This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.
Gartman Turns "Very, Very Quietly Bullish Of Crude" Even As Stock Prices Set To "Head Materially Lower"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 09:24 -0400"... we fear that prices are soon to head lower… and perhaps materially so. Thus, it is not only wise, it is reasonable, that we shall increase the size of our derivatives positions to make quite certain that our net long position is covered completely and that we are indeed as “net neutral” as we can possibly be.... ... we do find ourselves quietly… very, very quietly… turning away from being manifestly and overtly bearish of crude to being bullish as the term structures continue to shift."
- 48 comments
- Read more
- 317 reads
Grey Swans Rising - All 6 Of Goldman's Global Risk Indices Are Worsening
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 10:07 -0400Despite every effort by The Fed to convince the world that everything is awesome, it's not. From China growth risks to concerns about tightening financial conditions, Goldman warns so-called 'grey swan' fears are rising with Brexit, Trumpe elected, widening terrorist threats, and increased protectionism the most impactful.
- 29 comments
- Read more
- 121 reads
US Economy Grew At 2.0% In Final Q3 Estimate; Massive Inventory Overhang A Key Risk For Future Growth
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 09:48 -0400In today's anticlimatic economic print of the day, moments ago the BEA reported that Q3 GDP declined from 2.1% as per the first revision reported a month ago to 1.97%, fractionally higher than the 1.9% expected, as a result of a modest decline in Personal Consumption Expenditures as well as Private Inventories and Net Trade, offset by a fractional pick up in Fixed Investment, a category which will see far more downside in the quarters to come unless oil prices rebound, and the smallest possible increase in government spending.
- 22 comments
- Read more
- 479 reads
"Smart Money" Options Indicator Has Never Been More Bearish
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 09:08 -0400For the first time ever, S&P 100 traders are holding more than 3 put options for every call.
- 40 comments
- Read more
- 216 reads
Futures Rise, Drop, Then Rise Again In Illiquid Session After China Promises More Stimulus
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 07:55 -0400It has been a seesaw session with U.S. stock index futures following their dramatic buying burst in the last half hour of market trading yesterday by first rising, then falling, then rising again alongside European equities both driven almost tick for tick with even the smallest move in the carry trade of choice, the USDJPY, even as Asian shares trade near intraday highs after China’s leaders signaled they will take further steps to support growth.
- 16 comments
- Read more
- 317 reads
Frontrunning: December 22
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 08:38 -0400- Battered oil wins respite, lifts stocks (Reuters)
- Oil Halts Decline as Emerging Market Stocks Climb on China (BBG)
- Bonds Set to Beat Stocks Globally in 2015 After China Falters (BBG)
- SpaceX Falcon rocket nails safe landing in pivotal space feat (Reuters)
- China Leaders Flag More Stimulus After Top Economic Meeting (BBG)
- SEC to Retrench Case Against SAC’s Steven A. Cohen (WSJ)
Germans Scramble To Buy Weapons Amid Nationwide Spike In Migrant-Driven Crime
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 22:15 -0400"Things took off beginning in September. Since then, our dealers have been totally overrun. We have never experienced anything like this in the 21 years of our corporate history. Fear: This is not rational. The important term is: 'refugee crisis'."
- 525 comments
- Read more
- 1060 reads
"I Know Of No One Who Predicted This": Russian Oil Production Hits Record As Saudi Gambit Fails
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 23:36 -0400
- 334 comments
- Read more
- 1261 reads
The New World Disorder - How Empires Die
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 23:30 -0400In the final throes of empire-decline, we invariably observe the more sociopathic trends of a failing power, such as we’re seeing today from the US. First and foremost, any empire declines as a result of economic mismanagement. Decline from within (pandering to the populace with “bread and circuses”) and without (endless conquest and/or maintenance of dominance over far-flung geography) drain even the wealthiest government. But the leaders of a collapsing empire invariably make a fatal mistake: they assume that all the goodwill the empire gained when it was on its rise is permanent – that it will continue, even if the empire behaves like the world’s foremost bully. This is never the outcome.
- 95 comments
- Read more
- 277 reads
Caught On Tape: U.S. Senator Issues Dire Warning On Unchecked Executive Power
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 23:15 -0400The following speech from freshman U.S. Senator Ben Sasse (R, Neb) is so thoughtful and inspiring, it should be required viewing for all American citizens. To hear a U.S. Senator sound more like a statesman than a corrupt hack politician for sale to the highest bidder, is such a breath of fresh air we almost can’t believe it’s real.
- 234 comments
- Read more
- 447 reads
Presenting The Stunning Difference In How Blacks And Whites Are Killed By Guns
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 22:45 -0400There's a marked difference between how African Americans and whites experience gun violence in the US. More specifically, "among whites, 77 percent of gun deaths are suicides. But among black Americans, 82 percent of gun deaths are homicides."
- 223 comments
- Read more
- 377 reads
China "Suspends" Another Unofficial PMI Data Release To Make "Major Adjustment"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 23:00 -0400For the second time in two months, an economic data series that indicate drastically weak performance in China has been "suspended." Having seen Markit/Caixin's flash gauge of China's manufacturing discontinued in October (having plunged notably divergently from the government's official data), Bloomberg reports that the publishers of the alternative China Minxin PMI will stop updating the series to make a "major adjustment."
- 30 comments
- Read more
- 118 reads
Liberty Imperiled - Welcome To Cop-Land
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 22:30 -0400People are waking up to the darkness in American policing, and the cops don't like it one bit...
- 100 comments
- Read more
- 195 reads
272 Islamic State Terrorists Are Hiding In Europe, 150 More Are On Their Way, Dagbladet Reports
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 22:10 -0400Two waves of IS terrorists are said to have been trained for terror attacks in Europe - either for suicide bombings, or for Paris-style handgun attacks.
- 68 comments
- Read more
- 318 reads
Live Feed Of First SpaceX Rocket Launch Since June Falcon 9 Explosion
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2015 21:20 -0400In a few minutes, a new Falcon 9 rocket belonging to Elon Musk's SpaceX is set to deliver 11 satellites to low-Earth orbit for ORBCOMM. If all goes as planned, the 11 satellites will be deployed approximately 20 minutes after liftoff, completing a 17-satellite, low Earth orbit constellation for ORBCOMM. Perhaps just as importantly, this mission also marks SpaceX’s return-to-flight as well as its first attempt to land a first stage on land. The landing of the first stage is a secondary test objective.
- 63 comments
- Read more
- 198 reads

