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Winklevoss Twins Revealed As Owning 1% Of All BitCoins

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Think the 75% plunge in BitCoin values in two days has crushed all former supporters of the virtual currency (which truth be told is only back to levels from a month ago)? Wrong. As the NYT reports, a very unexpected supporting genepool (split into two identical halves) has emerged in the shape of two names previously linked to yet another pre-bubble frenzy name, FaceBook: Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss (collectively, the "Winklevii"). Following stints as Olympic rowers, Simpsons characters, and antagonistic Facebook litigants, the two 31 year-old identical twins are now indirect investors in the latest "currency" craze, whose heyday may well have come and gone, courtesy of owning a whopping 1% stake in all of the entire outstanding supply of BitCoin which at last count was worth $1.3 billion (if maybe a little less now).

From the NYT:

An array of speculators have now bid up the price of the bitcoin to the point where the outstanding supply of the digital money was worth $1.3 billion at last count. The Winklevii — as they are popularly known — say they own nearly 1 percent of that, or some $11 million.

 

The decision by the brothers to go public with their position signals a new stage for what has been an experimental alternative to national currencies. Created in 2009 by a programmer or programmers known only by a pseudonym, the bitcoin world has been dominated by anonymous programmers and traders.

 

...

 

The 6-foot-5 Winklevii were unfazed by the latest tumult. Indeed, the brothers said they used the low prices to buy more. They argue that bitcoin will have much further to soar once a broader audience sees its virtues: a unit of exchange that can be moved around the world at the click of a button without requiring any payments to Western Union or American Express.

 

“People say it’s a Ponzi scheme, it’s a bubble,” said Cameron Winklevoss. “People really don’t want to take it seriously. At some point that narrative will shift to ‘virtual currencies are here to stay.’ We’re in the early days.”

 

The brothers began dabbling in bitcoin last summer when the dollar value of a single coin was still in the single digits. In addition to the purchase of bitcoins, they also say they have invested in a bitcoin-related company, but declined to disclose which one. The currency itself exists as a string of letters and numbers. In order to keep their holdings secure from hackers, they have taken those codes off networked computers and saved them on small flash drives. They said they have put the drives in safe deposit boxes at banks in three different cities.

Nothing like having a string of letters and numbers in safes in flash drives in three cities as a store of value...

To some more cynically inclined observers, for the two brothers who lately have been desperate to get back into the public arena, this latest "investment" is nothing but a rather expensive PR campaign, and one which depending on their cost basis, may have already proven to be a huge loss. However, that will not step them. Or many others desperate to ride on the coattails of the next parabolic bubble:

Other Silicon Valley venture firms, while not holding bitcoins, are starting to show interest in the technology. Tim Draper of the firm Draper Fisher Jurvetson put money into CoinLab, which is doing bitcoin-related projects. Tribeca Venture Partners announced this week that it was putting money into Coinsetter, a start-up trading platform for the currency.

Sadly, a somewhat notable problem with BitCoin, the currency and not the bubblicious asset, is that one can't really use it for much other than to buy more bitcoin, or convert it into fiat currencies: the same fiat currencies that BitCoin is trying to replace:

So far, few real companies accept bitcoins as payment, and the primary place they can be used is an online bazaar, known as Silk Road, where narcotics are the main wares for sale. But the currency’s believers see a future in which Starbucks and Amazon take bitcoins. For their part, the Winklevoss twins have used some of their bitcoin to pay for the services of a Ukrainian computer programmer who has worked on the site of their venture capital firm.

But the drop dead punchline:

“We have elected to put our money and faith in a mathematical framework that is free of politics and human error,” Tyler Winklevoss said.

That's funny - it is more or less what the heads of the Federal Reserve and all other central banks have said for the past 100 years.

As for the future of BitCoin? Well, if its credibility can survive a collapse like this...

... maybe it just does have staying power. Unless, of course, the other sizable "investors" are none other than the central banks the currency hopes to supplant, just biding their time until they launch the next avalanche selloff...

 

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Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:16 | 3438746 Jean Valjean
Jean Valjean's picture

Bingo. Tptb have already ruined their currency. All thats left is for people to figure it out

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 20:49 | 3439042 Long_Xau
Long_Xau's picture

So many of your posts here speak about fear of the government.

Do YOU fear your government? Be sincere.

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 00:55 | 3439654 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

Hell yes, I fear my government. I hate to be trite, but if you don't fear your government, you aren't paying attention. I use that fear to prepare rationally for what might happen in the future. The past transgressions of governments around the world inform all of us as to what they might be planning for tomorrow, and no amount of "hoping for the best" can overcome the fact that government, at its core, is about using force against the individual.

You may call this paranoia; I call it necessity because I wish to survive.

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 00:57 | 3439665 Dane Bramage
Dane Bramage's picture

Sounds like prudence to me.

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 06:56 | 3439963 Long_Xau
Long_Xau's picture

Governments are really the result of long-standing and colossal societal compromises (and a compromise necessarily includes a sin or an error, in other words compromises are inherently wrong and need to eventually be replaced with actual solutions). So what you are fearing really is the consequences of those sins and errors, but sins can be redeemed and errors can be rectified.
Preparing rationally is a good thing to do. Judging by the amount of your posts about reasons to fear the government, you probably already spend a whole lot of time and effort preparing. But I'm not sure about the kind of preparations you are doing. If by "preparing" you only mean "protecting from the harmful consequences of the old compromise", that's not enough. Preparing also includes finding or building alternatives. You must seek alternative solutions (or at least less bad compromises) to the useful things the governments promise/attempt/pretend/etc. to do, and you can't shy away from that responsibility rationalizing that they are incompatible with the old compromise. That's what is called competition. At some point you gotta make up your mind. Choose sides.
That's the rational thing for you individually to do. Rationalizing that you are held back by other people not doing it won't work.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:54 | 3438397 Fortunate Fool
Fortunate Fool's picture

"owning a whopping 1% stake in all of the outstanding supply of BitCoin, which at last count was worth $1.3 billion."

 Tyler, you might want to review your math...

There are roughly 11 million bitcoins in circulation, and, as of now on Mtgox, the exchange rate is BTC1 = $124.9.

The total value of bitcoins in circulation is, if my highly sophisticated math is good, 11,000,000*124.9= $1.374 billion.

So, 1% of that amount is, again according to my highly complex mathematical model, $1.374 billion*0.01 = $13.74 million

 

Not quite the same, eh? And another challenge for you to figure out: what would happen if the pair of geniuses decided to sell a good chunk of their bitcoins? (hint: answer is in your econ 101 book. Did you read it?)

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:19 | 3438501 Canaduh
Canaduh's picture

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:19 | 3438528 Dr Benway
Dr Benway's picture

Can you read? The "which" in your quoted sentence refers to the outstanding supply of Bitcoin, i.e. around $1.3 billion.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:14 | 3438739 LoneCapitalist
LoneCapitalist's picture

Can you buy a bag of weed from walmart?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:35 | 3438808 rich_wicks
rich_wicks's picture

like they did with drugs and illegal guns.

No, like they did with Napster.  Remember them?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 20:35 | 3438990 Long_Xau
Long_Xau's picture

I don't, actually. I never used them. Must be an USA thing. I do use BitTorrent, though.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 20:43 | 3439013 rich_wicks
rich_wicks's picture

And how is that monetized?

When money isn't involved, guess what, nobody cares.

Still, the Pirate Bay was trying to move to Sealand, and megaupload has been destroyed.

You people just don't get it yet.  I live in a freakinng nation that went to war over blatant lies.  I have a financial system that let Franklin Raines, Dick Fuld, Angelo Mozilo, and Jon Corzine walk.  I live in a nation that downplays the fact that HSBC was money laundering for drug lords and manipulating LIBOR rates.

Don't you fucking understand yet?  You're dealing with a group of thugs that would just as soon put a bullet into your head as say hello to you, and feel exactly the same way about doing either.  If they feel threatened, they will shut it down, it's that simple.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:45 | 3439197 Long_Xau
Long_Xau's picture

And how is that monetized?

When money isn't involved, guess what, nobody cares.

I certainly do. I put a great deal of subjective value on intangible things such as information and art, which I can both find and publish for free using things like BitTorrent and others. I think I'm not alone.
So far I haven't had much concern about intermediary businesses like Napster (and one day, the central banks) going bust due to building their business models on things that are inherently free and uncontrollable, such as information and communication between free people.

Still, the Pirate Bay was trying to move to Sealand, and megaupload has been destroyed.

I have felt no substantial difficulties acquiring information (downloads) I wanted, at least not ones related to the things you talk about and it only cost me trivial effort. If the government goes after someone/something on the net? Don't get me started on extremely resilient information and communication technologies.

I live in a freakinng nation that went to war over blatant lies.  I have a financial system that let Franklin Raines, Dick Fuld, Angelo Mozilo, and Jon Corzine walk.  I live in a nation that downplays the fact that HSBC was money laundering for drug lords and manipulating LIBOR rates.

Why are you so upset? Have you contributed to it in any way? Have you been personally hurt by it? Both? Well then you should be upset and do something about it.

Don't you fucking understand yet?[...]

I do.

[...]put a bullet into your head[...]

I don't fear them.

[...]they will shut it down, it's that simple.

You mean "try to". There is a significant difference.

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 01:06 | 3438909 Long_Xau
Long_Xau's picture

Yeah and then subtly change their objectives as they did with drugs.

"We're not really trying to completely stop illegal drugs, because that is obviously impossible. What we are doing is so that drugs are too expensive for our children to be able to afford." - random drug enforcement officer

 

"We're not really trying to destroy Bitcoin (or other monies with no trusted third parties like gold, etc.), because that would require continuous use of even more resources than what the Bitcoin ecosystem already has. We're not even trying to co-opt or collude with Bitcoin, because there is nobody to co-opt or negotiate with. We're also not trying to live with Bitcoin by taxing it or becoming part of it, since there is no way for us to tax it, and our established carbon-based infrastructure ain't worth a damn in the Bitcoin ecosystem. What we are doing is so that those who choose Bitcoin over us don't have an easy way back to the Real money trust, which is uhm... a good thing I guess!" - random central banking cartel enforcement officer

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:18 | 3438514 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Fuck Zuckerberg.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:18 | 3438518 Tango in the Blight
Tango in the Blight's picture

The Winklevii also lost to the Dutch:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zatmdqTYivI

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:22 | 3439136 lickspitler
lickspitler's picture

INCREMENT BITCHEZ

PS Nice chart doctoring .

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:45 | 3438352 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

The Hunt brothers reincarnated.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:16 | 3438515 XitSam
XitSam's picture

They say they own 1%. Can they prove it?  

If I list btc as assets on some gov't form, can an auditor prove that I own those btc? Can it be proved in court? Would that require revealing the bitcoin code itself, allowing an unscrupulous person to abscond with the loot?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:23 | 3438544 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

Funny, I never thought of that.

I remember being asked in a bitter divorce to list all safes I've had access to.  I listed about three dozen hotel rooms that I had stayed in over the previous three years and included the statement that some safes may have been inadvertently omitted from the list.

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:51 | 3438658 grunk
grunk's picture

I just like to say Winklevoss.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:11 | 3438734 candyman
candyman's picture

These guys are as toxic as Al Gore and carbon credits.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 23:07 | 3438925 greenbear
greenbear's picture

Tyler outdoes any MSM mouthpiece in his ability to string together a mess of incoherent thoughts to profer to the sheeple. The examples are almost endless but here's my favorite:

Sadly, a somewhat notable problem with BitCoin, the currency and not the bubblicious asset, is that one can't really use it for much other than to buy more bitcoin or convert it into fiat currencies: the same fiat currencies that BitCoin is trying to replace:

First of all, how do you buy bitcoin with bitcoin?

Second, try substituting the word "gold" for "bitcoin".

 

Make sense?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:18 | 3439078 greenbear
greenbear's picture

A couple of years ago it was worthwhile to read the comments here.  There were some very intelligent people who commented on ZH at that time.  But now, Tyler is spewing mainstream nonsense, and so are the commenters.  How did this happen?  The saying must be true that a fish rots from the head down.  Tyler refused to cover the Bitcoin for two years, and now that he is forced to, his disdain for it has run from hidden to open.  The currency of the internet is credibility.  Sadly, Tyler's credibility is fast approaching zero.  How will he hedge that?

 

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:41 | 3439186 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

Given Tyler's predictive powers - like calling for immediate declines following a 100 point down day in the Dow, but then subsequently suffering a 100+ point rally -- I'm not too concerned about his take on how "dead" bitcoin is.

You're better analyzing the Fed and sovereign currencies - not so much market timing, Tyler.

I should know, I used to believe way back when I started reading here, but I swiftly learned that the longer-term stories that had research were worthy, but the day-to-day pronouncements about the swift death of the indices weren't.

The conventional financial system will fall apart in due time - that I agree with, its just his timing that is lousy.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:33 | 3438290 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

A double pleasure is waiting for you

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F7hwvWIK1eM

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:32 | 3438291 maskone909
maskone909's picture

Sell

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:32 | 3438292 TempFlashback
TempFlashback's picture

Winkleloss Twins™.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:43 | 3438344 Eternal Complainer
Eternal Complainer's picture

The Twin Twinks

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:52 | 3438395 THX 1178
THX 1178's picture

The Fuckin' Fucks.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:29 | 3438582 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Saladtoss Twins?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:35 | 3438299 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I bet their Dad owns phyz gold and calls them up every once in a while laughing hysterical and then just hangs up.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:21 | 3438766 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

I bet their Dad now owns even more phyz gold, and calls them up every once in a while crying hysterically and then just hangs up.  Thanks to the $13M they did not have before.

There, fixed it for ya.  ;-)

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 01:06 | 3439683 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

Oops, market reopened. Now down to what, $8M?  

And, how do we know what price they bought at?

What if they were the ones buying and running it from $150 to $260, only to follow with their little disclosure? If so, they are down 50% minimum, LOL.

They thought they were being clever, but ended up the suckers holding the bag.  

The only thing better would be to find out Zuck was selling to them.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:34 | 3438300 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Douchebags.  Irrelevant.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:38 | 3438322 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

Harvard Crimson

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:37 | 3438323 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

Two guys in serious need of a beatdown

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:38 | 3438304 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

gay? no - I meant bitcoin

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:42 | 3438338 LasVegasDave
LasVegasDave's picture

you like then, no?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:48 | 3438369 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

LVD crawled out of his hebe hole I see

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:30 | 3438577 FIAT
FIAT's picture

brighton beach?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:37 | 3438313 GOLD AND SILVER...
GOLD AND SILVER NATZI's picture

Only 1% in Bitcoins yes, BUT 100% IN TOO SMALL T-SHIRTS!!  SHOW ME YO TITTIES!!!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:45 | 3438353 12ToothAssassin
12ToothAssassin's picture

Extra Medium

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:54 | 3438404 Slewburger
Slewburger's picture

Schmedium.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:36 | 3438320 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

This calls for a meeting with Larry Summers!

hold on...the Winkle Whiners only whine if they loose...

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:42 | 3438325 riphowardkatz
riphowardkatz's picture

all it can be converted into is FRN. and what? such a ridiculous statement and untrue. but kudos on another bitcoin article that will generate nothing for you but lots of impressions which can only be converted into more FRNs.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:48 | 3438368 Gazooks
Gazooks's picture

...lost virtual boating

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:39 | 3438328 strangeglove
strangeglove's picture

Bitchez!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:49 | 3438387 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

I have programmed my browser to substitute the phrase 'I am inarticulate' wherever the word 'Bitchez' appear.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:10 | 3438470 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

I am inarticulate.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:14 | 3438489 JuliaS
JuliaS's picture

BitChez?

Is that a competing currency?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:20 | 3438529 Zwelgje
Zwelgje's picture

They dig gold.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:45 | 3438827 jimmytorpedo
jimmytorpedo's picture

In that case, sign me up for 10 BitChez!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:42 | 3438342 Dr Benway
Dr Benway's picture

LOL. So the parabolic rise in BTC was due to speculators including even the Winklevoss twins piling in.

But two days ago people were saying that it was due to the incredible increase in BTC usage?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:56 | 3438670 saints51
saints51's picture

Sounds like the Fed more and more everyday.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:45 | 3438351 Oligarch
Oligarch's picture

The ever losing twins ...

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:44 | 3438355 NeedleDickTheBu...
NeedleDickTheBugFucker's picture

It will be their revenge on Zuckerberg when BitCoin goes public with a market cap 10x that of FB.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:48 | 3438378 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

What do you mean, goes public? It is not a private corporation you know.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:22 | 3438541 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

Can you buy a sense of humor with Bitcoins?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:05 | 3438705 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

No, but you can buy US gag writing...which is without any kind of humour.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:09 | 3438723 NeedleDickTheBu...
NeedleDickTheBugFucker's picture

I'm guessing the answer to that question would be no.

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 06:13 | 3439920 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

yeh well faceplant might have a mkt cap of $100 by then

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:46 | 3438357 riphowardkatz
riphowardkatz's picture

for all the haters I can summarize your arguments

1. bitcoin doesnt have an army
2. bitcoin is a ponzi
3. bitcoin isnt gold
4. bitcoin is electronic
5. bitcoin will be manipulated

boring. 

and the worst of all

6. bitcoin can only be converted into FRNs 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:28 | 3438566 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

Don't quit your day job, unless your day job is a reporter, because you did a horrible job summarizing the BTC counter-argument.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:33 | 3439170 lickspitler
lickspitler's picture

When is silver going to move somewhere. O thats right it got to $50 and got bitch slapped down to $25 . But that was ages ago it has now flown back to $27.

overlay a silver chart onto bitcoins   dualing Ponzi's

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:46 | 3438362 blindman
blindman's picture

Bob Dylan - All Along The Watchtower
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YanjY9CsPDQ

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:47 | 3438364 Debugas
Debugas's picture

no just think about it - some first-miners have probably mined the most easy fruits and now they want everyone else to jump onto their vagon ?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:55 | 3438367 q99x2
q99x2's picture

11,000,000 x .01 = 110000

110,000 x 124.00 = $13,640,000

I think they own 13.6 million dollars.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:47 | 3438370 Mr. Hudson
Mr. Hudson's picture

Bitcoin ain't done. Some people will become extremely rich before it all collapses. Every time a European country ends up like Cyprus, Bitcoin will shoot to the moon. That will be the time to sell. Following the BTC spike will be a crash, and that will be the time to buy more Bitcoins. Rinse and repeat.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:52 | 3438392 adr
adr's picture

Why? Do you think those people in Europe are really putting all their money into Bitcoins? I seriously doubt it.

Manic run-ups are usually associated with people expecting a huge rush in demand, that usually doesn't materialize.

Go talk to some retail buyers that spent millions of dollars on high tech toys that got screwed over by some rubber bands shaped like animals.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:12 | 3438499 IndicaTive
IndicaTive's picture

I still have a few of those fuckers stuck in my vacuum cleaner.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:57 | 3438415 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

We might see different buying patterns once the exchanges improve their performance. And we need fewer of those investors buying and selling in chunks of 30. Anything more than €2000 and you are best off getting physical silver in the long run. This is what I pretty much told my friend even though I trade in bitcoin. Bitcoin is really for transactions, you should not speculate what you cannot afford to lose. If everyone treats it as as chump change investment, preferable to the float you keep in a bank, that is about to be templated, then there is no need to panic sell.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:51 | 3438381 newengland
newengland's picture

Two brats fronting someone else's money, with a  'mathematical framework that is free of politics and human error,” Tyler Winklevoss said.

Free of other people's error and politics.  Theirs is evident. Conniving snake oil salesmen. Clearly, they have learnt from their elders how to shear sheep.

Only a schmuck needs to pay the likes of Western Union and American Express to move money between countries - and the shyster twins know that. Scammers.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:53 | 3438394 Lumberjack
Lumberjack's picture

Was Larry Summers trying to fuck them (again) over the last few days? nuff said.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:54 | 3438408 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

the Tribe looks out for its own

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:26 | 3438561 FIAT
FIAT's picture

ALWAYS

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:13 | 3438740 Pseudo Anonym
Pseudo Anonym's picture

madoff?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 20:50 | 3439052 Jendrzejczyk
Jendrzejczyk's picture

He stole their money in the end.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:55 | 3438403 saints51
saints51's picture

I am curious to see what Bitcoin does when Mt. magic the gathering opens it exchange. This will be entertaining. The fucking Kpops will be like Oh Fruck srell srell srell!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:55 | 3438413 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

As am I.

This is why they need to adopt a uniform market protocol across all trading platforms so the marketplace itself is also self regulating and decentralized. Does no good to have a decentralized currency that's reliant on centralized marketplaces.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:03 | 3438448 saints51
saints51's picture

Exactly. I was fucking around making a joke but what this exchange did could cause some serious issues. Price on other exchanges is sitting at half the price where Mt.Gox closed its exchange. There will be a shitload of orders sitting there to sell unless they open at the current price of say BTC-E. I will say this. Mt.Gox claims its upgrading it servers as one of the reasons, well, they will get a chance to see how good their upgrade has improved.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:55 | 3438674 Mine Is Bigger
Mine Is Bigger's picture

You are totally right.  I checket the BTC-E exchange.  It's crazy.  Some people are putting in orders to sell 0.00000008 bitcoin, which comes to whopping US$0.000005!  Lots of orders are for less than $10, presumably more of attempts to manipulate the price than to actually buy or sell.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:00 | 3438695 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

Bernie Madoff is kicking himself for not thinking of this Bitcoin thing...........its PURE PoNZI

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:56 | 3438406 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

1pm: "Did you call dad and ask for more USD for our BTC? No ... okay nevermind. I got an idea."

4pm: "You sit there and I'll stand here. Let's pretend like we're making serious business decisions together okay... 1-2-3 go!"

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:56 | 3438416 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

more like -"you look gay and I'll try to look even more gay"

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:33 | 3438598 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

The only way they could look gayer is if there were four dicks in their asses and mouths.

Not that there's anything wrong with that.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 17:57 | 3438411 q99x2
q99x2's picture

There at least 1,000 other people that own BitCoins. MtGox is being upgraded to a T1 tonight to accommodate the increase in traffic.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:26 | 3438559 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

You mean the increase in sellers?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:18 | 3438754 edb5s
edb5s's picture

Are there market makers in BTC?  What happens if you want to sell and there is an imbalance of buyers and sellers? 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:55 | 3438857 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

 

MtGox is being upgraded to a T1 tonight to accommodate the increase in traffic.

 

Well that's a day late and a bitcoin short.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:01 | 3438424 forwardho
forwardho's picture

Well... this adds a whole new level to the credibility to the enterprise.

Are these guys  like a male version of the kardashians?

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:02 | 3438438 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

I also put my invisable coins in a safety deposit box.........ya know for safe keeping........

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:03 | 3438444 100pcDredge
100pcDredge's picture

Twinkledose....

No... That's not it.

Sprinklergoose...?

Nononooo...

Winklerbooze?!

No0O0o... NO!!

Ehm... ok, I'm sorry - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnhWML43NI8

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:06 | 3438446 jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

Actually, disagree with this point: "free of politics and human error"

Remember when that last programming crash happened because two blockchains didn't jive after an unsuccessfully update?

http://bitcoinmagazine.com/bitcoin-network-shaken-by-blockchain-fork/

1) Human error, right there the updated version was out but not all miners updated to it.

2) Politics, the creators of the new blockchains must create a version that is agreeable to all mining parties or else it will not be accepted.  So as more people get in on it and potentially more miners - coding new blockchains could theoretically become a political battle of what benefits which miner more.

3) They forgot to add, free from manipulation and fraud especially with BCs being a virtually wild west-free for all environment.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:06 | 3438450 ozzz169
ozzz169's picture

Repeat what I said yesterday, last one out loses.  nothing but a speculative bubble.  First one out is the winner wonder who sold out and made a killing @ 240... good news is for anyone that bought in... there is still time to be one of the winners... for how long, anyones guess but probably not long.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:06 | 3438462 Yperkeimenos
Yperkeimenos's picture

So if a handfull of people,hold most bitcoins already in circulation,and if by using supercomputers,they can control the future supply,then we have effectively the creation of a new Elite.The King is dead,long live the King.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:10 | 3438476 vs3
vs3's picture

Is that it: ?

http://blockchain.info/address/1933phfhK3ZgFQNLGSDXvqCn32k2buXY8a

Final Balance 111,111.11257544 BTC

 

Total BTC in circulation: 11015450 (as of now; source: http://blockchain.info/charts/total-bitcoins)

 

or just over 1% of all BTC...

 

Or maybe a combination of the other top-10?

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bitcoin_Ladder#Top_addresses

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:11 | 3438481 wisefool
wisefool's picture

The reminds of of the two guys who founded facebook. Eduardo Saverin And Mark Zukerberg. The are the ubermench of our society. young, aparently geniouses, branching out into all kinds of things like medical research, immigration reform. All accomplished with less than %0.0001 of their tax free wealth, largely created by underwriting from P.D.s of the fed with benny bucks.

On the other end of the spectrum, I wonder what would happen if the old gal who works as warren buffets secretary pulled a fed document release (two days ago) for bershike hathaway? She is pretty grumpy this time of year paying a 35% tax rate and all...

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:27 | 3438540 adr
adr's picture

This entire Bitcoin episode has been fascinating. It is playing out like Horse Armor in World of Warcraft. Pretty much run by the same people as well.

See there were really powerful items available in World of Warcraft. Obtaining them would make you a very powerful player, and you could gut noobs with reckless abandon. The problem was you had to hack rodents for hours and hours to obtain enough credits to purchase the powerful items. Tedious and boring right? Well there were sites that let you employ Chinese to take over your character and hack rats all day. When you got home a pile of credits would be waiting for you, perhaps your character even leveled up. You'd pay a couple bucks to the Chinese kid, he'd make more in a day than he would in a week at a factory. Now you go out and have some fun killing all those noobs you hate and you didn't have to hack rats for 60 hours.

Then there were trading posts where people could sell items they obtained in World of Warcraft for real cash. SO then people paid Chinese kids to hack rats all day so they could obtain items to sell for real money. What's better than hacking noobs all day, AND MAKING SERIOUS COIN!!!!

What does that have to do with Bitcoin? If you don't see the parallel, I don't think I can spell it out any clearer.

----

So you want to mine Bitcoins but don't have the right computer or the time, DON'T WORRY!!!! Buy a cloudhashing contract. You can buy a one gigahash contract and get the credit of one gigahashes in Bitcoin, one the coin is mined. Sure the contracts have been going up in price and a lot of the contract sellers don't actually have the mythical hardware from Butterfly Labs that will mine Bitcoins with reckless abandon, but don't let that stop you.

If you don't want to speculate in the market and just want to mine a Bitcoin for fun, well I've got bad news. With a CPU setup you might get a Bitcoin in five to seven years, however you most likely will never get one considering you'll never find a block with that setup anymore. Your son has an awesome GPU to play Call of Duty on his computer, you spent $500 on that thing. Sorry you're still looking at three years at least, and just like the CPU setups the GPU setups are pretty much useless now.

But you can use a Field Programmable Gate Array system to mine Bitcoins. You'll get around 800 MH/s and might be able to mine a Bitcoin if you get a few of your friends to pick up a few FPGA systems too. Of course once the ASIC systems start shipping your FPGA will be useless. The ASIC systems will run in the GH/s range and totally outclass your FPGA system. Sorry man, technology.

GOOD NEWS THOUGH!!!! ASIC (Application Specific Integrated Circuit) systems are the last line. If you pick up one of those you should be set to start mining those Bitcoins and generating a virtual fortune. Of course by the time you get your 50 GH/s system there will be 200 GH/s systems, so you'll need to upgrade. Then there will be the TH/s systems soon after that.

It keeps getting better!!!! As more and more computational power is thrown at mining Bitcoins, that harder it becomes. You could spend $250k on mining systems and not obtain a single one. AWESOME!!!!

The builders of the ASIC systems are claiming you can generate $450 per day from a $2400 system. No wonder so many people are attempting to buy them. Of course the revenue depends on you obtaining every block of Bitcoins.

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:34 | 3438601 DutchR
DutchR's picture

Thanks for the informative...

 

Amber at the Ostsee will get you more of a chance (if you live there (and reading this)) to make some (soon to be toiletpaper) moneys.

 

Learning this is hard....

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:40 | 3438620 Smuckers
Smuckers's picture

Shit, and I was about to spark up my 486...WITH the math co-processor.
I guess my TI-994A's won't do much good either.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:47 | 3438837 Dapper Dan
Dapper Dan's picture

What you need is the Sperry UNIVAC System 80 my friend, it's the wave of the future!

New show in the future, BitBusters, two guys go traveling around the country and try to use BitCoins to buy things.

Hilarity ensues.

Coming this Fall on NBC.................No Bit Coins

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:50 | 3438650 saints51
saints51's picture

You have to ask yourself a question before you get into a venture like bitcoin mining.

 

If these vendors are selling these systems to mine bitcoins, why not keep it for themselves and control the market?

You control the supply and can name your price. And if you think these vendors are selling these systems for the greater good, then you are in serious trouble. They don't even deliver....lol. Cock suckers took your cash, bought bitcoins on the low end, and probably cashed them out at the top.

They win. You lose. Every. Single. Time.

 

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:07 | 3438713 DutchR
DutchR's picture

you are on the right track....

 

BINGO WINNER

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 23:32 | 3439470 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

+1 for the post.  I used to play Command and Conquer is all I can say.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:25 | 3438543 DutchR
DutchR's picture

Can I get 200.000 Bitcoin out ( like transfer to usd/eur/gold-coin) ?

Is this easy?   I see a limit on Mt Gox for 100BTC or $1000 (I could bw wrong)

How does Bitcoin handle volume?

 

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:29 | 3438570 adr
adr's picture

How does Bitcoin handle volume?

answer: Not well

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:35 | 3438606 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

i will give you 200 dollars for it..any account you nominate..i just need your 

account name:

account number

bank name

sort code

:>)

don't worry this site is encrypted...honest!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:25 | 3438551 FIAT
FIAT's picture

Soon to not be worth a virtual tulip bulb

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:30 | 3438573 knicks3005
knicks3005's picture

I'm 6'5 220 and there's 2 of me.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:42 | 3438628 DutchR
DutchR's picture

Stop looking in the mirror bro.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:01 | 3438599 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/bitcoin.org#

looks like its the new punk rock..or perhaps just the old rock n roll

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVglLs3uA8Y&feature=player_embedded

or should that be bitcoin is "no currency for old men!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:41 | 3438621 The Heart
The Heart's picture

Meh...turn on a commercial.:

http://vimeo.com/63749370

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:43 | 3438627 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Which one is Tyler?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:44 | 3438633 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 Bitcoin delisting

 To what ?

 EBay?

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:55 | 3438668 FIAT
FIAT's picture

craigslist

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:46 | 3438636 grunk
grunk's picture

We are all Winklevosses.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:51 | 3438659 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

speak 4 yourselves

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:45 | 3438637 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

Hey shmucks,  you need to hold PHYSICAL BITCOINS !!!!!!!

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:49 | 3438642 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 I used a random number generator and found 354 Bitcoins in a week!

 I also sold them all at the top of 260

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:50 | 3438649 DutchR
DutchR's picture

All hail to the Mastur Baiter , Hail Hail

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:48 | 3438646 brokenspoke
brokenspoke's picture

I'm willing to trade 2 donkey's for just one elephant.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:50 | 3438647 brokenspoke
brokenspoke's picture

I'm willing to trade 2 donkey's for just one elephant.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:56 | 3438677 DutchR
DutchR's picture

Make and model, we may have a trade here.

 

My elephant does have a slight case of indigestion, on accound of eating to many titbits.

But feeding a few ripe bananas schould do the trick.

 

Make offer

 

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:49 | 3438648 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Behold... the Bitcon Bubble Brothers.

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:50 | 3438654 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 The only thing legit about scamcoin is that the chart looks just like a penny scam.

 

 As expected weeks ago.

 

 Bitcoin owners = the worlds LARGEST SUCKER LIST

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:52 | 3438664 Duke Dog
Duke Dog's picture

Ok, I was on the fence with BTC until these two guys came forward. Now I know it's all fucked up:)

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:56 | 3438675 Smuckers
Smuckers's picture

This mining curve model depends on the complexity staying ahead of computing power.
And if it doesn't? It all falls down once quantum computers hit BestBuy. 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:57 | 3438676 grunk
grunk's picture

Who among us hasn't Winklevossed?

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 18:59 | 3438689 DutchR
DutchR's picture

Aiy, yuck 

 

Go rince your mouth......

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:07 | 3439100 Jendrzejczyk
Jendrzejczyk's picture

Foniks is fun.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:08 | 3438716 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

If you have an invention and want to sell it to the general public, you literally need to make it "idiotproof". Bitcoin is far from idiotproof at this time. Will it always be? That is difficult to say. Most people still use Windows or Apple OS. 

(Forgive the wall of text)

 Bitcoin is experimental, there's no doubt about it.  As such, it is prone to unknowns, and unknown unknowns, that could theoretically derail the entire project. Some of those unknowns could be fundamental, a flaw in the bitcoin algorithms themselves, or they could be in the current implementation of it. 


The ecosystem of trade and exchange around it is even more experimental, with a wild-west feel to it that hasn't been felt since the early days of the internet. Most of the tools are crude and hastily built; they are incomplete and fragile, and look it. Some have worked fairly well, some have failed in small ways, and a few have failed in big ways. 

Yet, bitcoin and it's associated tools are far from unexamined darts thrown blindly at the wall.  The stakes, even now before it matures into a full-fledged currency, are huge. The math has been examined. The math has been tested.  The decentralization hypotheses about it have been tested as well. The tools have been exercised far beyond what their creators expected.

It has so far passed all of its tests, even if individual tools did not. All of the failures have been recovered from at the system level, even if some individuals have never (and will never) recover the losses they incurred from them. 

Still, there remain a handful of points that uninformed critics imagine to be fatal blows to the heart of the system. Ideas that such critics naively assume nobody involved in bitcoin has ever thought of before, so that anybody continuing to engage in bitcoin activity can only be hopelessly naive, willfully blind or actively predatory. They toss them out like hand-grenades and imagine they've blown the system to bits, even if those in it have failed to notice. 

1. It's a scam, a ponzi scheme

It is important, for this, and the other points, to distinguish between the two contexts in which bitcoin discussion exists: bitcoin itself, and its ecosystem.  The first is the nature of bitcoin itself, the algorithms that make it work and the logic that flows from them and gives bitcoin the properties attributed to it.  The second is the ecosystem built on that math, the buying and selling and trading, the exchanges and the tools that have been created. 

On the first level, bitcoin cannot be a scam.  Not only are the algorithms public, but so are the transactions.  There is no information that is known only through someone's authority, that we can only trust to the extent we trust that person. There may be ignorance, there may be mistakes, but there is no fraud. There is nothing hidden that could be the basis for a fraud.

However, fraud is always possible in the associated interactions between people, and on websites.  The market for bitcoin, that of the spectacular four month rise in prices, very well could be manipulated.  There could be a cabal of big money pumping it up and waiting to spring their trap on the suckers who have bought it at artifically inflated prices. The operators of the exchanges could be engaging in any number of fraudulent schemes, just the same as any other online vendor could be. 

But none of that has any relevance to bitcoin per se, to the math. Even if the worst were true, it would not make bitcoin a scam. It is almost unimaginable that such latent fraud is true on a wide scale.  There are so many players, there is so much at stake in legitimate transactions and building a reputation, that it is hard to see the upside for anyone who is esablished, let alone for all of them. Yes, there have been and probably will be small scams by individual players.  That's life.  That's freedom. Get used to it.

2. It's a bubble

This is, in my opinion, undoubtedly true. Others disagree. But it is irrelevant to the nature of bitcoin. "Tulips" has become a knee-jerk talking point, but it pays to remember that when the Tulip Mania collapsed, people did not stop planting tulips.  They merely stopped speculating on their price. The value of tulip bulbs did not evaporate. 

So it is with bitcoin.  If and when this bubble collapses, it will not end bitcoin. It will dampen the enthusiasm, it will take the wind out of the speculators' sails, it may even diminish or delay adoption by buyers and sellers, but it will not wipe out the usefulness of bitcoin. 

The "bubble" will burst, or it won't, and in either case, bitcoin will go on. It might go on with less hype, less fanatic energy, and less hand-wringing, but on it will go. 

3. It's not backed by or based on anything 

This is the critics' most potentially sound economic analysis. It is actually reasonable to believe this is a real problem. There are even some who are enthusiastic about bitcoin that think it might be a fundamental time-bomb.  People ranging from the gold bugs to Armchair Austrians (I am one) to von Mises himself would take this argument seriously. 

The gold bugs have gotten used to distinguishing precious metals from fiat currency on the basis of *matter*. Gold cannot be inflated arbitrarily because it has to be mined. That takes money and effort, and it requires enough demand to make the price worth the investment. The Austrians have a theory about the devolopment of money from the "most marketable good", leading to the conclusion that only those things with a non-monetary use-value can have monetary value. 

The gold bugs's argument is more obviously wrong. They've conflated gold's distinguishing feature from fiat currencies with required features for being money.  But bitcoin shares this distinction from fiat currencies in that bitcoin cannot be inflated for the same reason gold cannot.  Not because it is molecules, but because it requires work, energy, and capital. Even more, unlike gold, bitcoin has a fixed supply that cannot be exceeded. 

That the market values gold is no more and no less arbitrary than that the market values bitcoin. Gold is not redeemable in anything, it is not backed by anything, it just is. So with bitcoin.  Both are valued because they are useful as money.  It is a common misconception to say that things are useful as money because they are valued.  We don't say that power tools are useful for construction because they are expensive. The fact that gold makes jewellery and electrical contacts is nice, and provides a modicum of fallback security for gold, but it is not a major component of its market price. It, like bitcoin, has properties that put it far above most other commodities in terms of usability as a medium of exchange. That is where the value comes from. It is the right tool for a particular kind of job.

The Austrian theory is about the evolution from trade goods to money as a universal trade good, but it is a hasty generalization. It is a generalization from a single class of commodity; we have no previous known examples of any other kind, such as bitcoin, of a class of money being deliberately created as such without going through the path of natural evolution. 

Oh wait, I'm sorry, we do have examples. Fiat currencies. There are all kinds of problems with fiat currency, but among them is not that they do not serve as money. They clearly do.  The world runs entirely on them. Many of us believe that they are not healthy, not sustainable, but that is not because they didn't evolve from something with prior non-monetary value. It is because their ongoing soundness is at the mercy of a small group of people acting on interests that conflict with the interests of most of the people who use that money. 

Still, if bitcoin is to fundamentally fail, it will most likely be on this basis.  But as it sits now, the conclusive belief that it *must* fail on those grounds is completely unsupported. On the other hand, there is no theoretical reason a currency must be a prior trade good, good logic about why it is unnecessary, and ample evidence to back that logic up. 

4. It can be hacked

A lot of this stems from Hollywood and sensationalistic "journalism", both playing on a general lack of understanding of what is at root a very arcane and technical field of expertise. It is bolstered by many high-profile security breaches that seem to confirm it. 

There's an almost mythical power attributed to "hackers", as if they were some kind of superhuman race of villains who can do anything to anything made from digitial information. There is a belief that no matter what the state of the art, it is an arms race and just a matter of time until it is overtaken.  

This belief ignores math. Bitcoin is based on cryptographic algorithms.  Those algorithms are widely considered to be absolutely unbreakable by any known technology and by any likely to come along in the forseeable future. This is not just a blind assumption, nor a "white swan" belief, but a rigorously developed set of mathematical theorems. For instance, common cryptography in use today can be show to require (for the brute-force method of trying every combination), that every atom in the universe be devoted to the task for tens of billions of years.  And it is trivially easy to make that twice as hard. Just as trivially easy to make it 4 billion times harder, and so on. The only other theoretical way to break it involves a class of math problems that is equally difficult, and for which no shortcut method has ever been found or even hinted at.

None of the known security breaches have been accomplished by mathematically breaking such algorithms. They have been accomplished through social engineering - taking advantage of carelessness on the part of users - or by finding implementations that have flaws or routes into a system that were not properly protected. 

Algorithms, no matter how sound, have to be implemented and used by fallible human beings. Some digital cryptographic implementations have been broken.  The flaws were recognized, and that knowledge applied to other implementations. Many implementations have been ruthlessly attacked, and remain unbroken. The US government - the most capable crytographers the world has ever known - admits that it cannot break these algorithms, and this is one case where even the most cynical believe them. 

The bitcoin implementation is new, but it has been severly tested in addition to being analyzed by hordes of both experts and laymen. The reward for finding a flaw is enormous, yet none has yet been found and exploited. Bitcoin's implementation could have a flaw, but so far none is known to exist; the likelihood of it is vanishingly small, and getting smaller every day. The pure assumption that, if it is digital in can be hacked, is superstition. 

5. It's been hacked

Fueling the above superstition is the history of "hacking" that has occured in the bitcoin ecosystem.  The largest exchange was broken into in 2011, and a substantial amount of bitcoins were stolen.  It was a bank robbery.  More recently, an online wallet site was similarly hacked, and a large amount of money taken. There have been denial of service attacks on several bitcoin related websites, there have been more minor data breaches throughout bitcoin's history. 

Still, bitcoin itself has *never* been hacked.  Or if it has, the hacker mysteriously chose not to take anything after succeeding in breaking the algorithm, and never told anyone. Care is certainly needed in the use of bitcoin tools, but care is also needed when dealing with any other monetary transaction. Banks get robbed all the time without the robbery rendering US Dollars worthless. Dismissing bitcoin because of the careless or mistakenly insecure way some people use it is more an indication of somebody wanting to find a reason to dismiss it than of any logical conclusion. 

6. It is used for illegal things

Too bad. 

Illegal use says nothing about the soundness of the tool used. Dollars are used to buy illegal drugs, child pornography, and dangerous weapons far more than bitcoin ever has. Knives that are perfectly suitable for slicing meat have been used to kill people. Thinking that use for illegal activity is a criticism of the soundness or usefulness of bitcoin is like thinking that axes are unfit for chopping down trees because there are axe murders.  

7. It is not really anonymous

This criticism is half correct. It is not anonymous, it does not make transactions invisible and divorce them from any identifying information.  It cannot.  The tradeoff for decentralization and security from double-spending is the ability to verify the transaction history.  The tradeoff for the ability to trade "anonymously" across the internet regardless of location is that the sender and reciever be uniquely identified *as such*. 

What it is is pseudonymous.  It uses pseudonyms.  I emphasized "as such" because that is all that needs to be identified - that the person that has valid keys to this numerical ID is sending money to the person that has valid keys to this other numerical ID.  There is no need to identify the sender and reciever *as individuals*, and in fact avoiding that is one of the primary motivations behind bitcoin. 

What can be done, given the public record of transactions, is what spies and code-breakers - intelligence analysts - call "traffic analysis".  That is identifying the patterns of movement, even though the individual actors (and even, in the case if spycraft, the information that is moved) remain unknown, there is enough information contained in the movement itself to identify the overall behavior of specific individuals.  If any one piece of information can be tied to an actual identity - a name, for instance - every other piece in the chain of traffic that is attributed to that individual also now becomes associated with his identity. Traffic analysis is what they are referring to when they say a warning of terrorism is based on "chatter".  

This does not mean it is impossible to keep your identity and your bitcoin pseudonym separate, but it does take some attention and work.  But even so, privacy is not the only motivation behind bitcoin. The other two are its resistance to manipulation of supply, and the ease with which it can be transmitted across the world without relying on the honesty and good-will of a third party. Anonymity is not a fundamental requirement for something to be useful as money. The other benefits would remain even if the privacy were proven to be a complete failure. 

8. It is unregulated

This is a double-edged criticism.  On one hand, it is often used like #6, to discredit bitcoin not as unsound, but as unseemly. To that I again reply, too bad. If it is too unseemly for you don't use it. 

On the other hand, a somewhat more reasonable criticism along these lines is that without regulation, it cannot ever be safe, it cannot ever be sound, and it cannot ever be the basis for enforceable contracts. 

This is a "who will build the roads?" criticism.  Positing that a third party is necessary for transactions to be successful and safe is to propose that individuals are unfit to make and implement their own choices.  This is a dispute that goes far beyond bitcoin, but bitcoin is a significant hinge on which that larger argument might turn. 

Not only is bitcoin unregulated, and itself unregulatable (see the following point), it can make other kinds of activity unregulatable as well.  It threatens to make a whole class of "crimes" for which the only evidence is financial records undetectable, or too expensive to routinely track down and punish. 

Those people who are dead set in their belief that safety, security, and efficacy can *in general* only be provided by third party regulation will not want to use bitcoin. Those of us who don't believe it are willing to take the chance. Theory, history, and contemporary empirical evidence are on our side. 

The criticism is not one that can be conclusively dismissed, but neither can it be conclusively established, and I along with many others are completely convinced it is untrue. It is a highly controversial question, and not only is bitcoin just one aspect of that controversy, but bitcoin was intended, at least in part, to be a vehicle for *testing* it. Arguments of this kind made against bitcoin alone are misplaced, that argument belongs to a far larger context, one in which most people have already given their answer. Those of us for who the answer is "no" have put our money where our mouths are.  We're not afraid to put it to a real-world test. If you are so convinced the answer is yes, why are you afraid to watch us try?

9. It will be regulated out of existence

Seemingly in contradiction to the previous criticism, this is often thrown out as a spiteful retort after the other arguments have been exhausted. It is often expressed not as criticism, but as a wish, as a kind of "curse on your house" parting shot meant to insult rather than inform.  

It is always possible that regulators will find a way to quash the bitcoin system.  Of course, that sheds no light on the soundness of bitcoin itself, only on the ethical soundness of the regulators, and perhaps the soundness of judgement on the part of those who enter the bitcoin world too recklessly. 

Still, any such regulation will not be of bitcoin transactions, but of bitcoin users.  This is an important distinction.  The power to regulate traditional banking and currencies comes from the fact that exchanges are typically mediated (except pure face to face cash transactions).  There is always a third party involved, and all a regulator needs to do is to require the relatively smaller number of mediators to do the regulation for them.  This is far easier than convincing the vast number of individual actors, most of whom are hostile to such regulation to one degree or another, to regulate their own activity. 

Yet the latter is the only avenue open to the aspiring regulators of bitcoin.  There are no mediators to convince, bribe, pressure, or force to do their bidding.  It is only at the interface between bitcoin and the traditional legacy systems where any such leverage can be applied. Beyond that, the only method available is widespread threats of punishment aimed at each user as an individual. This can perhaps be optimized by targeting first people such as large sellers of goods, who do a disproportionately large number of transactions, but it is far from certain that even that would have the desired effect. 

Since bitcoin is unregulatable at the system level, regulation can only occur at the edges, at the users, not at the use.  For this reason, it would appear impossible to regulate it out of existence, not only because it is, at its root, an idea, and and idea can't cease to exist, but also because they'll never be able to conclusively determine that nobody at all is using it. It can be driven deep underground. It can be reduced to a small cadre of those who won't be cowed by threats, but, unless it falls of its own accord, it can not be driven to extinction. 

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:16 | 3438744 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

Dude........put in a link..........

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:28 | 3438770 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

Sorry. it didn't know it was  linkable until now.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:08 | 3439102 Jendrzejczyk
Jendrzejczyk's picture

Well, it's too late now.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 22:12 | 3439295 exgop
exgop's picture

Holy Shit !!!
Now that's a wall of text !!!

Fri, 04/12/2013 - 06:05 | 3439913 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Yo Frankie - Not a bad rant....but you fell down hard with this statement.

"That the market values gold is no more and no less arbitrary than that the market values bitcoin. Gold is not redeemable in anything, it is not backed by anything, it just is. So with bitcoin.  Both are valued because they are useful as money.  It is a common misconception to say that things are useful as money because they are valued"

Gold is not redeemable in anything ? Phizz gold at thousands of coin shoa and on line. Comex futures is a cvery liquid market. Central banks have gold reserves in order to have currency credibility with others (although this is becoming a situation which will lea to war with the left woing facsists politically in charge in Europe and US).

Not a bad article but you demonstarte a naivete regading how the financial system "works" that does a disservice to your otherwise reasonable well thought out rant.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:16 | 3438748 Izznogood
Izznogood's picture

" the currency’s believers see a future in which Starbucks and Amazon take bitcoins" - right.

Do you remember what happened when governments started getting pissed off at Wikileaks? They pressured VISA a.o. to choke off their funding. What do you think Starbucks and Amazon are going to do, resist government pressure and be indicted for aiding and abetting the use of illegal currencies thus undermining national security? Me think not.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 21:04 | 3439057 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

Yeah. And people started donating bitcoins to Wikileaks. 

head ----> desk 

 

But I understand what you are saying.

"That's a nice little business ya got there, Amazon. It'd be a shame if somethoing were to happen to it."

 

But if I am running an online business, and I want to avoid things like taxation and regulations, bitcoin will be the only currency I accept. I can also sell products a lot cheaper than Amazon doing that. So, it's almost a lose-lose for Amazon if that were to happen. It's a question of whether bitcoin businesses can become established before the government starts doing shit like that. 

That, IMO, is the real fear of bitcoin.  

Sat, 04/13/2013 - 08:15 | 3444274 jonytk
jonytk's picture

no, of course Starbucks and Amazon will not take bitcoins, but i'm betting the whole 1000billion arm, drug and prostitution world want to buy some coins in case they have to fly the country. I'm at localbitcoins and many people have aproach me offering their money to "invest" in bitcoins, no mather the price... Of course, i had to say no because i don't want to be involved in money laundering.

So what it's easy to move, suitcases full of money or rather a pendrive with some encripted txt worth thousands of $ each file? they don't need to change the money back to $ ever. just use it to settle transactions.

Sat, 04/13/2013 - 08:16 | 3444276 jonytk
jonytk's picture

no, of course Starbucks and Amazon will not take bitcoins, but i'm betting the whole 1000billion arm, drug and prostitution world want to buy some coins in case they have to fly the country. I'm at localbitcoins and many people have aproach me offering their money to "invest" in bitcoins, no mather the price... Of course, i had to say no because i don't want to be involved in money laundering.

So what it's easy to move, suitcases full of money or rather a pendrive with some encripted txt worth thousands of $ each file? they don't need to change the money back to $ ever. just use it to settle transactions.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:22 | 3438764 Disenchanted
Disenchanted's picture

ByteCoins aside, I'll take two Winklevii over one Fuckerburg any day. Thank you very much.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:26 | 3438774 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

gold pumpers are now bitcoin pumpers

whoda thunk - boy have you guys no honour?

Maybe you could start the "back bitcoins with gold" pump.....

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:40 | 3438817 They Tried to S...
They Tried to Steal My Gold's picture

Bitcoins backed by a physical asset is better than a fiat currency backed by a physical asset.

 

Ofcourse physical in hand is better than two BitCoins in the bush....

 

but atleast we are going in the right direction which is getting the populace to look for alternatives to fiat financial dilution...

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:29 | 3438781 Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

The "Winkelvii" are naifs.  If the "unseen" hand of government backs them on this, they've end in clover.  But they'll still be naifs.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:29 | 3438785 dolph9
dolph9's picture

If there's any more proof to get as far away from bitcoin as possible, this is it.

These two jokers were so stupid they got conned by Zuckerberg.  That should tell you something.

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 20:09 | 3438916 Likstane
Likstane's picture

Stupid  x2 is still stupid. 

 

Thu, 04/11/2013 - 19:30 | 3438788 Izznogood
Izznogood's picture

One Twinkeltoss brother to the other "Bite coins? What, is that like a new kind of electronic cock ring?"

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