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Can We Retake the Trendline?

Phoenix Capital Research's picture




 

 

As noted last week, the markets will likely rally into the Fourth of July. Most “analysts” will view this as a sign that the initial drop down from two weeks ago was a fluke and it’s time to “buy the dip.”

 

However this move was to be expected based on technical formations alone. As I noted last week,

 

This move could take us as high as 1,625. However, if the market fails to reclaim its trendline we’re going down as far as 1,500 in short notice. And if we take out that level we’re in BIG TROUBLE.

 

Watch the below line. If we can’t get above it, we’re going DOWN fast.

 

 

There’s no shortage of reasons…

 

For starters, Japan’s economy is imploding, despite a record QE in place: domestic car sales plunged 15% from the year before.  So much for the view that the economy was improving courtesy of Japan announcing its NINTH QE effort equal to over 20% of its GDP.

 

In Europe, the powers that be have decided to make what happened in Cyprus (steal people’s money to fund a bailout) the template for all banking crises going forward. Anyone with an iota of common sense knows is going to lead to banking runs… which in a banking system with leverage at 26-to-1 is that last thing Europe needs.

 

And then there’s the US where GDP growth was revised SHARPLY lower due to a drop in consumer spending. Consumer spending accounts for 70% of GDP in the US. Guess how this will play out going forward?

 

If you have not taken steps to prepare for a market collapse, we have a FREE Special Report that outlines how to prepare your portfolio. To pick up a copy, swing by:

 

http://gainspainscapital.com/protect-your-portfolio/

 

Best Regards

Graham Summers

 

 

 

 

 

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Tue, 07/02/2013 - 00:54 | 3712808 uncle_vito
uncle_vito's picture

How do you prepare for a market collapse?    Learn to drink heavily?

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 23:10 | 3712512 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

S&P500 Hourly - notice the pump in the morning / dump in the afternoon trend?

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/sp500-hourly-closes-tanks-final-hour/

 

Need a day close above 1650 to consider a revisit to the "old trendline"

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 19:15 | 3711760 zipit
zipit's picture

BTFB, LMFB, BTCZ

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 18:37 | 3711617 Abi Normal
Abi Normal's picture

Without fundamentals, how does this ship stay afloat...fake money baaaabbbyyyy!  I haven't a clue as to where we end up, but it seems to me, we either hit a sandbar or sink in deep waters.  Deflation or inflation, you make the call; seems everyone has a different angle on it.  To me it seems deep water inflationary spiral, but that will only happen if the banks release the Craken, and with all the clever tricks they have, even they don't know what lies ahead.  Ahoy, land ho, or is it an iceburg, a mirage perhaps?

From touching my junk, to eavesdropping, I've had it up to my eyeballs with these tyrannical creeps.

 

They have endagered my family, your family and everyone on the planet with their free spending, this has to end and soon.

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 17:52 | 3711477 JFKFC
JFKFC's picture

Triple inverse short the rip.

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 17:43 | 3711454 rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

Actually technically speaking it could get above 1625.  And it may even break the line and reverse if it's only above for a day or so.  Hard telling.

Tue, 07/02/2013 - 01:31 | 3712889 rocker
rocker's picture

Like about 1640.  LOL  They will burn the largerst bet.  The market is officially broken.

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 17:42 | 3711453 derek_vineyard
derek_vineyard's picture

BTFD leveraged

Mon, 07/01/2013 - 17:29 | 3711417 spinone
spinone's picture

BTFD

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