http://www.zerohedge.com/fullrss2.xml/article/article/%3Ca%20href%3D en Why Reuters Is Tweaking Its Presidential Poll http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/why-reuters-tweaking-its-presidential-poll <p><strong>A 13-point lead for Hillary Clinton on July 14 has vanished in two weeks </strong>with Donald Trump now leading in the polls by 1 point. This is clearly unacceptable to the establishment and so<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-reutersipsos-idUSKCN10910T"> Reuters/Ipsos </a>is taking matters into its own hands... and <strong>&#39;tweaking&#39; its polling methodology</strong>.</p> <p>Trump has seena yuuge bounce since Comey and the convention as Clinton&#39;s bounce was marginal...</p> <p><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160729_poll.jpg"><img height="340" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160729_poll_0.jpg" width="600" /></a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Something has to be done.. So <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-reutersipsos-idUSKCN10910T">Reuters </a>&quot;tweaked&quot; their algos...</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>In a presidential campaign notable for its negativity,<strong> the option of &ldquo;Neither&rdquo; candidate appears to be an appealing alternative, </strong>at least to participants in the Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Many voters on both sides have been ambivalent in their support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, <strong>complicating the task of the pollsters trying to track the race.</strong></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>That sentiment may help explain an apparent skew that recently emerged in the Reuters/Ipsos poll results. Given the choice, a relatively large group of voters opted for &ldquo;Neither/Other&rdquo; candidate compared with other major polls,<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong> leading to an underreporting of several percentage points for one or other of the two major contenders at times in the race.</strong></span></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>As a result, <strong>Reuters/Ipsos is amending the wording of the choice and eliminating the word &ldquo;Neither,&rdquo;</strong> bringing the option in line with other polls.</p> </blockquote> <p>Tests found eliminating the word &ldquo;Neither&rdquo; from the &ldquo;Neither/Other&rdquo; response <strong>increased Trump support by between 3 to 5 percentage points on any given day leading up to the Republican convention. </strong>It also<strong> increased Clinton&rsquo;s support,</strong> but by a smaller margin.</p> <p>Since the convention, however, Trump&rsquo;s support seems to have solidified among wary supporters. <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Now, the &ldquo;Neither&rdquo; issue appears to be affecting Clinton in the survey.</strong></span></p> <p>But while Trump&#39;s numbers had been hurt by the &quot;neither&quot; question, the results of testing its removal shows a <strong>notably bigger negative bias towards Trump appears among Hispanics, College-Educated, and young voters</strong>:</p> <p><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160729_poll1.jpg"><img height="321" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160729_poll1.jpg" width="600" /></a></p> <p><a href="http://spotlight.ipsos-na.com/index.php/elections/reuters-ipsos-presidential-ballot-question/">As Reuters explains,</a> in our view, <strong>the inclusion of the word &ldquo;Neither&rdquo; is capturing Soft Trump supporters</strong> who, if given such an option, prefer not to make a choice. Here it is important to note that the soft supporter phenomenon also affects Clinton, but to a much lesser degree.</p> <p><strong>Reuters/Ipsos poll currently has Trump 40.2%, Clinton 38.5%,</strong> but, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-reutersipsos-idUSKCN10910T">Reuters </a>reports, eliminating &quot;Neither&quot; from the &quot;Neither/Other&quot; answer produced a different result.<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong> In that case, Clinton was ahead, 40% to 36%.</strong></span></p> <p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></span>The amended Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll will be published later Friday.</p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="849" height="481" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/20160729_poll.jpg?1469797406" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/why-reuters-tweaking-its-presidential-poll#comments Donald Trump Reuters Sat, 30 Jul 2016 03:02:09 +0000 Tyler Durden 567696 at http://www.zerohedge.com MacVLaDiMiR THe CaT http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/macvladimir-cat <h1 class="title tttgap bbbgap" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 2em; font-size: 23px; font-family: Georgia, Palatino, serif; font-weight: normal; line-height: 55px; color: #141823; margin-top: 1.5em !important;">MacVladimir The Cat: The Napoleon of Globalist Crime&nbsp;</h1> <p><a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/expd/28562945491/in/dateposted-public/" title="MACVLADIMIR THE CAT"><img src="https://c4.staticflickr.com/9/8715/28562945491_26e697ba6d_z.jpg" alt="MACVLADIMIR THE CAT" width="625" height="400" /></a></p> <script src="//embedr.flickr.com/assets/client-code.js"></script><p>&nbsp;</p> <div class="rendered poem_body" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #141823; font-family: Roboto, 'Droid Sans', Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">MacVladimir a Mystery Cat: he's called the Hidden Paw—<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />For he's the master criminal who defies globalists with a guffaw.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />He's the bafflement of Scotland Yard, the Neocon's despair:<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />For when they reach the scene of crime—MacVladimir's not there!<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />MacVladimir, MacVladimir, there's no one like MacVladimir,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />He's broken every globalist law, he breaks economic laws of gravity.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />His powers of levitation would make a Keynesian fakir stare,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And when you reach the scene of crime—MacVladimir's not there!<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />You may search that dingbat's server, you may look on board Trump air—<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />But I tell you once and once again, MacVladimir's not there!<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />MacVladimir's a Moskovian cat, he's very tall and thin;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />You would know him if you saw him, for his eyes are sunken in.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />His brow is deeply lined with thought, his head is highly domed;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />His KGB coat is dusty from neglect, his whiskers are uncombed.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />He sways his head from side to side, with movements like a snake;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And when you think he's half asleep, he's always wide awake.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />MacVladimir, MacVladimir, there's no one like MacVladimir,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />For he's a fiend in feline shape, a monster of depravity.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />You may meet him in a by-street, you may see him in Red Square—<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />But when a crime's discovered, then MaVladimir's not there!<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />He's outwardly respectable. (They say he's mean at chess.)<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And his footprints are not found in any file of the anti-Snowden set.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And when some data farm gets looted, or Hillary's perm is rifled,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Or when the milk is missing, or Obozo's golf's been stifled,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Or some greenhouse gas gets farted, or the Bilderbugs despair<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Ay, there's the wonder of the thing! MacVladimir's not there!<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And when State or the CFR find a Treaty's gone astray,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Or &nbsp;DNC numbnuts lose plans and drawings by the way,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />There may be a scrap of e-paper in the hall or on the stair—<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />But it's useless to investigate—MacVladimir's not there!<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And when the loss has been disclosed, the Secret Service say:<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />It must have been MacVladimir!'—but he's 10,000 miles away.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />You'll be sure to find him resting in his dacha, or a-licking of his thumb;<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Or engaged in doing complicated long army division sums.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />MacVladimir, MacVladimir, there's no one like MacVladimir,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />There never was a Cat of such deceitfulness and suavity.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />He always has an alibi, and one or two to spare:<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />At whatever time the deed took place—MACVLADIMIR WASN'T THERE !<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And they say that all the Cats whose wicked deeds are widely known<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />(I might mention MungoTyler, I might mention Max or GriddleTrump)<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Are nothing more than agents for the Cat who all the time<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Just controls their operations: the Napoleon of Globalist Crime!</div> <p><a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/expd/28024318314/in/dateposted-public/" title="MACVLADIMIR THE CAT"><img src="https://c3.staticflickr.com/9/8699/28024318314_d109e1625a_z.jpg" alt="MACVLADIMIR THE CAT" width="538" height="640" /></a></p> <script src="//embedr.flickr.com/assets/client-code.js"></script><div class="rendered poem_body" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #141823; font-family: Roboto, 'Droid Sans', Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">From WilliamBanzai7's Book of Practical Cats</div> <div class="rendered poem_body" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #141823; font-family: Roboto, 'Droid Sans', Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">h/t TS Elliot</div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/macvladimir-cat#comments Napoleon Sat, 30 Jul 2016 02:48:59 +0000 williambanzai7 567768 at http://www.zerohedge.com Three Steps To Reverse A "Doomsday" Clock http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/three-steps-reverse-doomsday-clock <p><a href="http://orientalreview.org/2016/07/28/three-steps-to-reverse-a-doomsday-clock/"><em>Submitted by Vladimir Kozin via OrientalReview.org,</em></a></p> <p>The recent book review &ldquo;<a href="http://www.nybooks.com/articles/2016/07/14/a-stark-nuclear-warning/" target="_blank">A Stark Nuclear Warning</a>&rdquo; by Jerry Brown, in which he has shared views on William J. Perry&rsquo;s memoirs &ldquo;<a href="http://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=25448" target="_blank">My Journey at the Nuclear Brink</a>&rdquo;, <strong>raises a lot of questions and concerns.</strong></p> <p>Jerry Brown unequivocally describes Perry, who held many important positions in the past, including the U.S. Secretary of Defense in 1994-1997, <strong>as a double-hated man.</strong></p> <p><strong>On the one hand, as the U.S. Secretary of Defense he helped to build a formidable U.S. nuclear arsenal several decades ago<em>,</em> being responsible for important technological advances with respect to U.S. nuclear forces,</strong> like launching the <a href="http://www.airvectors.net/avb2.html" target="_blank">B-2 a heavy strategic bomber</a>; <a href="http://www.airforcetimes.com/story/military/2016/02/22/air-force-prolongs-life-venerable-b-52/80570810/" target="_blank">revitalizing the aging B-52</a>, a bomber from the same category as SOA (Strategic Offensive Arms) inventory; <a href="http://www.public.navy.mil/subfor/underseawarfaremagazine/Issues/Archives/issue_14/strategicpro.html" target="_blank">putting the Trident submarine program back on track</a>; and making an ill-fated <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/1980/12/14/the-missile-gap-the-mx-cant-close/380ce0de-8536-4d79-b370-26a0c1acce9a/" target="_blank">attempt to bring the&nbsp;MX ICBM</a>, a ten-warhead missile, into operation.</p> <p><strong>On the other, William J. Perry has been identified as a staunch proponent of avoiding nuclear danger, nowadays<em>, </em>when he has retired and embarked &ldquo;<em>on an urgent mission to alert us to the dangerous nuclear road we are travelling</em>.&rdquo;</strong> He is clearly calling American leaders to account for what he believes &ldquo;<em>are very bad decisions</em>&rdquo;, such as the precipitous expansion of&nbsp;NATO right up to the Russian border (William J. Perry was a very brave man when he became the lone Cabinet member who opposed President Bill Clinton&rsquo;s decision to give Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic immediate membership in&nbsp;the Alliance). William J. Perry has also not been supportive of <a href="https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002_01-02/docjanfeb02" target="_blank">President George W. Bush&rsquo;s withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty</a> with Russia in 2002.</p> <p><u><strong>It is interesting to note that a person who took an active part in the continuous U.S. SOA and TNW (tactical nuclear weapons) build-up today has concluded that there could be no acceptable defence against a massive-scale nuclear attack.</strong></u> According to him, the great paradox of the nuclear age is that deterrence of nuclear war is sought by building ever more lethal and precise weapons. For the sake of reality it should be underscored that this notion has to be attributed exclusively to the USA, who has a long time ago embarked upon an &ldquo;offensive unconditional nuclear deterrence strategy&rdquo; which has not practically been changed so far.</p> <p>Jerry Brown observes that William J. Perry is convinced that parity is &ldquo;old thinking&rdquo; because nuclear weapons can&rsquo;t actually be used &ndash; the risk of uncontrollable and catastrophic escalation is too high. Seemingly, he shares the earlier maxim once articulated by President Ronald Reagan: <strong>&ldquo;<em>A nuclear war cannot be fought, because it can never be won.</em>&rdquo;</strong></p> <p>Unfortunately, in his remarks Jerry Brown has made a number of inaccuracies in describing some facts of the immediate past and the present-day military-political environment.</p> <p>He writes that: &ldquo;&hellip;both the Soviet Union and the United States had developed hydrogen bombs&rdquo;. In reality, the USA was the first state that produced H-bomb (1952), the USSR responded lately (1953). As is known, the USA was the first one who has produced an A-bomb; while the Soviet Union did so only in 1949. The USA was the first one who has created a classic SOA triad (ICBM, SLBM and heavy bombers), and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_independently_targetable_reentry_vehicle" target="_blank">MIRV </a>ICBM. The USSR followed suit.</p> <p><strong>That is why it is irrelevant to claim that &ldquo;the Soviets just stepped up their nuclear efforts and so did the U.S.&rdquo;</strong></p> <p><a href="http://orientalreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/turquie.gif"><img alt="turquie" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-14337" src="http://orientalreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/turquie-300x291.gif" style="width: 500px; height: 485px;" /></a></p> <p>Jerry Brown reminds about the Cuban missile crisis, but does not clarify that it has been initiated by Washington who unilaterally has deployed medium-range nuclear missiles &ldquo;Jupiter&rdquo; with 1 megaton each in Italy and Turkey, and at a time when the USA had nuclear warheads superiority over the Soviet Union as 17:1 (revelation by Robert McNamara). Only after that dangerous action Moscow has decided to move its SNF to Cuba (note: before the Cuban missile crisis has been resolved, the Soviet leaders have not even authorized to install nuclear warheads upon the missiles and combat aircraft brought to Cuba).</p> <p>Jerry Brown is of opinion that the Cold War was over, and the nuclear weapons of the former Soviet Union were located not only in Russia, but also in three new republics that &ldquo;were not capable of protecting them.&rdquo; After the demise of the USSR, Russia has brought all SOA and TNW from these republics back to its territory, despite the fact that all these nuclear assets have been strongly protected. This measure has been agreed upon between Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Belarus and the Western nuclear powers.</p> <p>I do not believe that the Cold War is over despite the<a href="http://www.osce.org/mc/39516?download=true" target="_blank"> Paris Charter for a New Europe</a> heralded that in 1990. <strong><em>The Cold War has entered a new phase &ndash; qualitatively more dangerous that its first phase. Cold War 2.0 is characterized by a vast military build-up of NATO near the Russian borders, and a complete stalemate in arms control: currently there are 15 unresolved issues in this domain between the USA and Russia.</em></strong> In the first stage of Cold War Moscow and Washington signed 7 nuclear arms control accords, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chemical_Weapons_Convention" target="_blank">CWC </a>and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biological_Weapons_Convention" target="_blank">BWC</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_Conventional_Armed_Forces_in_Europe" target="_blank">CFE-1</a> and CFE-1A treaties, a number of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_security-building_measures" target="_blank">CBM</a> arrangements. Since 2010 nothing has been done in this sphere.</p> <p><strong>So, it is incorrect to state that &ldquo;the leaders of the Soviet Union and the United States did not make any effort to slow nuclear competition; they did just the opposite.&rdquo;</strong></p> <p>The reaction of Moscow to the fielding of the U.S. ground-based BMD assets in Europe was portrayed by Jerry Brown inaccurately.&nbsp; Such elements plus sea-based components of the U.S BMD &ldquo;shield&rdquo; really create formidable threat to Russia and its allies because of two major reasons:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>(a) the launching tubes of the U.S. BMD system Mk-41 can house not only <em>defensive </em>interceptors, but also <em>offensive</em> cruise missiles and other war-fighting means in the framework of the &ldquo;Prompt Global Strike&rdquo; which can be used as a first-strike weapon versus Russia;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>(b) the U.S. and NATO BMD system has been tied up to their nuclear and conventional forces &ndash; such &ldquo;appropriate mix&rdquo; has been stamped up at the three recent NATO Summits in Chicago (2012), Newport (2014) and Warsaw (2016).</p> </blockquote> <p>Washington still does not want to abrogate its Cold War thinking: to cancel its first use of nuclear weapons&rsquo; concept. All U.S. Administrations have declined to accept several Soviet and Russian initiatives on that issue.</p> <p><strong>President Barack Obama failed to ratify the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_Nuclear-Test-Ban_Treaty" target="_blank">CTBT </a>(1996), though he has promised to do it during his presidency.</strong></p> <p><a href="http://orientalreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/1029655857.jpg"><img alt="1029655857" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-14339" src="http://orientalreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/1029655857-300x162.jpg" style="width: 500px; height: 270px;" /></a></p> <p><strong>Recently, in the framework of NATO the debates on the further strengthening of this largest military bloc reliance on nuclear weapons have intensified.</strong></p> <p>The talk is about expanding the geographic scope and the total number of military exercises conducted with simulated use of bombs equipped with mock nuclear warheads, carrying military computer games on the use of nuclear weapons on the European continent, as well as the development of special scenarios on transformation of hypothetical conflict involving the general conventional forces into the conflicts with the use of nuclear weapons.</p> <p>Suggestions have been made that in the course of combined command and staff games of a &ldquo;new type&rdquo; with the help of computer simulation while resolving non-nuclear and nuclear tasks in the scenario of the regional and global environment the condition of the &ldquo;use of Russian strategy of nuclear escalation&rdquo; as a counterweight to the &ldquo;nuclear counter-escalation&rdquo; to NATO is included. The idea of involving in such games not only representatives of the military, but also high-ranking civilian government officials participating in making the important decisions of national importance is articulated.</p> <p>On June 25, 2015, during a hearing before the Committee on Armed Services of the US Congress devoted to the prospective role of nuclear weapons the United States Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work <a href="http://docs.house.gov/meetings/AS/AS00/20150625/103669/HHRG-114-AS00-Wstate-WinnefeldJrUSNJ-20150625.pdf" target="_blank">called</a> to oppose to the Russian nuclear doctrine by the U.S. nuclear capabilities with the aim to launch a strategy of &ldquo;de-escalation of escalation.&rdquo; In other words, it is interpreted in Washington in such a way that an escalation of threats of the limited use of nuclear weapons should be used to de-escalate conflicts fought with conventional weapons.</p> <p>Commenting on the debate that took place during the meeting of the defense ministers of the member countries&rsquo; of the &ldquo;transatlantic solidarity&rdquo; in Brussels on 8 October 2015, the Permanent Representative of the United Kingdom to NATO Adam Thomson has publicly complained that before the Alliance held separate military exercises with the use of conventional and nuclear weapons, but has never tested the transformation of the first type of exercises in the second ones. But he further recognized with appreciation that the recommendation of the &ldquo;transformation of NATO military exercises with the use of conventional weapons into nuclear drills&rdquo; became the focus of attention within the Alliance.</p> <p><em><strong>Pentagon chief Ashton Carter on the same day told a news conference that the transatlantic pact should prepare an &ldquo;updated instructions on the use of nuclear weapons&rdquo; in order to adapt to new threats and challenges of the 21st century and, in particular, called for &ldquo;better integrate non-nuclear and nuclear deterrence.&rdquo; His compatriot Alexander Vershbow, NATO Deputy Secretary General, said at the Berlin Security Conference November 17, 2015, the Alliance also must &ldquo;modernize nuclear deterrence, strengthening his best means of early warning and intelligence.&rdquo;</strong></em></p> <p>In 2014-2016 in order to develop new nuclear posture the U.S. strategic nuclear forces held several military exercises in Central and Eastern Europe, and North Africa, employing heavy strategic bombers B-52H and B-2A, capable of carrying nuclear weapons.</p> <p>In March 2004 Washington initiated on the constant basis a large-scale NATO air patrol operations in the airspace of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, code-named &ldquo;Baltic Air Policing&rdquo;. It involves combat aircraft (DCA), which are potential carriers of tactical nuclear weapons. Over the past twelve years, i.e. from March 2004 to July 2016, fifteen countries of the Alliance, that is, more than half of NATO member-states have been participated in this operation near Russian borders, including the three major Western nuclear powers: the USA, the United Kingdom and France. This operation is conducted day-in-day-out, and 365/366 days per annum.</p> <p><strong>Washington is modernizing its TNW, including those fielded in Europe, and has no intention to pull them back to the CONUS.</strong></p> <p><a href="http://orientalreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/B61_2014_03.jpg" target="_blank"><img alt="B61_2014_03" class="alignnone wp-image-14341" height="214" src="http://orientalreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/B61_2014_03.jpg" title="Click to enlarge" width="540" /></a></p> <p>Two of the five existing types of nuclear bombs, namely B-61-7 and B-61-11, as well as a new perspective bomb B-61-12 have &ldquo;of strategic importance&rdquo;, as may be delivered to targets not only by tactical aircraft but also by heavy strategic bombers B-52H and B-2A: each can carry 16 such bombs. Both types of strategic bombers can to travel the distance of 11,000 km without refueling in the air, and more than 18,000 km with mid-air refueling. For this reason these types of bombs in the documents of the Pentagon and the State Department are labeled as &ldquo;strategic&rdquo;.</p> <p><strong>A new bomb B-61-12 with a pin-point accuracy is a first-strike nuclear weapon.</strong></p> <p>Hans Kristensen, a Danish researcher, working at FAS, <a href="http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00963402.2016.1170359" target="_blank">points out</a> that &ldquo;&hellip; it is expected that in the next decade, NATO&rsquo;s nuclear forces will undergo major improvements that will affect increasing quality performance characteristics of both the nuclear weapons and their means of delivery. The planned modernization will significantly increase the military potential of the Alliance&rsquo;s nuclear policy in Europe.&rdquo;</p> <p><u><strong>The &ldquo;doomsday&rdquo; clock is ticking. Nowadays it shows 23.57. Too alarming.</strong></u></p> <p>What to do? Seemingly, three initial steps are badly needed...</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p><strong><em>First</em>.</strong> To make a pledge of no-fist-use of nuclear weapons a universal norm, starting from the USA and Russia. As a preliminary step towards this goal to make a commitment to resort to a defensive unconditional nuclear deterrence that threatens no one. Such notion will require no costs.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong><em>Second</em>.</strong> The USA should withdraw all its TNW from Europe and the Asian part of Turkey.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong><em>Third</em>.</strong> A multilateral new ABM Treaty limiting the number of BMD interceptors and their geographical deployments has to be elaborated.</p> </blockquote> <p><strong>The next U.S. Administration has to seriously consider these steps.</strong></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="438" height="223" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/20160729_midnight.jpg?1469837413" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/three-steps-reverse-doomsday-clock#comments B+ Barack Obama Czech Eastern Europe Estonia France Hungary Italy Kazakhstan Latvia Lithuania Poland Reality Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom Sat, 30 Jul 2016 02:00:00 +0000 Tyler Durden 567759 at http://www.zerohedge.com Damn It Feels Good To Be A Gangsta; Until You Get Sentenced To 21 Months In Federal Prison http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/damn-it-feels-good-be-gangsta-until-you-get-sentenced-21-months-federal-prison <p><strong>Many of us, at one point or another, have wondered what it would be like to quit a job in a blaze of glory...taking down computer networks and leaving a trail of mayhem in our paths on the way out the door. No, just us?</strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </p> <p><img src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user230519/imageroot/2016/07/29/Project%20Mayhem_0.jpg" alt="Project Mayhem" width="500" height="301" /></p> <p>Well, turns out that if you ever do go down that path it's probably best<br /> not to text your co-worker shortly thereafter admitting to the crime.&nbsp;<br /> Unfortunately, that's exactly what former Citibank employee Lennon Ray<br /> Brown did and now he's facing a $77,000 fine and 21 months in a federal<br /> prison.</p> <p>Per a press release from the <a href="https://www.justice.gov/usao-ndtx/pr/former-citibank-employee-sentenced-21-months-federal-prison-causing-intentional-damage">Department of Justice</a>, Mr. Brown, upset about a negative work review, <strong>decided to get even by taking down 90% of Citibank's networks across North America</strong>.&nbsp; Per the Department of Justice:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>...at approximately 6:03 p.m. that evening, Brown knowingly transmitted a code and command to 10 core Citibank Global Control Center routers, and by transmitting that code, erased the running configuration files in nine of the routers, resulting in a loss of connectivity to approximately 90% of all Citibank networks across North America.&nbsp; At 6:05 p.m. that evening, Brown scanned his employee identification badge to exit the Citibank Regents Campus."</p> </blockquote> <p>Unfortunately, <strong>Brown then made a "slight" unforced error</strong> when he <strong>decided to send a text message to his co-worker admitting to the crime</strong>:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>“They was firing me. I just beat them to it. <strong>Nothing personal, the upper management need to see what they guys on the floor is capable of doing when they keep getting mistreated</strong>. I took one for the team. Sorry if I made my peers look bad, but sometimes it take something like what I did to wake the upper management up.”</p> </blockquote> <p>Guess these situations don't always go so well as portrayed in the movies.&nbsp; Oh well, live and learn.</p> <p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/6nTPwSq-IJI" width="500" height="281" frameborder="0"></iframe></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="420" height="281" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user230519/imageroot/PC%20Load%20Letter.jpg?1469826989" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/damn-it-feels-good-be-gangsta-until-you-get-sentenced-21-months-federal-prison#comments Citibank Department of Justice Sat, 30 Jul 2016 01:30:00 +0000 Tyler Durden 567748 at http://www.zerohedge.com Who Buys Legal Weed? http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/who-buys-legal-weed <p><a href="http://priceonomics.com/who-buys-legal-weed/"><em>Via Priceonomics.com,</em></a></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Marijuana pop culture has traditionally centered around the <a href="http://time.com/3825221/women-in-weed-culture/"><span class="s2">young male</span></a> smoker and his high times.<strong> But the legalization movement has made marijuana more accessible than ever been before, </strong>and cannabis&rsquo;s application as a painkiller is particularly appealing to senior citizens.&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><strong><em><span class="s1">So what does the typical, recreational marijuana user look like today? And how do the preferences and spending habits of groups like young men and senior citizens differ?&nbsp;</span></em></strong></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">We explored these questions by drawing on the data of Headset, a Priceonomics customer with a large dataset of cannabis retailer transaction data. Since many of these cannabis dispensaries have customer loyalty programs, the data includes information&nbsp;</span><span class="s1">about customers&rsquo; age and gender. We decided to use to this data to learn more about who buys weed and what they smoke or consume.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">The data suggests that smokers in the customer loyalty program are overwhelmingly male, accounting for about 70% of all members. And, while customers range from ages 21 to 95, over 50% of loyalty members are under 40. &nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">We also found that while Flower (your typical marijuana bud) accounts for about half of the purchases made by each demographic, each group has its own quirks. Compared to the opposite sex, men prefer concentrates and women prefer pre-rolls and edibles. Older consumers prefer edibles to pre-rolled joints.</span></p> <p class="p3" style="text-align: center;"><span class="s1">***</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">We began our analysis by examining the the customer split by gender. Are men or women more likely to visit cannabis dispensaries often?</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.12.53AM.png" width="700" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><em><span class="s1">Data source: <a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Accounting for 68.9% of customers, the ratio of men to women is well over 2:1. This disparity is not surprising given cannabis culture&rsquo;s emphasis on the <a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/movies/lists/the-greatest-stoner-movies-of-all-time-20130606/harold-kumar-go-to-white-castle-2004-19691231"><span class="s2">male pothead</span></a>. &nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Next we examined the distribution of customer age.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.15.37AM.png" width="700" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">25- to 29-year-olds account for the largest percentage of customer loyalty members (20%), followed by 21- to 24-year-olds (16%). Yet the average customer age is 37.6-years-old, which is a higher than one might expect given <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/great-stoner-characters-in-american-film/2013/06/14/95699616-d4e1-11e2-a73e-826d299ff459_gallery.html"><span class="s2">stereotypes</span></a> about marijuana users. The average age for female customers is slightly older at 38.2, while the average age for males is 37.4. People ages 65 to 95 make up less than 5% of customers.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">We also wanted to look at customer spending habits. Below is the distribution of average dollars spent per trip to the store.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.16.10AM.png" width="700" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Most people spend between $25 and $50 per trip to a marijuana store, with a $33 median spend per trip. 34.7% of customers spend less than $10 on average, usually picking up a single item like a half gram pre-roll or a carbonated beverage. Only 8.2% spend more than $100/trip. &nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">We also analyzed the distribution of annual spend by customer loyalty members on marijuana. The chart below shows the total amount spent in dispensaries over the last year by customers who have been loyalty members for over one year.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.16.48AM.png" width="700" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">The median customer spends $645 on pot each year, and over 57% of customers spent more than $500. Very few customers&mdash;less than 10%&mdash;spent over $2,500.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">So do different demographics have different shopping habits? To investigate, we first analyzed the marijuana purchasing behavior of loyalty members by gender.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.18.56AM.png" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">For the most part, men and women have similar shopping and spending habits. Men shop slightly more often, visiting the store about every 19.5 days compared to 21.5 day for women. Although men buy fewer items per trip, they spend almost as much ($33) as women ($35). &nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Next we looked at these habits segmented by age.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.19.09AM.png" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Older loyalty members generally visit dispensaries less frequently, but they spend more when they do visit. Customers in their 80s spend the most per trip, with a median spend per trip of $64. Customers in their 40s, however, spent the most last year: a median of $823.&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">In a previous blog post, we looked at the <a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-are-the-most-popular-cannabis-products"><span class="s2">most popular</span></a> types of cannabis products. We were curious to see if the popularity of particular products differed by demographic. The chart below displays the product preferences of men and women.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.21.10AM.png" width="700" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Flower, which is &ldquo;traditional&rdquo; marijuana bud, is the most popular product for both genders. But it is even more popular among men: flower accounts for 4.4% more of their purchases. Women tend to buy more Pre-Roll and Edibles, while men buy more Concentrates. Women also tend to experiment more with non-traditional products (Other) such as Beverages, Tincture &amp; Sublingual and Topicals.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">We also explored product preferences by age.</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img class="cms-img" src="http://pix-media.s3.amazonaws.com/blog/1205/ScreenShot2016-07-27at9.21.39AM.png" width="700" /></span></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><span class="s1">Data source:&nbsp;<a href="http://headset.io/blog/what-does-the-average-cannabis-consumer-look-like">Headset</a></span></em></span></p> </blockquote> <p class="p1"><span class="s1">Each segment buys mostly Flower, with those in their 50s buying Flower at the highest rate. Older customers buy less Pre-Rolls than their younger counterparts. Pre-Rolls make up 27% of purchases among customers in their 20s, and this ratio drops down with each age band to only 8% of purchases for those 80 years or older. Conversely, the proportion of both Edibles and Other purchased increase with age&mdash;from 6% to 18% and 3% to 12%, respectively. &nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p3" style="text-align: center;"><span class="s1">***</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><strong>In contrast to the stereotypical depictions of marijuana users in popular culture and the mainstream media, our customer loyalty data shows that there is a wide range of pot smokers. </strong>Each customer segment brings their own habits and product preferences with them into the marijuana store.&nbsp;</span></p> <p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em><strong>As the industry develops, talking generically about &ldquo;marijuana&rdquo; and &ldquo;pot sales&rdquo; may become like referring to &ldquo;alcohol sales&rdquo; rather than talking about beer, wine, and cocktails. </strong></em></span></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="629" height="373" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/20160729_weed.jpg?1469836984" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/who-buys-legal-weed#comments Demographics Sat, 30 Jul 2016 01:00:00 +0000 Tyler Durden 567756 at http://www.zerohedge.com No ID, No Problem - Feds Overrule North Carolina Voting Rules As "Discriminatory" http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/no-id-no-problem-feds-overrule-north-carolina-voting-rules-discriminatory <p><strong>Hillary and the federal government are determined to ensure a "fair" and "open" election this November</strong> and will stop at nothing to reverse discrimination against "oppressed" segments of the American electorate, <strong>well at least if you live in a large swing state.&nbsp;</strong> This morning, the <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/voting-restrictions-struck-down-in-north-carolina-1469810843">WSJ</a> reported that the Fourth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Richmond, Virginia struck down North Carolina's voter ID law just days after we <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-26/hillarys-fate-virgina-lies-hands-her-would-be-bunkmates-mcauliffe-fights-felons-righ">wrote</a> about Virginia's similar effort to register 200,000 "oppressed" felons.&nbsp; The ruling asserts that North Carolina's law violated the Voting Rights Act by discriminating against low-income and minority voters, saying:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>“In holding that the legislature did not enact the challenged provisions with discriminatory intent, the court seems to have missed the forest in carefully surveying the many trees. This failure of perspective led the court to ignore critical facts bearing on legislative intent, including the inextricable link between race and politics in North Carolina.”</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>“Although the new provisions target African Americans with almost surgical precision, they constitute inept remedies for the problems assertedly justifying them and, in fact, impose cures for problems that did not exist.”</p> </blockquote> <p>Meanwhile, Dale Ho, director of the ACLU's Voting Rights Project, described the ruling as a "stinging rebuke of the state’s attempt to undermine African-American voter participation, which had surged over the last decade."</p> <p><strong>While we have no doubt that the intentions of Hillary and the various federal organizations involved in this process are "pure,"</strong> we do wonder why we so often see <strong>greater efforts to "protect" the "oppressed" voters in larger swing states</strong> like Virginia and North Carolina <strong>but not so much in a small states like New Hampshire, which has a very strict voter ID requirement but only 4 electoral votes and has swung Democrat in 5 out of the past 6 Presidential elections.</strong>&nbsp; Surely, low-income and minority voters are just as likely to be "oppressed" in New Hampshire as in North Carolina, right?</p> <p><a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_identification_laws_by_state#tab=Map">Ballotpedia </a>posted the following graphic which highlights the voter ID requirements of each state in the US with the red states having the most strict requirements:</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user230519/imageroot/2016/07/29/VotingLawsbystate.JPG"><img src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user230519/imageroot/2016/07/29/VotingLawsbystate_0.JPG" alt="Voting Restrictions by State" width="500" height="220" /></a></p> <p>It just so happens, that we may have stumbled upon the perfect solution to this problem which we recently discussed in a post titled "<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-28/new-website-establishes-marketplace-white-people-make-reparations-payments">There Is Now A Marketplace For White People To Make Reparations Payments</a>"...<em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>a state-issued ID could make a very good reparation offer.</strong></span></em></p> <p>The decisions for the Fourth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals can be read in its entirety below:</p> <p><iframe src="https://www.scribd.com/embeds/319666335/content?start_page=1&amp;view_mode=scroll&amp;show_recommendations=true&amp;show_upsell=true" width="100%" height="600" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="800" height="529" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user230519/imageroot/VoterID.jpg?1469821486" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/no-id-no-problem-feds-overrule-north-carolina-voting-rules-discriminatory#comments Sat, 30 Jul 2016 00:35:00 +0000 Tyler Durden 567723 at http://www.zerohedge.com The Fed Is Preparing For Negative Rates - Here's The Sign Everyone Missed http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/fed-preparing-negative-rates-heres-sign-everyone-missed <p><a href="http://www.mauldineconomics.com/editorial/the-fed-is-preparing-for-negative-ratesheres-the-sign-everyone-missed"><em>Submitted by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com,</em></a></p> <p><strong>I think it&rsquo;s possible that the Fed will push rates below zero when the next recession arrives.</strong></p> <p><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160727_FOMC_1.jpg"><img height="303" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160727_FOMC_1_0.jpg" width="600" /></a></p> <p><a href="http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-fed-prepares-to-dive">I explained why a few months ago</a> in my free weekly column, <a href="http://www.mauldineconomics.com/landing/thoughtsfromthefrontline"><em>Thoughts from the Frontline</em></a>, at <a href="http://www.mauldineconomics.com">Mauldin Economics.</a></p> <p>In that regard,<strong> something important happened recently.</strong> And not many people noticed. I&rsquo;ll do a quick review to explain.</p> <p>In Congressional testimony&nbsp;<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/janet-yellen-on-negative-interest-rates-2016-2">last February</a>, a member of Congress asked Janet Yellen if the Fed had legal authority to use negative interest rates. Her answer was this:</p> <p style="margin-left: .5in;">In the spirit of prudent planning we always try to look at what options we would have available to us, either if we needed to tighten policy more rapidly than we expect or the opposite. So we would take a look at [negative rates]. The legal issues I&#39;m not prepared to tell you have been thoroughly examined at this point. I am not aware of anything that would prevent [the Fed from taking interest rates into negative territory]. But I am saying we have not fully investigated the legal issues.</p> <p>So as of then, <a href="http://www.mauldineconomics.com/connecting-the-dots/janet-yellen-the-best-pick-pocket-in-the-usa">Yellen had no firm answer either way.</a></p> <p>A few weeks later, she sent a letter to Rep. Brad Sherman (D-CA). He had asked what the Fed intended to do in the next recession and whether it had authority to implement negative rates.</p> <p>She did not directly answer the legality question, but <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-12/yellen-doesn-t-rule-out-negative-rates-in-letter-to-congressman">Sherman took the response to mean that the Fed thought it had the authority.</a>&nbsp;<strong>Yellen noted in the letter that negative rates elsewhere seemed to be having an effect.</strong></p> <p><em>(I agree that they are having an effect; it&rsquo;s just that I don&rsquo;t think it&rsquo;s a good one.)</em></p> <p><strong>Yellen&rsquo;s claims are a clear sign the Fed is prepared to dive</strong></p> <p>Fast-forward a few more weeks to Yellen&rsquo;s June 21 congressional appearance. She stated that the Fed does have legal authority to use negative rates but denied any intent to do so.</p> <p><em><strong>&ldquo;We don&#39;t think we are going to have to provide accommodation, and if we do, [negative rates] is not something on our list.&rdquo;</strong></em></p> <p>I&rsquo;m concerned about the legal authority question. If we are to believe Yellen&rsquo;s sworn testimony to Congress, we know three things:</p> <ol> <li>As of February, Yellen&nbsp;<strong>had not &ldquo;fully investigated&rdquo;</strong>&nbsp;the legal issues of negative rates.</li> <li>As of May, Yellen was&nbsp;<strong>unwilling to state</strong>&nbsp;the Fed had legal authority to go negative.</li> <li>As of June, Yellen&nbsp;<strong>had no doubt</strong>&nbsp;the Fed&nbsp;could&nbsp;legally go negative.</li> </ol> <p>When I wrote about this in February, I said the Fed&rsquo;s legal staff should be disbarred if they hadn&rsquo;t investigated these legal issues. Clearly they had.</p> <p>Bottom line: <em><strong>by putting the legal authority question to rest, the Fed is laying the groundwork for taking rates below zero.</strong></em></p> <p>I&rsquo;m sure Yellen was telling the truth when she said in June that the Fed had no such plan. But, plans change.</p> <p><a href="http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/sell-in-may-and-go-away">The Fed says it&#39;s data dependent.</a> If the data shows we&rsquo;re in recession, <strong>I think it is very possible the Fed will turn to negative rates to boost the economy.</strong></p> <p>Except, in my opinion, <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>it won&rsquo;t work.</strong></span></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="963" height="486" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/20160727_FOMC_0.jpg?1469809136" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/fed-preparing-negative-rates-heres-sign-everyone-missed#comments Brad Sherman Janet Yellen Recession Testimony Sat, 30 Jul 2016 00:16:30 +0000 Tyler Durden 567717 at http://www.zerohedge.com Hillary Promises "I'm Not Here To Take Away Your Guns" http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/hillary-promises-im-not-here-take-away-your-guns <p><a href="http://www.thedailybell.com/news-analysis/hillary-im-not-here-to-take-away-your-guns-but-she-will/"><em>Via The Daily Bell,</em></a></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>Hillary Clinton at her DNC speech: <em><strong>&ldquo;I&rsquo;m not here to take away your guns&rdquo; </strong></em>&hellip;&nbsp;&nbsp; Hillary Clinton wants you to know one thing about her position on gun control: <strong>&ldquo;I&rsquo;m not here to repeal the Second Amendment. I&rsquo;m not here to take away your guns.&rdquo;</strong>&nbsp; She elaborated further on her comments, which she made at her Democratic National Convention speech accepting the presidential nomination:<strong><em> &ldquo;I just don&rsquo;t want you to be shot by someone who shouldn&rsquo;t have a gun in the first place.&rdquo;</em></strong> &ndash;V<em>ox</em></p> </blockquote> <p>During her acceptance speech, see above, <strong>Hillary said she wasn&rsquo;t going to take away guns in the US, but this is untrue.</strong></p> <p>She knows just how to do it.</p> <p><strong><em>First of all, she will make guns more expensive with new back ground checks.</em></strong></p> <p><strong><em>Second, she will make guns manufacturers liable for selling guns that later are used in crimes.</em></strong></p> <p>But that is just the beginning.</p> <p>Hillary doesn&rsquo;t actually believe that people in the US should have guns.</p> <p>In a Fox post <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2016/06/06/four-ways-president-hillary-clinton-will-work-to-end-gun-ownership.html">HERE </a>entitled, &ldquo;Four ways Hillary Clinton will work to end gun ownership as president,&rdquo; John Lott points out that in an appearance on ABC, Hillary would not say whether citizens had a constitutional right to own guns.</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>George Stephanopoulos pushed Clinton twice on whether people have a right to own guns on ABC News&rsquo; &ldquo;This Week&rdquo;:</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>&ldquo;But that&rsquo;s not what I asked.&nbsp; I said do you believe that their conclusion that an individual&rsquo;s right to bear arms is a constitutional right?&rdquo;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Clinton could only say: &ldquo;If it is a constitutional right&hellip;&rdquo;</p> </blockquote> <p><strong>Clinton like other gun opponents, believes an overabundance of guns are responsible for the&nbsp;shootings that take place in the US, especially in mass shootings.</strong></p> <p>But there are many questions about these mass shootings.</p> <p>David Steele, second-highest-ranking civilian in the U.S. Marine Corps Intelligence and former CIA clandestine services case officer, has said this <a href="https://archive.org/stream/pdfy-5Nc8GbxwHOavQxHF/U.S.%20Intelligence%20Officer%20%E2%80%9CEvery%20Single%20Terrorist%20Attack%20In%20US%20Was%20A%20False%20Flag%20Attack%E2%80%9D_djvu.txt">here</a>:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>&ldquo;Most terrorists are false flag terrorists, or are created by our own security services. In the United States, every single terrorist incident we have had has been a false flag, or has been an informant pushed on by the FBI. In fact, we now have citizens taking out restraining orders against FBI informants that are trying to incite terrorism. We&rsquo;ve become a lunatic asylum.&rdquo;</p> </blockquote> <p>Such FBI involvement leads one to ask whether there are forces in and behind the US government that are manufacturing violence in order to justify continued anti-gun agitation.</p> <p><strong>Authoritarian governments and those who back them don&rsquo;t want people to have guns because&nbsp;without guns, it is much easier to force people to obey.</strong> When people are not armed, genocide becomes a more viable and convenient option.</p> <p>Government killed hundreds of millions in the 20th century. The 21st century may equally bloody, especially if guns continue to be confiscated.</p> <p>In the US, many citizens have fought back against gun confiscation.&nbsp;&nbsp;But if Hillary wins the presidency, discussions about gun control will become moot.</p> <p><strong>Guns will be confiscated.&nbsp;</strong>Lott explains it this way:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>Until 2008, Washington, D.C., had a complete handgun ban. It was also a felony to put a bullet in the chamber of a gun. In effect, this was a complete ban on guns. In District of Columbia v. Heller, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down these laws.</p> </blockquote> <p>But the constituency of the Supreme Court is changing. Stephen&nbsp;Breyer and Ruth Bader Ginsburg are Bill Clinton appointees. Sonia Sotomayor was appointed by Obama&nbsp;as was&nbsp;Elana Kagan.</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p><em><strong>&ldquo;If Hillary wins in November, she will appoint [Antonin] Scalia&rsquo;s successor and the Supreme Court will overturn the Heller decision.&nbsp; Make no mistake about it, gun bans will return.&rdquo;</strong></em></p> </blockquote> <p>Only one more appointee is needed.</p> <p><strong>Conclusion:</strong> Hillary herself will not have to &ldquo;pull the trigger&rdquo; on gun confiscations. She will let the Supreme Court do it for her.</p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="278" height="186" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/20160729_guns.jpg?1469825281" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/hillary-promises-im-not-here-take-away-your-guns#comments ABC News Antonin Scalia FBI Nomination Washington D.C. Sat, 30 Jul 2016 00:10:00 +0000 Tyler Durden 567744 at http://www.zerohedge.com What Alan Greenspan Is Most Worried About http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/what-alan-greenspan-most-worried-about <p>Jeff Gundlach is not the only person who is feeling "<a href="http://zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/gundlach-sell-everything-nothing-here-looks-good">maximum negative</a>" on Treasuries. </p> <p>In an interview, none other than the "Maestro" Alan Greenspan, the man whose "great moderation" policy made the current global bond bubble possible, said that he is worried bond prices have risen too high. </p> <p>Asked if he finds what is happened in the bond market right now "in any way, shape, or form concerning for financial stability", Greenspan replied that "<em>it's obvious that you ought to be looking at the price earnings ratio in bonds to income.&nbsp; We get very nervous when the stock price index goes to high PE.&nbsp; <strong>We ought to be somewhat nervous when the bond rate does the same</strong>.... To believe that we can keep rates down here for very much longer strikes me as to say that human nature is going to change, and that's one thing I wouldn't bet on.</em>"</p> <p>He did not mention that the only reason why there continues to be such an unprecedented stampede into fixed income, pushing yields to record (negative) lows, is because investors are merely frontrunning central banks; they also know that as monetization accelerates and as private supply leave the market, the same central banks will purchase whatever bonds they can find at any price, and that is the only reason why global bond yields are where they are. </p> <p>Instead he said the following: </p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>The best way to view negative interest rates is to think in terms of the fact of, where, for example, securities denominated in the Swiss franc, the yields on those, versus, for example, the Italian lire as it used to be, the Italian euro now.&nbsp; But that spread hasn't changed very much for a very long period of time.&nbsp; So when global deflation takes hold, as it has, all interest rates fall, but the spread doesn't.&nbsp; So, in order to maintain that spread, Swiss interest rates have got to turn negative.&nbsp; Now, the question is, how far can they?&nbsp; Well, there is an arbitrage, that obviously one can get.&nbsp; </p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>For example, in the United States, <strong>if interest rates got very negative, what we would do is all get in to currency in which it's a zero interest rate </strong>-- I should say it's a zero cost. We would get into currency, stack it all up in, I would say, in a vault somewhere.&nbsp; The problem with that arbitrage, obviously, is there's a limited amount of currency you can hold, so at some point, something is going to give.&nbsp; <strong>The initial sign is going to be a big pickup in the holding, for example, of U.S. currency, both here and abroad - sorry, parenthetically, very large part of currency, U.S. currency, is held outside the United States.&nbsp;</strong></p> </blockquote> <p>Which reveals an interesting tangent: to Greenspan, a key indicator of when the system begins to tip over is when the run on the US physical currency begins, not so much in the US as abroad.&nbsp; And speaking of tipping over, Greenspan was quite clear: "<em>it hasn't happened, but it will."</em></p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>The only thing you can hedge against is the currency, and that's got a physical limit to it.&nbsp; So there's a downside limit to how far people are willing to pay to say, for example, get into Swiss securities.&nbsp; And that's when the markets begin to react quite differently.&nbsp; Hasn't happened yet, but it will.</p> </blockquote> <p>Remaining on the topic of currency, Greenspan then tied in the issue of surging currency vol, to his favorite topic: unsustainable entitlement costs. Answering a question what is causing global foreign exchange volatility, Greenspan's responded as follows:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>I think the cause of it is that there's a very significant amount of uncertainty in the global economy.&nbsp; It's coming from the fact that, as I indicated before, in the United States, <strong>we've got very, very major entitlements problem, which politically, I don't see how we're going to touch.&nbsp; </strong>We went through two conventions.&nbsp; The word entitlements never got raised, except, let's do it more.&nbsp; Now, we're going to have to cut back.&nbsp; <strong>There's no physical way to continue doing this without destabilizing the financial system</strong>.&nbsp; So, it will stop, but the problem is that it's going to take a while before the political system adjusts.&nbsp; So, it's hard for me to see how we get out of this unless we address that problem first.</p> </blockquote> <p>But more important than his discussion on bonds or currencies, was <strong>Greenspan's explanation of "what he is most concerned about", </strong>namely stagflation - the same economic problem that we wrote about in early April in a post titled: "<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-04-01/next-big-problem-stagflation-starting-show-across-economy">The Next Big Problem: "Stagflation Is Starting To Show Across The Economy</a>." The former Fed chairman agrees, as follows:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>Three fourths of the major economies, OEC economies for example, have, over the last five years, have had a less than a one percent annual rate of upward growth. The economy can't go anywhere under those conditions, <strong>and we're getting a state of stagnation which is not only evident in the United States but pretty much throughout Europe and the far east. </strong>And as a consequence of that<strong>, it's very difficult to see where the next step is except what I'm concerned about mostly</strong>, <strong>is </strong><em><strong>stag</strong></em>-<em><strong>flation</strong></em>, meaning I think we're seeing the very early signs of inflation beginning finally to pick up as the issue of deflation fades.</p> </blockquote> <p>Greenspan is then asked about these two elements, "<em>the stag and the flation. </em>How acute is this problem with productivity, the lack of growth?&nbsp; <strong>Do you see a recession in our future within the next 12, 18, 24 months?</strong>"</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>It's very difficult to say.&nbsp; In fact, I don't think you can describe the world economies in terms of the old conventional issue of inflation, recession, and the like.&nbsp; <strong>What we are dealing with is a population that is aging very rapidly, and that is inducing a major increase in so-called social benefits, what we in the United States call entitlements</strong>.&nbsp; And that is dominating the whole financial system, and until we come to understand that we have got to slow this rate of growth, which in the United States has been 9% per year since 1965, we are now down to the point where<strong> it's taken so much savings out of the economy that we're not getting enough investment, </strong>but that has very little to do with whether we're going in a recession or not.&nbsp; <strong>I think we're just in a stagnation state.&nbsp;</strong></p> </blockquote> <p>That covers the "<em>stag."</em> How about the "<em>flation</em>"? </p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"> <div></div> </div> <div class="quote_end"> <div></div> </div> <p>Well we're beginning to get a pickup in wages beyond the rate of growth of productivity, and that is usually the best indicator.&nbsp; But, just as importantly now, is that since money, at the end of the day, is what causes inflation, we have been seeing, <strong>since the beginning of the year a significant pickup in the rate of money supply growth</strong>, and over the very long-run, it's the ratio of money supply divided by the real GDP capacity to produce, which ultimately determines the price level.&nbsp; It's a very rough indicator.&nbsp; It doesn't work for two or three years and then it pops in.&nbsp; But over the long-run, it's never failed.&nbsp; <strong>And we're in a situation now where looking at the interest rate levels that we're looking at and the inflation rates we're looking at</strong>, <strong>it's very clear that we're going to be moving reasonably shortly into a wholly different phase</strong>.</p> </blockquote> <p>In retrospect, between the soaring welfare costs, and the upcoming stagflationary hit, it is also very clear why exactly a month ago <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-27/greenspan-warns-crisis-imminent-he-urges-return-gold-standard"><strong>Alan Greenspan also warned that not only is a crisis imminent but that it is paramount to "return to the gold standard" immediately. </strong></a>We doubt that will happen.</p> <p>Much more in the full interview below:</p> <p> <iframe src="http://www.bloomberg.com/api/embed/iframe?id=zRyMHA9lTVGmFIch4EXUvw" width="500" height="281" frameborder="0"></iframe></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="1492" height="1024" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/greenspan%20bbg%20treaser.jpg?1469833923" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/what-alan-greenspan-most-worried-about#comments Alan Greenspan Bond Central Banks fixed Global Economy Gundlach Jeff Gundlach Monetization Money Supply None Price/Earnings Ratio Recession Stagflation Swiss Franc Volatility Fri, 29 Jul 2016 23:43:04 +0000 Tyler Durden 567752 at http://www.zerohedge.com No One Can Stop Her... And She Knows It: "This Election Won't Be Fair" http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/no-one-can-stop-her-and-she-knows-it-election-wont-be-fair <p><a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/no-one-can-stop-her-and-she-knows-it-this-election-wont-be-fair_07292016"><em>Submitted by Mac Slavo via SHTFPlan.com,</em></a></p> <p><a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160729_her.jpg"><img height="308" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/07/25/20160729_her_0.jpg" width="600" /></a></p> <p class="wp-caption-text"><strong><em>To the left, a shot from Charlie Chaplin&rsquo;s The Great Dictator; to the right, Hillary&rsquo;s acceptance speech was a carefully scripted triumph over the democratic process&hellip; as demonstrated by her playing with the balloons like the world is her toy.</em></strong></p> <p>In a fair election, my best estimate is that Donald Trump would win in a landslide.</p> <p>But this election will not be fair. In fact, few of them are.</p> <p>For Trump&rsquo;s part, there is no doubt that he has been this year&rsquo;s sensation. A newcomer to politics, he has thrown out all the conventional rules, played by his own, and found a captivated country hanging onto his every word. Love him, hate him, or somewhere in between&hellip; no one can look away from the spectacle.</p> <p>After a war within the party and the convenient disposal of 16 conventional GOP contenders, Trump is now the official Republican candidate and he is in a strong position. Coming out of the relatively calm Republican National Convention and going into the tumultuous DNC, Trump has enjoyed soaring poll numbers while Hillary has been losing ground fast to the scandals and corruption revealed by Wikileaks and other related mouthpieces.</p> <p>But the fat lady has not sung.</p> <p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Hijacking the Party, Keeping Dissent Under Wraps</strong></span></p> <p>Hillary&rsquo;s coronation last night as she formally accepted her party&rsquo;s nomination could hardly have been more forced. The entire Democratic convention has been <strong><a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/protesters-rage-against-the-dnc-hillary-didnt-get-the-nomination-the-nomination-was-stolen_07272016" target="_blank">stage-managed to downplay</a></strong> the overwhelming noise from Bernie supporter who are outraged and feel betrayed by Hillary.</p> <p>The entire convention has had a certain <em>air</em> to it, a quality that reveals the desperation for power, and the crisp sense of danger that brings with it.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <blockquote class="wp-embedded-content"><p><a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/protesters-rage-against-the-dnc-hillary-didnt-get-the-nomination-the-nomination-was-stolen_07272016">Protesters Rage Against the DNC: &ldquo;Hillary Didn&rsquo;t Get the Nomination. The Nomination Was Stolen&rdquo;</a></p></blockquote> <script type='text/javascript'> <!--//--><!--//--><![CDATA[//><!-- !function(a,b){"use strict";function c(){if(!e){e=!0;var a,c,d,f,g=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf("MSIE 10"),h=!!navigator.userAgent.match(/Trident.*rv:11\./),i=b.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),j=b.querySelectorAll("blockquote.wp-embedded-content");for(c=0;c<j.length;c++)j[c].style.display="none";for(c=0;c<i.length;c++)if(d=i[c],d.style.display="",!d.getAttribute("data-secret")){if(f=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),d.src+="#?secret="+f,d.setAttribute("data-secret",f),g||h)a=d.cloneNode(!0),a.removeAttribute("security"),d.parentNode.replaceChild(a,d)}else;}}var d=!1,e=!1;if(b.querySelector)if(a.addEventListener)d=!0;if(a.wp=a.wp||{},!a.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(a.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(c){var d=c.data;if(d.secret||d.message||d.value)if(!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(d.secret)){var e,f,g,h,i,j=b.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+d.secret+'"]'),k=b.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+d.secret+'"]');for(e=0;e<k.length;e++)k[e].style.display="none";for(e=0;e<j.length;e++)if(f=j[e],c.source===f.contentWindow){if(f.style.display="","height"===d.message){if(g=parseInt(d.value,10),g>1e3)g=1e3;else if(200>~~g)g=200;f.height=g}if("link"===d.message)if(h=b.createElement("a"),i=b.createElement("a"),h.href=f.getAttribute("src"),i.href=d.value,i.host===h.host)if(b.activeElement===f)a.top.location.href=d.value}else;}},d)a.addEventListener("message",a.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),b.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",c,!1),a.addEventListener("load",c,!1)}(window,document); //--><!-- !function(a,b){"use strict";function c(){if(!e){e=!0;var a,c,d,f,g=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf("MSIE 10"),h=!!navigator.userAgent.match(/Trident.*rv:11\./),i=b.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),j=b.querySelectorAll("blockquote.wp-embedded-content");for(c=0;c<j.length;c++)j[c].style.display="none";for(c=0;c<i.length;c++)if(d=i[c],d.style.display="",!d.getAttribute("data-secret")){if(f=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),d.src+="#?secret="+f,d.setAttribute("data-secret",f),g||h)a=d.cloneNode(!0),a.removeAttribute("security"),d.parentNode.replaceChild(a,d)}else;}}var d=!1,e=!1;if(b.querySelector)if(a.addEventListener)d=!0;if(a.wp=a.wp||{},!a.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(a.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(c){var d=c.data;if(d.secret||d.message||d.value)if(!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(d.secret)){var e,f,g,h,i,j=b.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+d.secret+'"]'),k=b.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+d.secret+'"]');for(e=0;e<k.length;e++)k[e].style.display="none";for(e=0;e<j.length;e++)if(f=j[e],c.source===f.contentWindow){if(f.style.display="","height"===d.message){if(g=parseInt(d.value,10),g>1e3)g=1e3;else if(200>~~g)g=200;f.height=g}if("link"===d.message)if(h=b.createElement("a"),i=b.createElement("a"),h.href=f.getAttribute("src"),i.href=d.value,i.host===h.host)if(b.activeElement===f)a.top.location.href=d.value}else;}},d)a.addEventListener("message",a.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),b.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",c,!1),a.addEventListener("load",c,!1)}(window,document); //--><!]]> </!]]></![cdata[//></script><p><iframe class="wp-embedded-content" frameborder="0" height="400" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" sandbox="allow-scripts" scrolling="no" security="restricted" src="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/protesters-rage-against-the-dnc-hillary-didnt-get-the-nomination-the-nomination-was-stolen_07272016/embed" title="Embedded WordPress Post" width="600"></iframe></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>To a casual observer, things might look typical enough, with a few sore losers and pipe dreamers wishing for an ideal country run by decent and fair people that either don&rsquo;t exist or haven&rsquo;t figured out how to win an election. But things are not typical &ndash; the paradigm is shifting. Politics realigns every 30 years or so, or at least that is the maxim that has held in political science. Only, the last shift has been 30 or 40 years overdue.</p> <p>There is a reason for that, and the establishment has been fighting to stop the change for the past generation. They have faked out the cycle and kept the population under their thumb (when was the last time you saw a &ldquo;real&rdquo; presidential election that wasn&rsquo;t a means to keeping the status quo?)</p> <p>But delaying the inevitable won&rsquo;t hold.</p> <p><u><strong>Why Trump <em>Should</em> Win&hellip;</strong></u></p> <p>As <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/michael-moore-explains-why-donald-trump-will-win-in-november-and-it-actually-makes-perfect-sense" target="_blank"><strong>Michael Moore argued</strong></a>, Trump has been preaching the gospel of restoring America&rsquo;s manufacturing, and is working to woo and turn to &ldquo;red&rdquo; the &ldquo;blue&rdquo; Rust Belt states where Americans once had strong middle class jobs, especially in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. According to Moore&rsquo;s numbers (which are cited to motivate support for Hillary and opposition to Trump), if Trump captures those key states in addition to the red states that Mitt Romney, a weak candidate, won in 2012, then Trump should win the electoral college:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p>I believe Trump is going to focus much of his attention on the four blue states in the rustbelt of the upper Great Lakes &ndash; Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Four traditionally Democratic states &ndash; but each of them have elected a Republican governor since 2010 (only Pennsylvania has now finally elected a Democrat). In the Michigan primary in March, more Michiganders came out to vote for the Republicans (1.32 million) that the Democrats (1.19 million). Trump is ahead of Hillary in the latest polls in Pennsylvania and tied with her in Ohio. Tied? How can the race be this close after everything Trump has said and done? <strong>Well maybe it&rsquo;s because he&rsquo;s said (correctly) that the Clintons&rsquo; support of NAFTA helped to destroy the industrial states of the Upper Midwest</strong>.</p> </blockquote> <p>In fact, Moore is right. Nobody wants any more Flint, Michigans (<a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/conspiracy-fact-and-theory/obama-drinks-filtered-tap-water-downplays-lead-risk-flint-water-at-this-point-is-drinkable_05052016" target="_blank"><strong>where the water is contaminated and poverty seems to be airborne and contagious</strong></a>), least of all Michael Moore.</p> <p>Trump&rsquo;s appeal is much broader than just his sensational antics and controversial statements. He is resonating with America because he is speaking to the wounds of those struggling to cling to what&rsquo;s left of the middle class American Dream.</p> <p>And the strength of Trump&rsquo;s position there is buttressed by the cold fact that the Clinton&rsquo;s strong support for NAFTA played a major role in the downward spiral of the Rust Belt, and many other parts of the United States.</p> <p>Trump&rsquo;s appeal to bringing jobs back to America has to sound like not only a good campaign strategy, but an actual sound idea.</p> <p><strong>Things have reached a point where nearly every American &ndash; regardless of how little they pay attention to news and world affairs &ndash; is feeling the damage that has been done.</strong> NAFTA, GATT, the WTO and an entire shift into pseudo-governing structures of globalism that have eaten away at the sovereignty of the United States and devoured the prosperity of its people have taken a serious toll on our way of life. And we have all been programmed to take it lying down.</p> <p>The steady flow of funny money, artificially pumped out by the Federal Reserve has kept many from noticing it, but the real world effects are still hitting people on the street. Not only does the dollar not go as far as it used to, but everything in life is increasing in cost, and getting watered down in value and substance. Society is acting out one big charade, and pretending not to notice the outrage, dissent and anger seeping through the cracks and edges.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/pnXiy4D_I8g" width="560"></iframe></p> <p><u><strong>Inevitable and determined to win at all costs</strong></u></p> <p>Rather than let that burst on her watch, and during the only opportunity she has left in this lifetime, Hillary Clinton and her minions have rearranged all the deck chairs in her favor to force a win. It certainly hasn&rsquo;t come from the grassroots. Where necessary, the Democratic party has fudged primaries and stolen them outright. The mainstream media has been scripted around her as an anointed figure who is untouchable and beyond reproach. They have stifled exposure of Bernie and would have done so to any other rival&hellip; if only any others had dared to enter the race.</p> <p>Instead, the campaign to elect Hillary became an unrelenting junta to<strong> force her into office in spite of the will of the people</strong>, the rules of the game or the ever-expanding negative image of the former First Lady, Senator and Secretary of State whose corruption and ties to bad deeds are both legendary and sufficiently documented to warrant life without parole.</p> <p>There was a never a realistic chance that Hillary would be prosecuted or even reprimanded over her email scandals, because the fix was in a long time ago. Those who would theoretically hold her into account were appointed by her husband, or by President Obama, and their cooperation was assured in private.</p> <p>Though many have argued that you can&rsquo;t put lipstick on a pig, that is exactly what has taken place. 2016 is more of a farce than ever&hellip; and there is still another round to go.</p> <p><u><strong>Only One Persons Stands Between Her and the Presidency</strong></u></p> <p><em><strong>Can anyone else see that the most rigged and stolen election of all time is shaping up? If the Democratic party doesn&rsquo;t want Hillary, what makes anyone think the entire country wants anything to do with her?</strong></em></p> <p>Before you answer that openly, make a strong educated guess about who the next president is going to be&hellip; and how many bodies she will have to climb over to get there.</p> <p>What Wikileaks exposed with Debbie Wasserman Schultz and the DNC, and what the emails have revealed about Hillary and the Clinton Foundation are surely only the tip of the iceberg. The stories of the delegates who were silenced or kicked out of the convention, and many other deceitful acts to destroy dissent and keep up appearances suggest some of the rest of the story&hellip; and it is anything but democratic or &ldquo;of the people&rdquo; &ndash; though very likely the whole of it will never be known.</p> <p>There is something very, very wrong going on and it is time that everyone &ndash; regardless of ideology, party affiliation or politics &ndash; needs to face up to. Preliminary evidence indicates strongly that there has been a very carefully orchestrated coup taking place&hellip; and if successful, it will have only one logical conclusion:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p><strong>Total power, at any price, with a facade of support and momentum that just isn&rsquo;t there from anyone other than a handful of elite billionaires, and a cadre of clients with addresses that are either foreign or based on Wall Street.</strong></p> </blockquote> <p>If you missed the convention coverage, then you have got to see Hillary playing with the balloons after her speech.</p> <p>There really is no wondering who she is concerned about&hellip; herself, of course.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/E6Z4_Z1ZTe0" width="560"></iframe></p> <p>As I mentioned above, it is reminiscent &ndash; even spot on &ndash; of Charlie Chaplin&rsquo;s amazing parody in The Great Dictator, where his version of a Hitler-esque autocrat toys with the world as his plaything.</p> <p><strong>We are in for a world of hurt if what I think is going to happen turns out. The entire democratic process is being pushed back under the water, and a crude, fake smile is broadcast for appearances, while holding it all down.</strong></p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="706" height="363" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/20160729_her.jpg?1469821757" /> </div> </div> </div> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-29/no-one-can-stop-her-and-she-knows-it-election-wont-be-fair#comments Corruption Crude Donald Trump Federal Reserve Michael Moore Michigan Nomination Ohio President Obama Fri, 29 Jul 2016 23:20:00 +0000 Tyler Durden 567739 at http://www.zerohedge.com