UFC Blew Goldmine Business Opportunity with Mega Super-Fight

EconMatters's picture

By EconMatters  


Super Bowl of MMA


In looking back at investment decisions for 2013, one of the most glaring business mistakes was made by the UFC in failing to pull off a once in a lifetime marketing bonanza with the Mega Super Fight between Anderson Silva and Georges St-Pierre. This event could have been the Super Bowl of MMA bringing in more revenue, and roping in even casual soccer moms into event viewing parties that are an advertiser`s wet dream.


Super Fight Risk Realized


Unfortunately, for the UFC Anderson Silva lost his belt to Chris Weidman earlier this year, and Georges St-Pierre got beat up pretty bad against Johny Hendricks and went into semi-retirement causing much of the hype and luster to fall off of that Goliath versus Goliath matchup to once and for all determine the pound for pound best fighter in the Universe of Mixed Martial Arts.


Penny Wise & Pound Foolish


This is where the UFC, being penny wise and pound foolish really came back to bite them in the profit category as an organization. I give the organization a lot of credit for risking everything at one point, really putting it all on the line, which most businesses these days just don`t have the guts to do, to make MMA into an actual mainstream sport. So before I am rather harsh with this present criticism, I want to give kudos to that incredible business accomplishment.


Once in a Generation


However, with all the UFC has been through this makes this failing to pull off the Mega Super Fight in 2013 an even more glaring business blunder. Dana White grew up around the boxing world, he understands the promotion game.


It isn`t whether fighters really are invincible, it is the perception of greatness and invincibility that sells tickets for such a marquee matchup. These types of matchups don`t come around very often, maybe once a decade if promoters are lucky. 


These are the Sugar Ray Leonard versus Thomas Hearns, Gerry Cooney versus Larry Holmes, Muhammad Ali versus George Foreman Super-Fights that promoters have to cash in on for the bigger picture growth opportunities for marketing the sport to a wider audience.


Everybody has a Price


Both fighters had an aura of invincibility around them earlier this year, the UFC needed to sit these two guys in a room and make this fight happen. Eventually every fighter is going to lose this aura of invincibility if they fight long enough. A good promoter never lets this happen, when both fighters are at their peak you make the fight happen, and this means by whatever means necessary.


In this case it all came down to money as it usually does. Sure one of the fighter`s legacy was going to be tarnished. One of the fighters was probably going to take a reputational hit, a marketing blow, and maybe a considerable beating in the Octagon. But this is MMA that is to be expected. 


I am sure that one or both of the fighters probably wasn`t ready for the fight, or the timing wasn`t perfect, it never really is right? There is always going to be some scheduling, training, or vacation timetable that could take precedence in matching these two fighters. The point is that great fighters are perfectionists and they want everything to be perfect. They want things to be just right to maximize the opportunity to win every fight. 


These Super Fights are never going to fall just perfectly for both fighters, and this is where compensation comes into play, to compensate both fighters for taking the risk of this fight not fitting perfectly into their fighting and life schedules.


Compensate for Risk Aversion


The business opportunity is so great that the UFC needs to pay the fighters to assume the risk of not being the perfect time for the fight. One or both of the fighters had at times issues in blocking this fight from occurring that if enough money was put on the table, to compensate one of these fighters for taking on additional risk outside of their own comfort zone, this is what means were necessary to make this fight happen.


Silva – GSP Transcends Sport


From a business perspective this fight is bigger, transcends the actual outcome of whether one of the fighters wins or loses; it is the promotion of the sport, and the huge, once in a lifetime marketing opportunity that rarely presents itself. 


It all comes down to money; a good promoter sits the two fighters in the room, and keeps raising the money bar until this fight happens. There literally is no realistic figure of fighter compensation whereby the UFC ever loses money on this fight when you run the numbers and account for the extrinsic and intrinsic revenue benefits of this event. 


Furthermore, when you factor in the big picture of becoming the ultimate hype destination for the entertainment and media focus one time in the year like the Super Bowl, and what that means for broadening the sport to a wider audience, and future advertising opportunities – the $20 million per fighter figure is a bargain for the UFC. I guarantee you the UFC never saw this big picture or this fight would have happened!


UFC lacked Due Diligence Analysis: Didn`t Commit Enough Money to make Fight Happen


I have watched over the years how tight the UFC is with their money, and they didn`t put enough money on the table to make this Super Fight happen. The UFC wasn`t willing to put enough money on the table to change one of the fighter`s minds to pull off this event. I don`t know the exact figures that the UFC offered both the fighters but it obviously wasn`t enough to persuade one of the fighters to overlook their reservations about taking the fight. 


Therefore it wasn`t enough, whatever that figure was. I am pretty confident that it was nowhere near the $20 million figure I just cited which would have made this Super Fight a reality in my opinion. I am guessing they envisioned something in the 6 to 9 million dollar range per fighter.


UFC Should Have Comprehensively Crunched the Numbers


This is the main criticism of the UFC, they were too short-sighted in their analysis to realize that by lowballing the fighters, so that one or both of them wouldn`t commit in early 2013, that they were risking never being able to have this Super Fight because one or both of the fighters could lose and ruin the aura of invincibility. The UFC failed to adequately factor in what I call the Lost Opportunity Cost.


They figured eventually one of the fighters who were putting off the fight would come to the table at the figure the UFC wanted to make this fight happen, and it could have worked out this way in a perfect world. 


But you just cannot take that risk with these once in a generation Marketing Goldmine Super Fights, the risk is too great for conditions to no longer exist that make it just an ‘interesting fight.’ This is where the UFC failed in their analysis, and they should have built this into their equations, and put more money on the table.


$200 Million Mistake Brutal for Private Ownership – Forever Lost Opportunity


Well, this is what happens when a business becomes penny wise, and pound foolish. This business failure for 2013 probably cost the UFC an additional $200 million dollars in 2013 by my conservative calculations, and much more long-tern goodwill in the advertising and marketing space. 


This is something that a sport like the UFC who only recently got the attention of the broader advertising community just cannot let happen considering where they have come from, once being on the verge of bankruptcy, and shunned by mainstream advertising and product affiliation. 


This is one of the classic business and marketing failures of 2013, and a future lesson to be taken to heart by any promotional and entertainment firm, don’t be shortsighted when it comes to putting money on the table to make big productions come to fruition.



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LetsGetPhysical's picture

Their PPV numbers are declining and they've deciced to jack up the price. This is stupid move by Zuffa. They've diluted their product with too many events and not enough quality. A "super fight" is irrelevant. They need to develop the next generation of stars. 

Cyrano de Bivouac's picture

The UFC is doing just fine along with prostitution, drug taking and alcohol drinking. The only things left in America that aren't subsidized.

AngelEyes00's picture

If they suddenly have a super fight between weight classes it turns into a super bowl to see who is the baddest dude, but then all people want to see is that one fight to determine the baddest dude.  No, they want to make money event after event, year in year out, in all the different weight classes.  Each gets promoted seperately, and every event has a championship in one of those weight classes.  No baddest dude here, just baddest dude in each weight class.  More championship fights, more money.

Like Steve Martin said as The Jerk while working at that circus guessing people's weight, when he's told to give the junk away because it's so cheap the money they get from people guessing weight makes them money no matter what, he says "Oh, so it's a profit deal!"

nightshiftsucks's picture

You know that Obummer would take Boner to the ground and stick his dick in Boner's face and then Boner would cry.

CHX's picture

UFC today serves a similar function as the gladiators did in the old rom. deflect from the real problems.

Yes We Can. But Lets Not.'s picture

Speaking of blowing, I'd pay big money to see UFC #000, Obama vs. Boehner in the Octagon. That'd be the funniest god damn thing ever to see those clowns prancing around in tights slapping each other.

VD's picture

very simple fix: Silva beats Weidman on Dec 28th and we are right back to superfight bc GSP still champ and unbeaten, irrespective of last fight 'perception'. (and i like BigRig as fighter a lot.)

El Oregonian's picture

It couldn't happen to a nicer chump. I'll never forgive Dana White for selling out and backing Harry Reid in his re-election bid for the senate race in 2010. Ever since then Reid made sure that the NDAA passed, supports Gun Control, changed the way the senate votes, backs all of Obama's dictatorial edits, orchestrated this wretched Obamacare fiasco.

All-in-all Dana White can just dry up and blow away. I swore off UFC after that, and I was a big fan, but no more...

Karma is a bitchez, Dana.


BTW, I really don't give a shit if you down vote me. The reality is the guy sold out to a bunch of fascist pigs. AND, this also applies to those big-government fascist RINO's too.