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Japan Just Showed Us What's Coming Our Way

Phoenix Capital Research's picture




 

 

Anyone looking for clues as to what’s coming our way in the markets need only look to Japan where the QE forever policy has finally hit the wall.

 

Prior to the Prime Minister elections in September 2012, the Bank of Japan had already launched EIGHT QE efforts equal to over 20% of Japan’s GDP.

 

Throughout this period of money printing, Japan’s rate of GDP growth fell while its unemployment rate barely budged. There was little if any evidence that QE had accomplished anything.

 

However, this didn’t deter Prime Minister candidate Shinzo Abe from believing that QE was the answer to Japan’s woes. Abe ran on a platform of aggressive monetary expansion. As soon as he was elected he began promising to get the Bank of Japan’s money printers to work. The Japanese stock market, the Nikkei, took the hint and erupted higher, rallying over 70% in less than six months.

 

Sure enough, in April 2013, the Bank of Japan announced a massive $1.4 trillion QE program (equal to another 24% of Japan’s GDP). And the Nikkei experienced one last blow off top before collapsing:

 

 

 

In a matter of weeks, the Nikkei erased all of its post-QE gains, taking out its critical trendline and entering a bear market.

 

This is how market bubbles burst: the market enters a blow off top and then implodes violently, taking out all of its gains in a fraction of the time it took to create them.

 

This is coming our way, whether investors like it or not. The signs are all in place with the economy weakening, corporate profits set to fall, multiple Hindenberg omens and more.

For more market insights, visit us at:

http://gainspainscapital.com/the-inflation-secrets-your-broker-wont-tell...

Best Regards

Graham Summers

 

 

 

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Fri, 06/07/2013 - 14:25 | 3634673 CDNX fan
CDNX fan's picture

Everyone entering the gold market since 2011 is toasted while those long the E/S are prosperously wealthy because they are putting their dough on the "Don't Pass" line knowing the house has rigged the table.

Fri, 06/07/2013 - 14:23 | 3634658 shutupnsing
shutupnsing's picture

Captain Shinzo Ahab, "Thar she blows!"

Fri, 06/07/2013 - 13:39 | 3634448 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

The Japanese give me hope that the Fed will eventually stop trying to jawbone the markets.

Fri, 06/07/2013 - 13:31 | 3634406 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Sorry kchrisc - it was only a quick thing - as you know, wasn't that good.  NSA

Fri, 06/07/2013 - 13:15 | 3634316 kchrisc
kchrisc's picture

But isn't Greece a better example of what is coming our way and then some?!

Dear listening intelligence services, I think that my wife is having an affair. Could you please let me know if she is. Thanks, and cold regards.

Fri, 06/07/2013 - 14:02 | 3634564 madcows
madcows's picture

Yeah, or Argentina.

Fri, 06/07/2013 - 13:04 | 3634238 Longing for the...
Longing for the old America's picture

Those who bought the Nikkei 225 after Japan's election (knowing that QE was coming) are way better off, even after the recent sell-off, than the idiots who continued to hold Yen earning zero interest.

Your conclusion and the chart tell completely different stories.

They are also way ahead of anyone who bought gold last November.

 

 

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