of some sort in Oregon and a tree branch fell onto some power lines, shorting them out.  The fall-out from that caused just about the entire West Coast to lose power, including much of Los Angeles.

If a tree branch can do that, think what a bunch of aluminum balloons would do.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 07:35 | 3008229 Urban Redneck
Urban Redneck's picture

Douchebag extraordinaire Wesley Clark has plenty of experience in that tactic...

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 06:10 | 3008201 cossack55
cossack55's picture

So, you're sayin that 99 Luftballons war a call to action for the Baader-Meinhoff gang?

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 20:18 | 3007707 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

There are MANY vulnerabilities. Most stem from the reluctance of the population to have HV lines near centres of poulation, and a similar reluctance to have HV Switching  / Transformer Stations near centres of population.

"Out of Sight, Out of Mind" could be a very risky strategy in the future.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 15:05 | 3007076 jusman
jusman's picture

As an electrical engineer in the field, I can attest that it would cost a lot more than just adding a ground resistor to power transformers.  Long high-voltage lines (as for Bonneville Power) are especially susceptible to induced DC currents caused by solar flares.  The Hydro Quebec system (am in Montreal) had to install series capacitors in the middle of the long 735 kV lines to interrupt the DC current - at tremendous expense.  The company I was working for supplied just an upgrade in the relays protecting the lines and got a contract worth over $5 million....and that is for ONE utility.

Yes the grid in the USA needs upgrading, and a coordinated energy policy re the electric good would certainly be a good idea, but the technical solution of adding resistors on transformers and the costs associated with it seems very simplistic to me...

 

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 16:00 | 3008677 archon
archon's picture

This is a very real threat - these guys aren't just speculative alarmists like the global warming people.  We already know for a fact that a nuke could do the same thing to the power grid in the USA, and a solar flare is orders of magnitude more powerful than a nuke.  I read about the 1859 solar flare - it literally melted the telegraph wires from the poles it was so powerful.  People in the tropics could read their newspapers at night by the light of the auroras.  In 1859 the only electrical things were telegraphs - today the whole planet is wired, and there's not a single thing we do that doesn't depend on electricity.  If another flare like that struck the Earth, we'd be f*cked back to the stone age.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 16:13 | 3007207 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

Sounds like the sort of infrastructure spending that politically disengaged folks probably think was done by the "stimulus" money spent in 2009. Unfortunately, that money didn't do jack shit. It went to preserve the do-nothing jobs of civil servants and pinky ring union thugs and assorted connected, corrupt scum instead.

Fri, 11/23/2012 - 20:59 | 3007792 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Agreed.

For one example, the government LOST five hundred thirty nine MILLION on Solyndra...alone. I can just see it now. They're projections are usually off by thirty to fifty percent to the upside, so I'm thinkin a solar flare "fix" would be around a cool billion once its all said and done.

Can't wait for the meteor project to come up...code named The Orion Catcher's Mitt or some damned thing.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 10:47 | 3008306 tango
tango's picture

I ususally dismiss GW's rants automatically but this actually make sense (common vs financial).  We go into debt over $3B/day so at the cost of 8 hours debt we could institute tangible long-term changes.  (Yeah, I know about eventual costs.)   We could upgrade the Space Object Project, protect infrastructure from solar flares and begin work on hardening strategic elements against EMP.  Mind you, all this incredibly potential good for the annual price of the Obama Phone Fiasco.  To me, it's a no-brainer.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 11:48 | 3008381 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Scroll down and see Bulletproofs comment...technical with some common sense.

There's cause for concern but not white knuckled alarm ;-)

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 13:41 | 3008514 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

good point, all the knuckles should be alarmed

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