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“Algerians Are Investing In Property, Gold and Foreign Currencies”

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Today’s AM fix was USD 1,311.00, EUR 965.11 and GBP 816.26 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,316.00, EUR 967.01 and GBP 817.04 per ounce.

Gold fell $6.80 or 0.52% Friday, closing at $1,310.60/oz. Silver inched down $0.02 or .09% closing at $21.68. Platinum climbed $16.94 or 1.24% to $1,379.24/oz, while palladium climbed $4.22 or 0.61% to $701.22/oz. Gold and silver were off marginally for the week at 1.90% and 0.18% respectively.

Download Free Guide - How to Store Gold Bullion: The 7 Key Must Haves

 


Gold in USD, 1 Year with Support and Resistance - (Bloomberg)

Gold’s support is at $1,300/oz and a fall below that level could see gold test the next level of support  at the $1,180/oz to $1,200/oz mark. Resistance is at $1,400/oz to $1,434/oz level and a breach of resistance should see gold quickly test the $1,500/oz level (see chart above).

Gold is marginally lower in most major currencies despite the near week long U.S. government shutdown which is leading to genuine fears that Congress may struggle to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. 

This is burnishing bullion's safe-haven appeal but that has yet to be reflected in higher prices. 

U.S. politicians remain very far apart in ending the first government shutdown in 17 years stoking fears they will not be able to reach a deal to raise the U.S. borrowing limit by October 17 to avoid an unprecedented debt default.

Congress should limit Wall Street's controversial role in commodity markets, and rewrite a law that gives banks broad leeway to own oil, metals and other raw materials, a senior U.S. regulator said on Friday. 

The Federal Reserve, which is meant to be the top U.S. bank watchdog, is rethinking its policy of allowing banks to operate in commodity markets amid accusations they inflate the prices of aluminum, electricity and other essential commodities and deflate the prices of other commodities, such as gold and silver.

"I plan to urge that the law be amended by simply reversing the policies that allow for bank ownership," said Bart Chilton, a commissioner at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the top U.S. derivatives regulator.

The law also gives some banks an advantage over others, Chilton said, in reference to Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc, which only came under Fed supervision in 2008 at the height of the financial crisis.

Because the two changed their legal status at that time, the law treats them more leniently than their rivals, allowing them to hold any commodity businesses they had before Sept. 30, 1997, through a so-called grandfather clause.

"There are two banks that are using yet another exception to the law," Chilton said in his speech Friday.

India's customs department has cleared more than a tonne of gold bullion, part of which was owned by the Bank of Nova Scotia, at Mumbai airport after rule clarifications at a high level meeting held last month, industry and bank officials said on Saturday.

Platinum operations around the South African mining city of Rustenburg will face restrictions regarding water use because of a drought, hurting the world's three largest platinum producers which have developments there. 

No. 1 platinum producer Anglo American Platinum is already facing a strike at its South African operations that it said was cutting output by an average 3,100 ounces a day.


Currency Ranked Returns - Algerian Dinar Versus G10 and Gold In 5 Years Since Lehman (Bloomberg)

Across the street from the parliament, courthouse and main police station in central Algiers is the country’s biggest illegal market for foreign exchange.

“Currency, currency!” Nadir, 28, shouts out to passing cars from his spot on the curb of Port Said Square in the Algerian capital. “Come here for your currency!”


Algerian Dinar and Euro - 5 Years

He’s among dozens of money changers milling around the gardens of the sunbaked esplanade overlooking the Mediterranean, chatting on mobile phones and counting crisp dinar notes. Last week, their going rate was a record 150 dinars ($1.84) per euro, almost 40 percent more than the official price.

Underlying the increased demand for black-market money is the concern regional conflagration may spread. Revolts in nearby countries have left President Abdelaziz Bouteflika as North Africa’s longest-serving leader, while reviving memories of Algeria’s own civil war in the 1990s. 


Algerian Dinar and US Dollar - 5 Years

His government has ramped up spending to ward off unrest, helping drive inflation to a 15-year high last year, and pushing Algerians into the currency and real estate markets as they seek to shield savings.

“To protect themselves against inflation, and therefore the devaluation of the dinar, Algerians are investing in property, gold and foreign currencies,” Abderrahmane Mebtoul, a professor of economics at the University of Algiers, said in an interview. 

“It is a way of looking for security.”

The Bloomberg article on demand for property, foreign exchange and gold in Algeria can be read here.

Inflation and currency devaluations being seen in the developing world and emerging markets today are a warning sign and a small taste of what will be seen in western economies in the coming years as currency devaluations and debasement continue.

 

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Mon, 10/07/2013 - 12:39 | 4030707 thethirdcoast
thethirdcoast's picture

I've lived and worked in Algiers for the past 10 months, and take it from me this is the most boring capital metropolis on Earth.

Also, the currency controls in this country are ridiculous. Money can come in, but forget about getting it out in any quantity unless you know someone in the black market. Even then you can plan on a 30% haircut for the privilege.

On top of that, almost every store is cash only. I can understand why they don't want credit cards, but I am mystified as to why debit cards do not exist here. Get ready to get bitched at if you don't have exact change.

Mon, 10/07/2013 - 13:38 | 4030994 Amagnonx
Amagnonx's picture

Maybe I should load a tonne of BTC and drop in on Algiers for a quick sale at +25% - getting BTC out of anyplace is easier than getting out yourself.

Mon, 10/07/2013 - 17:19 | 4031884 thethirdcoast
thethirdcoast's picture

I'm happy to report that my customer is so pissed off with our program's management that I am well on my way to being banned, or even deported.

Mon, 10/07/2013 - 11:38 | 4030450 Boris Alatovkrap
Boris Alatovkrap's picture

Commodity price is cannot be manipulation for ever, but average citizenry is plenty to be hurt interim.

Mon, 10/07/2013 - 17:09 | 4031866 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Is Boris please elucidate when last is commodity price not manipulated? On this I feel dubious. I like this word, dubious.

Tue, 10/08/2013 - 03:57 | 4033183 Boris Alatovkrap
Boris Alatovkrap's picture

If investor class is hold monopoly, like DeBeer over diamond, then you can be correct, when is price of diamond not manipulation? But when investor class is only manipulate by power of nude short (extension of margin credit), then duration of future contract is curtail term of manipulation before short squeeze. So, cannot manipulate for ever before price equilibrium restore. Do be us, indeed!

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 18:37 | 4039523 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

ahhh - do be us - just us - Boris is make good explanation in deed!

Mon, 10/07/2013 - 11:48 | 4030512 Ratscam
Ratscam's picture

talking about investing in citizenship....
Starting november 1st malta offers EU passports for a paltry EUR 400'000.
The big players from Africa, Russia, ME will grab them like popcorn.
What a beautiful and fair world it is.

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