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Trade of the Century
Trade of the Century? Remember that it was only 2 years ago that pundits where calling rising Treasury yields the “trade of the century”? Most of those folks were early, and after repeated failed attempts to call the top in Treasury bonds or bottom in yields, most of these folks have probably just given up. Most likely to focus on that other “trade of the century” –the one in equities.
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Video of the Week
To view the graphs used in this video see below.
Graphs
Figure 1. DJ Composite Index/ monthly
Figure 2. DJ Composite Index/ monthly
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Nice.
Ok it's time to light up the gold pump again. The drones haev all left the building and I'm loaded up
Here
I'll start
It is very clear that gold is a currency.......
who's next
my 54 dollar bitcoins are the trade of the century
Only if you get out before they are $54 again. Mine at $349 look good too
Hey Trampy, write me, let's talk EMP possibilities...
Fishhawk
If TA is so frigging good, why aren't all TAnalysts billionaires rather than having to flog their useless "forecasts" ?
I have yet to see a validation for the use of moving averages as so-called trend indicators, other than the circular argument that "many particpiants believe in them and therefore think that they work". Why the 200 day moving average- why not the 188 day and 14 hour one? Apart from the fact that there are at least four methods of calculating moving averages. all of which give different results for the samer time period.
What a load of bollox.
because when she finally goes, it will be chaos.
Here's a trade idea for that. Eurodollar futures price at one minus short-term-rates, adjusted for carry (but that's tiny now). Trade for reversion to the mean.
Selling long-dated Eurodollar futures, or writing calls on them, is one way to bet against the Fed without taking on much risk, eh? The highest they can ever go is 1.0 and that's your risk, which is small.
Liquidity squeeze would raise rates on commercial deposits, and ED would drop accordingly. Major questions are how much you'll pay for each additional year going forward, which is a function of how imminent you think "it" could be ... versus how almighty you think the Fed, BoE, and ECB will be over the next three years.
i gave up on shorting bonds. the way i see it, from the retail side, good luck reaping the rewards with a blown up currency. because when she finally goes, it will be chaos.