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Goldman Tell Clients To Sell Gold - Did Same In Nov 2007, Gold Then Rose 12%

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Today’s AM fix was USD 1,309.50, EUR 968.28 and GBP 819.77 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,321.00, EUR 973.18 and GBP 821.82 per ounce.

Gold fell $3.00 or 0.23% yesterday, closing at $1,319.40/oz. Silver inched down $0.03 or 13% closing at $22.30. Platinum climbed $7.69 or 0.6% to $1,399.99/oz, while palladium rose $9.37 or 1.3% to $710.37/oz.


Gold in USD, 6 Year - (Bloomberg)

Gold ticked lower today as the U.S. budget impasse dragged on for a second week and threatened to spill over to talks about raising the U.S. debt ceiling, boosting the metal's safe-haven appeal.

President Obama, Republican and Democrat politicians remain intransigent and President Obama said yesterday he would negotiate on budget issues only if they agree to re-open the federal government and raise the debt limit with no conditions.

Today, Obama will announce his intent to nominate Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman, Janet Yellen, to be the next head of the U.S. central bank, a White House official said. Yellen is extremely dovish and will continue to debase the dollar which will be very positive for gold.

Indian silver imports are on pace to hit a record high this year as the wedding and festival season drives up buying of the precious metal instead of traditional gold, made scarcer and dearer by misguided punitive taxes and quasi capital controls aimed at preventing Indian people from buying gold to protect from the devaluation of the rupee.

Despite these punitive taxes, India's gold demand could rise as much as 15% this quarter to 300 tonnes as pent-up demand following a good monsoon keeps the country on track for yearly demand estimated at 1,000 tonnes. 

Gold is a “slam dunk” sell for next year because the U.S. economy will extend its recovery after lawmakers resolve stalemates over the nation’s budget and debt ceiling, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s Jeffrey Currie  said yesterday on a panel in London.

“The bank has a target for gold prices next year at $1,050 an ounce,” said Currie, Goldman Sachs’s head of commodities research..


Gold Prices Fixes Rates Vols - (Bloomberg)

It is worth remembering that Goldman, to much fanfare and media attention, “told clients” in November 2007, to sell gold. On November 29, 2007, Goldman recommended that investors sell gold in 2008 and it named the strategy as one of its ‘Top 10 Tips’ for the year.

Gold subsequently rose nearly 6.4% in December 2007 alone - from $783.75/oz to $833.92/oz.

Gold then rose another 5.8% in 2008 - from $833.92/oz at the close on December 31, 2007, to close at $882.05/oz on December 31, 2008.

Gold rose 12.2% in the 13 months after Goldman's sell gold call. Gold then rose 23.4% in 2009, 27.1% in 2010, 10.1% in 2011 and 7% in 2012.

Thus, proving Goldman’s ‘Top Tip’ prediction absolutely wrong and costing their clients and many of the unsuspecting public a lot of money in the process.

At the time, Goldman cut its gold forecast to $740/oz from $810/oz on a 12 month basis. One year later, gold closed at $882.05/oz - more than 19% above Goldman’s ‘forecast’.

The crystal ball gazing of Wall Street banks and hedge funds and others who have suggested gold is a bubble in recent years has cost many of the investment public dearly.

As ever, it remains wise to ignore the considerable noise that emanates from Wall Street and maintain a healthy, long term allocation to physical gold.


Cross Currency Table - (Bloomberg)

A buy and hold strategy, while difficult in recent months, will continue to reward the prudent.

In these uncertain times, all owners of gold and those considering owning gold should acquaint themselves with the most appropriate storage options for their own particular circumstances. 

GoldCore’s ebook How To Store Gold Bullion - The Seven Key Must Haves is a must read in this regard Download here.

 

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Wed, 10/09/2013 - 15:52 | 4039000 constantine
constantine's picture

How many times are they going to make this call?  Seems like we read this post every week.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 13:55 | 4038556 Shibumi2
Shibumi2's picture

GOLDman SUcks would appear to be giving bad advice, treating gold as just another commodity subject to manipulation.

 

GOLD is the ALPHA! Everything else is subterfuge.

 

How can fictional fiat obtain gold in the first place? The power of the meme

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 15:35 | 4038929 quasimodo
quasimodo's picture

"How can fictional fiat obtain gold in the first place?"

 

Elementary my dear Watson. I take my fictional fiat to the local dealer and exchange for gold. 

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 14:20 | 4038623 fourchan
fourchan's picture

"gold is the alpha" is genius. kudos

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 13:53 | 4038540 are we there yet
are we there yet's picture

Was it a Goldman exec who once quoted they were doing Gods work? He wasn't specific about what god. They do seem to sacrifice a lot of lambs to bulls and bears.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 13:48 | 4038530 Metalredneck
Metalredneck's picture

I think they meant; "Sell your gold to us."

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 13:31 | 4038465 FutureShock
FutureShock's picture

When it is in Goldcore's best interest to sell gold why do I want to believe this article. Bring on 1K I'll buy some. The reason Gold will go down is beacause so much more printing is going to come and add a lot more road and time to kick the can. The day of prudence will be a long time of I'll buy under 1200.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 12:50 | 4038266 alpharack
alpharack's picture

PMs will dive regardless.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 12:51 | 4038263 Lord Koos
Lord Koos's picture

Goldman said sell gold last spring, it then dropped $300 in a month.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 12:39 | 4038224 Racer
Racer's picture

Goddam Suckers also said oil would go to $200 when it was around $130, it promptly fell to around $40/50?? ish and then they said oil was going to go much lower after which it took off back up to over $100!

They are fantastic trade callers only if you read their language correcly...

go long when they say sell

and

go short when they say buy

 

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 11:59 | 4038059 Mad Mohel
Mad Mohel's picture

Goldman Stacks are playing a wicked little game. Pound the shit in public and buy it in the back room. The question is, who are they buying for?

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 12:35 | 4038213 bonin006
bonin006's picture

They should be buying for Germany, but more likely for China.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 13:13 | 4038387 diogeneslaertius
diogeneslaertius's picture

China is the new main xartel base, GS is a subsidiary of the cartel, its partof the changeover, this is a Lease-in/Lease-out operation essentially over a long ass interval that we only see the parts of they want us to.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 11:58 | 4038057 Billy Sol Estes
Billy Sol Estes's picture

$1050

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 15:08 | 4038787 buyingsterling
buyingsterling's picture

Goldman says $1050, Sprott says $2400. Willie says QE will be doubled.

Wed, 10/09/2013 - 13:19 | 4038412 moonstears
moonstears's picture

Break even for many mines: $1050.00...Hmmm 

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