Guest Post: The Linchpin Lie: How Global Collapse Will Be Sold To The Masses

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Brandon Smith of Alt-Market blog,

In our modern world there exist certain institutions of power.  Not government committees, alphabet agencies, corporate lobbies, or even standard military organizations; no, these are the mere “middle-men” of power.  The errand boys.  The well paid hitmen of the global mafia.  They are not the strategists or the decision makers. 

Instead, I speak of institutions which introduce the newest paradigms.  Who write the propaganda.  Who issue the orders from on high.  I speak of the hubs of elitism which have initiated nearly every policy mechanism of our government for the past several decades.  I am talking about the Council On Foreign Relations, the Tavistock Institute, the Heritage Foundation (a socialist organization posing as conservative), the Bilderberg Group, as well as the corporate foils that they use to enact globalization, such as Monsanto, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, the Carlyle Group, etc.

Many of these organizations and corporations operate a revolving door within the U.S. government.  Monsanto has champions, like Donald Rumsfeld who was on the board of directors of its Searle Pharmaceuticals branch, who later went on to help the company force numerous dangerous products including Aspartame through the FDA.  Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan have a veritable merry-go-round of corrupt banking agents which are appointed to important White House and Treasury positions on a regular basis REGARDLESS of which party happens to be in office.  Most prominent politicians are all members of the Council on Foreign Relations, an organization which has openly admitted on multiple occasions that their goal is the destruction of U.S. sovereignty and the formation of a “one world government” or “supranational union” (their words, not mine).

However, one organization seems to rear its ugly head at the forefront of the most sweeping mass propaganda operations of our time, and has been linked to the creation of the most atrocious military methodologies, including the use of false flag events.  I am of course referring to the Rand Corporation, a California based “think tank” whose influence reaches into nearly every sphere of our society, from politics, to war, to entertainment. 

The Rand Corporation deals in what I would call “absolute gray”.  The goal of the group from its very inception was to promote a social atmosphere of moral ambiguity in the name of personal and national priority.  They did this first through the creation of “Rational Choice Theory”; a theory which prescribes that when making any choice, an individual (or government) must act as if balancing costs against benefits to arrive at an action that maximizes personal advantage.  Basically, the ends justify the means, and moral conscience is not a factor to be taken seriously if one wishes to be successful. 

Hilariously, rational choice theory has been attacked in the past by pro-socialist (collectivist) critics as “extreme individualism”; a philosophy which gives us license to be as “self serving” as possible while feeling patriotic at the same time.  In reality, the socialists should have been applauding Rand Corporation all along. 

What Rand had done through its propaganda war against the American people was to infuse the exact culture of selfishness needed to push the U.S. towards the socialist ideal.  At the onset of any communist or national socialist society (sorry socialists, but they do indeed come from the same collectivist mindset), the masses are first convinced to hand over ultimate power to the establishment in order to safeguard THEMSELVES, not others.  That is to say, the common collectivist man chooses to hand over his freedoms and participate in totalitarianism not because he wants what is best for the world, but because he wants what is best for himself, and he believes servitude to the system will get him what he wants with as little private sacrifice as possible (you know, except for his soul…). 

The psychologist Carl Jung notes in his observations of collectivism in Nazi Germany and Stalinist Russia that most citizens of those nations did not necessarily want the formation of a tyrannical oligarchy, but, they went along with it anyway because they feared for their own comfort and livelihoods.  Many a German supported the Third Reich simply because they did not want to lose a cushy job, or a steady paycheck, or they liked that the “trains ran on time”.  Socialism is by far the most selfish movement in history, despite the fact that they claim to do what they do “for the greater good of the greater number”.

Rand also used Rational Choice Theory as a means to remove questions of principle from the debate over social progress.  Rational Choice propaganda commonly presents the target audience with a false conundrum.  A perfect example would be the hardcore propaganda based television show ‘24’ starring Kiefer Sutherland, in which a government “anti-terrorism” agent is faced with a controlled choice scenario in nearly every episode.  This choice almost always ends with the agent being forced to set aside his morals and conscience to torture, kill, and destroy without mercy, or, allow millions of innocents to die if he does not.

Of course, the real world does not work this way.  Life is not a chess game.   Avenues to resolution of any crisis are limited only by our imagination and intelligence, not to mention the immense number of choices that could be made to defuse a crisis before it develops.  Yet, Rand would like you to believe that we (and those in government) are required to become monstrous in order to survive.  That we should be willing to forgo conscience and justice now for the promise of peace and tranquility later.

This is the age old strategy of Centralization; to remove all choices within a system, by force or manipulation, until the masses think they have nothing left but the choices the elites give them.  It is the bread and butter of elitist institutions like Rand Corporation, and is at the core of the push for globalization.

In my studies on the developing economic disaster (or economic recovery depending on who you talk to) I have come across a particular methodology many times which set off my analyst alarm (or spidey-sense, if you will).  This latest methodology, called “Linchpin Theory”, revolves around the work of John Casti, a Ph.D. from USC, “complexity scientist” and “systems theorist”, a Futurist, and most notably, a former employee of Rand Corporation:

Casti introduces his idea of “Linchpin Theory” in his book “X-Events:  The Collapse Of Everything”, and what I found most immediately striking about the idea of “Linchpin Events” was how they offered perfect scapegoat scenarios for catastrophes that are engineered by the establishment. 

Linchpin Theory argues that overt social, political, and technological “complexity” is to blame for the most destructive events in modern human history, and it is indeed an enticing suggestion for those who are uneducated and unaware of the behind the scenes mechanics of world events.  Casti would like you to believe that political and social tides are unguided and chaotic; that all is random, and disaster is a product of “chance” trigger events that occur at the height of a malfunctioning and over-complicated system.

What he fails to mention, and what he should well know being a member of Rand, is that global events do not evolve in a vacuum.  There have always been those groups who see themselves as the “select”, and who aspire to mold the future to there personal vision of Utopia.  It has been openly admitted in myriad official observations on historical events that such groups have had a direct hand in the advent of particular conflicts.  

For instance, Casti would call the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria an “X-event”, or linchpin, leading to the outbreak of WWI, when historical fact recalls that particular crisis was carefully constructed with the specific mind to involve the U.S.

Norman Dodd, former director of the Committee to Investigate Tax Exempt Foundations of the U.S. House of Representatives, testified that the Committee was invited to study the minutes of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace as part of the Committee's investigation. The Committee stated:

"The trustees of the Foundation brought up a single question.  If it is desirable to alter the life of an entire people, is there any means more efficient than war.... They discussed this question... for a year and came up with an answer: There are no known means more efficient than war, assuming the objective is altering the life of an entire people.  That leads them to a question: How do we involve the United States in a war.  This was in 1909."

So, long before the advent of Ferdinand’s assassination, plans were being set in motion by globalist interests to draw the U.S. into a large scale conflict in order to “alter the life, or thinking, of the entire culture”.  When a group of people set out to direct thinking and opportunity towards a particular outcome, and the end result is a culmination of that outcome, it is obviously not coincidence, and it is definitely not providence.  It can only be called subversive design. 

In the economic arena, one might say that the collapse of Lehman Bros. was the “linchpin” that triggered the landslide in the derivatives market which is still going on to this day.  However, the derivatives market bubble was a carefully constructed house of cards, deliberately created with the help of multiple agencies and institutions.  The private Federal Reserve had to artificially lower interest rates and inject trillions upon trillions into the housing market, the international banks had to invest those trillions into mortgages that they KNEW were toxic and likely never to be repaid.  The Federal Government had to allow those mortgages to then be chopped up into derivatives and resold on the open market.  The ratings agencies had to examine those derivatives and obviously defunct mortgages and then stamp them AAA.  The SEC had to ignore the massive fraud being done in broad daylight while sweeping thousands of formal complaints and whistle blowers under the rug.

This was not some “random” event caused by uncontrolled “complexity”.  This was engineered complexity with a devious purpose.  The creation of the derivatives collapse was done with foreknowledge, at least by some.  Goldman Sachs was caught red handed betting against their OWN derivatives instruments!  Meaning they knew exactly what was about to happen in the market they helped build!  This is called Conspiracy…

One might attribute Casti’s idea to a sincere belief in chaos, and a lack of insight into the nature of globalism as a brand of religion.  However, in his first and as far as I can tell only interview with Coast To Coast Radio, Casti promotes catastrophic “X-Events” as a “good thing” for humanity, right in line with the Rand Corporation ideology.  Casti, being a futurist and elitist, sees the ideas of the past as obsolete when confronted with the technological advancements of the modern world, and so, describes X-event moments as a kind of evolutionary “kickstart”, knocking us out of our old and barbaric philosophies of living and forcing us, through trial by fire, to adapt to a more streamlined culture.  The linchpin event is, to summarize Casti’s position, a culture’s way of “punishing itself” for settling too comfortably into its own heritage and traditions.  In other words, WE will supposedly be to blame for the next great apocalypse, not the elites…  

I might suggest that Casti's attitude seems to be one of general indifference to human suffering in the wake of his "X-Events", and that he would not necessarily be opposed to the deaths of millions if it caused the "advancement" of humanity towards a particular ideology.  His concept of "advancement" and ours are likely very different, though.  I suspect that he is well aware that X-Events are actually tools at the disposal of elitists to generate the "evolution" he so desires, and that evolution includes a collectivist result.

With almost every major economy on the globe on the verge of collapse and most now desperately inflating, taxing, or outright stealing in order to hide their situation, with multiple tinderbox environments being facilitated in the Pacific with China, North Korea, and Japan, and in the Middle East and Africa with Egypt, Syria, Iran, Pakistan, Yemen, Mali, etc., there is no doubt that we are living in a linchpin-rich era.  It is inevitable that one or more of these explosive tension points will erupt and cause a chain reaction around the planet.  The linchpin and the chain reaction will become the focus of our epoch, rather than the men who made them possible in the first place.

Strangely, Casti’s theory was even recently featured in an episode of the ABC mystery/drama show “Castle”, called “Linchpin” (what else?), in which a writer turned detective uncovers a plot by a “shadow group” to use the research of the innocent Dr. Nelson Blakely (apparently based on Casti) to initiate a collapse of the U.S. economy by assassinating the ten-year-old daughter of a prominent Chinese businessman, triggering a dump of U.S. Treasuries by China and fomenting WWIII:

Now, I think anyone with any sense can see where this is going.  Casti and Rand Corporation are giving us a glimpse into the future of propaganda.  This is what will be written in our children’s history books if the globalists have their way. The fact that Linchpin Theory is featured in a primetime television show at all is a testament to Rand Corporation’s influence in the media.  But, as for the wider picture, are the trigger points around us really just a product of complex coincidence? 

Not a chance. 

Each major global hot-spot today can easily be linked back to the designs of international corporate and banking interests and the puppet governments they use as messengers.  Casti claims that “X-events” and “linchpins” cannot be accurately predicted, but it would seem that they can certainly be purposely instigated. 

The globalists have stretched the whole of the world thin.  They have removed almost every pillar of support from the edifice around us, and like a giant game of Jenga, are waiting for the final piece to be removed, causing the teetering structure to crumble.  Once this calamity occurs, they will call it a random act of fate, or a mathematical inevitability of an overly complex system.  They will say that they are not to blame.  That we were in the midst of “recovery”.  That they could not have seen it coming.

Their solution will be predictable.  They will state that in order to avoid such future destruction, the global framework must be “simplified”, and what better way to simplify the world than to end national sovereignty, dissolve all borders, and centralize nation states under a single economic and political ideal? 

Is it the Hegelian Dialectic all over again?  Yes.  Is it old hat feudalism and distraction?  Yes.  But, I have to hand it to Casti and Rand Corporation; they certainly have refined the argument for collectivism, centralization, technocracy, slavery, moral relativism, and false-flag dupery down to a near science…

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vato poco's picture

Dude. If you don't like rants, just don't read them. Or did we not get the memo where you'd been made Managing Editor of ZH?

Big Slick's picture

But you need to read the rant to find out what's in the rant. - Nancy Pelosi

MeBizarro's picture

I not even sure what this except a diatribe where the author basically takes someone's else publication and spins some of his owns poorly-structured thoughts and ideas off of.  Brandon Smith is consistently the worst guess columnist on here and it isn't even close. 

It's not entertaining, provocative, or insightful. 

Hobbleknee's picture

I don't think it will be so dire.  I predict massive inflation, and TPTB will blame overpopulation, global warming, Iran, gold bugs, patriots... everything except the real perp, money printing.

UP Forester's picture

This must be in response to Chindit's diatribe yesterday....

Can't have yin without yang, black without white, R without D, or more visits without "controversy"....

Cdad's picture

As I posted numerous times last night...I suspect there is quite a misunderstanding about Chindit's opinion diatribe.  As for "Rs" and "Ds"...I have no idea what you think that means.  On "visits without controversy"...again...????????????????????????????.

I would argue that, right now, logic and prudence is in order...and not vague notions or other such ramblings.

Please adivse..............


kaiserhoff's picture

Logic and prudence, indeed.  So many enemies lists and hollow points being accumulated.  Why, do you suppose?

Chindit's a good man, but he lives among the Lotus Eaters in South East Asia.  As Updike put it, a charmed life.

He doesn't understand why Americans need guns.  Enough said.


chindit13's picture

No, having seen more of it than I care to remember, I abhor gun violence and do not in any way shape or form worship guns.  I do believe they are useful tools, and that personal experience and a clear-headed understanding/acceptance of human nature are what prompted the FF to consider them just after dealing with speech.  I fully understand why Americans feel they need guns.  I wish they weren't necessary, but I also wish I was 21 again.  We're never going to find either Utopia or the Fountain of Youth.

Clashfan's picture

We all have wishes. I wish you hadn't written that horrible piece of shit. And I wish ZH hadn't bothered to post it. But wish in one hand....

chindit13's picture

By all means all debate should be stifled! I would expect that coming from someone who "thanks god" for Alex Jones.  Personally, given a choice of what would cause me less embarrassment, I'd claim to be a fan of Snooki (sp?) before Alex Jones.  Just for fun, find the source of video and audio clips Jones plays, then listen to the whole thing, not the quote-mined portion.  Picture not quite the same?  Alex is dishonest?  There ought to be a law!  Hey, his sycophants will forgive him.

Though you will never believe, I'm telling you right here, right now that you do not know diddly squat about anything, despite your personal fantasies to the contrary what with your Luciferians and other such drivel.  You're not even clever enough to realize Alex Jones is a showman playing the likes of you for a fool in order to earn himself a living ("Piers, we're on 320 radio stations, not a hundred"). Fortunately for the ongoing credibility of Zerohedge, Tyler allows all of us to have our say.

Clashfan's picture

Chinshit, you demeaned conspiracy theories of many stripes while providing no evidence for your position. Kudos to the Tylers for letting you show your own ignorance. Is AJ not allowed to make a living? He performs a valuable service.

Showman? Sure. I'll agree there. And not a great one, imo. But show me one time where he is factually inaccurate. One.

I don't know "diddly squat" about anything? Whatever.

Yours was easily the worst piece I've ever seen on this site.

akak's picture


As I posted numerous times last night...I suspect there is quite a misunderstanding about Chindit's opinion diatribe.

It is curious, then, that despite your assertions in support of Chindit's article of yesterday, you have consistently failed to tell us just exactly WHAT the message of Chindit's "opinion diatribe" actually was, leaving us all in the dark.  Even Chindit's explanation of earlier today left me confused and scratching my head for the second time.

Care to stop beating around the bush, both of you, and come out with it already?

kaiserhoff's picture


Go for it akak, but I'll warn you in advance, Knuckle's comment was my favorite.

Teamtc321's picture

Maybe he should just pull a Zero/Piglousy line and say, fuck it guy's, I was smoking a choom when I wrote it, before I read it. 

Braverdave's picture

Reminds me of when, once upon a time, me and my good friend were cutting down a tree.

His dad starts jumping up and down and yelling saying 'what the fuck are you doing?'.

I stop the chainsaw and my friend tells his dad 'cutting down the tree you told us to last night'.

He stops jumping up and down and yelling and inquires 'was i drunk and stoned when i told you to?'.

We answer in unison 'yes!'.

'Carry on' he says.


Cdad's picture

I did all BUT say it outright.  If you could not infer the meaning of those comments last night, then you literally have almost zero ability to think critically. It isn't my job [or anyone else's for that matter] to perpetually spoon feed you answers.  And if you could not think your way through that one last night, the you are truly part of the problem.

akak's picture

Well, that was frankly a rather assholish reply.

Why the Hell should we have to infer anything?  Why all the evasive riddles?  Isn't the point of an essay to communicate, instead of to confuse and obfuscate?  Why are you and Chindit afraid to transparently state whatever it is that you are trying (and failing) to convey?

I give up trying to make sense of your and Chindit's crypticism and evasion. If you have something to say, then say it clearly and concisely, or shut up and stop pissing off hundreds of people who are not privy to the hidden workings of your inner minds.

DaveyJones's picture

with you akak

think this sums it up (and very consistent with past posts from chindit:

"Believers can “prove” each and every one of their claims via a series of cross-referenced and circular internet links, the source of many undoubtedly just someone’s fertile imagination, but very real to the believers."

the article had two parallel but opposite goals

1C3-N1N3's picture

What most ZHers seem to think Chindit was saying:

Dear Conspiracy Theorists,

You are all fools. None of that shit happened. Neener, neener.


A different interpretation:

Dear TPTB (and also Stooges of TPTB, Especially Those Who "Monitor" ZH),

I'm going to explain this in terms you understand.

Look at all this shit, all these stories, which I'm sure you, TPTB, find to be ridiculous, that's got more credibility than you do right now. Accurate or not, that's gotta sting your egos a bit. But that's nothing, guess what else?

You're fucked. Royally. People hate you. They will come after you for what you have done. Hell, they will come after you for shit you didn't do. They are itching for any reason to string you up. It really doesn't matter now, what you really did or didn't do. It's over. Your corrupt system doesn't work.

Zero Hedge is the least of your fucking problems, so piss off. We can sit on our hands. Shit's going down without any of us lifting a goddamn finger, as you're already well on your way to making civil unrest an easy call for the masses. And you're gonna deserve everything you get.



Are we getting warmer, Chindit?

1C3-N1N3's picture

I made an attempt to understand. You negatively reinforce honest attempts to understand, which sends an unsavory message in its own right.

Clashfan's picture

If that was what he meant, why didn't he say it?

chindit13's picture

Honey and flies.

Do you think anybody outside of ZH ever reads past Brandon Smith's byline?

Clashfan's picture

Akak, maybe it's because they're spineless pussies?

chindit13's picture

Given your belief system, I'd bet you are rather expert in the characteristics of spineless pussies.  It is you who "knows" 911 was an "inside job", and yet you haven't done a damn thing about it.  Waiting for somebody else to do the wet work?  What the heck would it take for you to stand up and be counted, if you believe these things?  Courage, I guess.

DaveyJones's picture

you've used this logic more than once and it's a scapegoat around the evidence. Because an individual does not take political action against 911, that somehow changes the facts on the ground or compromises their sincerity. You also repeatedly claim that an information source is somehow invalid or compromised because it comes from a "website" or is validated by another "website" as if the medium equals the quality of the evidence and logic. ZH is a "website." The last time I checked, the traditional media and "journalism" mediums are being rapidly consolidated and purchased by international entities working in tandem with ever bankrupt and co-rrupt political entities to push false agendas...leaving those "crazy websites" and individual minds with thank god, a world audience, the only format left. If you think about it for a second, this was innevitable   

Clashfan's picture

You don't know me or what I do, Chinshit. You don't know how many jobs or friends I've lost over it or how many people I've made aware.

And you can't explain how steel frame high rises fall into their own footprints at freefall speed.

Braverdave's picture

Try "nudge nudge wink wink".

It will help to better let us know when you are inferring something.

stacking12321's picture

-1 for not knowing diff between implying and inferring

Braverdave's picture

Good catch. The writer implies something and the reader infers something.

Clashfan's picture

Chindit's piece sucked rectum.

ramacers's picture

no selling necessary; just an announcement.

Cdad's picture salacious  as "all border dissolving" seems...that is NOT going to happen.  So...barring that...what else you got?

el Gallinazo's picture

WTF!  Ever hear of Europe?  Got a nice hole to stick your head in when the North American Union comes?  You shorting Ameros?

Shell Game's picture

I'll try to help.  Think about the bevy of ongoing illusions ('recovery', 'Two political parties', 'Its a barbaric relic', '7.9% unemployment', 'Global force for good', and on and on...).  Now, imagine that borders are merely an illusion the MSM et al. say we have - but don't.



Edit:  'Fear is the path to the dark side. Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to [serial junking a thread]'  -Yoda

greatscott's picture

Massive inflation won't be so dire?  OK Mr 1%, we have our marching orders.  Free food, water, a place to sleep, single file though the vacination station and then on to the FEMA truck for a free ride to the train station.  Before you know it, you will be in your new place of residence.  Single file, hup two, three, four.

IridiumRebel's picture

Yeah! Free Shit! There is something magic about a train!

Gamma735's picture

Yeah, well, let the global elite try, because Jesus is coming back and this time it is personal!

Mr Anderson's picture

It doesn't work so long as americans have their weapons at home. 
which is why this is what an assault weapons ban would bring-
  In NY State- A veteran was arrested and charged with 5 felony's for having unloaded 30 rd magazines in the back of his car. There was not even an weapon in the vehicle.  If convicted he will no longer be able to own or posses any firearm for the rest of his life.  This is where gun control is going. His family is currently trying to raise money for his defense. We commenters on ZH have no problem giving to Tyler, we should also help those who are falling prey to the new firearms laws. Below is a link to this good young man's donation page.  If you want more info just to do a search for Nathan Haddad on google to see what he is going through as well as all the good he has done for our country.   Regards-  Mr Anderson 

AllWorkedUp's picture

 The cop that arrested him should be held to account for his traitorous, statist actions. What kind of a shitbag cop does that?

Clashfan's picture

One who knows the masters he serves. Want to bet whether or not he was a Freemason? I don't know. But if I were betting....

Never One Roach's picture

I'll be brief:  Is my EBT card in the mail?

francis_sawyer's picture

It's under the skin of your left wrist Logan 5... It'll be there until your 30th birthday [at which point you will be invited to try your luck at carousel]...

jimmytorpedo's picture

I thought in was in the palm.

Have to watch that again.