The One Time When More Is Certainly Not Better

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Presented with little comment - except to say, maybe those Mayans were on to something?

 

 

Source: Goldman Sachs

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Fri, 11/30/2012 - 19:30 | 3025406 imapopulistnow
imapopulistnow's picture

Need to use a logarithmic scale.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:31 | 3024800 tickhound
tickhound's picture

nice head and shoulders there. 

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:34 | 3024817 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

yeah, and when it breaks things should get calm again.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:39 | 3024845 tickhound
tickhound's picture

I dunno... I'm seeing strong support around the 250 NND.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:37 | 3024836 SKY85hawk
SKY85hawk's picture

Or, is it trending down since 2009?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:35 | 3024820 PUD
PUD's picture

Completely predicted by climate change models.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:35 | 3024821 gamera9
gamera9's picture

Benanke's Bazooka will end this deflationary spiral. Get to work Mr. Chairman

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:35 | 3024822 drivenZ
drivenZ's picture

definitely Bernanke's fault. 

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:51 | 3024900 Coast Watcher
Coast Watcher's picture

No no, look at the pattern. Obviously Bush's fault.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:36 | 3024824 MonkeyBOOM
MonkeyBOOM's picture

Interesting, but this could be explained simply by: More people living in more areas, more people bothering to report things at all (because its getting technically far easier), and an increasingly low bar for an event to be considered a "disaster"... would be interesting to dig into this

 

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:38 | 3024838 mckee
mckee's picture

"an increasingly low bar for an event to be considered a "disaster"... " Cable going out?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:51 | 3024905 FEDbuster
FEDbuster's picture

The last election cycle?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:57 | 3024929 MrButtoMcFarty
MrButtoMcFarty's picture

TV Camera

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 19:32 | 3025411 zerozulu
zerozulu's picture

Perhaps this chart shows how big insurance companies have become.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:36 | 3024825 mckee
mckee's picture

Yeah... but in the 1950's people still thought thunder was caused by the "Gods" bowling or something so....

 

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:37 | 3024832 TWSceptic
TWSceptic's picture

Actually over a longer period of time there is no change in the number of natural disasters. Sorry environmentalists.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:46 | 3024878 mckee
mckee's picture

So are you saying a 50 year dataset from 100's of millions of years isn't valid? I bet your one of those "loonies' who don't believe in climate change either!!

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:18 | 3025011 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

Looks like a picture-perfect head and shoulders formation.  Short Climate Change FTW.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 20:08 | 3025423 TWSceptic
TWSceptic's picture

No I'm saying that natural disasters have always occured and humans are not going to change that. You're attacking a straw man as I never claimed to disagree with VALID data (how could anyone disagree with that unless they are insane?).

It's not about what one believes either. It's about what one can prove. There is evidence for changing temperatures, as there has been changing temperatures since the earth was formed. There is no conclusive evidence that humans are changing the long term climate considerably or to a dangerous level. That's something some people have blindly accepted though, you seem to be one of them.

Sat, 12/01/2012 - 12:59 | 3026440 gmak
gmak's picture

I think that he / she was being sarcastic.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:38 | 3024840 urbanelf
urbanelf's picture

Is Krugman's alien invasion under "Other"?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:38 | 3024842 urbanelf
urbanelf's picture

Well... I guess an invasion isn't a natural disaster.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:39 | 3024846 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Why do all these charts look like the long term S&P 500 chart?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:40 | 3024855 Arbysauce
Arbysauce's picture

Much ado. See data FAQ #3
http://emdat.be/frequently-asked-questions

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:14 | 3024996 pods
pods's picture

I like the "state of emergency declared."

That about sums it up.  Hype.  10 or more killed?  100 or more affected?

I would think that you can subtract every super bowl/NCCA/NBA/World series out of that dataset.

And evey forecast of snow down here in the South.

pods

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:23 | 3025029 JohnG
JohnG's picture

Yup.  ust let someone *think* snow.  Suddenly all grocery stores cleaned out of bread, beer, diapers and buttwipe.

Sat, 12/01/2012 - 00:57 | 3025945 Jugdish
Jugdish's picture

Every quickie mart cleaned out of beer, cigerettes, lotto tickets, and porn magazines.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:41 | 3024860 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

everything is a crisis and a disaster nowadays

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:42 | 3024862 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

Chart is sorta fubar, so there were no disasters before 1950 or almost none?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:06 | 3024967 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Goldman didn't mean to release the disaster data set, it is for internal use only. What Goldman meant to release was the Acts of God data set which has an inverse correlation, Just keep racking up consumer debt because the world is a happier place with fewer AoG.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:43 | 3024864 The Axe
The Axe's picture

can i add my P&L and my marriage to the list    .lol

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 18:22 | 3025228 Marge N Call
Marge N Call's picture

+10000

Holy Crap!

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:45 | 3024874 Richard Head
Richard Head's picture

Like subprime, it's all contained.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:46 | 3024876 Piranhanoia
Piranhanoia's picture

But can we be sure that they are reporting them all?    Sandy will be renamed Brew-102 so no one will have to count it.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:46 | 3024877 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

IS there a sale anywhere in Amerika? Just need more wafffle irons, phones and panties.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:48 | 3024887 Joe moneybags
Joe moneybags's picture

In California, any rainy day is a "storm".  That graph can also double as "the number of pussies who feel victimized by everyday events".

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:53 | 3024902 magpie
magpie's picture

Same here. Since times immemorial people have hedged as best they could against cyclical 'natural disasters', eg. storms, droughts, floods etc. If you no longer can, then put them under the same category as earthquakes, meteor strikes and volcanic eruptions.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:16 | 3025003 Jim B
Jim B's picture

States are incentivized by the FEDs to inflate damages…  More damage = more free money!!!!!!!

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:50 | 3024897 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

I suspect that if you deflate this chart by the total global population in some manner, you will find things relatively constant. As the population grows, people tend to settle in places where there were no people previously. The reason that there were no people previously is often because the place was downright hazardous. Also "major" seems linked to the total number of people killed or displaced. As the number of people increases, there are simply more of them around to die. More people will die tomorrow on average than ever died before.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:53 | 3024913 Essential Nexus
Essential Nexus's picture

Just what I was thinking.  New Orleans is a perfect example: drain a swamp build a city below sea level and then complain when things get wet.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:13 | 3024989 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

Actually, it was above sea level for a while when they first built it. The problem is that it was just muck and as you built on it, there was considerable subsidence. I am waiting for a reasonable sized earthquake to hit Boston sometime. Not that I really want to see it happen, but most of Boston is built on imported mush. The only way they could build the "Big Pig" was literally to pipe liquid nitrogen into pipes adjacent to where they were tunneling and freeze it solid for a while. Back Bay was a bay back then.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:50 | 3024898 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

It looks like Peak Calamity was about 2006. Huzzah! It's all down hill, now! All down hill.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:28 | 3025052 falak pema
falak pema's picture

shuss as they say in austria...shuss...sounds very downhill/

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:53 | 3024915 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

I believe the source of the chart is the biggest disaster. Should i be a muppet and buy this?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:55 | 3024921 Nothing To See Here
Nothing To See Here's picture

I bet they change the definition of "natural disaster" just like they change the definition of inflation as they go...

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 16:59 | 3024939 MrButtoMcFarty
MrButtoMcFarty's picture

After perhaps war....what better way to expand government?

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:01 | 3024938 epwpixieq-1
epwpixieq-1's picture

The Nature is not happy when its children do not consider that every system exhibiting growth, as the advanced industrial human society, for example, on average, has to adhere to the Natural growth.

This is one thing that was automatically enforced by the Gold standard.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:19 | 3025016 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Our next generation of leaders was raised on virtual world so I see nothing but good things in the future.

Fri, 11/30/2012 - 17:00 | 3024942 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

Pagan Nature worship bitchez.

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