This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

North Korea's New Master Plan

testosteronepit's picture




 

Wolf Richter   www.testosteronepit.com   www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter

Known under the official misnomer Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), North Korea is an inscrutable, unpredictable, armed-to-the-teeth thorn in just about everyone’s side, a pariah ready to lob nukes, starve its own people, or hold out an olive branch, only to yank it back. But now something is going on that reeks of the dreaded phrase, “this time, it’s different”: secret discussions in Germany.

North Korea is seeking the advice of German economists and jurists, the German paper FAZ was told by a source, an academic and one of the presumed experts who has been participating in these hush-hush discussions.

“There is a master plan,” he said. North Korea is planning to open up its economy to foreign investors in 2013. They’re particularly interested in modern investment laws. But they’re not looking at the Chinese model with its special economic zones for foreign investors. Instead, they’re looking at the “Vietnamese blueprint,” the source said, where the government selected foreign companies and investors. The advice of German experts would pave the way for German companies and investors. The lure of the familiar. North Korea had a busy relationship with communist East Germany.

But special economic zones for foreign investors are already under way in North Korea along the Chinese border, including at Rason city, which North Korean officials hyped last September during an investment conference in China as “North Korea’s Shenzhen,” and the islands of Hwanggumphyong and Wihwa in the Yalu river, which would become the “blessed land for investors to get rich.” There would be incentives, such as duty-free imports and a 14% income-tax rate.

Irresistible. Xiyang Group, a large Chinese mining company, invested $40 million in North Korea to build an iron-ore mine. But the government sabotaged the deal, stole its knowhow, and seized the mine, Xiyang claimed last fall. It was a “nightmare” running the place. North Korean managers, when in China, demanded top-shelf alcohol, cars, and pricy prostitutes. Accusations that the North Korean side met with counter accusations. The investment may be lost. So the Chinese are leery. But they know how to slip in and take advantage of opportunities [It Wasn’t Supposed To Be This Way: Chinese Oil Companies Apparent Victors in Post-Saddam Iraq].

There have been other signs—or hopes of signs—of an opening. Kim Jong-un, who was declared Supreme Leader in December, 2011, announced in his New Year’s address last Tuesday, the first such address by a Supreme Leader in 19 years, that 2013 would bring a “radical rerouting” of the country’s economic policies. Agriculture and light industry would be at the center. He had a vision: “An important issue in putting an end to the division of the country and achieving its reunification,” he said, “is to remove confrontation between the north and the south.”

The peace offer was largely brushed off as mere rhetoric. Similar verbal gestures had been made before only to dissolve into missile launches, nuclear tests, and aggressive tirades. But the other divided country, Germany, had successfully reunified. It was expensive for West Germans, and a sea change for East Germans. Dissatisfaction in some circles led to the not-always tongue-in-cheek outcry, “We want to have our Wall again.” But Chancellor Merkel is from former East Germany—perhaps a model, or an illusion, for Kim Jong-un, who is young, worldly, and ambitious.

He went to school under an alias in the German-speaking part of Switzerland near the capital Bern. From 1993 to 1998, he attended the private “International School” where English was the school language, then continued until 2000 at a public school where German was spoken. Poor grades and absenteeism dogged his experience. He flunked natural sciences, barely passed math and German—pretty good for a kid in a foreign country where his classes were held in two foreign languages.

So, how serious could Kim be in trying to open up his country and strive for reunification? Now even former governor of New Mexico, Bill Richardson, and Google Executive Chairman, Eric Schmidt are heading to North Korea. Neither publicly divulged his intentions. The State Department expressed its opposition. There were rumors—likely a pretext—that they’d try to disentangle human rights activists as Kenneth Bae, an American who’d engaged, according to propaganda outfit, Korean Central News Agency, in “hostile acts against the republic.”

The US defense industry would vigorously oppose any resolution of the Korean conflict as it would eliminate a major strategic concern—and the associated taxpayer-funded wealth effect. South Koreans, if they look at Germany, might wonder if they can even afford to pay for reunification. And the Chinese have their own concerns, including the outright collapse of the North Korean regime, and the chaos it would bring.

But the Chinese won’t be discouraged. They’re on a quest for natural resources. Even in places like Africa, where China is going after oil, it surpassed the US and Europe as largest trading partner. Read.... China in Africa: Partners in the Year of the Snake.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Sat, 01/05/2013 - 10:59 | 3125088 urwright
urwright's picture

edward bernays agendas are as obvious as the sky is blue to folks who have been fucked over there. occupy movements are not naggerslaves like here. they consist of men and women who have spines and do not talk shit like Tyler and all US  here who believe words are actions.

they in Latin America there may be families that obviously run shit and who would sell out to a highest bidder but how did that go for the Austrians?

chavez is in power for a reason and it is not the reason so many other figure heads are in power. it would require another Iraq type invasion and we would have to give it to cChina to pay for the cost.

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 06:40 | 3124893 cranky-old-geezer
cranky-old-geezer's picture

 

 

What?  20,840 VND = 1 USD?

That's like fucking Zimbabwe.  What a freikin joke.  How could anyone take that seriously?

This fiat currency stuff is bullshit.  Just a big fucking game.  And the whole damn world is playing it. 

All somebody has to do to bring that whole house of cards down is introduce a PM-redeemable currency at some decent rate like 5,000 / oz gold. 

Not "backed".   "backed" is bullshit.  They can lie about how much gold reserve they have.  They change the exchange rate anytime they want.

*Redeemable* is the only thing that counts.  It gets us back to where we started.  Certificates redeemable for real metal on demand. 

It would shut down fractional reserve lending instantly.  No bank would dare issue more certificates with nothing in reserve for them.

It would still allow checking accounts.  It would simply stop currency creation out of thin air for some type of "debt" booked as an offsetting asset.

Currency "backed" by nothing more than a promise to pay it back to the bank?   There's no value there.  It's worthless.

It's amazing how people can be conditioned to thinking pieces of paper with fancy printing have value.  It's insanity.  But that's how the worldwide monetary system works.

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 11:07 | 3125095 urwright
urwright's picture

i threw an up arrow at you but wanted to correct you.

the collateral of this currency is at the end of the barrel of a big gun.

now that everyone is waking up to that huge shaft that's in the hole in their ass they plan on pulling the thing out while they make the collateral call. 

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 23:53 | 3124608 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

how do the people feel about this j?

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 03:09 | 3124773 JOYFUL
JOYFUL's picture

...the people... how quaint! Thank you for that legacy C20th reference Tipster.

Of course, as we now all know, there are no "peeples" to intrude upon the progression of progress...

we are all "Consumers" now - international solidarity - Consumers Unite. Under the banner of unitary oops, Tylers don't allow my Circle U symbol here - use imagination please. BIG CIRCLE U RANCH n ABATOIR.

It's all Good. Until it isn't!

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 08:24 | 3124968 Seer
Seer's picture

Consumers consuming in order to fatten up for...

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 23:28 | 3124572 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

Plutocratic mercantilism utopia!

Could explain this recent news article

http://money.cnn.com/2013/01/03/news/starbucks-vietnam/

The vultures approacheth....

Good luck fair trading that fucker...next stop Pyongyang!

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 02:56 | 3124763 JOYFUL
JOYFUL's picture

from your quoted source..."looking to expand it's footprint in Asia"...

yes, that's quite a good way of putting it, non? Sasquatch© goes East and buys out AbominableSnowman LLC...Howard Schutlz is the new Ray Kroc/legend in his own mind. The Tribe© is footloose&fancy free.

During my recent stay in Kunming, I kept walking past a Starbucks that was closed, day after day. Could not understand why. No English speakers available to explain why. Inspired some creative thinking on my part.

These f**ks are going to get quarter-pounded. China is not Merika.

c=k\©equals K. So Sorry, this is not Amerika! http://youtu.be/GRjivIBCHDc Pat Metheny\this is not

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 10:22 | 3125052 max2205
max2205's picture

Thank God, qciumshi prices should go down

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 23:05 | 3124533 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

As soon as they open the border North Korea will empty out like a theater on fire.

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 07:02 | 3124903 Seer
Seer's picture

Given the state of nearly every other country's economy I'd say that outside that theatre are folks with clubs beating the fleeing mobs back into the theatre.

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 23:06 | 3124529 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

Is there an Illuminati krazy kontrol date picked to mark this occasion yet?

Oooh...how about March 22 ?

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 22:51 | 3124515 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

and... who cares?  The whole fucking country is worth the same as my dirty socks.  When you are that far behind, it just doesn't matter.  Civil wars coming Wolf.  We need you kid.  Focus.

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 10:25 | 3125056 max2205
max2205's picture

Let's see. If N Korea goes soft and Iran goes our way and the twenty alqeadi guys give up, there should finally be peace on earth.

We can then cut defense by $1 trillion a year.

There, fixed it.

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 21:46 | 3124412 Earl of Chiswick
Earl of Chiswick's picture

schmidt do know evil

Fri, 01/04/2013 - 23:51 | 3124605 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

no doubt on a super secret mission for the big O

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 00:04 | 3124626 Manthong
Manthong's picture

It’s bound to be at least as good an investment for Obama as Solyndra was.

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 08:13 | 3124959 Seer
Seer's picture

Or, as Afghanistan was for GW Bush.  Hm... maybe that's why the desperate move by Obama with Solyndra, knowing that the oil flows through Afghanistan aren't going to be delivering as much energy as hoped?

Sat, 01/05/2013 - 02:26 | 3124748 Spirit Of Truth
Spirit Of Truth's picture

I guess the key question is how the North intends to unite with the South, i.e., through economic trade or through brute force:

http://thespiritoftruth.blogspot.com/2010/11/on-north-korea.html

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!