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As BitCoin Touches $400 The Senate Starts Seeking Answers... As Does The Fed

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Moments ago BitCoin hit $395, and will likely cross $400 in the immediate future (the chart looks a little less scary in log scale).

So as more and more pile into the electronic currency, some due to ideological reasons, some simply to chase momentum, some out of disappointment with the manipulated gold price looking to park their savings in an alternative, non-fiat based currency, which a year ago traded 40 times lower, the attention of the government is finally starting to shift to what has been the best performing asset class in the past year, outperforming even the infamous Caracas stock market.

Which means one thing: Congressional hearings.

From Bloomberg:

The U.S. Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs will meet on Nov. 18 “to explore potential promises and risks related to virtual currency for the federal government and society at large,” it said in a statement today.

 

The hearing, titled “Beyond Silk Road: Potential Risks, Threats, and Promises of Virtual Currencies,” will invite witnesses to testify about the challenges facing law enforcement and regulatory agencies, and include views from “non-governmental entities who can discuss the promises of virtual currency for the American and global economies.”

 

“Bitcoin is obviously getting a lot of attention from the federal
government on the regulatory side,” Nicholas Colas, an analyst at ConvergEx Group, said in an interview. “Given the involvement of the currency in illegal activities, that is entirely warranted. I expect these hearings to be largely informational, which is good for Bitcoin.”

 

“The architecture of the system is elegant from a computer-science perspective, but hard for a non-tech person to understand,” Colas said. “Getting industry professionals to close this gap will be very helpful.”

Or not. Because the only thing the government does when its interest is piqued by something, anything, especially things that have to be looked in log-scale, is to promptly regulate it and then tax it, not necessarily in that order. Just how it will achieve this with Bitcoin remains unclear but one thing is certain: it will try.

Especially, now that even the Fed is looking at BitCoin when a few days ago the Chicago Fed issued 'Bitcoin: A primer" in which the Fed states quite simply:

So far, the uses of bitcoin as a medium of exchange appear limited, particularly if one excludes illegal activities. It has been used as a means to transfer funds outside of traditional and regulated channels and, presumably, as a speculative investment opportunity. People bet on bitcoin because it may develop into a full-fledged currency. Some of bitcoin’s features make it less convenient than existing currencies and payment systems, particularly for those who have no strong desire to avoid them in the first place. Nor does it truly embody what Hayek and others in the “Austrian School of Economics” proposed. Should bitcoin become widely accepted, it is unlikely that it will remain free of government intervention, if only because the governance of the bitcoin code and network is opaque and vulnerable.

Finally, while the Fed may be late to the game, the ECB has already made its feelings on BitCoin well-known long ago: recall from over a year ago: "The ECB Explains What A Ponzi Scheme Is; Awkward Silence Follows" in which the European central banks didn't mince its words: BitCoin is nothing but a ponzi scheme to the central bank tasked with preserving the viability of an entire insolvent continent, and a a currency which unlike BitCoin would never survive absent regulatory intervention.

So while the electronic currency is soaring exponentially as it goes through its appreciation golden age, will the one thing that can finally end the dream of BitCoin holders arrive soon: when the government, and existing monetary authorities, start taking it seriously.

Full Chicago Fed paper on BitCoin

 

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Tue, 11/12/2013 - 02:28 | 4145086 digi
digi's picture

Sounds like circular logic to me. I guess the internet isn't really a "real" source of information since it simply gives access to information. The idea is to have information with no controls right? You speak in riddles. I'm trying to gain and spread understanding not muddy the pool. Sorry for stirring you up.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 02:52 | 4139875 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

And that's fair enough, and you should be in a position to make your own choice in these regards, however that's also a substantially tempered argument compared to others in this thread.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 07:55 | 4140032 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Certainly, I'm just pointing out what it is and is not...and how authority will attack it.

They always seek to regulate, control, tax, restrict or ban. They have legions of fiat paid wonks & geeks eyeballing this thing. Its a conduit for money and as such they will seek control over it.

Again, I'm not against it but I fear people are "levering" a whole lot of faith in it to escape state control, when it may very well be the state itself setting people up to accept the idea of a one world digitized credit/currency system. 

I like the idea of its anonymity in exchange, not so much that it relies on something else to facilitate the exchange.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 13:40 | 4140616 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

Fanatical adoration and faith in anything is always dangerous. I certainly would never liquidate all my assets and buy just PMs. Though I do not personally participate in Bitcoin, I appreciate the anonymity and the attempt to circumvent a fascistic Government hell bent to tax and or data mine every transaction of the citizenry. I admire those who have drawn a line in the sand and hope they succeed in keeping this viable. Many of us are waiting and watching.

Miffed;-)

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 17:09 | 4141114 nmewn
nmewn's picture

There are a lot of moving parts with this thing and its hard to separate the good actors from the bad re: BitCoin.

My own N-Sense tingles danger for anyone with a lot of real money tied up in it. Some would say its a Pump & Dump for good reason but I know some involved are in it for the right reasons, not necessarily for their own profit.

It's obvious the "authorities" have caused many to seek an alternative by their very own actions. As long as those actions continue, people will look for something else.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:10 | 4138772 Truthseeker2
Truthseeker2's picture

BITCOIN crash explained; why 2013 --->

 

http://cosmicconvergence.org/?p=13

 

2013: The Chinese Year of the Black Water Snake
Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:21 | 4138953 gold-is-not-dead
gold-is-not-dead's picture

Master, is that you?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:06 | 4139178 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I tend to forget about the "price" of Bitcoin, Gold and Silver.  The denominator in that equation is a theoretical floating point hell-bent upon it's own destruction.

In the end, it's just the Gold-Silver-Bitcoin ratio that counts.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:00 | 4139166 Dear Infinity
Dear Infinity's picture

It's approaching one... and fast. Currently one ounce of gold is about 3.5 bitcoins. See www.ounce.me

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 23:38 | 4139661 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

i like the idea of currency which can not be controlled by a central bank or a hand full of bankers, however can we really trust our life savings to code which can eventually be hacked?

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 17:31 | 4141161 AE911Truth
AE911Truth's picture

BitCoin is useful for making payments at a distance.

Gold is useful for saving wealth.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:04 | 4138905 stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

hh,

interesting idea, and, i support competing currencies.

however, from what i gather from the video, berkshares are pegged to the dollar at a 5% discount (21 berkshares = 20 $usd), so they will suffer the same fate of the dollar, inflation / devaluation.

better if they had designed it to be local commodity based, such as 1 berkshare = 1oz of locally grown maple syrup, or something of the sort, and free from the taint of central bank fiat.

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:46 | 4139008 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

...berkshares are pegged to the dollar at a 5% discount (21 berkshares = 20
$usd), so they will suffer the same fate of the dollar, inflation /
devaluation.

As my kid points out, market forces in the local community  are in control of the exchange rate with the dollar, which could change as the USD is devalued.  20:19 could easily become 20:99.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 19:07 | 4139266 Husk-Erzulie
Husk-Erzulie's picture

There is absolutely no correlation between Berkshares and Bitcoin.  Berkshares are dollar denominated coupons.  AlJaz story is obfuscatory BS.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:06 | 4138909 drdolittle
drdolittle's picture

So fucking sad you have to go to aljazeera to get real news. Just sad.

fuck the fed. barter!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:25 | 4138963 Pumpkin
Pumpkin's picture

Isn't it though.  I don't know how many interviews I have had to watch on RT because the zionist money changers don't allow such discussions on all the media they have stolen.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:24 | 4139203 knukles
knukles's picture

Try just for a day.
Try finding serious news on US media.

Try logging into offshore search engines.
Ever try?
You're likely to redirected elsewhere.

Try finding hard news on the telly.
Nope.
Radio.
A little better, but all politicized, somebody down some rabbit hole trying to convince you its reality.

Try ....

Oh neverthefucmind

You cannot get there from here.

Be afraid and aware.
Very aware.

May tomorrow be the most beautiful day of your life, that your breakfast will taste better than any meal you or I have ever tasted.

 

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:12 | 4140184 Offthebeach
Offthebeach's picture

FERAL Reserve Banks.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 16:51 | 4141076 AE911Truth
AE911Truth's picture

HH said: "What will The Federal Reserve Banks, and their lapdog federal politicians, do when more people start using a local currency like the hippies terrorists in Western Massachussets?"

Banker's response:

"If that mischievous financial policy,[interest free colonial script money], which had its origin in the North American Republic, should become indurated down to a fixture, then that government will furnish its own money without cost. It will pay off debts and be without a debt. It will have all the money necessary to carry on its commerce. It will become prosperous beyond precedent in the history of civilized governments of the world. The brains and the wealth of all countries will go to North America. That government must be destroyed or it will destroy every monarchy on the globe."

Source: The Flaming Sword, Vol. XII September 2, 1898

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:45 | 4138568 kushmere
kushmere's picture

I admit, it is all rather Frothy right now in the bitcoin world. Still, I didn't believe back in March when it hit $266 before crashing that it would regain and far surpass before the end of the year.

http://bestbitcoinsites.wordpress.com

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:07 | 4138629 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

Let Bitcoin sink or swim on its own merits and subject to the judgment of the markets.

I think its major test will lie in its ability to be subjected to some form of transaction reporting so that it is not used as a medium for evasion.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:52 | 4138877 Borrow Owl
Borrow Owl's picture

WTF??

Evading government theft is one of the better reasons for using Bitcoin.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:39 | 4138997 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

There are limits to all things inluding government, evasion, illegal activities but not stupidity. So we have to be careful we don't go overboard with Bitcoin because then it will be destroyed for the wrong reasons.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:26 | 4139087 stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

everything that weakens the grip of those who would claim to be our masters / slaveowners, should be supported, and i will support it, as should all free men.

bitcoin is a means, not an end.

 

 

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:13 | 4140187 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

It's the perfect currency for people with bi-polar disorder.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYNS5Abazto

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:20 | 4138666 seek
seek's picture

Yup, blow off top.

But it's the third blow off top for bitcoin in 3 years.

And each time, bitcoin has had its normal price exceed the high of the top in 9 months to a year. And then go on to 5-10X higher. If this top follows that pattern, we could get over $1K USD/XBT before the pop.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:20 | 4138795 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

Learn the mining cost incentives and dynamics and realize the price will move much higher.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:42 | 4138856 seek
seek's picture

I'm well aware. I was in the top 100 miners of btcguild until the last couple weeks, and still in the top 500 for mining and shares..

Another couple years and the scarcity really begins.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:56 | 4139034 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

I hover around #200 :)

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:30 | 4139098 seek
seek's picture

Must be nice! I assume that's over 1 TH/s? I'm running about 600GH/s at the moment, and stunned that my BFL units (thanks to the exchange rate) actually have positive ROI now...

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:58 | 4139165 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

yes in the Th club and seems it is starting to get more members...  atleast BFL actually shipped you something

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:29 | 4139218 seek
seek's picture

There's a lot of new capacity showing, and it's only going to get worse. Until this past week I assumed I'd be negative ROI forever on the equipment and see negative operating profits around late January. Now things don't look quite so bad.

I was assuming my money was lost to fraud by BFL and then the units showed in mid-September, early enough that I got a pretty good head start before the difficulty increases got out of hand. I'd pulled my GPU miners offline in January so it felt good to be getting some coin again.

I have a strong suspicion that BFL was paid to be be slow in delivery. I'd love to have supoena powers over BFL, I'm quite sure it would be very enlightening not only about them but most other ASIC suppliers.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:15 | 4140192 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Any recommendations on FPGA hashers? There's such a huge market now, it's getting tedious to sift through their datasheets.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:24 | 4138958 Freddie
Freddie's picture

U.S. Senate - totally corrupt institution filled with criminal scum.  There might be 10 or 15 decent ones but the rest like Boxer, Schumer, Feinstein, Blumenthal, McCain, and a bunch of others are scum.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:52 | 4139250 AllWorkedUp
AllWorkedUp's picture

Freddie +1000 for you my friend.

Our Senate is a bunch of scum sucking pigs. Execution before torture would be too good for them.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:21 | 4138672 rubiconsolutions
rubiconsolutions's picture

Is there such a thing as a virtual drone strike?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:30 | 4138977 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

I didn't even know they were unionized. ;)

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:16 | 4138782 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

"blow off top..."  --  jaap

I'll take that bet.  Bitcoin is heading much higher.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:32 | 4138834 doggings
doggings's picture

love this bullshit about people funding crime with it. and they don't with Fiat? morons.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:34 | 4138836 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

Drug money laundering by the banks is the big 'open secret'.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:10 | 4138921 stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

how dare you malign the good name of the banks, which are pillars of the economy and our society, with such unfounded accusations.

i say, how dare you, sir!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:24 | 4138956 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

unfunded

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:26 | 4138965 Freddie
Freddie's picture

The Obama-McCain-Rubio-Schumer push for amnesty and open borders is pro-drug cartels.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:36 | 4140221 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Worked wonders for Reagan. US Pop 1980, 226M...US Pop 1990, 248M...there are ~900k net births per year in the US...the extra 12M souls were immigrants.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:34 | 4139104 Clycntct
Clycntct's picture

"Secret" Wink Wink.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:50 | 4138874 Lordflin
Lordflin's picture

While I am certain there are people much smarter than me involved with this and other virtual currencies... okay, perhaps there are not people much smarter than me... In any event, I think I prefer my wealth in tangible assets... something about hearing the clink, or surveying the land, that is fundamentally appealing...

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:24 | 4138959 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Succumb not to the FUD.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:15 | 4139072 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

yet you gave up the gossip fence for pixels?

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 02:12 | 4139846 CultiVader
CultiVader's picture

is not the zh comments a pixelated gossip fence friend?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:17 | 4139074 tradewithdave
tradewithdave's picture

See if you can spot the day on this Bitcoin price chart that Bart Chilton resigned from the CFTC. Nothing to see here folks.

http://tradewithdave.com/?p=19115

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:43 | 4138563 Tsunami Wave
Tsunami Wave's picture

Damnit.. shhh! Also screw the Fed and the Senate/House..  I'd like to bet in the end, they will never truly figure out why bitcoin is just worth more than the continuing worthless judefetzen they keep defending.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:56 | 4138598 Citxmech
Citxmech's picture

The Fed citing to Hayek is really ripe.  What would be more in keeping with Austrian principals?  PMs maybe?  Can't go there though can we.

Fucking bastards.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:47 | 4138570 q99x2
q99x2's picture

FEC to allow political contributions in BitCoin.

Find an easy way to bribe a Washington D.C. politician and you've got a business. BitCoin rules.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:54 | 4138596 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Exactly they will demonize it while using it to bypass campaign finance laws to buy off and allow to be bought off in bitcoins since one can slide into and out of bitcoins outside the swift system if they so want with a few shell companies and people place in the right geographical locations. Never underestimate these things being used in this sort of manner. Dual edged nature of a sword.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:38 | 4138847 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Yes, very observant.  There will never be a complete ban on CA$H, Bitcoins or the equivalent.  Crooked Congressmen, judges, cops all need a way to keep their payments from becoming known.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:27 | 4138925 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Yep and away from the prying eyes of certain 3 letter agencies. They will just try to make it as unusable for the average schmuck as possible while they can take full advantage of it.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:46 | 4138573 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Why "BTFATH" in this Bitcoin thing when you can buy real gold ON SALE...??

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:49 | 4138584 q99x2
q99x2's picture

The main reason of many is that it has been going up 40 times per year.. The second reason is that its estimated value as a world currency is $795,000 per BitCoin.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:59 | 4138607 Lost My Shorts
Lost My Shorts's picture

Hmmm... dunno.  How is bitcoin also not a fiat currency (albeit one whose mode of growth is more disciplined)?  Dollars are paper that someone says are worth something.  Bitcoins are bits that someone says are worth something.  Both are only worth something if someone else will take them.

Bitcoin looks to me like the classic serial ponzi -- goes up and up and up until everyone's in, then kersplash.  Seems to be prone to bubble and pop.  Strikes me personally as nuts.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:17 | 4138655 Gummo
Gummo's picture

Bitcoins are bits that someone says are worth something.  Both are only worth something if someone else will take them.

True. Same goes for Gold and everything else.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:28 | 4138692 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

SOMEHOW, I suspect that real gold coins will always be far, far more widely accepted than "Bitcoins" ever will be.

Money is "the most widely accepted commodity." ~ Mises

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:50 | 4138738 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

I can convert bitcoin to fiat a helluva lot faster, and more privately than I can gold.

But, I have been using to profits from swing trading BTC to buy gold over the past several weeks.

This stuff is so 1999.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:38 | 4138845 SpykerSpeed
SpykerSpeed's picture

If this is the case, why is it that businesses are lining up to accept Bitcoin and no businesses are announcing they're accepting gold for payment?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:04 | 4138904 pacu44
pacu44's picture

that is not true... Car dealers and auto after market manufacturers are accepting GOLD for payment of their goods.... I know I will work for gold and silver too... No one offers to pay me in AU and AG though

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 02:13 | 4139845 Mad Mohel
Mad Mohel's picture

It's the flavor of the month so to speak. Three major problems with Bitcoin, the first is the fact that it is finite. The total number is known and the date when the number is hit is also known. What then?

Second, the average joe has no idea how to use it, for it to be real money it must be easily used by everyone, this is not the case.

Third, the power required to mine it will eventually be so great that it will eat up most of the value of what is mined. Unless of course you plan on tapping systems and power supplies that do not belong to you. Then we've crossed over into the crimes.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 03:17 | 4139891 digi
digi's picture

"first is the fact that it is finite"

I suppose you would prefer some higher power like Bernanke to print away the value you have accrued?

 "average joe has no idea how to use it" 

He couldn't use computers in 1980 either but just look how far little average Joey has come now? Or maybe the computers just got easier to use, that's probably it. Technology tends to do that, bitcoin not excluded.

"the power required to mine it will eventually be so great that it will eat up most of the value of what is mined" 

 Ah yes, supply and demand be damned. It surely won't work. Free markets, such a silly idea.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 00:02 | 4139689 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Only time will tell. For the rest of us there is the option to study the underlying technology and features keeping an eye out to satisify needs and desires in the marketplace.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:12 | 4138774 rubiconsolutions
rubiconsolutions's picture

Yeah, except when someone hits the light switch gold doesn't go away.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:53 | 4138879 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

I keep hearing this.  And I understand what you mean.

But if the lights DO go out, so doesn't most of the fiat.  And then all hell breaks loose.

For a pretty long while (probably longer than our timeline) gold won't mean shit either.

Knowing when to convert it all to food, land and/or bullets is kind of the key isn't it?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:52 | 4139025 rubiconsolutions
rubiconsolutions's picture

To a certain extent you are correct. The government and the Federal Reserve Bank currently has a monopoly on what is considered legal tender. If the power goes out - or any calamity for that matter - then all bets are off. People will use anything to barter. Food and fuel will be king. And cigarettes and booze and pot and and D cell batteries and clean water or ways to make it. Bitcoins are the off-the-grid currency du jour. Tomorrow it could be bottles of Dasani water. But I do believe that gold and silver will always remain in favor because of their scarcity. Silver is a great anti microbial as an example and therefore somewhat medicinal. Gold has a long track record of trade, as in thousands of years before electricity. One thing can be said, the dollar will be useless except as toilet tissue.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:19 | 4139079 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

yes and also ZH will go away too along with your tripe comments!!!  win!!!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:30 | 4138826 Lost My Shorts
Lost My Shorts's picture

Gold is famously decorative and extremely useful in electronics (when not too expensive).  It also remains gold even in the absence of electricity.  Not that I am a gold bug, but gold has intrinsic value.

"Fiat" means that something has value only because I say so.  It means "let there be" in Latin.  There can be better or worse fiat currencies, less or more abused, but bitcoin is fiat currency.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:23 | 4139081 digi
digi's picture

You need to separate gold as a commodity from gold as a currency. If gold were only used for electronics and not as a currency it's price would be much lower. Most all of it's value is attributed to the fact that due to it's properties as an element, it is one of the best accounting systems that humans have come up with. The fact that it also happens to be a tangible object that you can use to produce certain things is nearly irrelevant to it's current market price.

The traditional definition of fiat is usually 'currency by government decree'. This implies much more force than you let on in your personal definition. It's an, either you pay your 'taxes' in this currency we just made up or we come for you, type situation. Certainly not free choice or free market by any means. No one is going to kidnap you and attempt to take control over your life if you don't use bitcoins.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:22 | 4139083 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

so when the 'lights go out' gold is useful in electronics??

 

stacker logic on display

 

 

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 02:20 | 4139852 CultiVader
CultiVader's picture

depend on the net for bc=depend on oil to power the coin....whenthe oil is gone how do you access the bc? price of gold will only go up without fossils used to recover it...in the meantime I guess u could come over to my gossip fence and talk gold n silver

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 03:21 | 4139894 digi
digi's picture

Now that you mention it my cable internet modem is running low on dino juice as we speak. Time to fill er up. Oh darnit, looks like the pull start cord broke again.

WTF are you talking about? ROFL, I gave you an up arrow for entertainment value.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:40 | 4140227 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

You obviously have no idea where your power comes from, another naive innocent born into an age where things magically appear at the flip of a switch without any physical effort on your part. Numb to consequence and dumb as a fucking rock.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 17:46 | 4141191 digi
digi's picture

Contrary to your gut feeling of where your power might come from, the data says otherwise. Oil is less than 5% of electricity generation in the world. Guess you have no idea.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 00:08 | 4139696 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Bitcoin is a stateless, voluntary, fixed supply currency.  The opposite of fiat.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:05 | 4140176 Agstacker
Agstacker's picture

Same goes for Gold and everything else.

 

Gold and silver have a tad bit longer history than fiat and bitcoin...

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:41 | 4140229 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

So does human slave trade. Your point?

Mon, 11/11/2013 - 10:45 | 4142534 Agstacker
Agstacker's picture

So you're saying that using gold and silver for currency is equal to slavery?  You're real bright, aren't you?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:18 | 4138659 CH1
CH1's picture

How is bitcoin also not a fiat currency?

Oh, let's see:

  • Ingerently limited supply.
  • Obtained at considerable time and expense.
  • No possibility of single party control.
  • No monopolies on control, issuance, etc.
  • Open source, distributed.

There may be more, but I haven't a lot of time.

LEARN!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:43 | 4138915 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Inherently limited supply.

No it isn't since it is divisible infinitely though at the moment the software is limited to 8 decimal places.

On a long enough timeline the survival rate for bitcoin drops to 0 like everything else.

Let me explain by doing some simple math. As we know bitcoin is asset backed it is backed by various fiat currencies that can grow infinitely though in reality there is a finite limit where confidence is lost and people stop using them usually when they inflate into unusable for pricing purposes.

So with that in mind bitcoin value can be simply stated as amount of bitcoins/amount of fiat assets backing them. or simply BC/FA.

Since FA can grow infinitely let's call it x and since BC is 'limited' let's use the number 21, it can be any number as long as it is a fixed number. This is what happens when BC reaches peak coins since it is infinitely divisible and the fiat backing it can grow infinitely.

So BCV = BC/FA let's do a few calculations.

BCV = 21/1 = 21

BCV = 21/7 = 3

BCV = 21/21 = 1

BCV = Limit x ->inf 21/x = 0

So as you can see the value of bitcoin on a long enough timeline with an inflationary by nature fiat currency(s) backing it will eventually go to 0 if confidence isn't lost in one or the other before that point.

Let's look at prices

Prices = Item Quantity (IQ)/BCV Let's use 21 again for IQ since it is a finite quantity.

P(1) = 21/21 = 1 BTC

P(2) = 21/3 = 7 BTC

P(3) = 21/1 = 21 BTC

P(inf) = 21/0 = undefined

That is exactly what you would expect when BTC is not worth anything, the price is indeterminate using bitcoin at that point.

My point is when BTC hits peak coin that it also hits it's peak value, it is not a ponzi since it has an absolute peak quantity which coincides with peak value and that value though not necessarily determinable is not hidden plus it can be timed when it does reach it by the transparent nature of the system since we always know how many coins are in the system at any given time. It goes to zero is it's ultimate fate at some point regardless of cyclical nature of monetary supply expansion and contraction since inflationary currency ultimately grows over the long term in an expansionary fashion. Either mathematically or when the confidence is lost it dies one way or the other. Nothing escapes death........

What goes up must go down, spinning wheel

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kK62tfoCmuQ

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:45 | 4139009 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

So much fail, so little time, but "bitcoin is asset backed it is backed by various fiat currencies" is wrong from the get-go; nobody on Silk Road was talking about dollars or euros, it's directly accepted for goods, so it's more currency than your MasterCard.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:55 | 4139031 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

It's almost a guarantee the sellers were converting it into their local currency to acquire more goods for sale and to feed themselves.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:24 | 4139036 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

No it isn't, first off if it was a closed loop system it wouldn't be valued in fiat on the exchanges let alone speculated on. Secondly  I trade my coin for a good aka commerce transaction then it gets traded again those goods or services still are valued based on some sort of conversion between fiat and bitcoin whether it is the exchange value or otherwise between the 2 parties. I'm not selling my weed for less in bitcoin than I could get for it selling it in cash in almost all cases and value will ultimately be derived based on some btc/fiat coversion. That bitcoin will always have a fiat equivalent convertable value because the global economic system prices in fiat right now. It has to in the early stages for people to even consider it money. That is how the phase in period works. It also will get recycled at some point into cash as it moves through the system and through hands. If it wasn't backed and being convertable to fiat is a form of asset backing it wouldn't be used for transactions period the way the current monetary system is designed. Bottom line it has to have a convertable dollar value that people agree upon and convertable into because that goes a long way towards getting people to use it seriously as money as opposed to being some monetary thought experiment simulation used by a few 'true believers'.

 

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 08:59 | 4140078 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

The availability of bitcoins in dollar denomination has zero effect on the number of bitcoins. Again, you fail right out of the box. Maybe thinking isn't your strong suit.

Two people mining their own coins and growing vegetables could create a market for those goods. It's that simple.

If that's too diificult for you to understand, then you probably shouldn't leave home without an adult.

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:56 | 4139148 digi
digi's picture

I normally don't respond to inane comments but literally 0% of that made any sense. My best guess is that all of this is an uninformed rant based on the misunderstanding that divisibility is somehow equal to money printing, it's not. If Paul has 1 gold coin and I have 1 gold coin and Paul splits his gold coin into 2 pieces creating 2 half gold coins, that action doesn't devalue my whole gold coin. If Ben has 1 dollar and I have one dollar and then Ben prints 10 new dollars, that action devalues my dollar. But later on in the insanity that you call math your BC value holds constant, so which is it that you believe, do you think bitcoins are finite or not? Regardless of your opinion the fact is they are.

It appears that what you are calculating with BCV is the amount of bitcoins a dollar can buy you? Unfortunately you call this "the value of a bitcoin" which seems a little ass backwards. So you carry out the calculation and come to the conclusion that due to fiat inflation eventually a dollar will be worth about 0 bitcoins, okay that seems reasonable. Too bad you use that information to jump to the conclusion that since you can't buy bitcoins with worthless dollars anymore that bitcoins must also be valued at 0. Newsflash, people buy gold with dying fiat currency and when that dying fiat currency is dead, gold retains it's value because you can still purchase things with it, the transition happens over time. People are already starting to move away from the dollar as it approaches zero, they aren't going to just sit around and wait until it reaches 0 and then claim that everything ever purchased by a dollar is now valueless, holy shit.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 03:48 | 4139914 Mike Hunt III
Mike Hunt III's picture

Let me guess...Liberal Arts major?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:49 | 4139022 css1971
css1971's picture

Wow, and you missed the important one.

 

Because it has been legislated as the legal tender of the land.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:23 | 4138677 hound dog vigilante
hound dog vigilante's picture

Well, why don't you learn about BC first, before casting half-baked conclusions...

Yes, it is very similar to fiat in that BC also relies on the confidence of it's users.  The critical difference, however, is that BC is neither managed nor diluted by a central authority such as the Fed, IMF or WB.  This is a very significant difference b/t BC and traditional fiat.  And in this difference BC also has something in common w/ PM's. 

nuts = declaration w/o understanding.

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:40 | 4139002 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

They don't even understand the unique properties of BitCoin that can't be matched by any previous currency: you could (theoretically) set up subsets of BitCoins that you can vouge for being from particularly tagged sources, say "Known Not to Involve Child Slave Trade", so you could guarantee that your economic transactions are conducted with precision that you just can't do with gold, fiat, or barter. We're often told to "vote with our dollars" (especially in election years!), but what if you could really "speak" while spending?

It's lost on em though. Not shiny enough. Maybe we can hybridize BitCoins with those holographic authenticity fresnel-effect stickers and lure them away somehow.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 02:27 | 4139859 Mad Mohel
Mad Mohel's picture

Those unique properties are in fact the poison pill. Your example of it being taggable is exactly why it is a bag of shit. We need less controls not more. They will tag the fuck out of this thing to the point we will miss the good old days of paper. They will find a way to control it. Watch.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 09:08 | 4140086 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

You vastly underestimate the difficulty of that task. Would you say the MPAA "controls" movie content, or just believes they do?

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:18 | 4140198 Mad Mohel
Mad Mohel's picture

The MPAA can't drone your ass at will. The MPAA didn't just arrest the Dread Pirate Roberts and confiscate his horde of BTC. If they find that it is a legitimate contender, you will see the gloves come off. My opinion is that it will burn itself out after a sweet run.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:46 | 4140237 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Yes, they could; they are "shareholders" in the same Senators as the MIC after all.

The easiest way to prevent them from controlling it is to have a very large number of participants as well as dire economic effect should they remove the markets created by bitcoins.

 

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:26 | 4138678 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Well then, it's mere speculation...guessing.  You're supposed to buy things when the price is LOW, not BTFATH...why would any sane person - with limited capital to blow - buy something that has already risen 40x...?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:33 | 4138984 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Because they all know in their heart of hearts they'll be able to sell to a dumber schmuck at 50X!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:04 | 4139016 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

You're approaching BC with an "investment" mentality.  That is the entire problem.  If I had to worry about that, I would never, ever, have purchased ANY gold at all.   I have no ownership in BC but an cheering it all the way as an alternative -- any alternative -- to the crap that we are now calling our "money".

Why would anyone be against BC?  It's their money if they want to use it in that form.  It's absolutely none of my business who does what with their money or computing power.   How could anyone be against a competitor to the U. S. so-called dollar?   If you don't like the concept, just pass.  Sheesh.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:28 | 4139092 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

when did BTC become BC?

 

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:53 | 4139252 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Since I became a 66 year old doddering fool. 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 23:14 | 4139636 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

ha!!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:58 | 4139158 koncaswatch
koncaswatch's picture

+100 Rocky   At any point in time historically, free human beings were using a variety of things as money, cows in Africa, sea shells in the Pacific, gold and silver in .... etc. etc. Why the hell should any of us be upset with those who wish to use BTC as a meduim of exchange?

Now arguing about its investment value... proceed. 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:40 | 4139240 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Did I say I'm "against" Bitcoin?  No.  I just think gold is a more reliable bet.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:57 | 4139254 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Point taken.   I think it was more your denigration of anyone else's use of BTC that set me off.  I'm sensitive you know.  I just don't see either BTC (or gold for that matter) as a "bet".   That's the current Wall Street philosophy, and see where it's gotten us.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 02:31 | 4139861 Mad Mohel
Mad Mohel's picture

A fine case of the enemy of my enemy is my friend eh?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:13 | 4138647 shitco.in
shitco.in's picture

BTFATH.. 12 hours after BTFD... either way you are still going to get rich.

 

http://shitco.in/2013/11/09/btfath/

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:32 | 4138982 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Diversification.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:47 | 4138574 dizzyfingers
dizzyfingers's picture

Cartel bankers' next bubble investment!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 00:21 | 4139706 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Max Keiser tweet: We are waiting to hear about a new MAJOR Bitcoin player news tomorrow... could boost price guidance.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:47 | 4138575 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

Take your bitcoin profits now

 

 

jb

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:49 | 4138581 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

...in WHAT?  Paper fiat "dollars"?  Firewood?  Gold?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:16 | 4138654 A Lunatic
A Lunatic's picture

ObamaCare premiums..........

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:46 | 4139014 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Tide! (for the whitest whites and thus the ironiest? ironies)

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:02 | 4138753 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

Legit question.

Silver, if you can find an exchange system.  When one unit an electronic currency is exchanging for a greater value than one ounce of silver you know that bitcoin is in a bubble or silver in being supressed by 2 thousand percent...

I prefer to hold the silver.  

 

jb

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:26 | 4138813 ziggy59
ziggy59's picture

Many places to buy PMs online with Bitcoins
Heres one..
https://www.goldsilverbitcoin.com/

Im sure many bigger cos. will begin to accept them

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:42 | 4139005 F-Tipp
F-Tipp's picture

Not to advertise, but http://www.amagimetals.com/ takes bitcoin as payment. It's a great time to convert!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:03 | 4138754 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

**

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:48 | 4138578 Silver_K-9
Silver_K-9's picture

"Nicholas Colas, an analyst at ConvergEx Group, said in an interview. “Given the involvement of the currency in illegal activities, that is entirely warranted."

Hey Nick, Drug Cartel bosses dont have $Millions of $100 "Bitcoins" stuffed in rooms of their villa's all around the world...

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:20 | 4138668 CH1
CH1's picture

Given the involvement of the currency in illegal activities....

If illegal activities were the criterion, the first currency to kill would be dollars.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:47 | 4140239 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Roubles are problably an ass-hair behind in 2nd place.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:56 | 4138888 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

When I first glanced at your post, I thought it said, "Nicholas Cagesaid...."

I was going to finish the sentence, "...why am I not in this movie."

But it wasn't Cage.  I have no idea who this Colas guy is.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:30 | 4139097 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

he accepted bitcoins in Lord of War....  true story

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 10:48 | 4140240 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

"I'll be taking these Huggies...."

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:49 | 4138583 ansc01
ansc01's picture

good luckmtrying to regulate bitcoin :)

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:59 | 4138608 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

All it will take is a digital bitcoin competitor that gets shiny endorsements from the government and corporate establishment. Perhaps one that offers "rewards" such as airmiles, and that's the end of the fairytale. What makes bitcoin different from the early stages of social media when Facebook was brand spanking new? 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:32 | 4138702 hound dog vigilante
hound dog vigilante's picture

Right... because trust in gov't and corporations is just soooo strong right now.  Folks are just flocking to those gov't-sanctioned solutions for everything.  

And if you're comparing BC to Facebook, then you may well be beyond all hope/help. 

 

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:39 | 4138718 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

All government cares about is confidence. They will not let it be undermined by nuisances such as bitcoin and gold. They will keep the game going as long as possible....or pull the plug on the internet (they likely do have a kill switch...and good luck getting a withdrawal). 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:16 | 4138781 hound dog vigilante
hound dog vigilante's picture

Gov't can't conjure/will confidence... it is earned or eroded.  TPTB can't wave their magic wand and declare 'full confidence' in their currency or anything else.  And in case you haven't noticed, confidence in gov't at all levels is eroding rapidly... so in a sense you are betting against the trend, IMO.

I agree that they will TRY to keep the game going, but the duration/end of the game is not under their control... not even close.

An internet kill switch would be a bummer, but it isn't an effective tool of control/confidence... such a move would 1) backfire (horribly), and 2) ultimately fail, as the US gov't has VERY limited jurisdiction in a globallized society.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:47 | 4139019 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Hey! Those corporations make all the things you store your bitcoins on...oh...wait.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 18:04 | 4139173 digi
digi's picture

Ahh yes, I remember back when google single handedly invented and patented "math and numbers" back in 1998. Silly me, what was I thinking.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 23:52 | 4139674 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Sure, because you've got a cleanroom and gated oxide deposition equipment just laying around.

Apparently, you weren't thinking.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 01:14 | 4139769 digi
digi's picture

You must have misread my comment, see the part about "math and numbers"? That is where a bitcoin is both created and stored. I happen to have a large stack of 8.5"x11" paper just laying around over here that seems to retain any numbers I write onto it. I also tried rubbing my friends iphone against the numbers on the paper and it didn't appear that the silicon chips inside the phone could change anything I wrote down on the paper. Perhaps I am doing it wrong?

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 09:11 | 4140090 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

I just wrote down a really big number on a piece of paper, does that mean I'm rich now? No, it means that your analogy doesn't hold water.

Sun, 11/10/2013 - 17:59 | 4141218 digi
digi's picture

Sorry if I assumed your understanding of bitcoin was as good as I thought it was. You seemed to be shooting down some of the FUD in here. Anyways, that wasn't an analogy so it doesn't have to hold any water. My point was that bitcoins are not reliant on computing technology and all it's possible failings. Bitcoin is reliant upon math that can be verified by humans with no machines necessary.

To clarify my example, again not an analogy but a real example, I can pick up a dice and roll out my own random private key and record it onto a piece of paper. I am not rich yet but I have just created a valid bitcoin address that anyone else can now send me money to. All without any possible risk of outside influence. That is until the NSA gets that pesky gravity gun working and can affect the outcome of my dice rolls remotely, haha.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:36 | 4138839 BitStorm
BitStorm's picture

Perhaps one that offers "rewards" such as airmiles, and that's the end of the fairytale.

They'd have to give away airplanes, not airmiles, to get people to leave bitcoin. Even then, you'd have a centralized system which is what bitcoiners originally wanted to get away from.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:51 | 4138587 One And Only
One And Only's picture

Where is the donate in bitcoin button on zerohedge?

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:04 | 4138620 antaresteleko
antaresteleko's picture

Hey Tyler, don't dismiss bitcoin as a medium of recieving donations. Then you can exchange it again for gold, if you will... but it is easier donating in bitcoin than it is in gold!

Unless you prefer GLD of course...

Btichez!

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:28 | 4138690 seek
seek's picture

A number of us have been asking for that feature for a while.

In reality all Tyler has to do is publish an address somewhere, since donations don't buy any special features, there's no need to connect them to accounts.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:25 | 4138807 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

Why not send your check directly to ABC Media?

 

 

 

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:53 | 4138878 seek
seek's picture

I should have clarified -- all he needs to do is publish a bitcoin address. The point was to donate in bitcoin.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 17:29 | 4139095 shitco.in
shitco.in's picture

Agreed, that would be a welcomed addition.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:51 | 4138589 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

bitcoin:  great for money laundering for weapons, drugs, human trafficking - all those moral activities we aspire toward

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 13:55 | 4138600 One And Only
One And Only's picture

None of those happen with dollars. None.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:18 | 4138660 A Lunatic
A Lunatic's picture

As usual, another moron putting the blame on the tool rather than the user.......

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 14:37 | 4138711 LawyerScum
LawyerScum's picture

"great for money laundering for weapons, drugs, human trafficking"

Then BC will be perfect for the CIA/NSA.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 15:38 | 4138844 BitStorm
BitStorm's picture

Idiot.

Sat, 11/09/2013 - 16:53 | 4139029 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

another wanna-be "gangsta", upset people are encroaching on "his turf".

fuck you. we will not be controlled by people like you or the ones wearing the boots you lick, dickhead.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!