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Slamming The Money Market “Gates” – Capital Controls Coming To $2.6 Trillion Industry

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The first time we wrote about the Volcker-led Group of 30 recommendation to crush Money Markets in January 2010 by effectively imposing capital controls and fund "gates", whose purpose was simply to scare investors out of the $2.6 trillion liquidity pool and force said capital to reallocate into a much more "reflation friendly" asset classes such as stocks, many were concerned but few took it seriously. After all, such a coercive push into a "free" market at the time seemed incomprehensible (if, in reality, turned out to be just a few years ahead of its time).

Fast forward two years to July 2012 when the same proposal of "risk-mitigation" by allocating a portion of the balance to a "loss-absorption fund", which would "create a disincentive to redeem if the fund is likely to have losses" was not only re-espoused by Tim Geithner, and the NY Fed but the SEC put it to a vote and the proposal would have almost passed had it no been for a nay vote by Commissioner Luis Aguilar opposing Mary Schapiro in the last minute. Still, once more many largely unconcerned about the implications behind this urgent push to intervene and establish pseudo-capital controls in this major source of potential stock buying "dry powder."

A few months later, following the coercive bail-in of Cypriot deposits, and the new "blueprint" for Europe bank rescues, whereby the authorities have strongly hinted that no more than the insured limit should be kept as as a deposit at a bank and it is preferred that the balance is invested in stocks or some other ponzi-enabling instrument, many have finally started to wonder if indeed there isn't some overarching strategy to "tax" financial assets in a world slowly but surely going insolvent and where the much desired debt inflation is so slow to materialize (just as we predicted would happen in September of 2011 in The "Muddle Through" Has Failed: BCG Says "There May Be Only Painful Ways Out Of The Crisis").

Today, with a brand new leader, Mary Jo White, now that the clueless and co-opted Mary Schapiro is long gone, the $2.6 trillion Money Market Fund industry is one step closer to finally being gated. But don't it call it that - the SEC prefers the term "protecting investors"

From Reuters:

A portion of the $2.6 trillion money market fund industry would be required to fundamentally change how it prices its shares in an effort to reduce the risk of abrupt withdrawals, under a proposal released by U.S. regulators on Wednesday.

 

Funds could also charge withdrawal fees and delay return of funds to customers in times of financial distress, under the Securities and Exchange Commission's proposal.

 

The SEC plan comes after a long debate over whether changes made in 2010 were enough to avoid a repeat of a run on money market funds seen at the height of the financial crisis.

Naturally, those who see the writing on the wall - the MMF industry - is not happy:

The fund industry has warned that further major reforms could kill investor interest in money market funds.

Well, of course. After all this is the whole point. Recall what we said in July of 2012:

In a nutshell, money market funds (much more on this below), have always been one of the most hated liquidity intermediaries by the central planners: they don't go into stocks, they don't go into bonds, they just sit there, collecting no interest, but more importantly, are inert, and can not be incorporated into the rehypothecation architecture of shadow banking.

 

And perhaps that is precisely why the Fed is pulling the scab off an old sore. Recall that for the past year, our primary contention has been that the core reason for all developed world problems is the gradual disappearance of good collateral and money good assets.

 

Even if the MMF cash were to shift, preemptively, into bonds, or any other "safe" investments, the assets backing the cash can them enter the traditional-shadow liquidity system and buy time: the only real goal at this point. In the process, the cash itself would be "securitized" and provide at least a year or so in additional breathing room for a system that has essentially run out of good liquidity, and in Europe, out of any collateral.

 

Expect more and more efforts to disgorge the $2.7 trillion in money market funds as the world gets closer and closer to D-Day. And what happens with MMF, will then progress to all other real asset classes as the government truly spreads out its capital controls wings.

Funny: we said this 9 months before a capital control "disgorgement" struck in Cyprus. Fear not: it is coming to every other "taxable" financial asset. But whereas we thought the money market forced capital expropriation would be first, some places like Europe were so desperate they couldn't afford to wait that long.

So what proposals is the SEC planning on applying in order to enforce the capital reallocation pardon avoid investor losses? There are two, both perfect strawmen, and have been well-known since the first time we approached this topic three and a half years ago.

In a compromise move, the SEC's plan mostly focuses on prime funds for institutional investors, which are seen as more prone to runs because those investors are more sophisticated and more likely to pull large blocks of money first if there is a panic.

 

The SEC estimated that institutional funds represent 37 percent of the market with $1 trillion in assets.

 

The SEC's plan calls for two alternative proposals that it said could be adopted alone or in combination.

 

The first piece would require prime funds used by institutional investors to transition from a stable, $1 per share, to a floating net asset value (NAV) - a move designed to reduce the risk of runs like those during the financial crisis.

 

The SEC said that retail and government funds, which are not considered to be at the same risk for runs, would not have to move to a floating NAV. Retail funds are defined as those that limit shareholder redemptions to $1 million per day.

 

The industry has long fought against moving away from a stable share price, which it says is appealing to investors looking for a safe product.

 

The second proposal, meanwhile, would give fund boards for institutional and retail funds the authority to impose so-called "liquidity fees and redemption gates" during times of stress.

 

That would give funds the power to stop an outflow of investor money, an idea that the SEC's two Republican commissioners last year said they might be able to support.

We are not sure what is more amusing: that the SEC is so naive it thinks someone will actually believe it can prevent a capital run in a financial panic, or that its transparent attempt to spook money market investors away from their holdings now that the threat of imminent lock ups and gates looms over their heads is not what this is all about. We anticipate that the SEC will drop numerous analogies to Cyprus as a reminder that if something can be gated, it will be gated.

What is more important, is that unlike Schapiro's plan the current SEC proposal should have no difficulty in passing.

The initial industry reaction on Wednesday indicated the SEC's plan may not generate the same degree of opposition that the SEC faced last summer when then-SEC Chair Mary Schapiro called for what some consider stricter reforms.

 

Schapiro, who stepped down as SEC head last December, had advocated for a series of possible reforms, including capital buffers and redemption holdbacks, or a broader switch to a floating NAV - two ideas vehemently opposed by the industry.

 

She was unable to muster the votes needed to issue a proposal for comment after three of her fellow commissioners said they could not support her plan without additional study.

 

Schapiro's proposal was starkly different from what the SEC unveiled on Wednesday. This time, the SEC's plan contains some proposals that a few fund sponsors have previously said they could live with.

 

"It has been a journey to get to this point," said SEC Chair Mary Jo White, who took over the agency earlier this spring.

And if the industry is onboard, all the token SEC votes needed to enforce the plan will be in place.

At that point money markets will merely be the latest experiment in behavioral control: how to spook those with money in the multi-trillion industry enough to where they pull their cash and either spend it on trinkets, boosting inflation - a very welcome outcome for the Chairman - or merely investing it in the "stock market." Perhaps instead of a lock up, at times of crisis MMF investors will be given the opion of allocating funds to the Solyndra du jour (a la the Cyprus bank bailout) or lose all the money.

We are confident the central planners will find a way,

 

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Thu, 06/06/2013 - 01:22 | 3628814 tao400
tao400's picture

he hit gold right, that's for sure, even if his latest predictions were not correct. but he was always a longer term visionary type of guy. i think he started making short term calls too much. it's obvious what is being done but it's not easy to get out. i mean, who wants to pay 30% to exit the system. that's a lot of money.

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 22:45 | 3628500 FleaMarketPete
FleaMarketPete's picture

How do you kill capital markets?  Gate liquidity, that's how.  These liberal government employees are either the dumbest fucking idiots or greediest criminals on the planet.

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 22:49 | 3628509 tao400
tao400's picture

The other thing is that they are coming after everything - where can we hide. That needs to be the discussion.

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 23:44 | 3628638 WAMO556
WAMO556's picture

Become your own bank. gold, silver.

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 22:52 | 3628522 chump666
chump666's picture

The SEC is a waste of f*cking air

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 22:54 | 3628528 ElTerco
ElTerco's picture

I wasn't making any money in the MM anyway.  Looks like I'll have to invest in a few mattresses to store my money in.

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 23:00 | 3628544 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

the BOJ routinely parked money in MM accounts, [and then on occasion swept up the excess, i was never sure why they were doing it] now Bernanke-san is doing it, watch M2. the big thing [which isn't mentioned here] is separating treasury mm funds from non treasury. so which are we talking about, and in which instance do the rules apply?

Wed, 06/05/2013 - 23:10 | 3628569 Tinky
Wed, 06/05/2013 - 23:33 | 3628609 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 It's all good

  Spain 10-Year    4.505    4.424    4.505    4.403    0.081    1.83%    2:56:29
     Italy 10-Year    4.140    4.145    4.149    4.080    -0.005    -0.12%    05/06       NOT!   Peripheral yields are creeping higher.

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 00:01 | 3628653 newengland
newengland's picture

Capital controls. Exchange controls. Credit controls. Inflation is theft controls.

This is what happens when the fiatsco hits the fan.

This time it is different. it will be global.

Modern government hates you, and wants your money, for its latest fiatsco.

xo Trilateral Commission.

PS

Bail in to be global too, all for the globalists, internationalist nazionist agenda; the old monarchy, vatican and their hofjuden.

Companies and politicians schmoozed by banksters at this week's Bilderberg meeting are schmucks.

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 00:04 | 3628688 newengland
newengland's picture

RE: good gold man James Sinclair.

He's right again. Get out of the system while you still can.

Volcker says too in his roundabout way.

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 01:18 | 3628808 q99x2
q99x2's picture

When the collapse comes 7 billion coming for you Bernake MF'n et. al.

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 01:19 | 3628810 Marc45
Marc45's picture

I learned a while ago that if an employee becomes vested in a company 401k, the company CANNOT put their contribution into a MMF (even if the employee has not chosen a specific investment) and be in compliance with 401k rules.

This was a result of mutual fund industry lobbying.  The government (and it's financial backers...lobbyists) are hell bent on having everyone put their money at risk.

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 01:36 | 3628835 q99x2
q99x2's picture

There aren't people that have money in money market accounts are there?

They must be disabled and someone else manages their money. Nobody is that F'n stupid.

 

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 02:22 | 3628870 Nue
Nue's picture

Were all debt slaves now.

*whip* (Woosh crack Woosh crack) SPEND SLAVES! SPEND FOR YOUR LIVES! YOU OVER THERE! MAX OUT YOUR CREDIT CARD! AND YOU YES I'M POINT AT YOU SLAVE PUT YOUR LIVE SAVINGS IN YAHOO AND APPLE. DON'T MAKE ME TAKE THE WHIP YOU!

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 04:42 | 3628936 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Here is a new take of MSM on the upcoming implications of "FED tapering", "hot inflation clouds" and "interest rate hikes" and what effect it has on the WS stock bubble.

Guess what?? According to this Banksta spokesman he cries : Bring it on ! 

Wowie! The stock market can take any type of punishment its all bullish! 

So why can't it take capital controls; as long as its imposed by the Oligarchy ? Not by the people! 

"We don't want Money Markets and HFs who are now redundent to spoil our Caymanista party. We don't NEED them anymore.  As long as the middle class and sheeple stay meek and sweet we don't care! "

If we put two and two together; what the banksta is saying and what CB planning is supposedly doing to Money Markets; then the conclusion is : Bottom line, Fed tightening won't break the stock market.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/david-bianco-fed-tightening-is-bullish-2013-6#ixzz2VQJj1gxo

Play on band on the Titanic. 

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 05:08 | 3628953 Disenchanted
Disenchanted's picture

My unobtanium(401k funds) are all in with the BLACKROCK MONEY MARKET TRUST(My 401k fund Trustee is Merrill Lynch) and the capable hands of Larry Fink. I'm totally safe, right? /s

 

 

 

Symbol: BGMMT
IVR Fund Code: 21161
Asset Category: MONEY MARKET/STABLE VALUE

Name of Issuer
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company NA

Portfolio Turnover Ratio
0.00%

Objective and Strategy
This collective trust seeks as high a level of current income as is consistent with liquidity and stability of principal. The portfolio invests in US Treasury bills, notes and obligations guaranteed by the US government and its agencies and instrumentalities. Repurchase agreements are fully collateralized by such obligations. BlackRock is the investment manager of this collective trust.

Risk
Repurchase Agreements Risk: Repurchase agreements may be subject to the risk that the seller of a security defaults and the collateral securing the repurchase agreement has declined and does not equal the value of the repurchase price. In this event, impairment of the collateral may result in additional costs.

Underlying Fund/Fund of Funds Risk: A portfolio's risks are closely associated with the risks of the securities and other investments held by the underlying or subsidiary funds, and the ability of the portfolio to meet its investment objective likewise depends on the ability of the underlying funds to meet their objectives. Investment in other funds may subject the portfolio to higher costs than owning the underlying securities directly because of their management fees. . A pro rata share of any expenses incurred by the Underlying Funds is indirectly born by the shareholder of the Fund.

U.S. Government Obligations Risk: Investments in U.S. government obligations are subject to varying levels of government support. In the event of default, some U.S. government securities, including U.S. Treasury obligations and Ginnie Mae securities, are issued and guaranteed as to principal and interest by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Other securities are obligations of U.S. government-sponsored entities but are neither issued nor guaranteed by the U.S. government.

Fixed-Income Securities Risk: The value of fixed-income or debt securities may be susceptible to general movements in the bond market and are subject to interest-rate and credit risk. As a special note on bond funds, return of principal is not guaranteed and there are ongoing fees and expenses associated with owning shares of bond funds. The market value of bond funds tends to rise when prevailing interest rates fall and falls when interest rates rise.

This investment option is not a mutual fund, registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940. A prospectus is not available and shares are not publicly traded or listed on exchanges.

The copyright information refers to the Fund Description and Risk Information. (Please note that the Risk Information for non-registered investment vehicles is not assigned by Morningstar.)

 

 

 

 

YTD 'Return" - .01%

For May 2013 I received a monthly dividend of  $.08(My monthly dividends have all been under $10.00 for the last 7-8 months).

Isn't that fabulous? /s

My wife however who has roughly 8 times less the amount than I do in her 401k and is in the TRP Stable Value Fund(Sch B) received a May 2013 monthly dividend of $46.36(Her monthly dividends have all been over $40 for the last 7-8 months)

My choices in 'investments' other than the Blackrock MM Trust are all shit. I'm fucked. Unless I want to be unemployed as well, then I can access my 401k funds early and pay the penalties.

It's 0500 and I already need a drink...

 


Thu, 06/06/2013 - 06:35 | 3629039 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

The bottom line is that you cannot hide in or protect yourself with fiat no matter where it is invested.

So whether it is with the Corzines of this world, MMF's, banks, bonds, etc, you are screwed in the longer run and possibly even sooner.

Madoff must be spinning in his prison bed saying, "why me?"

 

 

 

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 08:20 | 3629191 saycheeeese
saycheeeese's picture

well..... the only safe asset left after physical gold is... bank notes under the mattress

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 09:51 | 3629446 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Saw this coming and pulled it all out about 4 years ago.  I've since become my own bank. 

Anyone who has any cash tied up in a MM, CD, 401k, IRA, brokerage account, etc... is out of their mind.

Fuck all these bankster criminals.

Thu, 06/06/2013 - 11:02 | 3629805 ZeroPoint
ZeroPoint's picture

Liquidate and buy physical gold. Done.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!