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One Last Gasp

SurlyTrader's picture




 

Markets go hyperbolic more often than we would like.  The only predictable fact is that markets cannot continue to go hyperbolic indefinitely.  I got a lot of flack for doubting the ability of bitcoin to continue its rocket trajectory, but in all bubbles comes a burst.  The burst is usually more noteworthy than the rally.

The Nikkei is our newest darling:

 

The most interesting question is whether this is the beginning of the unraveling for Japan.  Their 10 year yield has gone from 44bps to 85bps in a matter of a month and their stock market is overheating.  Is this the result of effective central bank intervention or the spasms before the collapse?

 

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Thu, 05/16/2013 - 13:16 | 3569801 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

We're printing more than the japs by that much 

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 11:59 | 3569413 smartstrike
smartstrike's picture

What's so hard to understand about NIKKEI? It's bottomed out and now it'll continue to go higher as money goes out of the bond market into equities.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 11:31 | 3569246 Blopper
Blopper's picture

One last gasp? Tell that to the Zimbabweans during the start of hyperinflstion.

Blopper says the market still have much room to go higher, whether ZH likes it or not.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 11:02 | 3569099 rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

Some people have been waiting for the DOW to plunge for over 5000pts now.  It will  happen when it does. LOL.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 10:51 | 3569030 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

The Nikkei couldn't possibly have a "spectacular crash" from 8,800.

It can now.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 10:06 | 3568793 arnoldsimage
arnoldsimage's picture

kyle bass..."On Japanese stocks - The people buying Japanese stocks, are picking up dimes in front of a bulldozer."


Thu, 05/16/2013 - 11:46 | 3569345 tecno242
tecno242's picture

There's only one big problem with that giant explanation.

It somehow still believes that you can solve a debt problem with more debt.  It somehow assumes we have beaten deflation and it won't come back.  That QE will work forever until a new global monetary system is established.

Basically... it believes that the FED can prove math wrong.

Eventually global yields on soverigns will rise and they will rise while recessionary conditions returned and the ability to fund our way out of it on a global basis will no longer be feasable.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 13:18 | 3569807 Uchtdorf
Uchtdorf's picture

That, and it expects citizens of all countries to just roll over and allow unelected international banksters control their destiny...from now on.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 09:53 | 3568717 Legolas
Legolas's picture

+1000

 

Great article.  Thanks OpTwoMistic.  

It's the best explanation of the insanity going on that I've read so far.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 10:20 | 3568872 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Ditto, long but very interesting thesis on current global financial situation...

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 07:54 | 3568270 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

Hard not to see gold price doubling by the end of the year with this first major domino going kaput, even given the directed propaganda out there.

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 09:30 | 3568604 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

I asked the Tyler's yesterday and I will ask again, it would be great to see a chart of gold priced in Japanese yen over this same time period...

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 05:58 | 3568139 new game
new game's picture

this is what happens to a currency as it heads to the scrap bin.

a zillion yen for a big mac, plez; 2 zillion today? i'm hungry?i'll be back with 3 zillion ...

kyle lookin good in the neighborhood!

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 03:42 | 3568078 Element
Element's picture

Fat Rich Cunts - The Screaming Jets
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ziNf7pP4I

Thu, 05/16/2013 - 09:35 | 3568621 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Nice... can't wait to see them tumble and fall either...

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